Members Daily Post: 03/03/19 (complete)

PRIZE WINNERS ! (x5!) Tip x1, section 1(complete), test zone

1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Big Race Tips/Best of Stats Tips)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

Huntingdon

3.35 –

Thounder   (HcH, micro’s dist and age) H3 5/2

Jacobite Rising   (m class) 33/1

Mach One   (m class) G3  15/2 S1 (ONLY IF 11.00+ BFSP) 

4.40 –

Chain Smoker   (HcH, m age) 5/1

Generous Helpings   (HcH, m runs) 9/1

 

Sedgefield

2.50 –

Moving In Style   (all Hc’s)  w2 H3 G3 5/2

Carrigdoun   (m TJC) 18/1 S2A 

3.20 – Dalaman   (all Hc’s) H3 6/1 

4.25 –

Valley of Milan   (m runs)  ES+

Very Extravagant   (all Hc’s) H1 I1 G3 13/8 S4

 

Bonus Irish

Leopardstown

3.10 – Tara Dylan   (HcH) 16/1 S2A 

 

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THE KEY

Please Read: All information regarding the members club, the content, advised strategies, welcome info for new members, results, links to research articles,  tipping competition rules, contact info and much more can be found HERE>>>

 

 

2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Big Race Tips/Best of Stats Tips)

Daily (2017:+110,2018: -22.2, 2019: -9.9 )Best of Stats (29/153,68p, -1.2) Big Race Tips (2018:+143; 2019 1/14,4p, -7)

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Daily Tip

4.05 Hunt – The Happy Chappy – 1 point win – 12/1 (gen)

as of 20.54

I thought this one was worth a go at 12s in this race. It is a proper poke and he could be struggling early on – much may depend on how he takes to the 1st time blinkers – had he not had those on I wouldn’t have considered him but those combined with this trip, at this level, make him of interest. As does the fact Sean Bowen jumps on and he’s 3/9,5p, +23 when riding for the yard. The trainer is also 4/10,5p in handicap chases over 3m3f+, so knows what it takes to train a staying chaser. This one is 2/8 in handicap chases and ran well in his early chase career, often staying on over 26f in a way that suggests he’s worth a go over marathon trips. They pitched him into the London National in Dec 2017 (off 122, his peak rating, 109 today) where he ran ok, having watched it back. He was outclassed but he wasn’t going backwards come the line and ran his race I think. The ground may have been softer than ideal there also. He does like a sound surface, which he gets here. They are due some rain during racing but hopefully not too much, but then he has run well on Good to Soft, but the better the ground, the better form him, and it may also inconvenience a few of the others. He is an ok C3 handicapper at his best and I don’t think he will fail for stamina here, but has it to prove. I’ve no idea what’s happened on recent runs but hopefully the blinkers, Sean B and the race conditions spark him back to life. They may not, hence why I wanted a price.

I was happy to leave the rest at the prices. Henderson’s is short for one so inexperienced and where you’re guessing as to stamina really. He runs as if he may relish it but I thought worth taking on. The trainer isn’t known for his 3m6f+ sloggers. Bishops Road can beat me at 11/4 given his age and the hard races he’s had. He may want it softer also but I wouldn’t be surprised if he went close at this level. He may try and make all and could take some stopping if he runs his race. This is much easier than a few recent races and of those at the top he probably is the most interesting. But I wouldn’t want to wade in at those odds. Little Bruce doesn’t look overpriced and he’s another that’s had a few hard races recently and needs more. At least he’s in form, and he does stay. I tipped him 5 runs ago when he was smashed in, only to fall at the first, having looked a very sound jumper before then! (hmmm… a theme of the weekend!) He’s looking hard to win with now but that consistency may be enough. The trainer is 0/29,4p in the last 14 days. I can leave him at 10/3, but i’d prefer him over Henderson’s. Holbrook Park could just be a C4 handicapper and he PU 16 days ago seemingly without an excuse. Clearly there wasn’t a problem but maybe the ground was too soft for him. But i’m anti PU LTO going into races like this, and if he wins so be it. He needs to do better than his three runs this season so far but maybe this first go beyond 24f will unlock more. Nakadam I can leave and Amiral Collonges returns after a break and I think he wants it softer. He’d be interesting if a deluge as this may have been a plan. He stays well.

So, I thought it was open enough and I could pick holes in all of them. The selection is doing a few things different and has only had 8 handicap chase runs. IF they find the key again/he returns to form, he has more wins in him. I just hope he’s clearly travelling well after 2/3 fences, holding a position. If he is, he will have a say at the death and this race could fall apart. I’ll chance him at 12s.

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The less said about Saturday the better 🙂 Shanroe halved in price but then ran like a 20s+ shot, Happy Diva decided to make her first jumping error this season when I’d backed her – i’ve watched enough chases to know that given how she was travelling she would have gone close there, and would have taken it up down the straight. But, you have to jump! I’m not sure what happened really but she will be winning a handicap chase or two from that mark. She got up which is the main thing but she’d have gone close. (so i’ll keep telling myself :))  Champagne would have won but for a bad error up the straight, agonising come the line. He’d have also won if NF had ridden him on the outside so that he could have ran up the rail as they turned for home. He must have lost 2l+ drifting off a straight line after the last. But, that’s the game, and always more painful when you’re in a rut.

San Benedeto was annoying but the truth is that even if I picked two in the race, it’s likely i’d have gone for Dolos. So that raises more questions. I suppose given Nicholls’ record in the race and his form, just backing his outsider made sense. He was well handicapped and had some very good form to his name inc a G1 at Aintree – in April 2018 he got within 3 1/4 lengths of Altior, albeit he still had the handbrake on. His more recent form in November was more promising and he had been shaping as if this was more his trip now. I couldn’t excuse his last two runs, despite all the positives- and maybe that’s the sort you’re more likely to take a chance on when you’re flying and everything is going in. On reflection, his last run may well have been his first after his Jan flu jab, which would explain that lacklustre effort and he just seemed taken off his feet at Huntingdon. Nick Schofield clearly gets a tune out of him also. I’ll start finding this sort again one day, maybe in just over a week’s time 🙂

 

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

Paddy Brennan (14/1< guide)

5.00 S – Thegallantway 9/4

Irish Raiders (16/1< guide)

4.25 S – Bearly Legal 7/1

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Jumps Fact Sheet 2018/19

Johnson/Daly 

2.00 H – Jimmy The Digger

Trainers to follow

3.35 H – Tierra Verde

Jockeys/Chasers

4.15 L – Teachers Pet (16/1<)  6/1

4.05 H – The Happy Chappy (9/1< best)  10/1

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Adam Norman’s Little Black Book 

2.30 H – Regarding Ruth (short term) 9/2

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

NEW! The Cheltenham stats/trends pack:  READ HERE>>>

(i think it’s complete, all 30 pages and 5000+ ‘words’ of it. The 13 target races – I haven’t bothered with stats/trends for The Gold Cup – plus 10 micro angles, all saved. I plan to post all ‘qualifiers’ as starting points, and the trends/stats shortlist for each race, and as with previous years that will be the foundation on which I try to build) 

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Feb Tipping Comp Winner + Discretionary Prize

Drum roll! … can the following EMAIL me please, racingtoprofit@gmail.com  … either with your paypal email if you have paypal (will be easiest for me) or your bank details 🙂

 

Tipping Comp Winner! (£50 cash)

GEORGE B! 

7/66, +105.78 BFSP. 159.09% ROI

 

Discretionary Prizes (£20 cash)

Now I won’t be this generous every month, and i’ve still to search down the side of my couch etc, but…

  1. Warren Bottomley: You can see his results below but anyone who pulls in +77 to BFSP at a 109% ROI can probably feel aggrieved at not winning! I’m not setting a precedent here though, I must have woken up in a good mood 🙂
  2. Francis: recognition for a quite brilliant run with his Francis System bets, and as a thanks for posting them every day. +65, and that’s to widely available prices at 10am. 
  3. Stewart : more of a historical recognition for this jumps season, which has been remarkable given the target races. And his Feb was pretty good, and he didn’t start March in too shabby fashion either. His results to end of Feb below also. 
  4. CHUBNUT : again that’s more a historical recognition for his thought provoking comments which in truth make me smile, sometimes nod my head, sometimes shake my head and make me spit out my coffee, but always make me think. Polite, and at times mildly abrasive comments fuelled by a nice red, are fine 🙂

So, all 5 of you, please email me as above, and i’ll sort payment early next week. I think I can count that as a valid business expense! 🙂

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Feb Results below, from those who posted them I think… if i’ve missed you, do shout!

Tipster Comp/members’ tips

Feb 2019

Winner: George B: 7/66, +105.78 BFSP. 159.09% ROI

2nd: Warren Bottomley: 17/71. +77.4 BFSP. 109.01% ROI

3rd: Gerry (Gearoid180468) : 4/24, +22.68 BFSP. 95% ROI (+15 BOG)

Others

Stewart: 6/36, +30.1 BFSP. 83.6% ROI (+46 BOG)

  • Total NH season 2018/19 End FEB : 152 bets / 26 wins / +101.5 advised/BOG

Martin Colwell: 5/50, +34 BFSP. 68% ROI

Jim Barker: 5/24, +10.36 BFSP: 43.2% ROI (+15.25 BOG)

Freezing1: 15/67, +13.45 BFSP. 20.07% ROI

Chrisiwyg: 2/21, +4.77 BFSP. 22.7% ROI

Kevo19: 23/111, +8.96 BFSP. 8.07% ROI

Tim Hanson: 2/14, +13.3 BFSP. 95% ROI

Solent (Solentmagpie): 14/64, 30p, +13.15 BFSP. 19.95% ROI (+23.45 BOG)

Mark B (Scoop6) : 2/21, -11.68 BFSP. -51% ROI

Hugh (Alpha2): 1/7, +2.7 BFSP.

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Totals:

Well the top 3 abive: 28/161, +205.86 BFSP 

The rest: 65/415, +119 BFSP

Grand Total: 93/576, 16% SR: +324.97. Quite the haul. Well done all.

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Post Comments

Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

93 Responses

  1. A winner and a loser yesterday. Thankfully it was the 2 pointer that won at 3/1 – general 10am price.

    FRANCIS SYSTEM BETS
    RT +65.23

    1pt win – 3.35 H – Thounder
    1pt win – 4.25 S – Aquarian

    HCAP CHASE BETS

    RT +3.44

    A winner and loser for these too. Movie Legend dug in well to score and Looking Well was closing approaching the final fence but fell (horse and rider fine). Would have been close, impossible to know.

    No bets today.

  2. Josh, I feel your pain as San Benedeto was the one Nicholls runner I did not back. It’s so annoying especially as Stewart tipped it 🙂

  3. PACE, PACE, PACE
    ( sponsored by the red wine society)

    You google ” how long time from X to Y” for a certain journey. 2 hours 10 minutes shoots across the screen but you’re not the dopey git who falls for that and you make adjustments for toilet stops, food and you add half an hour for good measure ( very shrewd as nobody thinks of that) Just before you jump in the car you hear on the news of a pile up which makes your journey estimation a complete nonsense. Or sudden road works appear, the car breaks down, the alarm fails to go off. All of which makes the google search ( the best sensible option ) absolutely useless and only an idiot would still hold their result as the best way forward.

    In betting 99% of punters start out their winner finding expedition with the same satnav, the form book and never consider the most important part of the journey, pace. In a year on here I dont think I’ve seen one person mention pace in their comments or write ups. No pace means no form book, no form book means lottery, lottery means guessing, bookies percentage means guessing has no chance and nether do you. So all betting propositions should start with the question ” what is the pace of the race”

    As I’ve mentioned before, trying to work out a race with no pace is almost impossible regardless of any deep analytic reasoning, just a look at jockeys in the first furlong rubber nec at each other tells the story. As always, the problem is Psychological as in after spending up to hours on a race the thought that all can be scuppered by something so simple that has been overlooked, gets firmly planted on the ignore step. Clearly to progress in the pursuit of beating betfair prices not alone bookmaker margins, people need to be disciplined in their culling of races which are disadvantageous.

    Actually it’s very easy. Make the pace of a race your first port of call. Get a feel good, smugness of ignoring a potential death trap, no pace race right at the start. That way you don’t get emotionally hooked into certain horses, stats or theories that make the waters even more murkier. As a personal aside, I don’t even look at the results of these races as I’ve already made a judgement and the outcome means nothing.

    The ongoing theme of anything I post is how it’s tantamount that your mind is free of conflict and by putting strategies like this in place you eventually get an aura where you are in charge of your thinking, not emotions. Sure there will be instances where you could have bet a winner, got a bigger price, bet it each way but rather than rueing these for days you can dismiss them as occasional demons. ( smiley)

    1. always feeling your joy & pain chubnut 🙂 and excellent thought processes on your hosses yesterday 🙂 (just showing off my smiley’s).
      keep up with these letters from the trenches !! 🙂 😉 🙂
      by the way pace today I finks will be from LITTLE BRUCE in da 4.05 HUNT.
      I’d almost go as far to say it may stay in front to the end as well 😉 ( the only fing stopping me is the trainer ‘s and jockey’s woeful form .. bit like meself 😉 )

      have a good day all 🙂
      gl/gb 🙂

  4. Better put these down before I forget or The Hipster rears his ugly leg ( smiley)
    Bets 3 Winners 2 Placed 2 (inc win) Unplaced 1
    SP +22.6 BFSP +30.68 Advert prices +46.76
    I haven’t posted previous bets but I’m sure they show a very good profit. maybe Josh could check seeing as he has little else to do ( double smiley) in fact George Bs idea of an amalgamation of tips with smileys surely would benefit this forum so something else to save you twiddling ( laugh)

  5. Systems selection = Emma Lavelle handicapper 5/1+.

    3.35 Hun, Tierra Verde, 7/1 now, 1 point win.

  6. RT -15
    335 H Thounder 5/2
    405 H Bishops Road 11/4
    440 H Stonemadforspeed 11/2
    310 L Tara Dylan 16/1
    415 L Monatomic 3/1 & Dakota Moirette 3/1
    320 S Transpennine Star 7/2

  7. Josh – really interested in your analysis of the 4.05 at Huntingdon, as I have a small share of Henderson’s favourite. I completely agree that 2/1 about a novice unproven over the trip is a silly price. Hopefully he will drift tomorrow as I think that he could be value at 3/1 or 7/2. I think that he could be well handicapped and as you say it looks like he should stay (he certainly doesn’t have a turn of foot!), so hopefully he can be Nicky’s first winner of any kind of “national”.

  8. A winner and a loser yesterday. Thankfully it was the 2 pointer that won at 3/1 – general 10am price.

    FRANCIS SYSTEM BETS
    RT +65.23

    1pt win – 3.35 H – Thounder
    1pt win – 4.25 S – Aquarian

    HCAP CHASE BETS

    RT +3.44

    A winner and loser for these too. Movie Legend dug in well to score and Looking Well was closing approaching the final fence but fell (horse and rider fine). Would have been close, impossible to know.

    No bets today.

  9. Josh, I feel your pain as San Benedeto was the one Nicholls runner I did not back. It’s so annoying especially as Stewart tipped it 🙂

    1. Ha. Well I had something on thanks to him but I’m more annoyed at not knowing re my pick. Hate when they UR or don’t finish etc but that’s the game. I wasn’t close to winner which is always even more frustrating and that’s been happening too often for my liking for an age. It will turn.

  10. PACE, PACE, PACE
    ( sponsored by the red wine society)

    You google “ how long time from X to Y” for a certain journey. 2 hours 10 minutes shoots across the screen but you’re not the dopey git who falls for that and you make adjustments for toilet stops, food and you add half an hour for good measure ( very shrewd as nobody thinks of that) Just before you jump in the car you hear on the news of a pile up which makes your journey estimation a complete nonsense. Or sudden road works appear, the car breaks down, the alarm fails to go off. All of which makes the google search ( the best sensible option ) absolutely useless and only an idiot would still hold their result as the best way forward.

    In betting 99% of punters start out their winner finding expedition with the same satnav, the form book and never consider the most important part of the journey, pace. In a year on here I dont think I’ve seen one person mention pace in their comments or write ups. No pace means no form book, no form book means lottery, lottery means guessing, bookies percentage means guessing has no chance and nether do you. So all betting propositions should start with the question “ what is the pace of the race”

    As I’ve mentioned before, trying to work out a race with no pace is almost impossible regardless of any deep analytic reasoning, just a look at jockeys in the first furlong rubber nec at each other tells the story. As always, the problem is Psychological as in after spending up to hours on a race the thought that all can be scuppered by something so simple that has been overlooked, gets firmly planted on the ignore step. Clearly to progress in the pursuit of beating betfair prices not alone bookmaker margins, people need to be disciplined in their culling of races which are disadvantageous.

    Actually it’s very easy. Make the pace of a race your first port of call. Get a feel good, smugness of ignoring a potential death trap, no pace race right at the start. That way you don’t get emotionally hooked into certain horses, stats or theories that make the waters even more murkier. As a personal aside, I don’t even look at the results of these races as I’ve already made a judgement and the outcome means nothing.

    The ongoing theme of anything I post is how it’s tantamount that your mind is free of conflict and by putting strategies like this in place you eventually get an aura where you are in charge of your thinking, not emotions. Sure there will be instances where you could have bet a winner, got a bigger price, bet it each way but rather than rueing these for days you can dismiss them as occasional demons. ( smiley)

    1. The first line of my post yesterday “Unusually this selection does not start from a Pace angle.”
      Hugh

    2. always feeling your joy & pain chubnut 🙂 and excellent thought processes on your hosses yesterday 🙂 (just showing off my smiley’s).
      keep up with these letters from the trenches !! 🙂 😉 🙂
      by the way pace today I finks will be from LITTLE BRUCE in da 4.05 HUNT.
      I’d almost go as far to say it may stay in front to the end as well 😉 ( the only fing stopping me is the trainer ‘s and jockey’s woeful form .. bit like meself 😉 )

      have a good day all 🙂
      gl/gb 🙂

  11. Better put these down before I forget or The Hipster rears his ugly leg ( smiley)
    Bets 3 Winners 2 Placed 2 (inc win) Unplaced 1
    SP +22.6 BFSP +30.68 Advert prices +46.76
    I haven’t posted previous bets but I’m sure they show a very good profit. maybe Josh could check seeing as he has little else to do ( double smiley) in fact George Bs idea of an amalgamation of tips with smileys surely would benefit this forum so something else to save you twiddling ( laugh)

    1. Not sure i have seen anyone else offer thanks for your 3 today and i am pleased to say thank you and that i benefited, albeit at modest stakes. Also found your ‘Pace’ post interesting and that it barely gets mentioned. I noticed that this is an area that Matt at GeeGeez seems very hot on and he has said that we in the UK/Ireland are way behind others (US i believe he said) and as i understand it he has taken a fair chunk of time in analysing it. I don’t have the time to do it justice to GeeGeez but feel sure when if and when i do i will be looking more closely at that aspect.

      1. John,
        I intend to hopefully post all older h’caps pace warnings from Monday. Personally I feel only races up to 7 Furlongs are significant as races further in distance can have issues with slowing or increasing pace within the race.

        1. Thanks, that sounds interesting. If you decided to carry on with yours, then if yesterday’s are anything to go by, then the presently ‘holidaying’ Nick may have a battle on his hands for ‘top spot’ when he returns – not that i’m saying Josh or others are out of it though 🙂

  12. Systems selection = Emma Lavelle handicapper 5/1+.

    3.35 Hun, Tierra Verde, 7/1 now, 1 point win.

  13. RT -15
    335 H Thounder 5/2
    405 H Bishops Road 11/4
    440 H Stonemadforspeed 11/2
    310 L Tara Dylan 16/1
    415 L Monatomic 3/1 & Dakota Moirette 3/1
    320 S Transpennine Star 7/2

  14. Josh – really interested in your analysis of the 4.05 at Huntingdon, as I have a small share of Henderson’s favourite. I completely agree that 2/1 about a novice unproven over the trip is a silly price. Hopefully he will drift tomorrow as I think that he could be value at 3/1 or 7/2. I think that he could be well handicapped and as you say it looks like he should stay (he certainly doesn’t have a turn of foot!), so hopefully he can be Nicky’s first winner of any kind of “national”.

    1. Best of luck Steve- yep I mean he does run like a plodder! But yea Henderson isn’t great in marathon chases for whatever reason – could just be the type of horse he tends to source , rather than his ability to train them for such tests. We will see – mine is a proper poke that may not pay off but I we will see. He could just be badly out of form and not even blinkers/Sean will help him.

      1. Cheers Josh – looks like the Racing To Profit hordes are lumping on your selection, whilst my boy is a massive drifter. At least it’s now a more realistic price.

        1. Ha. It won’t be our money and I’m not sure how many still back my tips bar me! 🙂 Hopefully it’s some connections money/signals and that he’s been working the house down in blinkers and they know they have him back to best. Or he’s been tipped somewhere and it’s a false price and he’ll drift back out. He could be scrubbed along after 3 fences but 12s did look big. I got 16s but didn’t last long.
          Yea yours a better price now and they may be due to support for others rather than negatives for him
          Josh

  15. no selections today but one from “my stable” and one iv’e been keeping an eye on.
    Huntingdon 2-30 Regarding Ruth 9-2 small win
    Sedgefield 3.20 Dark and Dangerous 14-1 small ew

  16. Tipping comp round up / prize winners (i’m feeling generous for some reason 🙂 ) all detailed above in Section 4. Scroll up!
    Josh

  17. RECENT TIPS
    festival/BRT
    L 3.45 – Mastermind on 8th run @ 9
    3m+
    H 4.05 – Amiral Collognes on 2nd run @ 14
    S 2.50 – Total Assets on 1st run @ 17/2
    GL

  18. Hi all, my three for today.

    HUNTINGDON 14:30 REGARDING RUTH @ 4.2
    16:05 LITTLE BRUCE @ 4.33
    16:40 SWEET ‘N’ CHIC @ 15.0
    0/3 0p -3pts

    G.L.
    Solent

  19. Well my lords ladies n gents …. it gives’ me great pleasure 😉 and a warm feeling of contentment 🙂 , yet at the same time great indigestion that i can somehow be top of the pile amongst all you learned bettors . I can assure you this won’t be happening again , this is the first thing i have ever one since i was a younger child I won 1st prize at our local Bejam freezer food store in the “draw a frozen turkey” competition 🙂
    I am no form student and not one to be trusted but i love the sport , banter , joys , pains, blood rushes , highs & lows , my new found love for compiling creating “systems” and just the all round enjoyment of this wonderous sport we all love albeit to our detriment sometimes 🙂
    I love being on here and thanks for putting up with me !
    And it goes without saying that i and most others appreciate all the knowledge that is shared in these pages …… keep up the good work !!
    Have a great Sunday and here is to a profitable Chelters !!!
    P.s. Just one last BIG thanks to our very own Josh .. who has really helped me and many others i expect steering us onto the right track and mindset to really take on these bookies at their own game !! …. THANK YOU !! 🙂
    For me it has been betting life changing for the good !!!
    have i said finally yet ??? …… Josh would you please donate my winnings to a racehore welfare charity of your choice on my behalf please 😉

    🙂 gl/gb 🙂
    well chuffed !!

    1. Yes really well done….amazing figures George – right across the board too ….some great results last month. Thank you all for posting

  20. Today’s would be tipping comp darts

    Huntington
    2:30 Regarding Ruth
    5:10 ifyoucanseemenow

    Sedgefield
    4:25 very extravagant

  21. Well Done George. Great victory and generosity. Us South coast Hampshire boys are well known for it. Also well done to chubnut for yesterdays results, a deserved prize and also his generosity. I must say this site gets better and better and probably the most generous gesture of all is the deal Josh and Titus came up with in putting Mike’s name against my Feb competition results. Truly an act of kindness that will be rewarded one day. Keep up the good work all, even I managed a winning day yesterday…
    your true wooden spoon owner…Mark B.

  22. Well done to George B, you beat a few hot tipsters there.

    2 losers for me Friday, nothing yesterday.

    Huntingdon 4.05.

    Plenty of pace as Chubnut requires.

    George B is probably right, Little Bruce will lead, but also as he says you can’t go near Philip Kirby at the moment so is eliminated.

    Bishop’s Road is like a hippo, wants mud, mud…

    The Happy Chappy may well improve as in Josh’s write-up but no value at 5/1.

    Amiral Collonges, horse and trainer have poor record off a break.

    Nakadam is 0/13 on galloping, flat tracks.

    Duke Debarry is 0/8 on galloping, flat tracks. Sire stats not good beyond 3m4f.

    Holbrook Park is bred to stay, excellent sire stats around 3m6f and 4m. Trainer in form. Must be a bet for me at 10/1.

  23. George and Chubnut
    Well done George on winning the first tipping challenge on RTP, your name will live long in RTP history.
    Chubnut
    Well done on putting your bets up, and really pleased that you had a winning day, had to have a couple of quid on the three so made a profit.
    Everyone else who took the time to put up their bets, far to many to mention by name, and what a performance by so many.
    Great to see when someone are having a bad run many more are not so the team are helping one another to beat the bookies, and helping to counteract that persons losing run.
    Remember this time next year we all will be MILLIONAIRES!!!!
    Colin.

  24. what’s that i see out my window ,is it can it really be yes yes it’s rain thanks be to whichever god you worship (if any)

  25. no selections today but one from “my stable” and one iv’e been keeping an eye on.
    Huntingdon 2-30 Regarding Ruth 9-2 small win
    Sedgefield 3.20 Dark and Dangerous 14-1 small ew

  26. Tipping comp round up / prize winners (i’m feeling generous for some reason 🙂 ) all detailed above in Section 4. Scroll up!
    Josh

      1. Ah well that’s very generous. Yep the Whitechapel Centre for the homeless do great work up here so I’ll send it to them!

  27. RECENT TIPS
    festival/BRT
    L 3.45 – Mastermind on 8th run @ 9
    3m+
    H 4.05 – Amiral Collognes on 2nd run @ 14
    S 2.50 – Total Assets on 1st run @ 17/2
    GL

  28. Hi all, my three for today.

    HUNTINGDON 14:30 REGARDING RUTH @ 4.2
    16:05 LITTLE BRUCE @ 4.33
    16:40 SWEET ‘N’ CHIC @ 15.0
    0/3 0p -3pts

    G.L.
    Solent

  29. Well my lords ladies n gents …. it gives’ me great pleasure 😉 and a warm feeling of contentment 🙂 , yet at the same time great indigestion that i can somehow be top of the pile amongst all you learned bettors . I can assure you this won’t be happening again , this is the first thing i have ever one since i was a younger child I won 1st prize at our local Bejam freezer food store in the “draw a frozen turkey” competition 🙂
    I am no form student and not one to be trusted but i love the sport , banter , joys , pains, blood rushes , highs & lows , my new found love for compiling creating “systems” and just the all round enjoyment of this wonderous sport we all love albeit to our detriment sometimes 🙂
    I love being on here and thanks for putting up with me !
    And it goes without saying that i and most others appreciate all the knowledge that is shared in these pages …… keep up the good work !!
    Have a great Sunday and here is to a profitable Chelters !!!
    P.s. Just one last BIG thanks to our very own Josh .. who has really helped me and many others i expect steering us onto the right track and mindset to really take on these bookies at their own game !! …. THANK YOU !! 🙂
    For me it has been betting life changing for the good !!!
    have i said finally yet ??? …… Josh would you please donate my winnings to a racehore welfare charity of your choice on my behalf please 😉

    🙂 gl/gb 🙂
    well chuffed !!

    1. Well done G, I think you’ll find that warm feeling means you need to change your trousers (it’s an age thing) 🙂

      1. Indeed as we all should be aware of in life … ” once an adult and twice a child ”
        We are all childish in the beginning and at the end of our life aswell ” 🙂
        isit me or does our joint system need abit of maintenance .. i shall report back if i can tweak it ……… to maybe actually give us a winner one day 🙂 ?
        gl/gb & thks 😉

        1. Lol, don’t think I’ve come out of the first childish stage yet 🙂 The system will come good but I trust your tweaks!

    2. Thanks George, very generous of you. I’ll send it to a re homing of racehorses charity I think, Moorcroft, who looked after one I used to have a share in a few years back before he sustained a career ending injury.
      Josh

    3. Well done George ( and all the other prize winners too) Not followed yours myself, but always find your posts interesting. 🙂

    4. Yes really well done….amazing figures George – right across the board too ….some great results last month. Thank you all for posting

  30. Today’s would be tipping comp darts

    Huntington
    2:30 Regarding Ruth
    5:10 ifyoucanseemenow

    Sedgefield
    4:25 very extravagant

  31. Its never over until the fat lady sings.
    Well i m not sure how far behind ‘The Happy Chappy’ was but with not far to go he was 1000 on Befair so i went to the loo safe in the knowledge he was done for. What a shock when i found i had a place return (still doing big prices at W and P) to try and keep returns evened out 🙂 Even better was the Sportsbook return on the EW double on him and ‘Regarding Ruth’. I almost never do any doubles or multiples but something said do these two.

    So i am positively basking in the temporary euphoria of 3 cracking winners yesterday and the above. first net winning both week- end days since starting early December. Looking forward to Nick’s return coupled with my ‘selective’ others. Don’t want to provoke a Chubnut ‘philosophy’ here but ‘this time next year Wodney…?’

  32. Well Done George. Great victory and generosity. Us South coast Hampshire boys are well known for it. Also well done to chubnut for yesterdays results, a deserved prize and also his generosity. I must say this site gets better and better and probably the most generous gesture of all is the deal Josh and Titus came up with in putting Mike’s name against my Feb competition results. Truly an act of kindness that will be rewarded one day. Keep up the good work all, even I managed a winning day yesterday…
    your true wooden spoon owner…Mark B.

  33. Well done to George B, you beat a few hot tipsters there.

    2 losers for me Friday, nothing yesterday.

    Huntingdon 4.05.

    Plenty of pace as Chubnut requires.

    George B is probably right, Little Bruce will lead, but also as he says you can’t go near Philip Kirby at the moment so is eliminated.

    Bishop’s Road is like a hippo, wants mud, mud…

    The Happy Chappy may well improve as in Josh’s write-up but no value at 5/1.

    Amiral Collonges, horse and trainer have poor record off a break.

    Nakadam is 0/13 on galloping, flat tracks.

    Duke Debarry is 0/8 on galloping, flat tracks. Sire stats not good beyond 3m4f.

    Holbrook Park is bred to stay, excellent sire stats around 3m6f and 4m. Trainer in form. Must be a bet for me at 10/1.

    1. thanks Chris .. didn’t i do well …lol 🙂
      Well the only thing i would say as i think Josh once said .. they ( jockeys trainers or horses for that matter) have to or can come back to winning ways sooner or later .. monsieur kirby /dowsonnot been within a sniff ..it seems for ages .. but today could always the be the day 🙂 / 🙁 .. i have had a minimal (very) win stake on little bruce … and plenty have followed suit …. maybe today is the day ??? .. we shall see ??
      thanks again and keep up the good work !! 🙂
      gl/gb

      1. Well in fairness the horse ran a cracker 9 days ago, which is probably more important than recent trainer form. The horse does stay. Bishops will try and lead also, I hope they take each other on but jockeys usually sensible in these races, esp with this many runners. Holbrook is a bit better at 10s than the 8s, appears his race LTO happened too quickly for him, out of rhythm, PU. He is interesting for sure, wouldn’t be shocked if he ran well.

      1. Thanks Tim, havent mastered the art of backing to minimum BFSP so back yours blind and took the 5/1. Looked comfortable all the way

        1. There’s a video in one of the links within The Key when explained for S1. It’s pretty straight forward. If on desktop and you click BFSP in the stake box on the right there’s a little white box to tick in top right corner to select ‘set min BFSP’ and away you go.

          1. Cheers Josh, i only use my mobile and I’ve tried ‘desktop site’ and still can’t do it. I’ll have a look of the video though as may shed some light

          2. Hi Chris. You may have to uninstall the app to get on the desktop site on a phone or tablet.

  34. Well Duke Debarry clearly didn’t stay 3m 7f. He jumped great for a novice. We bit off more than we could chew so it’s back to 3 mile novice handicaps for now, although he’ll need quite a few weeks off. Also interesting to hear Nicky’s views on the BHA after the race!!

  35. George and Chubnut
    Well done George on winning the first tipping challenge on RTP, your name will live long in RTP history.
    Chubnut
    Well done on putting your bets up, and really pleased that you had a winning day, had to have a couple of quid on the three so made a profit.
    Everyone else who took the time to put up their bets, far to many to mention by name, and what a performance by so many.
    Great to see when someone are having a bad run many more are not so the team are helping one another to beat the bookies, and helping to counteract that persons losing run.
    Remember this time next year we all will be MILLIONAIRES!!!!
    Colin.

  36. what’s that i see out my window ,is it can it really be yes yes it’s rain thanks be to whichever god you worship (if any)

    1. well done me old mucker mc 🙂
      😉 wasn’t as confident as the betting was .. but they obviously all followed me over the cliffe 😉 ( trainer out of form .. never ! 😉 )
      just waiting on sixshooter now …… for a little irish yankee to come up trumps 🙂 … but one always letz me down … always !! 🙁
      gb 😉

  37. Its never over until the fat lady sings.
    Well i m not sure how far behind ‘The Happy Chappy’ was but with not far to go he was 1000 on Befair so i went to the loo safe in the knowledge he was done for. What a shock when i found i had a place return (still doing big prices at W and P) to try and keep returns evened out 🙂 Even better was the Sportsbook return on the EW double on him and ‘Regarding Ruth’. I almost never do any doubles or multiples but something said do these two.

    So i am positively basking in the temporary euphoria of 3 cracking winners yesterday and the above. first net winning both week- end days since starting early December. Looking forward to Nick’s return coupled with my ‘selective’ others. Don’t want to provoke a Chubnut ‘philosophy’ here but ‘this time next year Wodney…?’

    1. Ah that’s clever punting well done. Infuriating for the win only backers but then it was obvious after 1/2 a mile that sadly the blinkers didn’t really work. I thought he’d stay and that showed he did but just needed him to pick up bridle which he never did. He travels comfortably in 3rd/4th there he wins. Little B did it well from the front but was tiring late there. Credit to SB for persevering. Sadly little help from his partner but was worth the go I think. Semi justified at 12s given how he finished (past beaten horses mind). Just a shame he never travelled. Or jumped!

  38. Well Duke Debarry clearly didn’t stay 3m 7f. He jumped great for a novice. We bit off more than we could chew so it’s back to 3 mile novice handicaps for now, although he’ll need quite a few weeks off. Also interesting to hear Nicky’s views on the BHA after the race!!

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