Free Daily Post: 16/05/19 (complete)

From the members’ post,  a look at the 3.35 from York…some stats/trends/pointers

Big Race Stats /Trends

3.35 – Hambleton Handicap

10/144, 34p

9/10 sent off 12/1< SP. (1/72, 8p bigger)

9/10 carried 9-00- 9-4 (exc claims) (9/43, 15p, +38)

  • 9-5+ : 0/16, 2p (average 1.6 runners per year, x6 runners this year 9-5+ suggesting more higher rated runners than can be the case)
  • 8-13< : 1/85, 17p

9/10 top 5 in the weights  (9/56, 16p)

7/10 had yet to run at York

Other

  • 0-2 handicap runs: 0/29, 8p
    • 3-6 hncp runs: 6/28, 11p
  • Won LTO: 0/19,4p

Track LTO

  • Haydock: 3/16, 4p
  • Newb: 2/16, 5p
  • Ascot: 2/10,3p
  • X1: Newmarket (Row) , Sand, Kemp
  • Thirsk: 0/19, 3p
  • Donc: 0/13,2p

Trainers (prev winners with runners)

  • Ledham (Stoute: 1/11,7p)
  • Plutonian ( C Hills: 1/1)

 

Stats Longlist 

Not really a great ‘trends’ race for my approach. Top 5 in the weights appears to be the main pointer, but of course there has been one lower weighted winner (clear bottom weight) in the last decade…

Beringer / Hortzadar / Plutonian T / Escobar / Whats The Story / Tricorn

From that list above only Hortzadar has had 0-2 handicap runs, and such inexperience hasn’t been a positive in the last 10 renewals, however the placed runners are fine so that may be broken at some stage.

My Shortlist 

Beringer 5/1  / Whats The Story 8/1 / Plutonian 20/1 

About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

2 Comments

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  • Y 1.50 – Copper Knight @ 11
    Y 3.35 – Just Hiss @ 16
    F 6.40 – Dont Do Mondays @ 4
    C 8.15 – Afatcat @ 33
    Needed the good win yesterday.
    GL

    Titus 16/05/19 9:48 AM Reply


  • Cracking price Titus well done

    aaron l 16/05/19 1:13 PM Reply


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