Members Daily Post: 18/04/19 (complete)

Tipsx2/Section 1 (complete), test zone, pointers

1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Big Race Tips/Best of Stats Tips)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

JUMPS

Cheltenham

3.15 –

Cap Soleil   (micro’s TJC and runs) H3 6/1 

Sunshade   (m +class) 6/1 

3.50 – Socksy   (HcCh, m class) H3 8/1 

4.55 – Whatduhavtoget   (m runs) 14,30  w2 I3 3/1 

 

FLAT

Newmarket(Rowley)

4.45 –

Mubtasim   (all Hc’s, m runs) 30 w2 H3 I1 9/2 

On The Warpath   (all Hc’s) 30  w1 11/2 

 

Ripon

3.25 –

Bossipop   (m class) (T1) H3 9/1 

Cartmell Cleave   (4yo+, m dist) 25/1 

Music Society   (m class)  22/1 

4.00 – Mutamaded   (4yo+, m’s class and age) 8/1

5.45 –

Bowson Fred   (4yo+) (T1) H3 I1 G1 11/2 S1 S4 

East Street Revue   (m class) 10/1 

 

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THE KEY

Please Read: All information regarding the members club, the content, advised strategies, welcome info for new members, results, links to research articles,  tipping competition rules, contact info and much more can be found HERE>>>

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2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Big Race Tips/Best of Stats Tips)

Daily (2017:+110,2018: -22.2, 2019: 6/47, 12p -2.4)  Big Race Tips (2018:+143; 2019 Jumps 4/75,20p, -39, 2019 Flat TEST 1/5,2p, +1.5)

 

Jumps Big Race Tips

2.40 Chelt – Graceful Legend – 1 point win – 6/1 (gen)

 

Daily Tips 

3.50 Chelt – The Wicket Chicken – 1 point win – 12/1 (gen)

that’s all for jumps tips today, 09.15, write ups below in Section 4…  

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Flat Tips (test…feature handicaps/big meetings: 1/5,2p, +1.5)

3.00 Newm – Fox Champion – 1 point win – 11/4 (gen)

that’s it for this test today.

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3.Micro System Test Zone

Paddy Brennan (14/1< guide)

3.15 C – Cap Soleil

5.30 – Agent Valdez

D McCain (14/1< guide)

3.50 C – Same Circus

Tom Lacey 

4.25 C – Via Delle Volte

 

Jumps Fact Sheet 2018/19 

Trainers to follow

3.15 C – Talent To Amuse

4.25 C – Via Delle Volte

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Losing Festival Tips 2019

2.05 C- Posh Trish

 

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

 

Saturday... just a note to say there won’t be any big race trends on Sat. The Scottish Sprint Cup is being run at Musselbugh – it’s usually run in June. It makes any stats/trends approach a bit pointless albeit I did start looking before I clocked the change, and there were no useful stats anyway. Some trainer records below. There’s the Haydock Challenger Series finals day which offers some good racing, and then the big one on Easter Monday at Fairyhouse. I could do with finding that one again.

Musselburgh – Scottish Sprint Cup Handicap

Trainers

  • B Smart: 2/12,4p
  • M Appleby: 2/4, 2p
  • X1: Ed De Giles/ K Ryan/ L A Perratt / E Alston / T Barron / N Wilson / T Easterby / M Easterby/ Rae Guest / P Midgley

 

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Cheltenham April Meeting trainer pointers + Craven Meeting notes: HERE>>>

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Craven Meeting Trainer Pointers Day 3

1.50 – Franz Kafka / Entertaining

2.25 – Full Verse / Lexington Quest / Well of Wisdom

3.00 – Dirty Rascal / Fox Champion / Almashriq

4.10 -First Contact / First Nation / Vintager

4.45 – Mubtasim / On The Warpath

 

Cheltenham April Meeting Trainer Pointers Day 2

2.40 – Desirable Court

3.15 – Cap Soleil / Sunshade / Late Night Lilly / Oscar Rose

3.50 – Caberet Queen / Socksy

4.55 – Whatduhabtoget

5.30 – Floressa

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Tips Write Ups

2.40 – Graceful Legend

I thought 6s was a shade too big here given that it’s started to come together for her over fences. She has some very good hurdles form to her name, esp in the context of this race-  that facile Ascot win over 23f in Nov 2017 off 127 sticks out – I think she has the ability for this race. Looking to her more recent chase form and her win probably came about due to a change in tactics-  the two runs before they’d somewhat gunned her out in front and she only faded late on. LTO she tracked the pace, but was still prominent, and then took it up a few from home. Her jumping was very good in that race, she’s got form on a decent surface, and she stays very well – she stays further than this which is no bad thing around here over fences. She also has track form, albeit over hurdles, but a running on 5L 3rd in Dec 2017 in a C2 handicap hurdle, in soft. Clearly the hill is no issue for her either. I just thought she looked solid and a bit more battle hardened than the rest, especially in big fields. She has guts, she sticks her head down and she tries. I’ll get a run for my money here and 6s was worth a go I thought to see if she was good enough. I think she is.

I can’t have Kupatana at the price. Connections will want black-type before she heads to the sales. The owners are pulling out of the game, i’m not sure why, and all of theirs will be up for sale soon- and there’s a lot of them. If I owned her i’d have requested that Sean kept the ride given the tune he got out of her LTO. However, for one that’s had jumping problems (a mental failure rather than technique at times I think) this is some test. She got an easy lead LTO, able to measure her fences in her own time, and skipped away on the ground. She won’t get that luxury here I don’t think and she can be guessy at her fences. 2s is simply too short for a horse that’s fallen twice in her last four, at Wincanton and Ludlow – and both when not really under much pressure. This place takes more jumping than those two courses, and indeed Kelso. So, I can take her on. If she’s turned a corner and bolts up, then so be it. I hope Max isn’t sat tracking her here!

I couldn’t have the rest at the odds. Little Miss Poet (can be keen/held up/undulating track a question) isn’t overpriced. Clearly not a shock winner given profile but I can leave. I don’t know why the selection is nearly twice her price, maybe i’ll soon find out. Majestic Moll is interesting. I suppose the break put me off, but she’s won fresh, so that may be no issue but race fitness can tell up this hill. Her form is solid though, but now up 3 classes. Skelton has one at 15/2 who will no doubt bolt up now! Her form isn’t brilliant to my eyes, esp LTO, but maybe the trip was short enough. She’s unexposed so no shock winner and has clearly been kept back for better ground, and like most this month from the yard has no doubt been aimed at this. She was workmanlike beating a horse in the 90s and one 113, and will need more. Therun before it was ok, but her chase form is in small fields and I preferred the bigger field/chase experience of mine. And the course (up the hill) form. I was happy to leave the other two, but strange things can happen at this time of year.

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3.50 – The Wicket Chicken

This one has a bit of ‘The Young Master’ about her – same connections, flat blood, but one who came alive on a decent surface and a staying trip over fences! Having watched a few of her recent runs back I’ve concluded she’s been crying out for these conditions at a stiff track. She’s no doubt a good ground horse and I think she may handle this fast ground better than most of the others in here. It’s no shock to my eyes at least that her best chase run to date came at Chepstow on good ground – a proper galloping track where she was only just beaten. That was at a time when the yard were not exactly flying and a few were struggling to finish off their races. Her run at Hereford was also decent, staying on, beaten 12l in ground she’d have hated, but she wasn’t stopping come the line which is a good sign. She returned after a break LTO and ran as if she may come on for it – i’d like to think this has been the plan since Xmas. Mulholland is 10/42,16p with chasers returning within 10 days (she’s 11, but you get my point) and 1/1 at Cheltenham. So, it’s a method he’s used to good effect. He’s also 3/9,5p in C3 handicap chases at the track, 2/7,4p over this distance. He knows the sort of horses needed to compete over fences here. Anyway, back to that Plumpton run- she ran well to a point there, and didn’t like the speedier nature of the track to my eyes. She was scrappy at a couple, but good at the rest. I just thought 12s was worth chancing. It may come to nothing, but she looked best at the prices…

Especially as this race feels a bit like the 5pm yesterday – where many may not run their race and something will be left standing that was tricky to make a case for pre race. Well for my eyes anyway, Team Skelton dotting up with one at a price, no money on, always galling esp given the stats above.

For numerous reasons I can’t have Same Circus, Aunty Ann after the break, Socksy, or Goodnight Charlie (dropped out like a stone through water, P, i’ll leave at 8s). I can’t really have Cabaret Queen either. She’s only that price because of who trains her. If she wins then so be it, but not for me at 6s 11/2. She’s a tailed off candidate around here. I can hope.

Sheneededtherun looks a silly price also, but maybe that’s an indication of whats expected. She is rated 104, but has split much higher rated rivals on a few runs. Her best form is on softer ground, but she may not have stayed LTO, and two starts ago was running on over 24f at Warwick on good. So, I can see the case, but I don’t like her price, especially as it’s her first run around here. I’ve no doubt the selection would have finished ahead of her at Hereford if the ground was decent.

Molly Childers is solid but has a big weight to lug around here. I’m not sure as to the strength of her form and she’s been on the go since October- she’s entitled to say sod this at some stage this season. Stamina wont be a problem but it’s her first chase start here also, and anything 7/2< on that front puts me off. Her jockey is also 0/32 at the track, 0/9,1p over fences, and if you’re trying to pick holes in a shorty here, those sort of stats help. Anyway, she’s open to attack from anything that finds some improvement here – and in these conditions, if there’s one that’s about to step forward and have 5-8lb+ in hand, it’s my one. Game on. Fingers crossed she takes to the place, holds a position and jumps well. I’ll be having some fun up this hill if she does.

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Flat Test…

Fox Champion. I’m only playing with 5s for this test of mine as I try and sharpen the flat eyes, either the big feature handicap of the week, or using my ‘big meeting notes’. I’ve landed on one ‘shorty’ this week and thought this one could be another. He’s race fit, won well enough LTO with the front two clear, he will try and make all/dictate, and stays well. I thought 11/4 was fair enough in that context, against horses that we’re guessing about fitness, who are less experienced and who are running here for the first time.

The market would indicate Almashriq is hacking up and Johnny G has started to introduce his very good ones to Newcastle first time up – Enable made her debut there, one of a few. Given his first run, his price, connections and the 2000 G entry, it could be this one blows them away. But he may need it, he may over-race, and find himself in the wrong place in a tactical race. Crowley won’t beat him up either,and the fact they return to a C3 conditions race may indicate he’s not near the very top of the Gosden pecking order, we shall see. The market indicates Palmer’s is a danger but again he makes seasonal return.

I think SDS will make plenty of use of his, and will be the one to pass as they enter the dip. Hopefully he keeps going.

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That’s the lot for today.

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

125 Responses

  1. Not bad today, place at 25/1 and win at 15/2…
    tomorrow..we have the lady horse day at Cheltenham..haha
    15:15
    CAP SOLIEL 6/1 gen 1pt win
    INESSA 10/1 pp/bfr/vc 1pt win

    write ups in morning.

    1. CAP SOLIEL
      Another one of the horses that has dropped in class and should take this if stripping fir, the better ground will help and with Mr Brennan on board here should go well!
      INESSA
      form figures are impressive and seems as though this was made for her, Mr Newland is in form and with STD in the plate this will go in if the cap doesn`t fit!! definite value at 10/1, that has now gone, but 8/7 to 1 is good enough!

      As always good luck with what ever you select today and hope all horses and jockeys come back safe and sound.

    2. I think it was Colin who said wait till the guineas meeting and beyond before betting on the flat and I am going to take that advice, as, my Grandad used to say something similar. You learn / remember things all the time in this game and sometimes you use them as rules to help you along, so, for that thanks Colin, we shall see how I go..I will monitor my flat details up till then and will post my flat selections in (brackets) so people don`t get confused, like i said my flat selections are a work in progress.

      1. Thanks Stewart my Grandad in deed making me feel old now ha ha, just read what Martin has written and agree to a point however painful as it is three of you put up Buridan and always look at you three, 15 runner race 9 making seasonal debuts, know idea which of the 9 are race fit and the first two home where seasonal debutantes, much prefer that most runners in a race have had at least a run.
        That race was an HC and all had race course experience how anyone can back in maidens at this time of year when most of the fields are making seasonal debuts or not run before,take a look at the first two races at Newmarket today, is that a dog barking in Newmarket there is plenty of that from the stable lads down there and hardly any win, have not been down for many years but what amazed me was how many bookmakers were open, and doubt that will have changed.
        Colin.

        1. The thing about that example Colin is what we all got wrong was the draw. I didn’t think it was mas much a disadvantage but I was wrong. Winner wouldn’t have won if he hadn’t moved over towards the rail. If Buridan is drawn on the other side there is 80% chance that he is in the first 4, we make a small profit and no one says anything else on the subject. Its not as he was out of the back of the telly so I disagree when you say he is not good enough. I’ve just had a look at my Flat bets so far as I am +5 up so doing better than the jumps and that’s with a few near misses which would considerably improve that so I don’t agree with what you are saying about waiting.

          1. Playing devils advocate here, agree with both points of view, think if a horse is not fit etc, they will not run it, but, like Nick I was annoyed at the fact they shifted the stalls, we all make selections on certain things like going / fitness / trainer stats etc, but, we cannot judge where they put the stalls on any given day, working off where they put them last year I also thought Buridan was a shoe in! when I watched the race and they had shifted the stalls was infuriating…especially when you have the hard earned on!! I`d like to say you live and learn, but, that was not the case with this. As for Grandad reference, should have said when he was alive, been gone for quite a few years now…best I stop digging!!

          2. Stewart, young again!!! hooray.
            Sadly they can train them on the gallops and yes some do win first time out, but trainers need to see race course competitive fitness, such as a footballer needs match fitness, and shock horror a trainer will run one with another race in the future in mind.
            Here’s Herbie ran on the 14th of April finished 4th, 13 1/4 lengths behind the winner at 25/1, and then 2 days later won having been backed from 14/1 to 8/1 by 6 lengths, that run on the 14th was to ensure that it was fit for the race two days later, afraid you cannot presume that the horse on the day is at its peak fitness.
            Sue Gardner did the same with Here’s Herbie last year and we backed it winning at 9/2 and was well backed from 8/1 or 10/1.
            Hope this helps
            Colin

          3. You certainly are doing better than my own Colins bets, so thanks, he ran a very good race but a few of them behind on their first run will improve for that, and if the race was run today would some of them behind finish in front of him ?
            Opinions, opinions mine is that i will be surprised if he his better than a class 4 horse from what i saw.
            Nick only put that race up for remembered the 9 seasonal debutantes in a field of 15 runners a very high percentage and you can expect one or two to improve but it is the fitness you are guessing at from them.
            Anyway expect four winners today, truthfully one will do!!!
            Colin.

      2. I did hear Declan Rix chirping out the wait for the guineas theory. I do not see the sense of it really as what are (not Stewart but in general) you waiting for? The form to settle down? Well it wont have as horses will be improving throughout the season and certainly up to Royal Ascot. It may have settled a bit by then but that is not the same thing.
        If it was that easy everyone would be doing it. By all means be picky on the flat now but do not ignore for the next few weeks is my view.

        1. It’s not that I’m not selecting in them, just not going daft, as it is a test for me atm.
          Didn’t want people thinking I wasn’t selecting in them for reason X or Y. I used to always agree with Nick Mordin who said that the crossover period between flat and jumps and vice versa was always a bit messy, have always found that to be the case and therefore will treat it as such.

  2. 5.45 Ripon- Lydiate Lady – 9/1
    Horses for courses!.
    Won this race last year but now 3lb lower.
    Ground is different this year but I’m willing to risk the return to the course will overcome the going change.

    1. Hi Andy
      Be very careful with this for some years ago recorded winner of the race last time even recorded 2nd, 3rd and 4th not profitable at all the time i recorded it.
      Have you been recording this over a period of time ?
      Ground had a look 2015 class 6, 5 furlong gd/fm and class 5, 6 furlong gd and its last 3 wins on turf 2 on gd/soft and 1 on soft.
      2018 9 runs 1 win
      1 run on gd 4th from 14
      4 runs on gd/firm never placed
      Eric Alston master trainer over the years with sprinters so who knows.
      Colin.

      1. Hi Colin
        I’m being selective, only certain courses and only over certain distances too.
        I’ll see how it plays out over the season.

  3. Tips – 4.10 NKT, Mustashry, 2 points win at 5/1. His last run was at the Breeders Cup when beaten by Expert Eye. Previously had won 3 of 4 at class one. Stoute in form and so may be fit to go.
    4.35 RIP, Metatron, 1 point each way at 7/1. This one steps into handicaps after three runs. Dascombe and Kingscote at Ripon and make the journey with this one.
    5.30 CHN, Whoopsey, 1/2 point each way at 33/1. This one has had a run and ran on late. The horse will come on for the initial run and may be value at this price.

    System selections:

    Skelton class 1 or 2, 61+ days absence – This is a chase and not a hurdle, so not the original micro.
    2.40 CHN, Desirable Count, 1 point win at 13/2.

    Good luck.

  4. 17th April Newmarket 2.25 5f Novice
    Scores
    4.25 Electrical Storm, Full Verse, Well Of Wisdom
    3.75 City Walk, Lexington Quest, Percy Green, Strong Power
    2.5 Millionaire Waltz
    Not much to say about this very competitive novice other than that even those with apparently no chance can’t be too readily dismissed. Lexington quest for instance was easily left out at Windor as too small and I only rated him 58. I expect that he will look out of place here, however the question arises why has Hannon sent him to HQ, I can’t help thinking that he must have shown some early ready speed and the stable thinks he might nick something. The same sort of comments apply to Paul Cole’s runner Millionaire Waltz and after his Gleneagles colt’s win under this jock at Newbury last week cannot be totally discounted. Similarly Karl Burke’s Percy Green needs not to be ignored.
    Last year’s winner was Tom Dascombe’s Jackstar who ran in the Craven yesterday but there was no Godolphin runners.
    Strong Power’s 2nd in the Brocklesby is looking good after three of those who finished behind him have now won and he was on debut for George Scott who is much better 2to. He may offer the value as the four Godolphin runners are bound to attract a disproportionate amount of the market.
    Hopefully all will be revealed in the paddock and I will post photos here tomorrow.
    Hugh

    1. Strong Power ran 11.87 spf and has excellent pedigree. Lexington Quest ran 11.97 spf and at 25/1 may make a place. Well of Wisdom has an equally excellent pedigree so with these three a return would be nice.

    2. Hugh …Good shout on Well of Wisdom and City Walk ran into a place…with pedigrees ~I need to look more closely at identifying patterns in breeding…I have a rough list that needs refining but your figures vindicate those I have identified as being worthy of note so that is encouraging. Thanks for the post.

  5. Not bad today, place at 25/1 and win at 15/2…
    tomorrow..we have the lady horse day at Cheltenham..haha
    15:15
    CAP SOLIEL 6/1 gen 1pt win
    INESSA 10/1 pp/bfr/vc 1pt win

    write ups in morning.

    1. CAP SOLIEL
      Another one of the horses that has dropped in class and should take this if stripping fir, the better ground will help and with Mr Brennan on board here should go well!
      INESSA
      form figures are impressive and seems as though this was made for her, Mr Newland is in form and with STD in the plate this will go in if the cap doesn`t fit!! definite value at 10/1, that has now gone, but 8/7 to 1 is good enough!

      As always good luck with what ever you select today and hope all horses and jockeys come back safe and sound.

    2. I think it was Colin who said wait till the guineas meeting and beyond before betting on the flat and I am going to take that advice, as, my Grandad used to say something similar. You learn / remember things all the time in this game and sometimes you use them as rules to help you along, so, for that thanks Colin, we shall see how I go..I will monitor my flat details up till then and will post my flat selections in (brackets) so people don`t get confused, like i said my flat selections are a work in progress.

      1. I did hear Declan Rix chirping out the wait for the guineas theory. I do not see the sense of it really as what are (not Stewart but in general) you waiting for? The form to settle down? Well it wont have as horses will be improving throughout the season and certainly up to Royal Ascot. It may have settled a bit by then but that is not the same thing.
        If it was that easy everyone would be doing it. By all means be picky on the flat now but do not ignore for the next few weeks is my view.

        1. It’s not that I’m not selecting in them, just not going daft, as it is a test for me atm.
          Didn’t want people thinking I wasn’t selecting in them for reason X or Y. I used to always agree with Nick Mordin who said that the crossover period between flat and jumps and vice versa was always a bit messy, have always found that to be the case and therefore will treat it as such.

      2. Thanks Stewart my Grandad in deed making me feel old now ha ha, just read what Martin has written and agree to a point however painful as it is three of you put up Buridan and always look at you three, 15 runner race 9 making seasonal debuts, know idea which of the 9 are race fit and the first two home where seasonal debutantes, much prefer that most runners in a race have had at least a run.
        That race was an HC and all had race course experience how anyone can back in maidens at this time of year when most of the fields are making seasonal debuts or not run before,take a look at the first two races at Newmarket today, is that a dog barking in Newmarket there is plenty of that from the stable lads down there and hardly any win, have not been down for many years but what amazed me was how many bookmakers were open, and doubt that will have changed.
        Colin.

        1. The thing about that example Colin is what we all got wrong was the draw. I didn’t think it was mas much a disadvantage but I was wrong. Winner wouldn’t have won if he hadn’t moved over towards the rail. If Buridan is drawn on the other side there is 80% chance that he is in the first 4, we make a small profit and no one says anything else on the subject. Its not as he was out of the back of the telly so I disagree when you say he is not good enough. I’ve just had a look at my Flat bets so far as I am +5 up so doing better than the jumps and that’s with a few near misses which would considerably improve that so I don’t agree with what you are saying about waiting.

          1. Playing devils advocate here, agree with both points of view, think if a horse is not fit etc, they will not run it, but, like Nick I was annoyed at the fact they shifted the stalls, we all make selections on certain things like going / fitness / trainer stats etc, but, we cannot judge where they put the stalls on any given day, working off where they put them last year I also thought Buridan was a shoe in! when I watched the race and they had shifted the stalls was infuriating…especially when you have the hard earned on!! I`d like to say you live and learn, but, that was not the case with this. As for Grandad reference, should have said when he was alive, been gone for quite a few years now…best I stop digging!!

          2. Stewart, young again!!! hooray.
            Sadly they can train them on the gallops and yes some do win first time out, but trainers need to see race course competitive fitness, such as a footballer needs match fitness, and shock horror a trainer will run one with another race in the future in mind.
            Here’s Herbie ran on the 14th of April finished 4th, 13 1/4 lengths behind the winner at 25/1, and then 2 days later won having been backed from 14/1 to 8/1 by 6 lengths, that run on the 14th was to ensure that it was fit for the race two days later, afraid you cannot presume that the horse on the day is at its peak fitness.
            Sue Gardner did the same with Here’s Herbie last year and we backed it winning at 9/2 and was well backed from 8/1 or 10/1.
            Hope this helps
            Colin

          3. You certainly are doing better than my own Colins bets, so thanks, he ran a very good race but a few of them behind on their first run will improve for that, and if the race was run today would some of them behind finish in front of him ?
            Opinions, opinions mine is that i will be surprised if he his better than a class 4 horse from what i saw.
            Nick only put that race up for remembered the 9 seasonal debutantes in a field of 15 runners a very high percentage and you can expect one or two to improve but it is the fitness you are guessing at from them.
            Anyway expect four winners today, truthfully one will do!!!
            Colin.

  6. 5.45 Ripon- Lydiate Lady – 9/1
    Horses for courses!.
    Won this race last year but now 3lb lower.
    Ground is different this year but I’m willing to risk the return to the course will overcome the going change.

    1. Hi Andy
      Be very careful with this for some years ago recorded winner of the race last time even recorded 2nd, 3rd and 4th not profitable at all the time i recorded it.
      Have you been recording this over a period of time ?
      Ground had a look 2015 class 6, 5 furlong gd/fm and class 5, 6 furlong gd and its last 3 wins on turf 2 on gd/soft and 1 on soft.
      2018 9 runs 1 win
      1 run on gd 4th from 14
      4 runs on gd/firm never placed
      Eric Alston master trainer over the years with sprinters so who knows.
      Colin.

      1. Hi Colin
        I’m being selective, only certain courses and only over certain distances too.
        I’ll see how it plays out over the season.

  7. Tips – 4.10 NKT, Mustashry, 2 points win at 5/1. His last run was at the Breeders Cup when beaten by Expert Eye. Previously had won 3 of 4 at class one. Stoute in form and so may be fit to go.
    4.35 RIP, Metatron, 1 point each way at 7/1. This one steps into handicaps after three runs. Dascombe and Kingscote at Ripon and make the journey with this one.
    5.30 CHN, Whoopsey, 1/2 point each way at 33/1. This one has had a run and ran on late. The horse will come on for the initial run and may be value at this price.

    System selections:

    Skelton class 1 or 2, 61+ days absence – This is a chase and not a hurdle, so not the original micro.
    2.40 CHN, Desirable Count, 1 point win at 13/2.

    Good luck.

  8. 17th April Newmarket 2.25 5f Novice
    Scores
    4.25 Electrical Storm, Full Verse, Well Of Wisdom
    3.75 City Walk, Lexington Quest, Percy Green, Strong Power
    2.5 Millionaire Waltz
    Not much to say about this very competitive novice other than that even those with apparently no chance can’t be too readily dismissed. Lexington quest for instance was easily left out at Windor as too small and I only rated him 58. I expect that he will look out of place here, however the question arises why has Hannon sent him to HQ, I can’t help thinking that he must have shown some early ready speed and the stable thinks he might nick something. The same sort of comments apply to Paul Cole’s runner Millionaire Waltz and after his Gleneagles colt’s win under this jock at Newbury last week cannot be totally discounted. Similarly Karl Burke’s Percy Green needs not to be ignored.
    Last year’s winner was Tom Dascombe’s Jackstar who ran in the Craven yesterday but there was no Godolphin runners.
    Strong Power’s 2nd in the Brocklesby is looking good after three of those who finished behind him have now won and he was on debut for George Scott who is much better 2to. He may offer the value as the four Godolphin runners are bound to attract a disproportionate amount of the market.
    Hopefully all will be revealed in the paddock and I will post photos here tomorrow.
    Hugh

    1. Strong Power ran 11.87 spf and has excellent pedigree. Lexington Quest ran 11.97 spf and at 25/1 may make a place. Well of Wisdom has an equally excellent pedigree so with these three a return would be nice.

    2. Hugh …Good shout on Well of Wisdom and City Walk ran into a place…with pedigrees ~I need to look more closely at identifying patterns in breeding…I have a rough list that needs refining but your figures vindicate those I have identified as being worthy of note so that is encouraging. Thanks for the post.

  9. today’s selections.
    Cheltenham.
    3-15. River Arrow 25-1 sky 5 places
    3-50. Socksy 8-1
    Ripon.
    4-00. Mutamaded 9-1
    5-45. Lydiate Lady 9-1
    all 1/2 pt ew

  10. Oscar Rose Cheltenham 15:15 1pt e/w 11/1
    Gilgamesh Newmarket 16:45 1pt e/w 10/1
    Abel Handy Newmarket 17:20 1.5 pt win 9/2
    East Street Revue Ripon 17:45 1pt e/w 11/1

  11. RECENT TIPS
    Daily
    N 5.20 – Abel Hnady on 2nd run @ 4
    R 4.00 – Kings Pavilion on 2nd run @ 20
    Caw 6.30 – Mountain Rescue on 6th run (inc 3 x aw) @ 40
    Festival/BRT
    C 4.55 – Happy Diva on 1st run @ 15/8
    N 4.45 – Gilgamesh on 6th run @ 10
    N 5.20 – Abel Handy on 3rd run @ 4
    …………Move In Time on 6th run @ 12
    GL

  12. Been too busy to post much anything this past month, but thought it best to let you know that I have decided it’s best if I don’t cherry pick these HCP bets any longer. I’m not sure exactly what it is, but have come to the sorry conclusion that the machine is a better picker when it comes to handicap races than myself. I’ve missed out on posting several winners totaling 50+ points so far just because they didn’t look as though they had realistic chances.

    So from now on I’m just going to post the list without modification irrespective of the consequences. I’m not really happy about it as it requires a leap of faith to place bets without understanding the logic behind the selection, but 5 years of past data says it will hold up. My warning to everyone is that although I will be cautiously backing them all from now on you need to decide for yourself as to if and/or how to play them. As you all know I’m a big fan of transparency especially where other people’s money is concerned. As for the bets….. expect a lot of them. It will be more along the lines of a ‘Georgesque’ style operation from now on 😉 ……. but they do win and at big odds.

    Last year was well over a 1000 points and just over 160% ROI. All I need to do now is make that leap of faith and put my trust in the machine. For the non HCP bets it’s business as usual, but it will be June when the new crop arrives before I can expect any real improvement in my action.

    Good luck to all that dare to follow in my footsteps. 😉

    1. Good luck to all who post I say.

      As with all tipsters and systems only time will tell. But if you do not have a go you will never know (someone wise must have said such, but I am a would be philosopher anyway).

      You dont get rich by keeping something in the cupboard locked up under the stairs, as a great man once said.

      1. The thing with me is that I’m ‘old skool’ and when I put money on a horse I like to know and understand that the reasoning behind the bet is sound. With these bets I’ve included most every device Proform has so as to maximise their potential. Trying to unravel them on the day to see as to why the program has selected them is nigh on impossible as I deliberately shyed away from the obvious stuff like using the speed ratings, trainer/course stats etc,etc. I did experiment with a copy including speed figures for example, and although it improved the strike rate by a couple of %, it seriously compromised the overall profit and ROI.

        I guess there’s just too many punters using the obvious go to solutions these days.

        1. Zag when the others are zigging! otherwise you are just doing what everyone else is. No real option but to zag these days.

    2. Best of luck mate. From a number perspective I presume we are looking at around 50-60 picks a month?

      1. At the moment I’d say it’s maybe a touch higher, but when we get into the summer and the evening meets get into full swing, I’m expecting it will probably double your estimate Nick. There are also a fair amount of races where there is more than one selection which is a pet hate of mine as I’ve said before on here.

        I’ve decided that it is what it is so I’ll be adjusting my stakes accordingly. I have gone to great lengths to keep the strike rate above the 15% mark so as to keep it practical.

    3. Hi Tim
      Wise decision if it is a system/method then please put all selections up and it is up to the individual to decide if they wish to do research before backing the horse.
      Human nature on a poor run look for more negatives and often the price will put you off, myself included last year missed a 50/1 winner and a 25/1 winner, and only the other day Herbie’s Herbie 14/1 to 8/1. Sue Gardner did the same last year ran Herbie 2 days before winning and to rub salt into the wound backed it last year.
      Pleased that you have not decided to stop putting them up.
      Colin

      1. Hear Hear Tim, it is not your responsibility if readers back too many and/or lose, we are all responsible for whether we bet members selections or not 🙂

      1. You will always be the king of the ‘more is more’ principle George, the rest of us can only dream of finding 30+ bets all on the same day. 😉

        1. 30 ??????????? ……. that’s a conservative estimate 😉 .. why pick one when you pick a cavalry !!! why ying when you can yang just as happily ?
          lol 🙂 .. u gotta larf !! 🙂 … haven’t u ??????
          gl/gb 🙂
          p.s. yep …… just counted in my tipping comp fleet …. i have so far struck 113 bets …… as i say i am always fighting against the tide on here !!
          on y va .. roll on 30th Apri l !! … we shall see then 😉 ……………. again !!
          gl/gb : )

          1. Seriously though George, I’ve always been of the opinion (same as most on here), that if a method throws up a high frequency of bets, the chances are you’re on a hiding to nothing in the long term.. Seeing you do well from it has opened my mind a little to it hence my change of thinking. I owe you one if this new project pays off.

            Still won’t reach the dizzy heights of 30+ bets a day though! 😉

          2. Yep yep each to their own Tim ……. as i have stated until i am blue..ish in da face .. that i do not put any of my 1000’s of mentions up as “tips” .. just thinking out loud really ….. my main betting strategy is “dutching” … i can’t remember the last time i bet just one horse in a race without a bit of “cover” 😉 … and yes half the time sods law dictates one of covering bets will win for almost zero profit …. it’s just how you are comfortable operating i guess ?
            My main problem at the moment is i am trying to bet during the day and also refine my hrb systems ( oh and do some boring office work as well 🙁 ) … great fun but mind blowing 🙂
            Today i have just finished my all weather and flat trainers profitable with all the individual headgear on for the first time ( the horses that is ! 🙂 ) ……. i just love it !! …don’t stop me … NOW 🙂 !!!!
            Yours
            and still reigning monthly tipster champion
            gb 🙂

  13. COLINS BETS
    No bet
    ELITE BETS
    3.50 Cheltenham Sheneededtherun BOG 7/2
    5.45 Ripon Canford Bay BOG 9/1
    NEW METHOD
    3.15 Cheltenham Inessa BOG 17/2
    4.00 Ripon Society Red BOG 9/2
    5.45 Ripon Bowson Fred BOG 11/2
    6.00 Chelmsford Chloellie BOG 11/2
    Colin

  14. Any chance of the beach Masters doing a through the card for me for Chelmsford this evening please
    Even a pick per race would be greatly appreciated if possible
    Thanks lads
    Aaron

    1. Hey GB, we have a request!

      At least I think we do. Aaron, George B and I will have at least one pick per race knowing us 🙂

      1. yes well i can see why i am sort after ….. £ 0.04 profit from my 10 tipping competition entrants yesterday …. lol 🙂

        extremely busy at the mo .. but will try and fire up the atari computer a bit later 🙂
        gl / gb 🙂

    2. HI Aaron L.
      these are all the untrimmed qualifiers for tonight .. the way my day is going i also will be totally relying mister dependable and my learned friend messrs. mark c. and his extraordinarily all weather winner finding brain 😉 :
      5.25 Chelmsford City 9 Frida Kahlo (IRE) Doyle, Hollie Watson, Archie 9/4
      5.25 Chelmsford City 5 Lexi The One (IRE) Mathers, Patrick Fahey, R A 7/1
      5.25 Chelmsford City 7 The Lazy Monkey (IRE) S.d.s. Johnston, M 5/2
      5.25 Chelmsford City 8 Zampa Road (IRE) ONeill, K T Evans, P D 12/1
      6.00 Chelmsford City 12 Gunmaker (IRE) Garritty, Jack Carr, Mrs R A 6/1
      6.00 Chelmsford City 6 Kodiline (IRE) Mangan, Gina Evans, P D 25/1
      6.00 Chelmsford City 13 Pearl Spectre (USA) Currie, N. McEntee, P S 8/1
      6.30 Chelmsford City 9 Atletico (IRE) Mangan, Gina Evans, P D 20/1
      6.30 Chelmsford City 10 Gentlemen Currie, Nicola McEntee, P S 25/1
      6.30 Chelmsford City 5 Glenn Coco McDonald, P J Williams, S C 5/1
      6.30 Chelmsford City 4 Maksab (IRE) McCullagh, S. Channon, M R 9/1
      6.30 Chelmsford City 7 Penwortham (IRE) Mathers, P. Fahey, R A 50/1
      6.30 Chelmsford City 3 Qaroun Moore, Ryan Stoute, Sir Michael 6/4
      7.00 Chelmsford City 6 Juanito Chico (IRE) McDonald, P Williams, S 25/1
      7.00 Chelmsford City 2 Juneau (IRE) Norton, Francis Johnston, M 40/1
      7.00 Chelmsford City 3 Shareef Star Moore, Ryan Stoute, Sir Michael 4/7
      7.30 Chelmsford City 10 Racquet Garritty, Jack Carr, Mrs R A 14/1
      8.00 Chelmsford City 2 Lord Lamington Norton, F Johnston, M 9/4
      8.00 Chelmsford City 1 Surrey Warrior Doyle, H. Watson, Archie 3/1
      8.30 Chelmsford City 3 Cafe Espresso Doyle, Hollie Watson, Archie 13/8

      they all have obvious positives …..some will be just place speculatives and probably mostly worse 🙂 … i will see if i can trim anything down by tonight ?? 🙂
      over to you then and no then pressure mark c 🙂

      gl/gb 🙂

      1. Your a star bar George I will wait on the trimmed down edition and Mark’s take on the selections from the “short list “

        1. Thanks for the Master List G, thanks for your patience Aaron, back here at the end of this convo between 3and 4pm.

          1. Chelmsford update for Aaron -poor sod.

            A tricky card tonight, but assume you are going so should be fun.

            5.25 – I don’t bet in this type of race so suggest you track G’s selections in the betting.

            6.00 – I always fear Chloellie in these contests. She is hindered by the draw tonight but Mr Probert rides this track well so could redress the balance. Of G’s list I prefer Pearl Spectre to Gunmaker but for EW fun or place on the Nanny I like The British Lion and Folie Douze (this ones’s T/J stats are 42% win/ 57% place at the track over five years).

            6.30 – G’s computer has burped out a huge short list. You could make a case for all of them. To add to the confusion Andrew Balding runs Whitefountainfairy and the stable could win with the cat at the moment. If pressed I would side with Glen Coco, and play for fun on Salt Whistle Bay for Rae Guest.

            7.00 – the Stoute fav looks strong. But no fun at the price. Suggest 2 against for interest: The Night King and Lexington Empire.

            7.30 – I quite like G’s pick Raquet but would save on Precious Plum. Royal Meznan is another from the trainer/jock combo in the 6.00 with good stats.

            8.00 – very trappy. Will probably swerve myself but if I was trackside would do Lord Lamington and Surrey Warrior.

            8.30 – two horse races not for me, even if I was there. I would probably invest in some chips rather than this race.

            G. You may have come back with a trimmed list as I was writing this, so apologies. Aaron, have fun tonight and I hope you get some winners even if we haven’t found them!

  15. today’s selections.
    Cheltenham.
    3-15. River Arrow 25-1 sky 5 places
    3-50. Socksy 8-1
    Ripon.
    4-00. Mutamaded 9-1
    5-45. Lydiate Lady 9-1
    all 1/2 pt ew

  16. Oscar Rose Cheltenham 15:15 1pt e/w 11/1
    Gilgamesh Newmarket 16:45 1pt e/w 10/1
    Abel Handy Newmarket 17:20 1.5 pt win 9/2
    East Street Revue Ripon 17:45 1pt e/w 11/1

  17. Nmkt 1.50. Quite like the look of Qutob at the prices…running 11.66 spf in a class 3 ay York over 6f kn soft, Greek Kodiac ran a similar time of 11.64 in a similar grade on soft and one at a huge price is Lost In Alaska which has an excellent pedigree with sire acting in the ground and over the distance, was around 70/1 when I last looked…would be nice e/w if hitting the frame

  18. Qutob, Charles Hills quote,
    has done very well over the winter and looks a picture.His work has been very good and his a much stronger horse physically and mentally this year stop.There looks to be a few smart horses in the race and he is one of them.
    Silver one for the tracker, will it be today in a 16 runner maiden 7/1 and not being backed as of yet that can change for the Hills stable enjoy a gamble, the race is an who’s who of Newmarket trainers.
    Colin

    1. Interesting comments from trainer, much appreciated liked the price as much as anything hope I get a gd run but if not will make a note of the horse for future reference.Thanks.

    2. Colin just wondering have you heard Joseph o Brian is after hiring Brendan Powell as part of his training team ?

      1. Hi Aaron
        Did see that about Brendan Powell, and yes after the next race did go to see if he would turn up for the girls and he did, made their day and mine.
        Thanks
        Colin

    3. Place money landed on Qutob …not sure about following the form though as race rub in a slow time of 12.36 spf for Qutob and the race time of 87.14 was 4.84 seconds slower than standart time for the distnce (82.3) and RP comments was the horse was one paced…but your post was definitely helpful …thanks

  19. It’s a quiet day for the HCP’s only 3 on the day. Today’s afternoon bets are on the tipping page.

  20. RECENT TIPS
    Daily
    N 5.20 – Abel Hnady on 2nd run @ 4
    R 4.00 – Kings Pavilion on 2nd run @ 20
    Caw 6.30 – Mountain Rescue on 6th run (inc 3 x aw) @ 40
    Festival/BRT
    C 4.55 – Happy Diva on 1st run @ 15/8
    N 4.45 – Gilgamesh on 6th run @ 10
    N 5.20 – Abel Handy on 3rd run @ 4
    …………Move In Time on 6th run @ 12
    GL

  21. Been too busy to post much anything this past month, but thought it best to let you know that I have decided it’s best if I don’t cherry pick these HCP bets any longer. I’m not sure exactly what it is, but have come to the sorry conclusion that the machine is a better picker when it comes to handicap races than myself. I’ve missed out on posting several winners totaling 50+ points so far just because they didn’t look as though they had realistic chances.

    So from now on I’m just going to post the list without modification irrespective of the consequences. I’m not really happy about it as it requires a leap of faith to place bets without understanding the logic behind the selection, but 5 years of past data says it will hold up. My warning to everyone is that although I will be cautiously backing them all from now on you need to decide for yourself as to if and/or how to play them. As you all know I’m a big fan of transparency especially where other people’s money is concerned. As for the bets….. expect a lot of them. It will be more along the lines of a ‘Georgesque’ style operation from now on 😉 ……. but they do win and at big odds.

    Last year was well over a 1000 points and just over 160% ROI. All I need to do now is make that leap of faith and put my trust in the machine. For the non HCP bets it’s business as usual, but it will be June when the new crop arrives before I can expect any real improvement in my action.

    Good luck to all that dare to follow in my footsteps. 😉

    1. Good luck to all who post I say.

      As with all tipsters and systems only time will tell. But if you do not have a go you will never know (someone wise must have said such, but I am a would be philosopher anyway).

      You dont get rich by keeping something in the cupboard locked up under the stairs, as a great man once said.

      1. The thing with me is that I’m ‘old skool’ and when I put money on a horse I like to know and understand that the reasoning behind the bet is sound. With these bets I’ve included most every device Proform has so as to maximise their potential. Trying to unravel them on the day to see as to why the program has selected them is nigh on impossible as I deliberately shyed away from the obvious stuff like using the speed ratings, trainer/course stats etc,etc. I did experiment with a copy including speed figures for example, and although it improved the strike rate by a couple of %, it seriously compromised the overall profit and ROI.

        I guess there’s just too many punters using the obvious go to solutions these days.

        1. Zag when the others are zigging! otherwise you are just doing what everyone else is. No real option but to zag these days.

    2. Best of luck mate. From a number perspective I presume we are looking at around 50-60 picks a month?

      1. At the moment I’d say it’s maybe a touch higher, but when we get into the summer and the evening meets get into full swing, I’m expecting it will probably double your estimate Nick. There are also a fair amount of races where there is more than one selection which is a pet hate of mine as I’ve said before on here.

        I’ve decided that it is what it is so I’ll be adjusting my stakes accordingly. I have gone to great lengths to keep the strike rate above the 15% mark so as to keep it practical.

    3. Hi Tim
      Wise decision if it is a system/method then please put all selections up and it is up to the individual to decide if they wish to do research before backing the horse.
      Human nature on a poor run look for more negatives and often the price will put you off, myself included last year missed a 50/1 winner and a 25/1 winner, and only the other day Herbie’s Herbie 14/1 to 8/1. Sue Gardner did the same last year ran Herbie 2 days before winning and to rub salt into the wound backed it last year.
      Pleased that you have not decided to stop putting them up.
      Colin

      1. Hear Hear Tim, it is not your responsibility if readers back too many and/or lose, we are all responsible for whether we bet members selections or not 🙂

      1. You will always be the king of the ‘more is more’ principle George, the rest of us can only dream of finding 30+ bets all on the same day. 😉

        1. 30 ??????????? ……. that’s a conservative estimate 😉 .. why pick one when you pick a cavalry !!! why ying when you can yang just as happily ?
          lol 🙂 .. u gotta larf !! 🙂 … haven’t u ??????
          gl/gb 🙂
          p.s. yep …… just counted in my tipping comp fleet …. i have so far struck 113 bets …… as i say i am always fighting against the tide on here !!
          on y va .. roll on 30th Apri l !! … we shall see then 😉 ……………. again !!
          gl/gb : )

          1. Seriously though George, I’ve always been of the opinion (same as most on here), that if a method throws up a high frequency of bets, the chances are you’re on a hiding to nothing in the long term.. Seeing you do well from it has opened my mind a little to it hence my change of thinking. I owe you one if this new project pays off.

            Still won’t reach the dizzy heights of 30+ bets a day though! 😉

          2. Yep yep each to their own Tim ……. as i have stated until i am blue..ish in da face .. that i do not put any of my 1000’s of mentions up as “tips” .. just thinking out loud really ….. my main betting strategy is “dutching” … i can’t remember the last time i bet just one horse in a race without a bit of “cover” 😉 … and yes half the time sods law dictates one of covering bets will win for almost zero profit …. it’s just how you are comfortable operating i guess ?
            My main problem at the moment is i am trying to bet during the day and also refine my hrb systems ( oh and do some boring office work as well 🙁 ) … great fun but mind blowing 🙂
            Today i have just finished my all weather and flat trainers profitable with all the individual headgear on for the first time ( the horses that is ! 🙂 ) ……. i just love it !! …don’t stop me … NOW 🙂 !!!!
            Yours
            and still reigning monthly tipster champion
            gb 🙂

  22. COLINS BETS
    No bet
    ELITE BETS
    3.50 Cheltenham Sheneededtherun BOG 7/2
    5.45 Ripon Canford Bay BOG 9/1
    NEW METHOD
    3.15 Cheltenham Inessa BOG 17/2
    4.00 Ripon Society Red BOG 9/2
    5.45 Ripon Bowson Fred BOG 11/2
    6.00 Chelmsford Chloellie BOG 11/2
    Colin

  23. Any chance of the beach Masters doing a through the card for me for Chelmsford this evening please
    Even a pick per race would be greatly appreciated if possible
    Thanks lads
    Aaron

    1. Hey GB, we have a request!

      At least I think we do. Aaron, George B and I will have at least one pick per race knowing us 🙂

      1. yes well i can see why i am sort after ….. £ 0.04 profit from my 10 tipping competition entrants yesterday …. lol 🙂

        extremely busy at the mo .. but will try and fire up the atari computer a bit later 🙂
        gl / gb 🙂

    2. HI Aaron L.
      these are all the untrimmed qualifiers for tonight .. the way my day is going i also will be totally relying mister dependable and my learned friend messrs. mark c. and his extraordinarily all weather winner finding brain 😉 :
      5.25 Chelmsford City 9 Frida Kahlo (IRE) Doyle, Hollie Watson, Archie 9/4
      5.25 Chelmsford City 5 Lexi The One (IRE) Mathers, Patrick Fahey, R A 7/1
      5.25 Chelmsford City 7 The Lazy Monkey (IRE) S.d.s. Johnston, M 5/2
      5.25 Chelmsford City 8 Zampa Road (IRE) ONeill, K T Evans, P D 12/1
      6.00 Chelmsford City 12 Gunmaker (IRE) Garritty, Jack Carr, Mrs R A 6/1
      6.00 Chelmsford City 6 Kodiline (IRE) Mangan, Gina Evans, P D 25/1
      6.00 Chelmsford City 13 Pearl Spectre (USA) Currie, N. McEntee, P S 8/1
      6.30 Chelmsford City 9 Atletico (IRE) Mangan, Gina Evans, P D 20/1
      6.30 Chelmsford City 10 Gentlemen Currie, Nicola McEntee, P S 25/1
      6.30 Chelmsford City 5 Glenn Coco McDonald, P J Williams, S C 5/1
      6.30 Chelmsford City 4 Maksab (IRE) McCullagh, S. Channon, M R 9/1
      6.30 Chelmsford City 7 Penwortham (IRE) Mathers, P. Fahey, R A 50/1
      6.30 Chelmsford City 3 Qaroun Moore, Ryan Stoute, Sir Michael 6/4
      7.00 Chelmsford City 6 Juanito Chico (IRE) McDonald, P Williams, S 25/1
      7.00 Chelmsford City 2 Juneau (IRE) Norton, Francis Johnston, M 40/1
      7.00 Chelmsford City 3 Shareef Star Moore, Ryan Stoute, Sir Michael 4/7
      7.30 Chelmsford City 10 Racquet Garritty, Jack Carr, Mrs R A 14/1
      8.00 Chelmsford City 2 Lord Lamington Norton, F Johnston, M 9/4
      8.00 Chelmsford City 1 Surrey Warrior Doyle, H. Watson, Archie 3/1
      8.30 Chelmsford City 3 Cafe Espresso Doyle, Hollie Watson, Archie 13/8

      they all have obvious positives …..some will be just place speculatives and probably mostly worse 🙂 … i will see if i can trim anything down by tonight ?? 🙂
      over to you then and no then pressure mark c 🙂

      gl/gb 🙂

      1. Your a star bar George I will wait on the trimmed down edition and Mark’s take on the selections from the “short list ”

        1. Thanks for the Master List G, thanks for your patience Aaron, back here at the end of this convo between 3and 4pm.

          1. Chelmsford update for Aaron -poor sod.

            A tricky card tonight, but assume you are going so should be fun.

            5.25 – I don’t bet in this type of race so suggest you track G’s selections in the betting.

            6.00 – I always fear Chloellie in these contests. She is hindered by the draw tonight but Mr Probert rides this track well so could redress the balance. Of G’s list I prefer Pearl Spectre to Gunmaker but for EW fun or place on the Nanny I like The British Lion and Folie Douze (this ones’s T/J stats are 42% win/ 57% place at the track over five years).

            6.30 – G’s computer has burped out a huge short list. You could make a case for all of them. To add to the confusion Andrew Balding runs Whitefountainfairy and the stable could win with the cat at the moment. If pressed I would side with Glen Coco, and play for fun on Salt Whistle Bay for Rae Guest.

            7.00 – the Stoute fav looks strong. But no fun at the price. Suggest 2 against for interest: The Night King and Lexington Empire.

            7.30 – I quite like G’s pick Raquet but would save on Precious Plum. Royal Meznan is another from the trainer/jock combo in the 6.00 with good stats.

            8.00 – very trappy. Will probably swerve myself but if I was trackside would do Lord Lamington and Surrey Warrior.

            8.30 – two horse races not for me, even if I was there. I would probably invest in some chips rather than this race.

            G. You may have come back with a trimmed list as I was writing this, so apologies. Aaron, have fun tonight and I hope you get some winners even if we haven’t found them!

          2. yep … i am just going to dutch my selections ( with mc’s ones 😉 ) to small stakes tonight 🙁 have fun aaron ) ……… note to self …….. i must go racing again soon !!

            gl/gb 🙂

          3. nicely analyzed mc .. i shall bet win or e/w accordingly …

            gl/gb
            keeping the faith !! 😉

          4. Well G, we know we can’t win every night 🙂 I do like Salt Whistle Bay and Precious Plum the best. AW finals day tomorrow excellent, crank up the compooter!

          5. No fireworks then G, but Aaron could have had 3 winners from our ramblings 🙂 🙂

          6. NOPE ANOTHER DAMP SQUIB NIGHT 🙁 MY FRIEND ……… NOT ENOUGH HOURS IN DA DAY POUR MOI ! 🙁
            good night ………..well night !!
            gb 🙂

  24. Nmkt 1.50. Quite like the look of Qutob at the prices…running 11.66 spf in a class 3 ay York over 6f kn soft, Greek Kodiac ran a similar time of 11.64 in a similar grade on soft and one at a huge price is Lost In Alaska which has an excellent pedigree with sire acting in the ground and over the distance, was around 70/1 when I last looked…would be nice e/w if hitting the frame

  25. Qutob, Charles Hills quote,
    has done very well over the winter and looks a picture.His work has been very good and his a much stronger horse physically and mentally this year stop.There looks to be a few smart horses in the race and he is one of them.
    Silver one for the tracker, will it be today in a 16 runner maiden 7/1 and not being backed as of yet that can change for the Hills stable enjoy a gamble, the race is an who’s who of Newmarket trainers.
    Colin

    1. Interesting comments from trainer, much appreciated liked the price as much as anything hope I get a gd run but if not will make a note of the horse for future reference.Thanks.

    2. Colin just wondering have you heard Joseph o Brian is after hiring Brendan Powell as part of his training team ?

      1. Hi Aaron
        Did see that about Brendan Powell, and yes after the next race did go to see if he would turn up for the girls and he did, made their day and mine.
        Thanks
        Colin

    3. Place money landed on Qutob …not sure about following the form though as race rub in a slow time of 12.36 spf for Qutob and the race time of 87.14 was 4.84 seconds slower than standart time for the distnce (82.3) and RP comments was the horse was one paced…but your post was definitely helpful …thanks

  26. It’s a quiet day for the HCP’s only 3 on the day. Today’s afternoon bets are on the tipping page.

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