Members Daily Post: 01/05/19 (complete)

Big race tip x1, Section 1 (complete) Nick’s Tips x2 (complete), Punchy Pointers Day 2

1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

2.My Tips (Daily Tips/Big Race Tips)

3.Nick’s Tips

4.Micro System Test Zone

5.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

FLAT

Ascot

None

 

Bath

7.35 – Singing The Blues   (micro age) H1 I1 11/4 S1 

 

Brighton

7.25 – Rivas Rob Roy   (m class) I1 6/1 S6  

7.55 – Holdenhurst   (all Hc’s) H1 I3 4/1 

 

Pontefract

3.35 – Ronnie The Rooster   (m class) 10/1 

4.10 – Contrast   (m age) I3 G1 20/1 S6 

4.45 – Round The Island   (all Hc’s,m dist) G3 9/2 

5.50 –

Van Gerwen   (m class) G3 14/1 

Foxtrot Knight   (m dist) 6/1 

 

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THE KEY

Please Read: All information regarding the members club, the content, advised strategies, welcome info for new members, results, links to research articles,  tipping competition rules, contact info and much more can be found HERE>>>

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2.My Tips (Daily Tips/Big Race Tips)

Daily (2017:+110,2018: -22.2, 2019: 7/53, 15p +2.6)  Big Race Tips (2018:+143; 2019 Jumps 4/76,20p, -40, 2019 Flat TEST 2/6,3p, +4.25)

 

Jumps Big Race Tips

7.10 Punch – JET – 1 point win – 9/1 (gen) UP

I thought the top weight was worth a go here at 9s as he was transformed with front running/prominent tactics LTO, which is the first time I can see, certainly over fences, where they’ve tried it. On RPR ratings it was a career best – 156 – and by quite some way. On that simplistic comparison he could still have a few pounds in hand here. He’s fit, in form, his jumping warmed up LTO as the race went on, and I thought he’d give it a good go from the front again. There are some pace pushers but I didn’t think anything would battle him for a sustained period. I could be wrong on that but in any case Robbie Power should be right up there. They’ve always thought he’d stay further and it could be an aggressive ride over this trip is ideal – he’s often been outpaced when held up/or struggled to get to the leaders in races. This is only his 5th handicap chase and I did think he’d be the one to pass turning for home. It’s possible something has more in hand but I thought he could well improve on Jessie’s micro angle stats from my report below. He beat some much higher rated rivals LTO (albeit maybe their ratings are too high) but he couldn’t have been more impressive. He could just outclass these, and keep galloping. At 9s i’ll pay to find out.

He’s up against a few older legs, plenty of patiently ridden types, a few who have fitness to prove.

The most interesting one is Class Conti – he may bolt up again. He was impressive LTO, his first run in a year. That was in very testing ground and there’s a chance he ‘bounces’ or in any case finds this happening too quickly. He took a while to get going LTO. If he’s travelling comfortably and cruises into this in the straight, and is within 5L or me 3 out, i’m probably in big trouble. Blast of Koeman is interesting and he ran well in this race last year. However he’s never run well after a break. Maybe this has been the plan and he’ll be spot on, but i’m surprised they didn’t get a prep run into him and he may have had the odd issue. He’s a danger.

For various reasons I was happy to leave the rest at their prices.

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Elsewhere…

3.40 – Conron…  I’ve missed the price. Were he 10s +, i’d have tipped him. But alas he’s 7s across the board and in a 28 runner handicap hurdle, that’s getting a bit short for me. I think there’s plenty of deadwood in here and he is the most interesting, along with the Hobbs horse , by some way. I think this trip could be the making of him over hurdles and he bolted up over 2m on the flat 13 days ago. There’s a slight niggle as to the softening ground, and of course the nature of a race like this – surrounded by horses/short for room/pressure on jumping/inexperienced jockeys etc. In the end that made 7s seem a bit short but i’ve no doubt he’ll show himself to be very well handicapped over hurdles at some point, over this trip or maybe further. It could be i’ll be cursing come 3.45 or so, and he’ll make 7s look value still, we shall see!

 

 

 

3.Nick’s Tips (complete) 

#117.35 Ascot – Letsbe Avenue  – 1 point EW – 10/1 (bet365/SkyB/BV) 9/1 (others) (10+ bookies 1/5 5 places)  (as of 21.07) (+as of 8am) UP

#2 17.35 Ascot – Sea Fox – 1 point EW – 33/1 (gen)  (as of 8am) (10+ bookies 1/5 5 places)  UP

that’s all for today 

Write ups…

Letsbe Avenue – Front runner/fit/won 2nd start last season/effectively 1lb lower than last win with jockey claim/form of win worked out well/didn’t handle soft ground after that/solid re-appearance

Sea Fox – 3rd in Victoria Cup last year off 7lb higher / also a 2nd from 3 runs at track / 8lb below last win / 0/15,2p LH, better straight tracks / first run in C4 handicap / big field experience unlike many in race / should race prominent / the better pace appears drawn high

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4.Micro System Test Zone

Festival 2019 Losing Tips

5.30 Punch – First Approach / Salsaretta

 

 

5.Any general messages/updates etc

Punchestown Trainer pointers :  READ HERE>>>

Day 2 Handicap Pointers

3.40 

  • J Harrington: 1/14,4p (Press Conference / Conron)
  • J Keiley: 1/6,1p (Rock De Baune)

7.10 

  • W Mullins: 6/20, 10p (Class Conti/ Livelovelaugh)
  • T Mullins: 1/4,3p (Oscar Knight)
  • C Tizzard: 1/4,2p (Sizing Granite)

 

 

Day 2 ‘Micro’ qualifiers (from report above) 

Willie Mullins

 4.55 – Crack Mome (m1/2)/ Elimay (m1) 

5.30 – Allaho (m1/2)

6.40 Golden Spread (m2)

7.45 – Pont Aval (m2)

 

Jessie Harrington 

3.40 – Conron (m2)

4.20 – The Holy One (m1/2)

7.10 – Jett (m1/2)

7.45 – Coromandel Lady (m1)

 

Gordon Elliot

4.55- Vision D Honneur (m1 , 16/1< guide, m2)

5.30 – Commander of Fleet / Defi Bleu (m1 , 16/1< guide, m2)

6.40 – Abacadabras (m1 , 16/1< guide, m2)

7.10 – Ben Dundee (m1 , 16/1< guide)

7.45 – Daylight Robbery (m1 , 16/1< guide, m2) , Bioverdia (m2)

 

Enda Bolger (3/1<) 

None.

 

 

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Blessed To Empress

7.25 Brighton – she has her final run for the syndicate here, which is a sad day in some ways. Sadly I can’t make it down, just too much of a trek/expense etc. IF she runs as LTO, she’ll be thereabouts again. I can’t say 15/8 looks generous and I haven’t backed her. I’m still not sure she sees out the last 50 yards of this trip as well as some will, and a chance she gets outstayed again. When she made a quick return a couple of runs back she was not happy at all, race was over before it began, given her antics – she looked unhappy/ears back/didn’t want to be there/played up at the start. So, we shall see. Sadly she is what she is, and the share renewal was up at the end of April, and from existing owners there wasn’t enough interest to carry on- when you know you’ve got a high 50s/mid 60s class 6 handicapper, and that’s the best she’ll ever be, there’s no dream to sell, or longer term excitement, which of course isn’t the case with Super who, touch wood, will progress into a fairly decent horse. Amy does own half of Blessed also, and she’ll be kept in the yard/run in her colours I think. Annie, the lass who dotes on her, would be inconsolable I feel if she were to leave! Amy’s fiance, Lemos, also runs his own breeze up business and I wonder if they may use her as a work horse/lead horse for the babies, both with him and in the yard more generally. But whatever happens she’ll have a good home somewhere.

So, hopefully she can go out on a high. Amy’s other runner looks interesting, and is open to further improvement, esp in the 1st TT, and does run like a stronger stayer. Maybe a reverse forecast is an option, for fun money! I’ll hope that Blessed bolts up under SDS, and goes out with a bang. She’s been a great horse for us, winning three times, and giving me one of the best days at a racetrack i’ve ever had, when she won in a photo at Chelmsford, and at 16/1 to boot!

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Really Super.. well good job I went EW which is rare for me! I did have dreams of her bolting up but alas it wasn’t to be. I’d have been gutted had she not placed, based on the reports from home etc. She’s run her race and tried her heart out. It looked very exciting 3/4f out but over that trip on the flat she was just a tad placeless, lacking a turn of foot when it mattered. SDS rode a great race and to plan, she had no excuse. She will come on a tad for the run I think, and the lack of race fitness caught up with her late on. I doubt she’ll run on the flat again, but it will be over further if she ever does. All roads lead to Market Rasen on 19th May and then Worcester, for two very nice pots over timber. After that we may go chasing but TBC. She looked a picture and it was clear she’d strengthened up plenty. She’s much better than her current hurdles mark imo but we shall see if she shows it on her next two runs. She’s the potential to be some machine over fences also, esp in mares races. Onwards.

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

38 Responses

  1. Colins bets
    April SP – 12.75 BOG -9.662

    Elite bets
    April SP + 46.833 BOG + 52.833
    Mar SP – 12.341 BOG – 2.625
    Feb SP + 7.708 BOG + 18.725
    Jan SP + 14.384 BOG + 26.05
    Total SP + 56.584 BOG + 94.983

    New Method
    April SP – 24.625 BOG – 0.5
    Colin.

    1. Really impressive figures Colin. I always give your picks a check before I go for the retirement super heinz! One day…

      1. Top work Colin. Who says ‘systems’ have a shelf life of a few years eh?

        Cracking set of results.

        1. Hi Francis
          Think i know who!!! must be 30 years or more when started using it and it takes time using the papers, anyway will stick to my old method the newspaper for finding the bets for thought had found a short cut using RP computer but have noticed in the past couple of weeks, the papers have given two more bets both won typical.
          Colin.

    1. Ha, i’ve yet to look properly… sadly it’s Blessed’s last race for us as a syndicate, she’s likely to remain with Amy and race in her colours here on in, and stay in the yard. She doesn’t look much of a price! But yet to look in any depth. No idea on her other runner in race in truth, but the 1-2 may be a fun way to play it.
      Josh

  2. today’s selections.
    Ascot 2-50. Modern Millie 12-1 BV 5 places 1pt ew
    anything else in morning

    1. Ascot 5-00.
      Iconic Knight 11-2 1/2 pt ew 1/4 odds 3 places
      Glamorous Rocket 25-1 1/4 pt ew 1/5 odds 4 places
      Pontefract.
      3-35. Seaborough 5-1 1pt win
      4-10. Mutarakez 3-1 1pt win
      Punchestown.
      3-40. Fred The Foot 16-1 1/2 pt ew 6 places
      5-30. Salsaretta 1/4 pt ew 4 places
      haven’t had time to look at tonight’s cards so might be something else later if i get the chance to have a proper look.

      1. 1 n/r, staked 6 pts , returns 5 pts, down 1 pt.
        as stated before these results are from my actual bets and i do still get bog with 4 bookies so i got paid @20-1 on Modern Millie

  3. I will post my tipping comp results up later this evening but I don’t think I’ll be troubling the big boys on here.

    In addition to the fine tips above and probably some below this post I’ll be having a go on these

    Ascot
    3-25 dee ex bee

    Punchestown
    5-30 allaho
    7-10 class conti

  4. Systems selections: Karl Burke at Southwell.

    1.00 Baron Run.
    2.00 Sylvia Cliffs.

    I will post a results update later as at end April.

    Good luck.

  5. RECENT TIPS
    DAILY
    A 5.35 – Biotic on 4th run (inc 2xaw) @ 50
    B 7.00 – Mchine Learner on 2nd run @ 9
    Festival
    P 5.30 – First Approach on 1st run @ 40
    ………..Salsaretta on 1st run @ 33
    3m+
    P 7.10 – Oscar Knight on 4th run @ 16
    GL

  6. COLINS BETS
    Pontefract
    4.45 Socialites Red BOG 9/2
    5.50 Musharrif BOG 7/1
    Bath
    4.50 Reticent Angel BOG 10/3
    Brighton
    7.55 Who Told Jo Jo BOG 13/2
    ELITE BETS
    7.25 Brighton Rivas Rob Roy BOG 5/1
    7.35 Bath Singing The Blues BOG 5/2
    7.35 Bath Make Good BOG 6/1
    NEW METHOD
    1.00 Southwell Bond Angel BOG 2/1
    2.00 Southwell Gennaro BOG 3/1
    4.10 Pontefract Mutarakez BOG 4/1
    4.50 Bath Tinto
    Colin

  7. Josh, (and others)
    I popped this on yesterday in the thread regarding the debate on the timing of putting up Nick’s posts – with your busy day yesterday you may have missed the Q – i am assuming 10/10.30 ?
    I think that is spot on Josh – lets stay with evening because there is no pressure for people to actually bet in the evening! Also very important for us to see the comparison as you say. Can i ask you what time you tend to place the ‘morning odds’ please and do you use both Betfair and Bookies? Thanks.

    1. Hi John,

      Yep I did miss this, apols.

      I tend to place my bets after i’ve updated the morning post, so usually 8.15/8.30 or so. It can depend, sometimes I forget, and remember at 10ish! I do play with the bookies mainly, as I have never ventured into BF place market, but assume for big Saturday handicaps etc, doing so may be more of an option. I don’t have detailed figures as to how i’ve done with such a morning approach, but think i pulled in 450 odd points from his tips last year, and I may have missed the odd winner.

      There’s no right or wrong. Obviously Nick has to make a value judgement at the time that he can study the races/market, and at the moment given he has a job, that’s going to be the evening before most weekdays. The utopia for any ‘tipster’ is to analyse the markets and make value calls in the 10am/1pm slot on the day of racing really I think, and of course to be profitable to BFSP.

      The BOG debate is always interesting, and really only relevant when we know/can judge how many drifters win and the difference to advised prices. I’ve lost BOG on a few accounts, or can’t get matched much more than 20, esp before 10am, so you have to judge. I back plenty without Best odds Guaranteed, which in reality is only a luxury we’ve had since the exchanges came alone. My view has always been that if you’re only profitable because of BOG, drifters, then your long term value judgements are not very good!!

      It’s going to be a case of seeing how the year goes. Nick records to advised- at least 3 main bookies at time of posting and to BFSP as of this year I think. I will add morning prices also (if tipped the evening before) as a comparison, and we have will the BOG price for any drifters. So, we should be able to see how they play out. And I don’t like buggering about with declared prices etc and will monitor when I can, and want prices to be around generally at least 30 mins after posting, which is more important given no email alerts/text service etc as yet. I think i’m rare in that regard, many seem to be happy to declare at the price they posted/got on themselves, without bothering with the fact that within 5 mins of doing so that price may be long gone! Shoddy.

      Of course price is a subjective value judgement. Nick can tip a horse at 10s, that he thinks should be 7s/8s, but in reality that price may still be too big… as we saw with Ed Walker’s winner – anything 6s/7s+ was a value bet on that horse as it transpired. Such has been his historical ROI of 40%, and the level of profits, there’s plenty of room for manoeuvre, and while he wouldn’t be happy with this- if he could consistently hit 150+ points a year at 15/20% ROI, then happy days! He’s probably suffering from doing too well last year, as are some others I can think of (ROI wise/big race)… ahem, cough cough. haha.

      The other issue is followers buggering up the price- which I’ve concluded may be because some people are betting on the exchanges far too early, when no liquidity.

      Bookies will track exchange price and never want to be bigger in the morning etc, because of traders/bots/arbers.

      Take Sea Fox… it only took £10/20 trying to be matched for his BF price to go from low 30s to 29.00.. unsurprisingly all the bookies trimmed him into 28s/25s, to ensure at worst they were matching what was on the machine. I may have that totally wrong or be talking nonsense, but I think it’s mainly the premature exchange activity that may force some of these early moves, esp on weekday racing. Clearly bookies will be watching their liabilities also etc.

      Anyway, we shall see how it goes.

      I rarely bet the evening before, and I never take ‘stand out price’ , when one bookie is bigger than the rest, as you get what you deserve with your accounts when doing that imo. I still have all of mine, some heavily restricted, a few non bog. Some how Bet365 haven’t got to me yet, not sure how, but they will at some point.

      1. Thanks Josh, that’s great and as ever from you a very well explained and thorough reply. 🙂

  8. S.B.C. ALL WEATHER STARTING POINT WORKSHEET
    *******************************************************
    12.00 Southwell Optimickstickhill = JIF/GMD
    12.00 Southwell Filbert Street = TRACK/SURFACE
    12.00 Southwell Poppy Jag (IRE) = TRACK/SURFACE
    12.00 Southwell Bahango (IRE) = GMD
    12.00 Southwell Ise Lodge Babe = GMD
    12.00 Southwell Maureb (IRE) = GMD
    12.00 Southwell Tina Teaspoon = GMD
    12.00 Southwell Viking Way (IRE) = GMD
    12.00 Southwell Boudica Bay (IRE) = WEIGHT MOVE
    12.30 Southwell Honey Gg = TRACK/SURFACE / TRAINER
    12.30 Southwell Global Melody = GMD
    12.30 Southwell Marietta Robusti (IRE) = GMD
    12.30 Southwell Rio Glamorous = GMD
    12.30 Southwell Samovar = GMD
    12.30 Southwell Point Zero (IRE) = TIF&JIF
    1.00 Southwell Baron Run = TRACK/TRAINER
    1.00 Southwell Mujassam = TRACK/SURFACE
    1.00 Southwell Baron Run = GMD
    1.00 Southwell Muqarred (USA) = GMD / TRACK/SURFACE
    1.00 Southwell Bond Angel = JIF
    1.00 Southwell Majestic Moon (IRE) = TIF&JIF
    1.30 Southwell Atalanta Queen = TRACK/SURFACE / TRAINER / JIF
    1.30 Southwell Ertidaad (IRE) = GMD
    1.30 Southwell Excel Mate = GMD
    1.30 Southwell Kavora = GMD
    1.30 Southwell Plucky Dip = TRACK/SURFACE / GMD
    1.30 Southwell Prince of Time = GMD
    1.30 Southwell Ticks The Boxes (IRE) = GMD / TIF
    2.00 Southwell Gennaro (IRE) = TRACK/SURFACE
    2.00 Southwell Sarasota Star (IRE) = TRAINER
    2.00 Southwell Sylviacliffs (FR) = TRAINER
    2.00 Southwell Fiction Writer (USA) = TRACK/SURFACE / TIF
    2.00 Southwell Natty Night = TIF
    2.35 Southwell Purely Prosecco = TRACK/SURFACE
    2.35 Southwell Raquelle (IRE) = TRAINER /
    2.35 Southwell Carla Koala = TRAINER/TRACK / GMD
    2.35 Southwell Gunnabedun (IRE) = GMD
    2.35 Southwell Lauras Legacy = TRACK/SURFACE / GMD
    2.35 Southwell Little Tipple = GMD
    2.35 Southwell Raquelle (IRE) = GMD
    2.35 Southwell Secret Picnic (FR) = GMD / WEIGHT MOVE
    2.35 Southwell Lysander Belle (IRE) = WEIGHT MOVE
    2.35 Southwell Newgate Angel = WEIGHT MOVE
    3.10 Southwell Can Can Nights = TRACK/SURFACE
    3.10 Southwell Hiroshima = TRAINER/TRACk
    3.10 Southwell Itchingham Lofte (IRE) = TRAINER/TRACK / GMD
    3.10 Southwell Roc Astrale (IRE) = GMD
    3.10 Southwell Soft Summer Rain = TRAINER/HORSE/TRACK
    3.10 Southwell Constraint = TIF

    That’s all fellow All Weather sbc’ers folks 🙂
    ……………………………..Still winning !!!!!!!!!!
    Mc maestro all clear for your srubbing and addings 🙂
    Above all keep smiling and have fun once again today ! 🙂

    1. Hiya G, a nice surprise, thought you were lying doggo for a while, sent you a farewell message last night 🙂

      1. SOUTHWELL UPDATE

        Well pre-op VP G, not much of interest on the sand today, quite a poor card I thought?

        We match up on the following:

        12.30 Honey Gg

        13.00 Baron Run (only because of Martin’s KB system)

        13.30 Atlanta Queen (her previous win may have been underrated, an EW punt for me) also Ticks the Boxes for win purposes.

        14.00 Sylviacliffs (see 13.00 comments)

        14.30 Gunnebedun, this is my bet of the day, not an exciting price however. Trainer/jock are 50% win/50% place when teaming up at Southwell over last 12 months.

        Very poor as Vic Reeves used to say. Good Luck if you play.

        1. hi mc , Yep very poor at the beach today … just hoping that atalanta queen does me/us a favour again e/w 😉
          gb 🙂

        2. We are the self preservation society …. ha ha .. get in atalanta queen our beauty !!! well done mc ….. job done !! …sssshhhh we are a secret !!! ( just wish i’d put it in the tipping comp .. 🙁
          laterz have fun my man 🙂
          gb 🙂

        3. wd mc .. we had the AQ & G in the bag then 🙂 ……. keep up the good work 🙂
          gb 🙂

          1. Just got in to see your posts G! A good day at the SBC Office I think 🙂 thanks for pointing me in the right direction.

      2. hey mr mc ……….. yeah seemed to have shrugged off the “manflu” 1 part whisky to 1 part lemsip” with a wrapped around duvet … hey presto all sorted this morning .. but yes slowing down now a bit until the weekend 🙂 .. hope you are well and ready for another day in the punting trenches 🙂
        gb 🙂

  9. 1st May Ascot, Pontefract, Brighton and Bath
    Ascot 2.15 5f Cl2 Conditions
    By all reports this looks a formality for Wesley Ward’s Lady Pauline. I have seen Full Verse and I did not much like him….
    Full Verse – The only Godolphin runner I couldn’t have. Backed in to favouritism. Not a bad type but did not look to have quite the class of his stablemates 75
    Given this I am tempted to do 3 straight forecasts 6-1, 6-2, 6-3 with the idea that one of either Zulu Zander, Ventura Rebel, or Can’ Stop Now will be good enough to get in front of Full Verse. He was a well backed 2nd fav on debut at Newmarket but finished behind 3 other Godolphin runners and the favourite Strong Power of George Scott’s.

    Zulu Zander has an extra 3lbs to carry and Ventura Rebel an extra 3lbs. Clive Cox had a debut winner yesterday in Lady Fanditha at Nottingham and he is unlikely to be putting Can’t Stop Now in this ‘just for the experience’. Not all of Wesley Ward’s deliver over here and ¼ is a ludicrous price.
    Of course, it could go horribly wrong if Lady Pauline has been upset by her transatlantic flight and doesn’t perform, even so I would still not see Full Verse as any value at 9/2.
    Pontefract 2.25 5f Novice
    4.25 Xcelente, Kidda, River Of Kings
    Nothing to add, no possible bet.
    Brighton 5.10pm 5fMdn Auc
    3.75 Bushtucker Trial, Champagne Highlife, Paper Star
    2.75 Craigburn, Constanzia
    Both Hayley turner and Hollie Doyle ride this track well, both their trainers are in good form at present Bushtucker Trial would seem to offer better value but I shall not be paying to find out without seeing them.
    Bath 5.25pm 5f Nov Median Auc
    3.75 Royal Ambition, Amazon Princess, Silver Start
    3.25 Out Of Breath, Rockingham Jill
    All three of the top rated trainers have good track stats with 2yos, Richard Kingscote on Silver Start 8/1 is the best of the 2yo jock but with Charlie Hill’s form at present and this one only coting 3,000 looks like another race to leave alone.
    So, the conclusion is only worth taking a wild swing at getting the straight forecast right at Ascot.
    Hugh
    ps Great run from Really Super yesterday Josh, something to look forward to there.

    1. Did some figures for the 2.15…Lady Pauline ran 4.5f at Keeneland at 39.81 mph …a raw figure as no standard course time for comparison but clearly, extremely fast…an extra 1/2 f don’t think will stop her…Full Vase = 37.159 mph over 5f….Ventura Rebel 37.12 course adjusted with Zulu Zander with the latter running 38.22 mph..so tricky to decipher…not sure you can rule out Can’t Stop Now either but may be best over further but the sire acts on the going …favs are 27% and 2nd favs 33% so percentage wise Full Verse comes into the mix , too, as Appleby and Buick have the best stats for 2yo 32% and 21% respectively and both in profit.. more questions than answers as are all the runners on the Ascot card so caution I think…hope this is helpful

    2. I can’t believe it. Tried to be too clever instead of either reverse exactas or straight win bets!
      Grr

      1. Know how you feel…fine margins in terms of judgement..but was a tricky race to decipher as all the race cards are today…onwards!

  10. ELITE BETS

    For any new members and old of Josh’s RTP , who have picked up Elite results remember at the start of April there was only one winner out of 24 bets and that won at 5/6 because of N/Rs and the first decent winner was on 12th April so be aware there will be lengthy losing runs from time to time.
    The turnaround in 18 days from being – 22.167 to profit of + 52.833 truly amazing, what a month.
    Colin.

    1. Well done Colin, on my figures (the odds I get matched on) Elite Colin is +70 for 2019 to date.

  11. End of April performance updates:

    Let us start with the good news – Systems selections +70.5 to date in 2019 (April +19.75). I think I deserve a letter home to my parents saying how well I am doing for this).
    Horse Racing Tips – Minus 30 points to date for 2019 (April +6.5 points). Must do better but improving>
    Gold Tips on the free post – Minus 22.75 points to date in 2019 (April minus 20.5 points). I started 2019 with a 25/1 winner but have been bombing! I am confident this will pick up as I always make an annual profit on Golf.
    Football Tips (as seen on twitter at present @martincolwell1). +5.25 points to date in 2019 (April minus 24.5 points in Apri). A bad April for me but we press on to our profit goal.

    1. Well done Martin, strange that the better result success for both is with system/method although do keep an eye on going and on the flat the draw, that is the only tinkering i do.

  12. 4.10 Pontefract – Mutarakez 6/1
    Won this race last year rated 79, runs today off 75.
    Last year ran at Nottingham 11 days before winning here.
    This year ran at Nottingham 11 days ago. I suspect a plan!.
    The horse is a bit of rogue but there’s ability there in the right grade and this track.
    Drifted like a barge since prices opened yesterday evening but now its price is well worth a stab.
    I’d consider Casement to be the main danger

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