Members Daily Post: Mon 11th /Tues 12th

Members post
Members post

/

Share on facebook
Facebook
Share on twitter
Twitter
Share on pinterest
Pinterest
Share on linkedin
LinkedIn
Share on telegram
Telegram

Post Comments

Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

48 Responses

  1. Not looking good for the resumption of racing Wednesday:
    “The British Horseracing Authority has announced four cases of equine influenza have been identified in vaccinated thoroughbreds at the Newmarket yard of trainer Simon Crisford.”

  2. Personally I really enjoy betting on the AW which I always used to ignore in the past. I got into it last summer, the going is constant, course form and draw narrows things down and I find it much more predictable than the jumps(although much prefer NH as a spectacle obviously).

    I’m now forced to go and clean the bathroom in the absence of racing, boo!

  3. I think we all agree the welfare of the horse is paramount but personally think we are over reacting to this outbreak. It can cause respiratory problems for a horse which can debilitate performance but there will be only a few involved and will manifest itself before they are permitted to run – can the blood of horses due to run within a couple of days not be checked before they do so – surely enough veterinary practices operate within very close proximity to every stable and will have resources and equipment for basic testing procedures. Most racehorses are innoculated and any symptoms would be mild and transient from what I’ve read. There are boosters available and I think the reaction is disproportionate to the animals we know to be infected

  4. Not looking good for the resumption of racing Wednesday:
    “The British Horseracing Authority has announced four cases of equine influenza have been identified in vaccinated thoroughbreds at the Newmarket yard of trainer Simon Crisford.”

    1. How many cases do you need to not resume racing? I do not know but once the testing is done if it is circa 1 to 2 % should we not be back racing? I do not know.
      In my working life when the risk register became king people became a lot more risk averse. I used to talk to Boards and talk about having an appetite for risk. They mostly looked at me if I had lost it and thought it best to phone for the people in white coats. I wonder if risk adverseness will play out too much in this case? Something to think about.

      1. Theoretically there’s no reason as to why you couldn’t allow yards that have been deemed all clear to return whilst keeping the rest in lock down until they too can be given the ok from the vets, but a lot of the smaller yards depend upon shared facilities such as gallops where they could come into contact with non thoroughbreds outside BHA control. There’s one only a couple of miles from me and anyone can turn up and pay to ride cos I’ve taken my horse there several times.

        Is mostly used by people who have endurance horses, eventers and point to pointers cos there aren’t many racing stables around here, but people such as myself that just enjoy a damned good blow out now and again also use them.

        1. Tim
          The concern for me is Simon Crisford stables have 4 with the flu and if you go onto the Newmarket gallops around 6am there are hundreds of horses from all different stables sharing the gallops, for a good 2 hours, how long does the symptoms stay dormant before becoming active in the horse.
          Simon Crisford has runners in France and Dubai on a regular basis now have some of his horses carried the flu still dormant to these countries, and will other countries now get the flu in the next couple of weeks.
          Irish racing have they let back the Irish horses that ran in the UK or are they still stabled in the UK, if they let them back then they could have problems shortly.
          Certainly not an expert in this field but do have a sneaky feeling it is going to get a lot worse before getting better, hope i am wrong.
          Colin

      2. Laughter is one of the finest things in life and have i laughed, Nick and many more why are you against AW racing most parts of the World have more AW racing than ourselves, and they pay the winning owner more money than our average turf meetings.
        Again it was introduced to keep racing going in winter which in my view has done a fantastic job over the years.
        Why i laugh soon as turf racing is abandoned every winter all those who slate the AW become experts and soon start tipping on the AW, you only have to scroll back 10 days or so to see this, and this is a small % of the racing public.
        Nick have you not put up AW bets?
        Chuckling
        Colin

        1. I do not like the all weather racing as a spectacle but I have to engage with it from a betting angle. I think it should stay, although evening racing will not attract prize money via sponsorship and so it will likely remain low grade. As My bets are either micro qualifiers or certain others tips I do not need to watch it to study form.

        2. I think your paranoia is spreading Colin. My comment was more in relation to new cases found at Crisford’s not effecting the jumps as opposed to any hate for the AW. At the end of the day this place on the whole is definitely much more focused towards jumps. I don’t have any problem with the AW although certainly my least favorite of the 3 types of racing. Hopefully the new cases don’t effect either but if they do it would rather be just AW than everything.

          1. Nick
            Afraid would not have related that line to Simon Crisford, anyway makes no difference, and with the Newmarket gallops around 6am there are hundreds of racehorses sharing the gallops so if Simon is flat only his horses will be on the gallops with NH horses.
            Still feel the flu is going to get a lot worse, and my gut feeling is there will be no racing on Wednesday.
            Colin.

  5. Personally I really enjoy betting on the AW which I always used to ignore in the past. I got into it last summer, the going is constant, course form and draw narrows things down and I find it much more predictable than the jumps(although much prefer NH as a spectacle obviously).

    I’m now forced to go and clean the bathroom in the absence of racing, boo!

  6. I think we all agree the welfare of the horse is paramount but personally think we are over reacting to this outbreak. It can cause respiratory problems for a horse which can debilitate performance but there will be only a few involved and will manifest itself before they are permitted to run – can the blood of horses due to run within a couple of days not be checked before they do so – surely enough veterinary practices operate within very close proximity to every stable and will have resources and equipment for basic testing procedures. Most racehorses are innoculated and any symptoms would be mild and transient from what I’ve read. There are boosters available and I think the reaction is disproportionate to the animals we know to be infected

    1. I also think that the BHA and other related bodies are nervous about what the animal cruelty groups may say. They seem very nervous of these groups nowadays. Therefore they will be very careful about when to resume racing. They have in a way got lucky in that they are still a few weeks out from the festival. If it was next week it may well be squeaky bum time at the BHA?

  7. While things are a bit slow on the racing front so I thought I’d share some of the emails I get from punters to my helpline. It’s easy to forget when you make a good living at this game as I do, how daunting it can be for others, some only just starting out on their quest for the golden wedge. In a medium where all that glitters is definitely not gold a subtle word of advice can go along way.

    Hi Chubnut, I’ve decided to take the plunge and start a bank of £500 but only have a joint account with my Wife. We have no secrets between us (well not counting my flirting with the busty barmaid down the local while having my weekly half on a Sunday lunchtime) so she’s happy for me go ahead after showing her that my last 30 bets produced 15 winners. Do you see any problem going forward? Many thanks Billy Sollocks

    Thanks for the email Billy and a good job you did as you were about to make a huge mistake by letting “her in doors” into your betting plans. Gambler’s Law number 1, Spouses never understand your punting enjoyment and they will never believe you can win. So steal a monkey from the account somehow ( you’ll get better at this as the Months go by) and open a seperate account to fund your addiction ( I mean hobby) Bird watching is a nice camoflage hobby as it’s a good excuse to leave the house at a moments notice ( you may not see a Tomahawk crested sparrow again ) If things start going tits up you can always call my Premium tips line for outstanding information or for a small fee, a one on one pep talk.

    Chub, I’ve been very disciplined with my staking and bank management which has recently resulted in an increase in said bank. I thought a reward might be in order and use the profits for a weekend away with my Wife and Kids. Can you see any downside to this. Cheers “always look on the bright side”

    “Always” you are about to do one of the biggest mistakes possible with a winning bank. Firstly, always leave your money in your bookie accounts when you win, that way those greedy bastard traders will think your a drug dealer and will eventually blow it all in their Casino. Secondly “her in doors” wont get wind of it and expect a treat on a regular basis, it goes without saying the spending of good betting money on Kids is never a good idea. Remember, increasing your betting bank is only for one thing, bigger and better bets.

    Betting not only affects punters mentally but also physically.

    Dear Chubnut,
    I started this betting hobby a couple of Months ago and suddenly have this itchiness around my Anus while reading form. The odd thing is it only begins when reading form of a certain horses and after logging them I’ve found they have an 82% winning strike rate. Have you heard of such a thing and what’s your advice going forward. Regards, Ivor nitchias.

    Sorry to hear about your situation Ivor, it’s not uncommon to have physical reaction to betting but to make sure I get to the bottom of this I think it’s best you email me the said horses names straight away, especially if it’s a big price. If the horses, sorry I mean symptoms dry up you can always call my Premium winners number.

    Hello. I’ve only been betting a Month and I’m embarrassed to say that whenever My selections have a chance of winning at the end of the race, My testicles disappear up my stomach. Is this normal or should I consult a doctor. (name not given)

    No worries no name, it’s a normal response to being in a situation where you’re just about to get your nuts squeezed. Things can deteriorate if a losing run begins as such runs go hand in hand with nut affecting finishes. Go to A&E if they don’t appear within ½ hour and call my Premium line for a winning remedy.

    Chubby, I recently had a replacement hip operation and I’m a little apprehensive as to when to return to the fray. Any advice would be welcome. Best “C”

    Sorry to hear about the dodgy wheel “C” I would advise a week of no excitement so maybe a few Derby County videoes followed by one or two bets on the All Weather. Some would be wary of this ploy but watching horses falling wouldn’t be good for confidence going forward. If at any time you think you may need a steadying hand, call my Premium line for morale boosting winners.

      1. Surely it is a formality that tonight’s announcement is going to be a positive one now? What possible reason is there to delay further?

  8. While things are a bit slow on the racing front so I thought I’d share some of the emails I get from punters to my helpline. It’s easy to forget when you make a good living at this game as I do, how daunting it can be for others, some only just starting out on their quest for the golden wedge. In a medium where all that glitters is definitely not gold a subtle word of advice can go along way.

    Hi Chubnut, I’ve decided to take the plunge and start a bank of £500 but only have a joint account with my Wife. We have no secrets between us (well not counting my flirting with the busty barmaid down the local while having my weekly half on a Sunday lunchtime) so she’s happy for me go ahead after showing her that my last 30 bets produced 15 winners. Do you see any problem going forward? Many thanks Billy Sollocks

    Thanks for the email Billy and a good job you did as you were about to make a huge mistake by letting “her in doors” into your betting plans. Gambler’s Law number 1, Spouses never understand your punting enjoyment and they will never believe you can win. So steal a monkey from the account somehow ( you’ll get better at this as the Months go by) and open a seperate account to fund your addiction ( I mean hobby) Bird watching is a nice camoflage hobby as it’s a good excuse to leave the house at a moments notice ( you may not see a Tomahawk crested sparrow again ) If things start going tits up you can always call my Premium tips line for outstanding information or for a small fee, a one on one pep talk.

    Chub, I’ve been very disciplined with my staking and bank management which has recently resulted in an increase in said bank. I thought a reward might be in order and use the profits for a weekend away with my Wife and Kids. Can you see any downside to this. Cheers “always look on the bright side”

    “Always” you are about to do one of the biggest mistakes possible with a winning bank. Firstly, always leave your money in your bookie accounts when you win, that way those greedy bastard traders will think your a drug dealer and will eventually blow it all in their Casino. Secondly “her in doors” wont get wind of it and expect a treat on a regular basis, it goes without saying the spending of good betting money on Kids is never a good idea. Remember, increasing your betting bank is only for one thing, bigger and better bets.

    Betting not only affects punters mentally but also physically.

    Dear Chubnut,
    I started this betting hobby a couple of Months ago and suddenly have this itchiness around my Anus while reading form. The odd thing is it only begins when reading form of a certain horses and after logging them I’ve found they have an 82% winning strike rate. Have you heard of such a thing and what’s your advice going forward. Regards, Ivor nitchias.

    Sorry to hear about your situation Ivor, it’s not uncommon to have physical reaction to betting but to make sure I get to the bottom of this I think it’s best you email me the said horses names straight away, especially if it’s a big price. If the horses, sorry I mean symptoms dry up you can always call my Premium winners number.

    Hello. I’ve only been betting a Month and I’m embarrassed to say that whenever My selections have a chance of winning at the end of the race, My testicles disappear up my stomach. Is this normal or should I consult a doctor. (name not given)

    No worries no name, it’s a normal response to being in a situation where you’re just about to get your nuts squeezed. Things can deteriorate if a losing run begins as such runs go hand in hand with nut affecting finishes. Go to A&E if they don’t appear within ½ hour and call my Premium line for a winning remedy.

    Chubby, I recently had a replacement hip operation and I’m a little apprehensive as to when to return to the fray. Any advice would be welcome. Best “C”

    Sorry to hear about the dodgy wheel “C” I would advise a week of no excitement so maybe a few Derby County videoes followed by one or two bets on the All Weather. Some would be wary of this ploy but watching horses falling wouldn’t be good for confidence going forward. If at any time you think you may need a steadying hand, call my Premium line for morale boosting winners.

    1. I just have no words haha. I’m in a taxi back from Snow Patrol (who were superb) have you had as much Red as I had on Saturday night??? An entertaining read as always. but unusually for me I simply don’t know how to respond so I’ll just absorb, smile, and open another bottle. Albeit Martin told me off from tweeting while drunk so ive behaved since. 🙂

    2. When I get to feel excited I go to a Millwall home game and it soon knocks that out of me. It must be the Catholic thing as a child?

      I did not have a Chubnut to follow you see.

    3. One of the funniest things i have read in ages – maybe i should get out more. By the way where do i get this fantastic Premium rate number. After my first 2 months on here its a toss up between that Number or the Samaritans (sorry Josh 🙂 )

  9. my wife is overjoyed that racing is to resume as i’ll now stop pestering her for sex to fill the 2 minutes i would normally spend analyzing a race 🙂

  10. my wife is overjoyed that racing is to resume as i’ll now stop pestering her for sex to fill the 2 minutes i would normally spend analyzing a race 🙂

  11. Chubnet the final word on how to make money from betting Rafa fact, I would love to bow down to the guru but I’m busy tonight watching the only team in English football to still have a 100% record this year, I will leave it there me babbers

  12. (a reminder that these pages are a political free zone and any political comments will be deleted. I don’t want these boards filled up with chat about brexit or the EU albeit clearly there will be big issues to be resolved in relation to racing, but chat about that can happen elsewhere) 🙂

  13. Chubnet the final word on how to make money from betting Rafa fact, I would love to bow down to the guru but I’m busy tonight watching the only team in English football to still have a 100% record this year, I will leave it there me babbers

  14. (a reminder that these pages are a political free zone and any political comments will be deleted. I don’t want these boards filled up with chat about brexit or the EU albeit clearly there will be big issues to be resolved in relation to racing, but chat about that can happen elsewhere) 🙂

  15. How many stables are restricted from having runners when racing resumes? We may be working with small fields for a while?

    1. Yeah looks like Nicky Henderson, Olly Murphy and Evan Williams are the most high profile ones although from the sounds of it they were reminded to get it done on the 25th of January so little sympathy there.

  16. How many stables are restricted from having runners when racing resumes? We may be working with small fields for a while?

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.