Members Daily Post: 13/03/19 (complete)

Section 1 (complete), test zone

1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Big Race Tips/Best of Stats Tips)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

*

 

1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

Huntingdon 

3.45 – Zante (hncp,micro dist) 11/1 S2 

5.05 – Minmore Present (m runs) 8/1 

 

2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Big Race Tips/Best of Stats Tips)

None.

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

A Dunn (25/1< guide)

3.45 H – Chasing Headlights

Jumps Fact Sheet 2018/19 

LTO winning hurdlers

3.45 H – Shanroe Tic Tec

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

*

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

52 Responses

  1. Just loaded tomorrow’s dec’s and can see five HCP bets on the screen of which one is at Cheltenham. I will post them all here rather than the Cheltenham pages so you know where to find ’em if you are following. I’ll post about an hour before the first race. So far I’m 0 from 1 at Cheltenham having thrown a tenner at Melon purely cos I thought 28.0 was too big for the horse that came 2nd last year. Not very strategic I have to admit, but that is the way I always seem to end up playing at the festival.

    1. Do you never play EW or Win & Place Tim? I’d have thought with extra places it was worthwhile but I know you prefer BFEX.

  2. I do hope that the absence of a Free Post page this week will not discourage Coin and Martin C from posting their golf tips.

    1. Colin posted his golf in yesterday’s post I think 🙂 They know the score, as with last year, anything that would be on free post is welcome in the normal members’ post this week.

      1. Golf Tips – 10 places in the USA this week at The Players – I like Xander Schauffele at 28/1 on Bet365, 1 point each way. He will be suited by the course and has done me a favour already this yesr. I also like Gary Woodland at 66/1 in places. He will be suited by the wide fairways, so 1 point each way.

        Good luck.

        1. Martin
          Schauffele 365 28/1 1/5 6 not 10 places
          Woodland Coral 66/1 1/5 7 not 10 places
          PP and BFSB are the only 2 companies doing 10 places
          Schauffele with both 25/1
          Woodland with both 50/1
          Take it rushing to Chelenham
          Colin

        2. Martin, I agree with Colin, if you’re claiming 10 places you need to put up the odds for the bookies offering 10 places. 365 are often higher odds but they rarely offer more than 6 places on golf.

    2. Steve Palmer has gone for Tiger at 25s and the price seems crazy to me.

      I can’t imagine his neck issue is that bad if he’s back playing 4 weeks before the Masters. Otherwise he’s a 14/1 shot at best surely.

  3. A rare occurrence today,the name Cromwell being cheered by irish people.
    Away from the limelight of Cheltenham Gary Moore and Jamie tam up on Minmore present in 5.05 at Huntingdon.The 8/1 in a 5 horse race is more appealing than trying to unravel a 20 runner+ race at Cheltenham

  4. FRANCIS SYSTEM BETS
    RT +70.08

    1pt win – 5.05 H – Arthurs Reuben

    HANDICAP CHASE BETS
    RT +3.28

    5.05 H – Coopers Square

  5. Just loaded tomorrow’s dec’s and can see five HCP bets on the screen of which one is at Cheltenham. I will post them all here rather than the Cheltenham pages so you know where to find ’em if you are following. I’ll post about an hour before the first race. So far I’m 0 from 1 at Cheltenham having thrown a tenner at Melon purely cos I thought 28.0 was too big for the horse that came 2nd last year. Not very strategic I have to admit, but that is the way I always seem to end up playing at the festival.

    1. Do you never play EW or Win & Place Tim? I’d have thought with extra places it was worthwhile but I know you prefer BFEX.

      1. Ken…… I dabbled at first but the place angle on B/f is very poor. At the time I got 28.0 for Melon yesterday they were only offering 3.4 for the place.

  6. I do hope that the absence of a Free Post page this week will not discourage Coin and Martin C from posting their golf tips.

    1. Colin posted his golf in yesterday’s post I think 🙂 They know the score, as with last year, anything that would be on free post is welcome in the normal members’ post this week.

      1. Golf Tips – 10 places in the USA this week at The Players – I like Xander Schauffele at 28/1 on Bet365, 1 point each way. He will be suited by the course and has done me a favour already this yesr. I also like Gary Woodland at 66/1 in places. He will be suited by the wide fairways, so 1 point each way.

        Good luck.

        1. Martin
          Schauffele 365 28/1 1/5 6 not 10 places
          Woodland Coral 66/1 1/5 7 not 10 places
          PP and BFSB are the only 2 companies doing 10 places
          Schauffele with both 25/1
          Woodland with both 50/1
          Take it rushing to Chelenham
          Colin

        2. Martin, I agree with Colin, if you’re claiming 10 places you need to put up the odds for the bookies offering 10 places. 365 are often higher odds but they rarely offer more than 6 places on golf.

    2. Steve Palmer has gone for Tiger at 25s and the price seems crazy to me.

      I can’t imagine his neck issue is that bad if he’s back playing 4 weeks before the Masters. Otherwise he’s a 14/1 shot at best surely.

  7. A rare occurrence today,the name Cromwell being cheered by irish people.
    Away from the limelight of Cheltenham Gary Moore and Jamie tam up on Minmore present in 5.05 at Huntingdon.The 8/1 in a 5 horse race is more appealing than trying to unravel a 20 runner+ race at Cheltenham

  8. No free post so I’ve put it up on here.
    Most valuable race ( excluding Cheltenham )

    Lichfield
    3:55 Salateen

  9. today’s Would be tipping comp darts

    Lingfield
    4:35 Royal born

    Kempton
    6:15 Moonlight sea
    6:45 Percy Alexander

    Cheltenham
    4:10 Tiger roll

    Good luck everyone

  10. FRANCIS SYSTEM BETS
    RT +70.08

    1pt win – 5.05 H – Arthurs Reuben

    HANDICAP CHASE BETS
    RT +3.28

    5.05 H – Coopers Square

  11. No free post so I’ve put it up on here.
    Most valuable race ( excluding Cheltenham )

    Lichfield
    3:55 Salateen

  12. today’s Would be tipping comp darts

    Lingfield
    4:35 Royal born

    Kempton
    6:15 Moonlight sea
    6:45 Percy Alexander

    Cheltenham
    4:10 Tiger roll

    Good luck everyone

  13. RECENT TIPS
    Daily
    C 2.50 – Burbank on 4th run @ 50
    H 3.05 – Born To Please on 1st run @ 12
    H 3.45 – Chasing Headlights on 4th run @ 11/2
    AW
    L 5.15 – Barrsbrook on 7th run @ 13/2
    Festival AW
    L 3.55 – Gallipoli on 6th run @ 7/2
    3m+
    C 2.50 – Oscar Knight on 3rd run @ 66
    GL

  14. Got time on my hands this morning so I ran all the programs for unexposed novices in hcps since 1st January 2019 and output the following stats……..

    AW……… 5W 19L +64.67
    Hurdles.. 13W 64L +56.4

    Cheltenham performance (past 5 years), 2W 11L +48.72 (good to soft – heavy).

    Is going to be interesting as we have one today in the 4.50 and one tomorrow in the 2.10.

      1. At least i am in good company by the way do i know you, all the best Tim looking forward to your bets later.
        Colin

  15. Problems here for me…. left the desk about 10.40 for elevenses and came back to find that the PC was carrying out Windose updates so waited around for it to finish and now Proform keeps crashing half way through the loading system which takes about 10 -12 minutes when everything is working ok. Windows is a POS, but I have to use it as Proform won’t run on Linux ,so I have to run it in a virtual box on one of my Linux PC’s.

    Not the first time this has happened and TBH it’s driving me mad. I have downloaded a free copy of Windows 7 which has the updates and backdoor access from Microsoft disabled but not had the time to load it up cos I’ve been busy on the Proform this past few weeks. Anyway… I might be a little late posting today but hoping to have them up ASAP.

    1. Can’t recover Proform so have backed up the data to the primary disk and will wipe the windows disk before loading up the ‘access denied’ version this afternoon. So no non-hcp races today as I only have the HCP horses I noted before the crash. If it’s any consolation the only race I thought might throw up a bet was the 5.40.

      Hunt’ 3.05 Mabela……. HCP
      Kemp’ 4.40 Sepahi…….. HCP
      Chel’ 4.40 Our Power… HCP
      Ling’ 5.15 Tebay………. HCP

      All Hcp’s so no minimum odds. The drop off for value is around the 4.0 – 4.5 mark so is up to you as to how you back them.

  16. RECENT TIPS
    Daily
    C 2.50 – Burbank on 4th run @ 50
    H 3.05 – Born To Please on 1st run @ 12
    H 3.45 – Chasing Headlights on 4th run @ 11/2
    AW
    L 5.15 – Barrsbrook on 7th run @ 13/2
    Festival AW
    L 3.55 – Gallipoli on 6th run @ 7/2
    3m+
    C 2.50 – Oscar Knight on 3rd run @ 66
    GL

  17. Got time on my hands this morning so I ran all the programs for unexposed novices in hcps since 1st January 2019 and output the following stats……..

    AW……… 5W 19L +64.67
    Hurdles.. 13W 64L +56.4

    Cheltenham performance (past 5 years), 2W 11L +48.72 (good to soft – heavy).

    Is going to be interesting as we have one today in the 4.50 and one tomorrow in the 2.10.

      1. At least i am in good company by the way do i know you, all the best Tim looking forward to your bets later.
        Colin

  18. Thank You Tony McCoy for having the guts and courage to say your views about BHA live on TV a shame more cannot do the same, no doubt your presenting career will be over!!!
    Colin.

  19. Problems here for me…. left the desk about 10.40 for elevenses and came back to find that the PC was carrying out Windose updates so waited around for it to finish and now Proform keeps crashing half way through the loading system which takes about 10 -12 minutes when everything is working ok. Windows is a POS, but I have to use it as Proform won’t run on Linux ,so I have to run it in a virtual box on one of my Linux PC’s.

    Not the first time this has happened and TBH it’s driving me mad. I have downloaded a free copy of Windows 7 which has the updates and backdoor access from Microsoft disabled but not had the time to load it up cos I’ve been busy on the Proform this past few weeks. Anyway… I might be a little late posting today but hoping to have them up ASAP.

    1. Can’t recover Proform so have backed up the data to the primary disk and will wipe the windows disk before loading up the ‘access denied’ version this afternoon. So no non-hcp races today as I only have the HCP horses I noted before the crash. If it’s any consolation the only race I thought might throw up a bet was the 5.40.

      Hunt’ 3.05 Mabela……. HCP
      Kemp’ 4.40 Sepahi…….. HCP
      Chel’ 4.40 Our Power… HCP
      Ling’ 5.15 Tebay………. HCP

      All Hcp’s so no minimum odds. The drop off for value is around the 4.0 – 4.5 mark so is up to you as to how you back them.

  20. Thank You Tony McCoy for having the guts and courage to say your views about BHA live on TV a shame more cannot do the same, no doubt your presenting career will be over!!!
    Colin.

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