Free Daily Post: 16/05/19 (complete)

From the members’ post,  a look at the 3.35 from York…some stats/trends/pointers

Big Race Stats /Trends

3.35 – Hambleton Handicap

10/144, 34p

9/10 sent off 12/1< SP. (1/72, 8p bigger)

9/10 carried 9-00- 9-4 (exc claims) (9/43, 15p, +38)

  • 9-5+ : 0/16, 2p (average 1.6 runners per year, x6 runners this year 9-5+ suggesting more higher rated runners than can be the case)
  • 8-13< : 1/85, 17p

9/10 top 5 in the weights  (9/56, 16p)

7/10 had yet to run at York

Other

  • 0-2 handicap runs: 0/29, 8p
    • 3-6 hncp runs: 6/28, 11p
  • Won LTO: 0/19,4p

Track LTO

  • Haydock: 3/16, 4p
  • Newb: 2/16, 5p
  • Ascot: 2/10,3p
  • X1: Newmarket (Row) , Sand, Kemp
  • Thirsk: 0/19, 3p
  • Donc: 0/13,2p

Trainers (prev winners with runners)

  • Ledham (Stoute: 1/11,7p)
  • Plutonian ( C Hills: 1/1)

 

Stats Longlist 

Not really a great ‘trends’ race for my approach. Top 5 in the weights appears to be the main pointer, but of course there has been one lower weighted winner (clear bottom weight) in the last decade…

Beringer / Hortzadar / Plutonian T / Escobar / Whats The Story / Tricorn

From that list above only Hortzadar has had 0-2 handicap runs, and such inexperience hasn’t been a positive in the last 10 renewals, however the placed runners are fine so that may be broken at some stage.

My Shortlist 

Beringer 5/1  / Whats The Story 8/1 / Plutonian 20/1 

About This Author

Hi, I'm Josh and thanks for reading my blog, Racing To Profit. Hopefully you like what you find. This is a place for horse racing fans of all levels and ability, bettors and non bettors. Here I, and fellow readers, share our opinions on horses and information that may help you find your own winners. Do say hi, we are a friendly bunch... and if you could use the 'share buttons' above that would also be appreciated :)

2 Comments

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  • Y 1.50 – Copper Knight @ 11
    Y 3.35 – Just Hiss @ 16
    F 6.40 – Dont Do Mondays @ 4
    C 8.15 – Afatcat @ 33
    Needed the good win yesterday.
    GL

    Titus 16/05/19 9:48 AM Reply


  • Cracking price Titus well done

    aaron l 16/05/19 1:13 PM Reply


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