Festival Day 1: Main Post (complete)

Write ups – ADDED TIPS x2, (ALL TIPS) , micros, ‘through the card’

1.TIPS: Summary

2.Intro/re cap

3.Micro Systems/Angles: Qualifiers

4.TIPS: Race Previews (inc shortlists)

5.Any Other Thoughts

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1.TIPS: Summary (complete/ALL official tips… 08.50)

 

2.50 

Beware The Bear – 1 point win – 14/1 (gen) WON 14/1> 10/1 

Coo Star Sivola – 1 point win – 11/1 (WH/BetfS/BV/888) 10/1 (the rest) UP

Noble Endevour – 1 point win – 16/1 (gen) UP

(as of 08.50, 12/03)

 

4.50 

Huntsman’s Son – 1 point win – 25/1 (gen) (32.00 BetfExch)

Shady Operator – 1 point win – 20/1 (WH) 18/1 (BV/UniB/Coral) 26.00 (BetfExch)

Quamino – 1 point win – 22/1 (bet365), 20/1 (gen) , 30.00 (BetfExch)

(as of 08.50, 12/03)

 

17.30 

Impulsive Star – 1 point EW – 16/1 (1/4 bet365) (1/5 BV/Betf) 14/1 (the rest)

Mulcahy’s Hill – 1 point win – 33/1 (gen) (55.00 BetfExch)

(as of 21.19)

 

TIPS COMPLETE, as of 08.50, no more will be added. I’ll add some thoughts in section 5 below, ‘through the card’ etc. 

 

2.Intro/re cap

Important: To reiterate, this year i’m using a 30 point bank for Festival Week (inc Midland’s National on Sat). That’s just so you know a worst case scenario and plan accordingly, if following my tips. Multiply your 1 point stake by 30, to get your Festival Bank. You should be prepared to lose all of it, and the key is to have some fun this week and enjoy every race – in my mind that means losing an amount that doesn’t bother you, if it all goes wrong, which it wont! 🙂 If that’s £1 per point, so be it. 

Don’t forget there’s the tipping comp in the separate post… 1st prize £50, 2nd £20, 3rd £10. 

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3.Micro Systems/Angles: Qualifiers

2.50 

Actival (micro 3, 12/1< guide)

Beware The Bear (m3, 12/1< guide) W

Coo Star Sivola (m3, 12/1< guide)

Shantou Village (m3, 12/1< guide)

Singlefarmpayment (m3, 12/1< guide)

Crucial Role (m 6, 12/1<)

Magic Of Light (m9, 25/1<)

Noble Endeavour (m9, 25/1<)

Up For Review (m1 / m9)

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4.50 

Cubomania (m1, m9)

Solomn Grundy (m1 , m9)

Highway One O One (m3, 12/1< guide)

Movewiththetimes (m3, 12/1< guide)

Dell Oro (M4)

Tower Bridge (m4)

Lough Derg Spirit (m6, 12/1<)

Quamino (m1, m2, m6)

Riders Onthe Storm (m6, 12/1<)

Roaring Bull (m6, 12/1<)

The Russian Doyen (m6, m9)

 

 

4.TIPS: Race Previews (inc shortlists)

2.50 – The Ultima

Coo Star Sivola – On my 10/10 stats he’d be a stats buster but it was about time they went 🙂 If truth be told I don’t have a great record in this race but a 2nd/3rd last year was an improvement and hopefully I can build on that here. This one was too short for me last year the day before but he was very well backed. He idled late there and may have hit the front too soon – he was value for 5L+ more there for me and his mark here won’t be stopping him. I don’t think his yard have played silly buggers with him- they’d have liked a more recent run where he’d have gone well- so, there is a chance that he’s actually just out of form. I think he goes very close to winning this or is mid div/tailed off. There are valid excuses for his two poor runs this year – he probably needed the first on decent ground and LTO was also on ground too lively for him, and he wasn’t knocked about. The Sandown run, on soft, was decent enough – he was bang there at the pond fence and kept on. Thomas Patrick went off the boil after that but Elegant Escape didn’t. These are his conditions and this is his track. IF he’s in form, he’ll track the pace, pop away, and sweep into contention as they head for home. Connections are hoping that he’s coming back to himself and the yard are in decent form – 2/8,5p the last 14 days. I couldn’t leave him at 11s/12s.

Noble Endeavour – one from the trends ‘shortlist, it’s Gordon Elliot, it’s Davy Russel, it’s a Festival handicap, and he was 16s. Looking at the horse… well he appears to have been aimed at the Festival every season… in March 2015 he came 2nd in the Martin Pipe, in 2016 he’d have been in the top 4 in the NH chase but for falling 2 out. In 2017, off 77 days off, he came 3rd in this race, beaten 3 1/2 L. He then ran credibly in the Irish National, where they all bumped into Our Duke, the rest in enough of a heap. He then had 600 days off before returning at Aintree where he just pottered around. Now, this could be a prep run for The Grand National, and he’ll run into a place and set him up for that. However, given his form at the Festival as above, at 16/1, i had to conclude he’s been aimed at this race. Winning it won’t affect his weight in The GN and I hope he’s here to run his race. If it goes proper soft it’s a question in terms of stamina, but that’s the case for many in here for me. IF he runs his best/his race, he goes close and he’s 4lb lower than when last running in this.

Beware The Bear – a late morning addition and I always view things a bit differently on the morning – albeit who slept well last night?? Can’t say I did, it must be excitement, or the pressure 🙂 . On RPR figures he ran a career best LTO, a stonking 159 which is much better than anything he’s done before – that coincided with his second run after a wind op but more importantly 1st time blinkers. Apparently these have transformed him , including at home, where he’s been going very well. He came 4th in this race last year having lost his position, jumped a bit poorly, but then stayed on. It was a remarkable run really. He just ticks the boxes I like in any handicap chase – he’s in form, the rest pattern is fine for him, and if the blinkers work again he will race on the pace- LTO, while those in behind may not be up to much, he did jump them silly – the pace he went, and how he jumped, put everything under the pump. It isn’t impossible they try and make all again here, keeping him wide, maybe lobbing along with Vintage Clouds. He will stay up this hill and if he’s leading come the last, I’m not sure anything will get by him. The first 2/3 fences are key here, for my win bet – IF he runs and jumps as he did LTO, he will go close for me. If he doesn’t, he may place again at best. The trainer has won the race before (albeit he hasn’t won a handicap for a while now at the Festival) and the horse has run well in decent staying chases. He’s solid.

Of the rest… well UP FOR REVIEW.. hits all the stats/trends so clearly won’t be shocked if he wins. He’s the only one to have the perfect 13/13.  BUT, his price went (he was 20s on Sunday, damn!) and at 8s I couldn’t tip him given it’s his first run over fences here – and his two runs at the festival previously were not the best. His return LTO was decent and in a good race, and he should come on for it – but he was kept wide there, with no horses around him. I’ve watched a few videos and have a niggle over his jumping, esp LH when surrounded by horses, under the pump. I could be very wrong on that front, but his price just wasn’t big enough for me. I missed the 20s, of which he was worth a go for sure.

I can’t have Mr Whitaker at 8s given it’s his first run over the distance. In theory he should relish it, and if he does, clearly he’s going very close. But this will be a slog I think and he can beat me at 8s. I wanted 12s+ given it is a complete stamina unknown.  He won for us last year so clearly handles the track/the occasion.  Give Me A Copper was 13/2 when looking initially and that was short for one with so little experience, in a race where Nicholls’ doesn’t have the best record. He hasn’t run here before and this is a completely different test. I’d have wanted a double figure price.

I can’t have Minella Rocco with his profile on this ground- unless soft is what his older legs want now – but his best form is on a decent surface and as I write the rain has started falling. At his best he has some class and is well handicapped, but he hasn’t been at his best very often in recent times.

I couldn’t really have the rest. I can see a case for Vintage Clouds if he runs his race- if the wind op has worked and he improves/helps him travel, then he would be bang there. I don’t like backing chasers that PU LTO going into Festival handicaps and he is just a slow plodder. That may be enough, we will see. I’ve given him enough chances and won’t curse him of Nick M. I wasn’t near him as a win bet. Lake View Lad has a nice profile but has top weight and will need to be some horse off 155. I’m not sure his northern form is that great but he can’t have done any more and his yard are in form. I wouldn’t be shocked if he placed, and I wouldn’t fall off my seat if he was bang there over the last – I think his aim is The Grand National, given connections, so this may be a prep for it. He is the trainer’s best horse he’s ever had I think, and hopefully he has some nice races in him for the team – hopefully not today!

Crucial Role – I should mention him as he has a progressive profile – however he has bled twice on his last four starts and in truth that was enough to put me off. For his two wins he wasn’t under pressure and I just wonder how he, and his insides, will cope with this. If he doesn’t bleed then he could go close. 22s maybe fair to find out for change, but not for me. Big River is a big odds one on the trends ‘shortlist’ but he is usually held up and surely his form isn’t up to scratch for this. Something does niggle at me with him in a positive way but I didn’t think he’d be good enough. Calipto – Williams doesn’t have a great record in this race, the horse is usually held up, he’s hit fences on all his recent runs, and if he beats me so be it. I think the ‘capper has him, and I think he may take the odd fence home with him. General Principle may get outpaced over this trip and is a more exposed 10 year old and despite connections I was happy to leave. I couldn’t have the rest for one reason or another. If Flying Angel bounces back to form here and shows stamina that he’s never shown before, it will be a long week! For all that he’s looking very well handicapped now.

I could go on, but there are reasons why I was happy to leave everything else. If i’m wrong, then so be it. A win in this race could be seen as a bonus!!

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4.50

Shady Operator – he has Riders Onthe Storm and Roaring Bull (x2) beat here, based on novice hurdles form last April. He has a big field win to his name over hurdles, suggesting a strong pace/that sort of test, brings out the best in him. His chase form is looking decent enough also – that Navan run 3 starts back is good and he beat Ballyward two starts back who’s now 150 and fav in the NH chase below. Ballyward did thump him LTO but that was over 24f in soft, which I think stretched him. I think soft is fine, but not over that far. He has an engine and at 16s+ I couldn’t resist. There’s nothing in the jockey bookings here given Walsh has ridden this one plenty and Slevin has always been on Tower Bridge in recent months. He was on the trends ‘shortlist’ below and there was enough for a bet.

Quamino – he hits a couple of the micro angles and I just liked the fact he was hardy, experienced, fit and came here on the back of a good recent run. He’s proven over the distance and his novice form suggests soft+ is fine – now, it could be that was just deceptive and class got him through that ground, and his chase improvement has come from better ground- or he’s just been getting away with it. Soft is an unknown over fences and with unknowns you want a good price. Touch-wood he’s a solid jumper and the trainer doesn’t run many at the Festival, placing with Discorama for us last year at 40/1 (he’d have won had there been a stronger pace/he was moved up sooner). Bryan Cooper – he’s been good for me here, wining on Road To Respect for us at 20s in 2017. In fact – over 20-21f at Cheltenham, over fences, he’s 3/17, 8p, 2/10,3p in handicaps. He can floor the odd horse sadly but has struck up a good relationship with Paul Nolan , 7/35,16p in handicaps in the last year, 3/12,7p in handicap chases. His run LTO was his best to date on RPR so it looks like he’s progressive, like many I suppose. It could be he just isn’t good enough but it’s a compressed handicap and I thought he was worth a punt.

Huntsman Son – waking up this morning I looked back over the stats below – and given that, and the fact i’d even underlined him, i’d rather lose 1 point than watch him storm up the hill at 25s! He hits all the 10/10 and 9/10 stats, the only one to do so. He’s another one who arrives on the back of a career best, winning well 10 days ago, pushed out. Maybe it will come too soon but he’s won after 8 days before and at least we know he’s fit and in form. That run at Warwick behind Kalashnikov was decent and he lost a shoe at Uttoxeter – in any case I think the yard went off the boil before Xmas. He appears to have been transformed by a wind op and should come on for that last run. He’s jumped very well to date and his hurdles form was good, esp in soft/heavy over 17f both here and in the Imperial Cup last year, when running 4th, looking outpaced. 20f is his trip- whether he will get home if it goes proper soft i’m not sure, but you can’t be conclusive and at 25s, given all that, I just had to go with him!

Of the rest… maybe taking on the 3 at the top of the market is foolish – BUT… A Plus Tard is short at 6s given he’s never run here, nor over fences here. Clearly he may relish it and be fine – he’s jumped well to date, but is inexperienced and has had 58 days off. If he hacks up (possible), then credit to the horse, but at 6s I had to take him on. It would be a good story horse given RB rides. We backed Mr Whitaker in this last year at 8s, on the back of a course win only a few weeks before and in that context these three look short, given they don’t have that experience. Tower Bridge is short for one who’s yet to win a chase! I can’t back him at 8s on that basis for all that his form is ok. CP are not being applied for decoration, they clearly think he needs some help – it’s about price, and if he wins at 8s so be it, I can’t have him at those odds.

I like Riders Onthe Storm of the three – Hughes is a good booking given he’s 2/5,3p in this race, the best record of any jockey still riding, and what with Cooper committed to Nolan (I think), the trainer has clearly put some thought into this. He has ability and his form suggests 140 could be lenient – BUT, he has to prove he stays, and again has never raced here. Both those factors make 8s look only ok, rather than generous. I do like him though.

Clearly it’s likely i’ve got at least one of those three wrong, but i was happy to take them on. It was about time there was another big priced winner of this race 🙂

I was happy to leave the others for various reasons… Elliot has two, and one with Davy On, who may go well enough – he’s battle hardened but I wasn’t sure would be good enough, esp on this ground, and others may have more in hand. Not the worst horse for BFSP change though, given the stats/micros etc.

Davy is 7/21, 13p, +84 BFSP with all rides in handicaps at the last 5 Festivals, so there are worse ideas than backing him blind!

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5.30

Impulsive Star – i’m going to be bitterly disappointed if he doesn’t place here at worst. He was 4th in this last year, but is a better/stronger/more experienced chaser this time around, and they were probably too aggressive that day. He has one of the better jockeys on his back here – the best of the Brits – and I think they may be more patient. His run LTO was decent and it’s a race that’s working out well. I’d like to think i’m getting a run for my money and a small profit on the race at worst here – gulp. Poor sod. The trainer is in cracking form and this has been the plan since his last run.

Mulcahys Hill – clearly a stab which may amount to very little but he appears on the trends pointers (albeit not the strongest of trends races) and I tipped him in the Albert Bartlett last year, one of two horses who hit my 10/10 stats profile (i forget the name of the other 50s shot we backed in that, ahem! 🙂 ) – he pulled up in that, like many. However he was rated 147 over hurdles and ran well in a G1 (although not the strongest) at Newbury. According to his trainer his recent wind-op has transformed him at home. He returned after 63 days LTO, first run after that op, and no doubt needed it- he kept tabs on the JLT fancies there for a long way, over a trip too short, and plugged on after the second last. His trainer thinks he will stay and trainer/jockey won the Kim Muir for us last year – I think they may try similar tactics here and I wouldn’t be surprised if they try and make all- he’s been a very good jumper. Anyway, he looked ‘the’ lively outsider in this and could give me some fun, at least until they turn for home!

Of the rest… like the Close Brothers, am I being idiotic here for taking on the market leaders?? The front 3 in the market are all very inexperienced over fences, and we are guessing whether they will get close to staying. All three run as if they will see it out, but they are short prices in which to find out. There should be better 11/4 shots around the country this week than Ballyward in this. IF he stays he probably outclasses them. Discorama would have given him a race LTO but for falling at the last. That may have left a mark and again coming to a Festival chase off the back of a fall is never ideal! He’s a good pilot on though.

The Ballyward/Discorama reverse Forecast for fun may be no bad option.

Ok Corral – he’s short for me and I don’t like Henderson horses over extreme trips – he has a shocking record. This one has been keen twice and faces a completely different test here. I can leave him at 5s although if his master jockey settles him, he could just keep galloping.

I can live in hope that all three fall in a hole here- that isn’t impossible – and if they do, hopefully I’m on the right two!

Of the rest… I thought a few of these looked better on decent ground and I wasn’t sure many would get home in this/were anywhere near good enough.

Outside of the top 3, I think i’m on the right two biggies. Time will tell whether that proves correct.

Best of luck with your bets, and remember to enjoy yourself. Hopefully I can get us off to a good start, but i’ve a table of whisky bottles at the ready if not!

Josh

p.s these write ups tend to get shorter as the week goes on so thought i’d put the effort in today.

 

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Stats/trends Shortlist

2.50 

Focusing on just 2 of the 10/10 stats… 0-1 win in handicap chases, 0-2 runs in the class… 10/96, 28p in last decade…leaves…

Give Me A Copper  / General Principle / Crucial Role / Up For Review / Noble Endeavour / Big River 4th 28/1

IF they hold, the winner is in those 6! 🙂

In total there are 13, 10/10 stats, some are weaker than others.. the bigger the 0/X number the better, ie those outside of 0-1 handicap chase wins are 0/81,7p. Versus Not in top 6 LTO being 0/37,5p. The bigger the negative number the better really.

ONE horse hits all 10/10 stats, 13/13 across the board… UP FOR REVIEW

Crucial Role (12/13), Give Me  A Copper (11/13), Noble Endeavour (11/13), General Principle (10/13), Big River (9/13)

Crucial Role, Noble Endeavour and Up For Review also hit a few micro angle qualifiers above in section 3

So, that’s the stats foundation/starting point/guide

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4.50 – The Close Brothers

A bit of a naff stats/trends race in truth, given the small 0/X numbers, and I wouldn’t be using any stat in this to put you off a horse, if indeed you ever do use them for that purpose.

Looking at… yet to win above C2, 3 runs max at this class or higher, ran within the last 45 days… that leaves 10/85, 23p in the last decade… cutting the field in half…

Riders ofthe Storm / Cubomania / Highway One O One / Roaring Bull / Shady Operator / Solomn Grundy / Good Man Pat / Huntsman Son / Militarian / Dell Oro 

Applying the x3 9/10 stats… Huntsman’s Son ticks all of those boxes, with the rest all falling down on one or more.

A few of those also appear in the micro qualifiers above.

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5.30 NH Chase

Again this one isn’t the strongest on my stats/trends approach but… 0-3 runs in prev 90 days, had run at G1/G2 level in career, 2+ runs at this class or higher…

that leaves 7/31,9p in the last decade, inc the last 4 winners. All winners were 16/1< in that period.

Those pointers leave…

Ok Corral / Impulsive Star / Le Breuil / Chef Des Obeaux / Jerrys Back / Mulcalys Hill / Skip The Cuddles / Clondaw Cian 

Further pointers includes 1+ chase run at track being a positive, NOT running in a handicap chase LTO, NOT 1-2 chase runs only…

Le Breuil, Jerrys Back and Clondaw Cian hit all of those also. OK Corral falls down on two of them, the others just one.

If ever there was a race where the stats are very much a guide, it’s probably this one!

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5.Any Other Thoughts

Master Post : HERE>>>

(includes the stats pack etc, including the micros, quals posted in section 3 above)

 

Please NOTE... ALL comments in this post should refer to Cheltenham ONLY. 🙂 Any other comments should go in the normal daily members’ post.

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My ‘through the card’ (a brief look at the other races, for fun…)

1.30 –

Klassical Dream – Mullins/Ruby/Race 1… ?? Looks a stayer to me, which may be what you need up this hill if the rain arrives and experience will count for plenty.

Vision D’Honneur – the more testing this is the better, no forlorn hope here i don’t think if this is a slog.

In truth not a race to go mad on IMO, and those of you with a Skybet account, have their 1st race offer to throw a free bet at.

2.10 –

Hardline – looks solid here, if not maybe a bit too short now.

Kalashnikov – not sure i’ll be having any money on but given my association with the yard (legs/hooves in Blessed To Empress and Really Super) I thought I should mention him! Without doubt he is a LH horse and a stayer in the making – his best performance was in the Betfair last year where it was a bog, scrubbed along down the back, dourly staying on. It could be that all he’s ever wanted is proper soft ground, going this was round. I don’t think he will be good enough to win, and those change in conditions need to improve his jumping, which I haven’t liked at all. Last year’s Supreme hasn’t worked out that well really, but at least he handles the hill. He could win, but if he placed I think Amy and the team would be cracking open the champagne. Fingers crossed, one for the heart rather than head but you never know!

3.30 –

Buveur D’Air – 11/4, 3/1 is starting to look a bit big for the champion I thought… I like Apples Jade but her three runs here have been some of her worst, on the figures, compared to elsewhere. She was in heat last year, discovered after racing, and they’ve controlled it this year, and the lack of sunshine will have helped as that can kick start it. She is the one to beat on recent form but BD will relish these conditions and while the level of  his Champ hurdle wins are not vintage, a repeat may still be good enough. I’m not sure Laurina is in this class personally, albeit Willie says she may be one of the best he’s trained?? So who knows. You’d think one of the top three is winning this , Melon could grab a place maybe. He seems big however has been out of form, the CP may work wonders. Mullins doesn’t train them in headgear I don’t believe – he applies it for the first time at the track, and so they don’t know what impact it may have before the tapes go up.

4.10 –

Stormy Ireland / Rocksana

Maybe some small change EW interest bets here. The fav could be a machine but I couldn’t touch that price personally. Many people like a nibble in every race this week, but I can probably just sit this one out, maybe £2 on the machine BFSP for these two, to pay for some beer if one comes in! I thought Stormy Island may dictate here, or be up there, setting the fractions, and that could help come the line. Rocksana’s form behind Santino at Aintree is decent and she looks likely to appreciate these conditions. She should be spot on for this test. If taking the fav on, in likely soft ground, they would be my two.

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Those are just some brief thoughts –  I don’t play in Grade 1s all year really, so do take them with a pinch of salt! In general, focusing on the Top 3 in the BHA ratings is the place to focus in the Grade 1s here, if you want to give yourself a manageable shortlist off the bat, for interest wagers.

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That’s all for today, 10.52. Have a great Day 1, i’d best crack onto Day 2 – stats/trends/micros shortlists will be posted before The Supreme with any luck.

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Post Comments

Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

109 Responses

  1. I think you’re right about the going being soft or worse Josh, the Beeb’s forecast for Cheltenham is light rain from 11pm tonight turning heavy at 8am until 1pm tomorrow then showers during the afternoon.

  2. The rest will be up later but my two for the Ultima:
    Coo Star Sivola 1pt e/w 10/1 5 places
    Vintage Clouds 1pt e/w 25/1 5 places

  3. Lets hope Josh and the other guys offering their selections are even just half as good as last year and it will be a great festival for the members
    I appreciate how hard it is just being ahead by the end of the week so any success will be great but everyone remember not to blow your brains out by betting beyond your means … as good as the racing is this week their are other opportunities throughout the year …enjoy it for the racing spectacular it is!

  4. Just to reiterate what Josh has said,the festival is for enjoying the best of the best racing in the world.Its for sitting down by a warm fire,a glass of your favourite tipple(avoid the tullamore dew,Chub) in hand.Set a budget,if we have a winner,great,if not there is 51 other weeks left.There is racing at other meetings too and a 12/1 winner at southwell pays the same.
    Enjoy the carnival

  5. I think you’re right about the going being soft or worse Josh, the Beeb’s forecast for Cheltenham is light rain from 11pm tonight turning heavy at 8am until 1pm tomorrow then showers during the afternoon.

  6. Thought I`d weigh in also, but, think we all need to take a sharp inhale of breath, as, me Josh and Nick have picked COO STAR SIVOLA….you know what happens when all three of us pick one… Yes, they finish out the back of the tv… 🙂
    14:50 Cheltenham
    COO STAR SIVOLA 11/1 gen 2pt win
    Well, you know how i like my been here, got t-shirt horses ad this one is deffo that and ok it may not have had the best of form going into this race, but, festival form is very different form any other kind of form and it happens time and again, someone will invariably point you back to this winner ran 2nd or third, or won at the previous festival…The winners /2nds in this normally come back and have another crack and run well, so, no shame in me picking this one and hopefully we should have a bumper pay day…
    SINGLEFARMPAYMENT 16/1 1pt ew
    Another who i feel has had the t-shirt ripped off his back… in this race 2 years ago and then by Cogry on his last outing, it`s the safe each way bet and i just hope he comes back with the trophy this time, instead of the runner up medal…He has an annoying habit of getting himself beat, so, like i say have the each way insurance bet.It was close with Vintage clouds and this one, hoping the wind surgery has done it`s job with VC, but, plumped for this one instead, will that be my undoing??

    More to follow, once i get stuck into the final decs.

  7. The rest will be up later but my two for the Ultima:
    Coo Star Sivola 1pt e/w 10/1 5 places
    Vintage Clouds 1pt e/w 25/1 5 places

  8. Lets hope Josh and the other guys offering their selections are even just half as good as last year and it will be a great festival for the members
    I appreciate how hard it is just being ahead by the end of the week so any success will be great but everyone remember not to blow your brains out by betting beyond your means … as good as the racing is this week their are other opportunities throughout the year …enjoy it for the racing spectacular it is!

  9. Just to reiterate what Josh has said,the festival is for enjoying the best of the best racing in the world.Its for sitting down by a warm fire,a glass of your favourite tipple(avoid the tullamore dew,Chub) in hand.Set a budget,if we have a winner,great,if not there is 51 other weeks left.There is racing at other meetings too and a 12/1 winner at southwell pays the same.
    Enjoy the carnival

    1. There is a lot of value at the festival and so i do like to have a go. I appreciate that betting and racing should be fun for most out there.
      I do like to follow Josh at the festivals and will do so at £25 per point. I also like to have a go on my own selections and go in at £50 per point. I do lower my stakes for the festival due to the competitive nature of its races.
      It is mild in the south east and so no need to light the wood burner here. I will post up my best in the tipping competition each evening.
      Good luck everyone.

      1. All the best Martin, interested to see what you and the others pick, there is no better time than for one / all of us to hit form at this feast of top horses, trainers, jockeys, owners etc!!

  10. Thought I`d weigh in also, but, think we all need to take a sharp inhale of breath, as, me Josh and Nick have picked COO STAR SIVOLA….you know what happens when all three of us pick one… Yes, they finish out the back of the tv… 🙂
    14:50 Cheltenham
    COO STAR SIVOLA 11/1 gen 2pt win
    Well, you know how i like my been here, got t-shirt horses ad this one is deffo that and ok it may not have had the best of form going into this race, but, festival form is very different form any other kind of form and it happens time and again, someone will invariably point you back to this winner ran 2nd or third, or won at the previous festival…The winners /2nds in this normally come back and have another crack and run well, so, no shame in me picking this one and hopefully we should have a bumper pay day…
    SINGLEFARMPAYMENT 16/1 1pt ew
    Another who i feel has had the t-shirt ripped off his back… in this race 2 years ago and then by Cogry on his last outing, it`s the safe each way bet and i just hope he comes back with the trophy this time, instead of the runner up medal…He has an annoying habit of getting himself beat, so, like i say have the each way insurance bet.It was close with Vintage clouds and this one, hoping the wind surgery has done it`s job with VC, but, plumped for this one instead, will that be my undoing??

    More to follow, once i get stuck into the final decs.

  11. Decent winner Monday getting us back on track. 20p deduction to SP of 7/1 – shame because he hacked up!

    FRANCIS SYSTEM BETS
    RT +73.08

    2pt win 2.10 C – Kalashnikov 9/1
    1pt win 3.15 S – Jokers and Rogues

    HANDICAP CHASE BETS
    RT +4.28

    3.15 S – Roxyfet

  12. Next races,

    16:50 Cheltenham
    GOOD MAN PAT 14/1 gen 1pt win
    This fella shapes as though going left handed will play to his strengths, he has an able jockey on board and can really get into a rhythm if it suits him! his last run at Kempton saw him jumping fluently till the last when i think the others had taken the wind out of his sails, so, hopefully that will put him spot on here and 14/1 is value for him as he is supposedly a grade one horse!
    DELL ORRO 40/1 gen 1/2 pt ew
    Now again i may have gone stark raving mad with this one, but, at 40/1 i feel he is a little overpriced.
    He beat a decent field at Wincanton and they were really battling with him all the way to the last fence, Embole nearly knocked the stuffing out of him at the second last, but, he stayed on dourly and won with a bit in hand by all accounts. He may not get up the hill, but, so what at 40/1 if he is close though!!
    QUAMINO 22/1 gen 1pt win
    Another pick by Josh that I am endorsing, whatever is the world coming to i hear you ask, well, i watch the Irish racing with one eye open and this fella is probably a little bit better than some of the other Irish contingent here, he certainly doesn`t warren the price, (as most of you know, i have said for a long time that the british bookies don`t know how to price up the irish horses and therefore we can help our self to the value! 22/1 is too big for a horse that has come on leaps and bounds this year and has a very good jock on board who i feel because he knows this horse will get a good tune out of it!!

    1. No you definitely haven’t gone mad. I think Del Orro is definitely well treated although my worry is he wants better ground and right handed although have chucked a couple of free bets on it. I am hoping they take him to Punchestown given Gary doesn’t mind going over to Ireland and spring ground will suit more but am fully prepared to be proven wrong.

    2. sorry, hit wrong button, what i was going to say was, the british bookies don`t know how to price up the irish horses and therefore we can help our self to the value! 22/1 is too big for a horse that has come on leaps and bounds this year and has a very good jock on board who i feel because he knows this horse will get a good tune out of it!!

  13. I would do the write ups but I want to get started on day 2 given I was hoping to be done earlier.

    Grand Sancy Cheltenham 13:30 1pt e/w 14/1
    Coo Star Sivola Cheltenham 14:50 1pt e/w 11/1 (previously advised)
    Vintage Clouds Cheltenham 14:50 1pt e/w 25/1 (previously advised)
    Limini Cheltenham 16:10 1pt e/w 9/1
    Highway One O One Cheltenham 16:50 1pt e/w 12/1

  14. Sorry last lot, going to do write ups in morning…
    17:30 Cheltenham
    LE BREUIL 14/1 gen 1pt win
    JERRYSBACK 12/1 gen 1pt win
    WHISPERINTHEBREEZE 20/1 gen 1pt win

    Back in the morning with the write ups and through the card…ooooh excited now and tired… 🙂

    1. So after much deliberation, the write ups.
      I am drained already and do not know how Josh manages all the write ups etc…I can only apologise if over the next Four days my write ups tail off.. but, will try my best to tell you why i have picked them!
      17:30 Cheltenham
      LE BREUIL 14/1 gen 1pt win
      Now this one has had a funny season, he has been there or thereabouts for most of his races and was 2nd to Santini at Newbury which is decent form, he allegedly has been “crying out for this trip”, we shall see, believe he may need to be steadied and then get into a rhythm as all these 4m chases need to be ridden with a degree of caution, he will be up with the pace, which even over an extreme distance is better than being out the middle or back, where invariably something always has a hard luck story, or, gets brought down! hopefully he will be alongside another one of my favourite horses and these two can battle it out up the hill!
      JERRYSBACK 12/1 1pt win
      Just in my value range in such a big field, he is a hold up horse, which worries me, because if my other selection has paced it correct, it could be between my other two, but, he does finish well and is classy enough to win this, we shall see…debatable at the price and having woken up this morning and thought “why did i pick that?”, have left him in on that principle… 🙂
      WHISPERINTHEBREEZE 20/1 1pt win
      Now, i managed to get the 25/1 on this yesterday and i know Josh will say lto he won at a shorter distance than today and yes that is correct, but, like i have said Mrs Harrington knows how to place them and can only think the owners want a crack at one of the nationals and this is one of the few 3mile 7f chases in the calendar. He owes me nothing and should relish the conditions, bowling along hopefully alongside LE BREUIL and these two hopefully will be fighting out the finish with my other selection..

      through the card, only for a bit of fun and not selections as such, will only be throwing shrapnel on them!
      13:30
      selection FAKIR D`OUDAIRIES 13/2 gen 1pt win
      danger GRAND SANCY 16/1 gen 1/2 pt ew
      14:10
      selection HARDLINE 5/1 gen 1pt win
      danger ORNUA 16/1 gen 1/2 pt ew
      15:30
      selection BUVEUR DAIR 11/4 1pt win
      danger LAURINA 7/2 1pt win
      16:10
      selection LIMINI 10/1 1pt win
      danger LADY BUTTONS 14/1 1/2 pt ew

      As always hope all horses come back safe and sound and good luck with whatever your selections are today and see you all later in the day / tomorrow for a dissection of what was good / went wrong… Are you all ready????

  15. As I mentioned before I don’t get carried away with Cheltenham, it’s far too competitive. Rather than play Sherlock Holmes trying to unearth imaginary plots, I try to bet horses with solid form. While it might make them look more exposed, I feel they offer a better chance of cashing at the enhanced placings. I wont be recording these in any way as they will be more luck than judgement win or lose.

    2.50 Mr Whitaker and Coo Star Sivola. I will have a small saver on Crucial Role but I think the going has gone against him.
    4.50 Highway one o one and a small bet on Quamino who again I feel the ground is against.
    I’ve been told Elliots best chances of a win tomorrow are Hardline and Apples Jade, so presumably no deep hidden plots on the others. I was tipped Knockanuss a couple of months ago and have an AP bet @ 33s and Johanos in the last is expected to be much improved at a huge price.

        1. yea his bigger problem is that he’s bled twice on last four starts, stopping in the process. His two wins have been when coasting home/no pressure. I like his profile, but was concerned how his insides may cope when under the pump here, and with the hustle and bustle of these conditions. We will see, he is progressive and on certain form looks well handicapped. Can be a tad keen also though.

  16. Next races,

    16:50 Cheltenham
    GOOD MAN PAT 14/1 gen 1pt win
    This fella shapes as though going left handed will play to his strengths, he has an able jockey on board and can really get into a rhythm if it suits him! his last run at Kempton saw him jumping fluently till the last when i think the others had taken the wind out of his sails, so, hopefully that will put him spot on here and 14/1 is value for him as he is supposedly a grade one horse!
    DELL ORRO 40/1 gen 1/2 pt ew
    Now again i may have gone stark raving mad with this one, but, at 40/1 i feel he is a little overpriced.
    He beat a decent field at Wincanton and they were really battling with him all the way to the last fence, Embole nearly knocked the stuffing out of him at the second last, but, he stayed on dourly and won with a bit in hand by all accounts. He may not get up the hill, but, so what at 40/1 if he is close though!!
    QUAMINO 22/1 gen 1pt win
    Another pick by Josh that I am endorsing, whatever is the world coming to i hear you ask, well, i watch the Irish racing with one eye open and this fella is probably a little bit better than some of the other Irish contingent here, he certainly doesn`t warren the price, (as most of you know, i have said for a long time that the british bookies don`t know how to price up the irish horses and therefore we can help our self to the value! 22/1 is too big for a horse that has come on leaps and bounds this year and has a very good jock on board who i feel because he knows this horse will get a good tune out of it!!

    1. sorry, hit wrong button, what i was going to say was, the british bookies don`t know how to price up the irish horses and therefore we can help our self to the value! 22/1 is too big for a horse that has come on leaps and bounds this year and has a very good jock on board who i feel because he knows this horse will get a good tune out of it!!

    2. No you definitely haven’t gone mad. I think Del Orro is definitely well treated although my worry is he wants better ground and right handed although have chucked a couple of free bets on it. I am hoping they take him to Punchestown given Gary doesn’t mind going over to Ireland and spring ground will suit more but am fully prepared to be proven wrong.

  17. I would do the write ups but I want to get started on day 2 given I was hoping to be done earlier.

    Grand Sancy Cheltenham 13:30 1pt e/w 14/1
    Coo Star Sivola Cheltenham 14:50 1pt e/w 11/1 (previously advised)
    Vintage Clouds Cheltenham 14:50 1pt e/w 25/1 (previously advised)
    Limini Cheltenham 16:10 1pt e/w 9/1
    Highway One O One Cheltenham 16:50 1pt e/w 12/1

  18. Sorry last lot, going to do write ups in morning…
    17:30 Cheltenham
    LE BREUIL 14/1 gen 1pt win
    JERRYSBACK 12/1 gen 1pt win
    WHISPERINTHEBREEZE 20/1 gen 1pt win

    Back in the morning with the write ups and through the card…ooooh excited now and tired… 🙂

    1. So after much deliberation, the write ups.
      I am drained already and do not know how Josh manages all the write ups etc…I can only apologise if over the next Four days my write ups tail off.. but, will try my best to tell you why i have picked them!
      17:30 Cheltenham
      LE BREUIL 14/1 gen 1pt win
      Now this one has had a funny season, he has been there or thereabouts for most of his races and was 2nd to Santini at Newbury which is decent form, he allegedly has been “crying out for this trip”, we shall see, believe he may need to be steadied and then get into a rhythm as all these 4m chases need to be ridden with a degree of caution, he will be up with the pace, which even over an extreme distance is better than being out the middle or back, where invariably something always has a hard luck story, or, gets brought down! hopefully he will be alongside another one of my favourite horses and these two can battle it out up the hill!
      JERRYSBACK 12/1 1pt win
      Just in my value range in such a big field, he is a hold up horse, which worries me, because if my other selection has paced it correct, it could be between my other two, but, he does finish well and is classy enough to win this, we shall see…debatable at the price and having woken up this morning and thought “why did i pick that?”, have left him in on that principle… 🙂
      WHISPERINTHEBREEZE 20/1 1pt win
      Now, i managed to get the 25/1 on this yesterday and i know Josh will say lto he won at a shorter distance than today and yes that is correct, but, like i have said Mrs Harrington knows how to place them and can only think the owners want a crack at one of the nationals and this is one of the few 3mile 7f chases in the calendar. He owes me nothing and should relish the conditions, bowling along hopefully alongside LE BREUIL and these two hopefully will be fighting out the finish with my other selection..

      through the card, only for a bit of fun and not selections as such, will only be throwing shrapnel on them!
      13:30
      selection FAKIR D`OUDAIRIES 13/2 gen 1pt win
      danger GRAND SANCY 16/1 gen 1/2 pt ew
      14:10
      selection HARDLINE 5/1 gen 1pt win
      danger ORNUA 16/1 gen 1/2 pt ew
      15:30
      selection BUVEUR DAIR 11/4 1pt win
      danger LAURINA 7/2 1pt win
      16:10
      selection LIMINI 10/1 1pt win
      danger LADY BUTTONS 14/1 1/2 pt ew

      As always hope all horses come back safe and sound and good luck with whatever your selections are today and see you all later in the day / tomorrow for a dissection of what was good / went wrong… Are you all ready????

        1. Thanks Coiln, glad to be of service!! I was sweating also, but, it also pulled me out of a hole as my shrapnel was taking a beating!!!

  19. As I mentioned before I don’t get carried away with Cheltenham, it’s far too competitive. Rather than play Sherlock Holmes trying to unearth imaginary plots, I try to bet horses with solid form. While it might make them look more exposed, I feel they offer a better chance of cashing at the enhanced placings. I wont be recording these in any way as they will be more luck than judgement win or lose.

    2.50 Mr Whitaker and Coo Star Sivola. I will have a small saver on Crucial Role but I think the going has gone against him.
    4.50 Highway one o one and a small bet on Quamino who again I feel the ground is against.
    I’ve been told Elliots best chances of a win tomorrow are Hardline and Apples Jade, so presumably no deep hidden plots on the others. I was tipped Knockanuss a couple of months ago and have an AP bet @ 33s and Johanos in the last is expected to be much improved at a huge price.

        1. yea his bigger problem is that he’s bled twice on last four starts, stopping in the process. His two wins have been when coasting home/no pressure. I like his profile, but was concerned how his insides may cope when under the pump here, and with the hustle and bustle of these conditions. We will see, he is progressive and on certain form looks well handicapped. Can be a tad keen also though.

          1. He is also the only novice in the race , novices have a cracking record in this race from memory

          2. Oh he could win, and at 20s+, maybe one for some muggy change – if he doesn’t bleed, then he should run a cracker in theory. He’s done little wrong but this is a different beast from anything encountered so far. That win at Uttoxeter in the beginners 16 runner race is working out well though. My job isn’t to put anyone off a horse but that’s why i’m not with him!

  20. I am not doubting the words of someone esteemed as Paul Nicholls but I cannot see how Grand Sancy is his best bet based upon the form it has showed so far.

    1. Can only think it is because he is so up and down with it`s form, which makes me think do they believe he is better than they think?? Hate these “could be anything horses!”, my opinion, just look atthe form and then make your own decisions, quite agree though Martin, but, as the old saying goes, “Trainers/jockeys are the worst tipsters in the world!”.

    2. Besides you liked Elixir who was only 0.5L behind him form wise so surely if you liked one you should like the other otherwise its not very consistent 😉

      Also goes back to what Phil Smith keeps saying about the top 2-3 rated horses winning most of the non-handicaps. Personally he might find one or two that beat him but he has a higher percentage to place than just about anything else. It is that open though.

      1. I found this race too hard to work out. I have had a small go on Felix Desjy and Mister Fisher but could not get involved in it for much. I am likely being inconsistent, that is not unusual.

    3. The four races that it has won all been on good going, no doubting Nichols knows the time of day it may well be best of his 3 runners today but will it win or will it finish down the field and still be the best of the three.
      That negative of only won on good certainly puts me off with Cheltenham being a stiff course.
      Hendersons in the last will relish the going more rain
      Chef Des Obeaux still 16/1 being backed will relish the uphill finish if good enough
      Colin

  21. Kalashnikov form reads very good on left handed tracks , in fact all wins with the exception of a 2nd at Cheltenham last year ! His RH form is awful

  22. Get ready for a ground change by mid afternoon Started pouring down an hour ago and isn’t due to stop before 5:30 – Reckon it’ll be soft all round by Champion Hurdle time

    1. I think general expectation by most here was that it would be soft at best come race time so good to know the forecast is right for once.

  23. Not tips but looking at the races on Day 1 thought I would share my selections for interest.
    13.30. Al Dancer/Fakir D’oudairies
    2.10. Glen Forsa/Duc Des Genievres/ Paloma Blue
    2.50. Beware The Bear/ Coo Star Sivola
    15.30. Apples Jade/Buveur D’air/ Laurina/ Espor D’Allen
    16.10. Bernie Des Dieux/ Lady Buttons (place at bigger prices)/ Cap Soleil (place)/ Limini(needs soft)
    16.50. Huntsman Son/Highway one o one/Tower Bridge/Goodman Pat (negative not run at Chelt)
    17.30. Fav(whatever it is – between Ok corral and Ballyward)/Jerrys Back for a place.

    Selections based on Josh stats combined with other input. ATR etc so hope to get some in the frame for a profit on the day so good luck with whatever you back and thanks to all the usual “suspects” who post and for providing winners and insight…much appreciated.

      1. Hi Martin, Had a £20 free bet on the race let my wife pick and do the bet as I was at work, £10 Each Way Silver Streak 100/1.
        We backed Beware the Bear also on Bet365 so had a free bet on the same race and Backed Melon each way as well, so a good day for us.
        I glad you made a few quid too.

  24. Yes, many thanks to all.who have posted or tipped, I really appreciate all the effort you guys have put in. Have a great day 🙂 My small contribution, Brain Power EW in the Champion, will love the ground, a quirky character who Nick can cajole into a place….

  25. I’m mystified.
    I checked the going with turftrax yesterday, mostly G/S with soft in places.
    It rains today and it’s soft all over.
    Won’t rain that falls on soft turn it heavy and rain on GS turn it soft?.
    I’d suspect more likely to turn heavy later this afternoon.
    From memory, rain on the day of the races at Cheltenham makes racing attritional & very testing.
    Take care out there 🙂

  26. I am not doubting the words of someone esteemed as Paul Nicholls but I cannot see how Grand Sancy is his best bet based upon the form it has showed so far.

    1. Can only think it is because he is so up and down with it`s form, which makes me think do they believe he is better than they think?? Hate these “could be anything horses!”, my opinion, just look atthe form and then make your own decisions, quite agree though Martin, but, as the old saying goes, “Trainers/jockeys are the worst tipsters in the world!”.

    2. Besides you liked Elixir who was only 0.5L behind him form wise so surely if you liked one you should like the other otherwise its not very consistent 😉

      Also goes back to what Phil Smith keeps saying about the top 2-3 rated horses winning most of the non-handicaps. Personally he might find one or two that beat him but he has a higher percentage to place than just about anything else. It is that open though.

      1. I found this race too hard to work out. I have had a small go on Felix Desjy and Mister Fisher but could not get involved in it for much. I am likely being inconsistent, that is not unusual.

    3. The four races that it has won all been on good going, no doubting Nichols knows the time of day it may well be best of his 3 runners today but will it win or will it finish down the field and still be the best of the three.
      That negative of only won on good certainly puts me off with Cheltenham being a stiff course.
      Hendersons in the last will relish the going more rain
      Chef Des Obeaux still 16/1 being backed will relish the uphill finish if good enough
      Colin

  27. Kalashnikov form reads very good on left handed tracks , in fact all wins with the exception of a 2nd at Cheltenham last year ! His RH form is awful

  28. Get ready for a ground change by mid afternoon Started pouring down an hour ago and isn’t due to stop before 5:30 – Reckon it’ll be soft all round by Champion Hurdle time

    1. I think general expectation by most here was that it would be soft at best come race time so good to know the forecast is right for once.

    1. Well done, the tips are off the mark!!!!!

      My 25/1 Vintage Clouds for the Grand National is looking good as well.

  29. Ooh he is such a legend of a horse. Really deserves to win a big one more than just about any horse in training particularly over a marathon. Hope he can bring a tear to my eye and have his big day at Aintree next month.

    Well done Josh

    1. cheers mate – he ran a lot better than I thought he would – that wind op has helped for sure, he wasn’t stopping there, but just plods on same pace, with the earlier part of race maybe taking him out of comfort zone for too long. Still, will take my EW profit from you.
      Massive runs from Lake View Lad (National as well??…Hemmings a couple of sloggers there for sure) and Russel’s in 4th – his best chase run of his life, he’s got a staying chase in him, esp if they could ride him further forward.

  30. Good to get on the board… that Arkle winner has franked the form of the top 2 in the Close Brother’s. No wonder the money is now pouring on them! Hopefully they don’t take to the chase track as well as Mullins’ winner did – but that win makes A Plus Tard and Tower Bridge look thrown in now. Hopefully I’m wrong!

    1. Well done Josh, picked the wrong one of VC and Singlefarm, ah well, maybe my bubble has burst….time to follow you fellas!

  31. Not tips but looking at the races on Day 1 thought I would share my selections for interest.
    13.30. Al Dancer/Fakir D’oudairies
    2.10. Glen Forsa/Duc Des Genievres/ Paloma Blue
    2.50. Beware The Bear/ Coo Star Sivola
    15.30. Apples Jade/Buveur D’air/ Laurina/ Espor D’Allen
    16.10. Bernie Des Dieux/ Lady Buttons (place at bigger prices)/ Cap Soleil (place)/ Limini(needs soft)
    16.50. Huntsman Son/Highway one o one/Tower Bridge/Goodman Pat (negative not run at Chelt)
    17.30. Fav(whatever it is – between Ok corral and Ballyward)/Jerrys Back for a place.

    Selections based on Josh stats combined with other input. ATR etc so hope to get some in the frame for a profit on the day so good luck with whatever you back and thanks to all the usual “suspects” who post and for providing winners and insight…much appreciated.

  32. Yes, many thanks to all.who have posted or tipped, I really appreciate all the effort you guys have put in. Have a great day 🙂 My small contribution, Brain Power EW in the Champion, will love the ground, a quirky character who Nick can cajole into a place….

    1. Hi Richard, I left a note in bright red, just under the section 1 heading explaining that all tips are not complete until you read ‘complete’ next to the heading, with no more tips after 10.30. I added Huntsmans son also. Sorry you missed him, best checking at 10.30 or after if you can, or until you read complete in section 1, in red, as above there now. He was added at 08.50.

  33. I’m mystified.
    I checked the going with turftrax yesterday, mostly G/S with soft in places.
    It rains today and it’s soft all over.
    Won’t rain that falls on soft turn it heavy and rain on GS turn it soft?.
    I’d suspect more likely to turn heavy later this afternoon.
    From memory, rain on the day of the races at Cheltenham makes racing attritional & very testing.
    Take care out there 🙂

  34. Was interesting the race commentator mentioning Codd had called Ben Pauling for the ride on Le Breuile,he probably had few bob on himself before he imparted that info

    1. Well done, the tips are off the mark!!!!!

      My 25/1 Vintage Clouds for the Grand National is looking good as well.

  35. Ooh he is such a legend of a horse. Really deserves to win a big one more than just about any horse in training particularly over a marathon. Hope he can bring a tear to my eye and have his big day at Aintree next month.

    Well done Josh

    1. cheers mate – he ran a lot better than I thought he would – that wind op has helped for sure, he wasn’t stopping there, but just plods on same pace, with the earlier part of race maybe taking him out of comfort zone for too long. Still, will take my EW profit from you.
      Massive runs from Lake View Lad (National as well??…Hemmings a couple of sloggers there for sure) and Russel’s in 4th – his best chase run of his life, he’s got a staying chase in him, esp if they could ride him further forward.

  36. Good to get on the board… that Arkle winner has franked the form of the top 2 in the Close Brother’s. No wonder the money is now pouring on them! Hopefully they don’t take to the chase track as well as Mullins’ winner did – but that win makes A Plus Tard and Tower Bridge look thrown in now. Hopefully I’m wrong!

    1. Well done Josh, picked the wrong one of VC and Singlefarm, ah well, maybe my bubble has burst….time to follow you fellas!

    1. Hi Richard, I left a note in bright red, just under the section 1 heading explaining that all tips are not complete until you read ‘complete’ next to the heading, with no more tips after 10.30. I added Huntsmans son also. Sorry you missed him, best checking at 10.30 or after if you can, or until you read complete in section 1, in red, as above there now. He was added at 08.50.

  37. Was interesting the race commentator mentioning Codd had called Ben Pauling for the ride on Le Breuile,he probably had few bob on himself before he imparted that info

  38. Decent winner Monday getting us back on track. 20p deduction to SP of 7/1 – shame because he hacked up!

    FRANCIS SYSTEM BETS
    RT +73.08

    2pt win 2.10 C – Kalashnikov 9/1
    1pt win 3.15 S – Jokers and Rogues

    HANDICAP CHASE BETS
    RT +4.28

    3.15 S – Roxyfet

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