Tim Vaughan Chase Pointers

Tim Vaughan pointers >>>

TIM VAUGHAN POINTERS

(stats from start of 2016)

Looking at his overall record it’s clear he does much better in handicap chases than hurdles. A 14.77% win SR vs 9.49% over timber. It could be the whole operation is geared towards buying potential chasers of the future, which may be the case at most jumps yards but not all.

In handicaps | chases (covers standard and novice handicaps) with those horses having their first ever start over fences under rules (exc any Point to Point runs) (so 0 chase runs) he is…

49 bets / 3 wins / 11 places

I think it’s fair to say many are given a gentle introduction to the chasing game.

I’ve tried to find a ‘micro angle’ ‘way in’ for standard handicap chases (not Novice hncps) but I’m struggling.

However…

  • Handicap Novice Chases
  • 1+ run in handicap | chases
  • 2016 >

73 bets / 20 wins / 24 places / 27% win SR / +55 SP / +67 BFSP / AE 1.44 / Chi 3.29

  • All winners have been 16/1< SP, albeit only 4 sent off above this price.
  • 11 of those winners were beaten more than 10+ lengths LTO
    • 7 of those were beaten by more than 30L or Did Not Complete.
  • Those stats are from 17 different horses, suggesting a clear MO to my eyes.

 

Vaughan would generally have moderate horses and he may have spotted a gap in the market with these Novice Handicap Chases, preferring to target those with the right horses, rather than building up experience in novice chases before going into standard handicap chase company (who by their nature generally include many more experienced chasers, possibly more competitive etc)

I don’t tend to play in Novice Handicap Chases very often, but I’ve saved that micro above, will pay more attention to his runners hitting said ‘rules’ and take a much closer look at those seemingly thumped LTO. (hence why a few go in at decent odds no doubt)

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