Members Daily Post: 27/07/19 (complete:10.14)

Nick’s tips x3, York ‘through the card’ ,Section 1 (complete), Sat trends shortlist etc

1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

2.My Tips (Daily Chase Tips/Jumps Festival Tips)

3.Nick’s Tips

4.Micro System Test Zone

5.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

FLAT 

Ascot

3.00 –

Raising Sand   (all Hc’s) H1 I1 G3 15/2 S1 S4 S6 

Lush Life   (all Hc’s)

 

Chester

2.35 –

Kitcarina   (3yo+)  w1 H1 I3  3/1 

Arletta Star   (3yo+,micro class)  G1 3/1 

3.10 – Excessable   (3yo+)

 

Newmarket

3.25 – Fabulist   (all Hc’s)  w2 14,30 G3 2/1 

5.40 – My Dear Friend    (all Hc’s)  w2  14/1 

 

York

2.40 –

Camacho Chief   (3yo+)  w1 H3 I3 8/1 

Dakota Gold   (3yo+) G3 14/1 

Jawwaal   (3yo+) 14/1

4.55 – Nette Rousse   (all Hc’s)  w1 H3 I3 G1 9/4 S4

 

Lingfield

5.30 – Ban Shoof   (m dist)  7/1

8.00 – Flying Sakhee   (m dist)  7/1

 

Salisbury.………None

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2.My Tips (Daily Chase Tips/Jumps Festival Tips)

Daily Chase Tips: Main (2019: 16/83, 27p +32.8) Jumps Festival Tips (2018:+143; 2019: 4/86,22p, -53,)

Daily Chase Tips: Main 

(2m7f+, C4+ handicap chases) 

None.

Daily Chase Tips: Test (14/07/19>: 1/5,3p,+5)

None.

None from me, no Jumps. A couple of chases from Uttox on Sunday to get stuck into, hopefully numbers hold. 

 

 

3.Nick’s Tips

(2018: +532.33 ; 2019 running total End JUNE -28.1 BOG / -29.6 Advised; May -8.22/-8.97, June -31.04 / -31.79)

1.50 Ascot – Aroha – 1 point EW – 20/1 

2.05 York – Love Dreams – 1 point EW – 7/1 

3.00 Ascot – Vale of Kent – 1 point EW – 10/1 (bet365/BetfS/PP) 9s (others) 

that’s all from Nick, as of 10.14 

 

4.Micro System Test Zone

None.

 

5.Any general messages/updates etc

Big Race Trends Thursday 

Two big handicaps this Sat from Ascot and York: READ HERE>>>

Shortlists/trainer quals etc now below >>>

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Galway + Goodwood 2019 

Trainer/Jockey Pointers: READ HERE>>>

Some ‘big race trends’ for next week will follow asap.

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Saturday Trends ‘Shortlists’ 

Ascot: The International 

Trainers (21 years, with runners…)

  • Raising Sand / Lush Life
  • Makzeem / Blue Mist
  • Lake Volta / Vale of Kent
  • Admiralty / Burnt Sugar
  • Zap

Trends Shortlist 

Looking at 6yo<, OR not lower than LTO, had run 8f+, had run at Ascot, Not 4yo+ race LTO…

That leaves 9… Rip Orf / Makzeem / Fanaar (3yo) / Kaeso / Lush Life / Vale Of Kent / Alemaratalyoum / Island of Life / Zap

Those that carried 8-5-9-4, and had 4+ runs this season narrows that down to 6… Rip Orf / Kaeso / Lush Life / Alemaratalyoum / Island of Life (negs C1 LTO / 2 runs 90 days) / Zap 

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The SkyBet Dash

Trainers (15 years, with runners)

  • Staxton /Flying Pursuit / Golden Apollo / Hyperfocus
  • Growl / Brian The Snail / Paddy Power

Trends

Had ran over 6.5f+ in career, did not run over 5f LTO, 16/1< SP LTO….

Staxton / Golden Apollo / Muscika / Glenamoy Lad / Jawwaal

Running in a C2 LTO is a big positive… Staxton / Golden Apollo / Jawwaal

As per the stats the market has been a great guide, all winners in last decade sent off 12/1< SP.

Hopefully those pointers help you land on the winner or a nice priced place horse or three 🙂

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York ‘through the card’ for Jamie

2.05 – Love Dreams

2.40 – Jawwaal / Golden Apollo

3.15 – Addeybb

3.45 – Mr Jones And Me

4.20 – Grandee

4.55 – Nette Rouse

5.25 – Triple Distilled

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Yesterday… not much to say there, it was rubbish all round. Maybe Super isn’t as good as I think she could be – i’d be annoyed if we ever ride her again like that in a small field, esp over that trip, and quite frankly you get what you deserve when not using a horse’s strengths – she’s jumped atrociously bar a couple, which in part was down to how slow they were going I think. The fact we never hit the front at any point I find hard to stomach but that’s racing. She’s been beaten by one who had a quicker turn of foot at a crucial stage who kept galloping. Her jockey won her that. With any luck we can find her a race where they go a stride or three quicker and it could be she needs further, albeit she didn’t quite have the same spark as 19 day ago. Still, she’s a trier and another placed effort. 

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

18 Responses

  1. section 1 ew L15.
    basically the 4 best ew value bets from S1 imho.
    Ascot 3-00. Lush Life @ 22/1
    York 2-40. Jawwaal @ 16/1
    Chester 3-10. Excessable @ 16/1
    Lingfield 8-00. Flying Sakhee @ 17/2

    Multiple Type: Lucky 15. 0.13 ew stake £3-90

      1. Always the same when ground changes dramatically, you may as well rip the formbook up on the flat, bet there is more NRs to follow! On a lighter note, at least you can unearth a soft ground specialist at a nice price, that everyone will then back and the value goes…..on yer marks….get set….watch oddschecker and then you’ll know!

        1. Watch for True North, 3.55 Newcastle. The Baronet may have him primed for this but only id he is backed.

    1. Hmmm, well that wasn’t as good as your last trip! But at least a winner of the last to limit some damage. Wasn’t close to many of those winners at all, thought had the Dash winner given how he loomed up but just ran out of gas. Hope you had a great day regardless.

  2. COLINS BETS
    Ascot
    3.00 Makzeem BOG 8/1
    3.00 Kaeso BOG 10/1
    5.20 Mutamaded BOG 10/1
    York
    2.40 Muscika BOG 22/1
    2.40 Tomily BOG 10/1
    4.55 Appointed BOG 11/1
    Newmarket
    4.35 Charles Kingsley BOG 4/1
    ELITE BETS
    2.50 Newmarket Rise Hall BOG 10/3
    2.50 Newmarket Herculean BOG 11/4
    3.20 Newcastle My Mo BOG 7/2
    4.50 Ascot Redarna BOG 7/2
    5.30 Lingfield Myklachi BOG 6/4
    Colin

  3. Nap of the day is 2.25 Ascot, Wings Of Time at 9/2, 2 points win.

    Systems selection:

    Bin Suroor 2YO Maidens etc – 2.15 Newmarket, Military March at 6/1, 1 point win.

    Good luck.

  4. Lambourn
    3.00 Ascot Raising Sands BOG 13/2
    Jamie Osbourne very bullish, even says the race is for the taking thanks to the rain.
    Thats it for today
    Colin

      1. Do not exactly know where you are coming from for this month win only they are 23.75 points up which in my view is outstanding, if you wish for me not to put them up let me know, and Elite is 32.625 points up this month and Colins bets had a 22/1 and 10/1 seconds and a winner at 4/1 R4 15p and over the past 7 to 10 days too many 2nd and 3rds.

        1. ??? Nige is referring to the S6 qualifier in section 1 Colin, Raising Sands, which you also kindly highlighted from your Lambourn quotes assessment etc. He does love that place and a bit of soft. Our discussion isn’t in relation to any of your postings 🙂

          1. Apologies for Nige put S6 which is a postal code in Sheffiield so took it was a dig at Lambourn quotes, for it appeared below my Lambourn post so easy to misinterpret postings.
            Cheers
            Colin

          2. No idea how you’d read a Boooom and a clear celebratory comment in that way even if it was a reply to your comment haha. but never mind. Moving on. I’m already looking forward to the next winner you post, that is a superb monthly return from those, top work.

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