Members Daily Post: 17/01/19 (complete)

Tip x1, Section 1 (complete), updates

1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/Best of Stats Tips)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

Market Rasen

1.00 –

Ballyart   (micro runs) I3 12/1 S2 S5 UP

Ballyhome   (m class) H1 I1 4/1 2nd 

Lets Get At It   (HcH)  w1 H3 G3 9/2 UP

2.05 – Value At Risk   (all Hc’s) 14  ES+ I3 13/2 S3A  WON 7/1 

3.45 – Cranbrook Causeway   (HcCh) 14 10/1 S2 UP

 

Ludlow 

None

Wincanton 

None

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KEY

Welcome INFO: (please read/watch esp if new)

  • Welcome Email: HERE>>>
  • Jumps Strategies: Where should you start: HERE>>>
  • Video 1: Section 1 explained/the 4 Jumps Strategies HERE>>>
  • Video 2: Longer welcome video HERE>>>
  •  Welcome Post, with more, inc all the above, HERE>>>

H1/H3= HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez GoldSpeed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Gold‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30– 10+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES+ = ‘Elite Squad+’ = those angles from TTP stats pack with 10+ winners, 25%+ win SR

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1– won last start.  w2– won two starts ago

The Jumps Strategies: Where should you start? Some ideas HERE>>> 

‘Jumps Strategies/results’: Jumps 2017/18/19 Read HERE>>> (updated to END NOV 2018)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone//Big Meetings Notes etc) READ HERE>>>

VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/Best of Stats Tips)

Daily Tips (2017:+110,2018: -22.2, 2019: -2 ) Big Race/Festival Tips (2018: +143; 2019 0/2,1p, -3)

 

Best of the Jumps Stats Quals? (Nov 1st 2018: 29/136,63p, +18.8, 1 point win)

1.00 MR – Ballyart – 20/1 (bet365/SkyB/BV) 16/1 (gen) UP 9/1… hmmm, well he was nibbled at, and went ok for a time, but then was under the pump and faded again, as he did LTO. Ran like a 20s shot. Maybe he does need a bog, so i’ll keep an eye on him, unless he’s just tricky. Right to take on top 2, but with wrong one, the handicap debutant winning for Ellison at 8s. Point winner, up in trip on handicap h debut. 

 

that’s all for today, 09.12, write up…

I’m scratching my head as to why this one is such a big price in this race, but maybe i’ll find out soon enough. On my reading of his chance, he shouldn’t be anywhere near this price. He’s a point winner, lightly raced under rules and unexposed. His best days are clearly ahead of him and maybe chasing will be his game in time. However, two starts ago, he lost by a head in what looks an ok novice. He gave 1lb there (after taking account of the claims etc) to a horse that was already rated 124, with the rest well beaten. That winner came out and won again at Kelso in another novice, beating a previous winner, and he looks smart enough. He then ran in what is turning out to be a decent enough novice handicap at Ascot. It was a big big field packed full of unexposed horses and a much deeper race than this contest. He was up there for a while but I think they always seemed to be going a stride quicker than ideal for him and he was likely flat out for much of the trip. He didn’t fade away out the back of the TV though, but kept plugging on for 7th. He was well beaten in the end but the race had 120+ horses in and the 5th came out yesterday and hacked up off a mark of 117. It’s not impossible that race came a bit too quick after his Chepstow exertions also. In any case these are calmer waters than that race. Jordon Nailor is back on and he rode him in that Chepstow race. His run at Uttoxeter suggests decent ground is ok, albeit more of an unknown, as it is for the 3/1 second fav today. I think he could be rated much higher than this in time and I also thought he may try and make all, or be able to dictate on the front end. NTD is 7/26,9p with all hurdlers here in recent years and the horse still runs in his colours – he does like to sell them if he can, and would probably like to get a win on the board soon enough to help do just that.

I’m probably asking for trouble taking on two LTO winners and my initial reaction when looking at this race was just to leave it, as first impressions are that it’s too competitive. But I just couldn’t leave that price, and everything in here has something to prove. The Thomas horse is a worthy fav, still looks ahead of the handicapper and could go on to rate higher. However, he didn’t beat much LTO to my eyes, and it wasn’t a strong race. If I’ve got mine completely wrong, which the market suggests I may have done, he is the one to beat. He will track the selection, if he races as I expect, and will be in the prime spot. The Murphy horse has to prove he stays, is up in class, and he didn’t beat much LTO either. He may have also benefited from those on the front end going at it too early, picking up the pieces. He’s clearly open to further progress but was held up there, and quicker ground is a question for him. 3/4s didn’t look overpriced to my eyes, but I could be wrong. I’d favour the Thomas horse over him. Ballyhome looks as though the handicapper may have him although it is still early days. He did fade badly after the last LTO, suggesting there are now stamina questions for a trip like this. He may have done too much too soon and it was much more testing ground. He had a hard race there also. No forlorn hope but his price looked about right, as did the Williams horse, albeit he’s lightly enough raced also. The Ellison horse makes handicap debut in a deep enough race but he’s clearly open to some progress, but hard to weigh up. I can’t have the other two. Were the selection 6s/7s, it would have been an easy race to just walk on past. But I can’t leave 16s+ here given his profile and that Chepstow form. He has responded to pressure every time he’s been asked. No doubt he’ll be held up now and never sighted, such is my reading of races at the moment. I’ve no danger of the ground going against this one today though, and he’s just the sort of outsider I want onside. IF he runs his race, I don’t think he’ll be that far away here.

*

Clearly results and losers pale into insignificance after the awful events at Iain Jardine’s yard, with the death yesterday of one of his work riders, Natasha Galpin. Our thoughts are with her family and all those at the yard. A stark reminder that those involved in a sport which gives us great joy, are often risking their lives doing so. 

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

Paddy Brennan (14/1< guide)

2.40 MR – Mrs Hyde 11/8

3.15 MR – West Wizard 11/2

 

Jumps Fact Sheet 2018/19 

Johnson/Daly (16/1< guide)

1.45 Lud – Rapper 7/4 WON 7/4

LTO Winning Trainers

2.05 – MR – Ontopoftheworld (8/1<) 7/2 UP

1.55 Winc – Peterborough 6/1 UP

Trainers to Follow 

1.55 Winc – Snapdraggon Fire 7/2 UP

Jockeys/Chasers

2.05 MR – Ontopoftheworld (9/1< best) 7/2 UP

3.15 MR – Reckless Behaviour (9/1< best) 11/2 UP

3.45 MR – Carlo Rocks (9/1< best) 5/2 UP

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

Try Geegeez Gold for free, for 4 weeksHERE>>>

It’s rare for me to advertise another ‘service’ within my own members’ club but I never have a hesitation doing so with my old mentor’s excellent set of racing tools, which are clearly very different from what I do here. (and I do use Gold for the speed ratings/trainer form indicators above, so I feel obliged every now and then!) I know a few of you out there are members and there has been some chat about ‘gold’ in recent comments. Anyway, you can now get 4 weeks completely free to see if they are something which could add to your enjoyment of racing. They make the Racing Post look very 19th century. There are no catches, if you stay beyond the 4 weeks you get charged, but like all good eggs Matt will obviously refund any ‘accidental’ payments if you forget to cancel, no questions asked, as i do. You can give Gold a go HERE>>> 

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Strategy Results Update: Mid-Month

1st Jan – 15th Jan

S1: 2/6, 3p, +19 , +16.7 BFSP

S2A 

  • 1 point win : 0/17,1p, -17
  • 1 point EW: 0/17,1p, -22
  • 1/2 point EW: 0/17,1p, -11

S3A# : 2/4,2p, +5.25

w1: 2/13,3p, -8.9

If you missed it, the results review of 2018, inc the 4 strats above inc December, is HERE>>>

I won’t do a running commentary mid month, i’ll review at the end of the month, inc my tipping. Gulp.

One of you did email me asking what my advice would be if you just wanted to follow two strategies. As i’ve mentioned before in these round-ups, as well as in the ‘Jumps Strategies: Where Should You Start’ document in the Key, if you just want two i’d start with S1 and S3A# . The main reason is that you get a bigger odds strategy with a lower win SR, but great ROI, and one with a much higher win %. Maybe more importantly those two strategies included the use of the ratings sets (the red symbols as per Key), which compliment my trainer stats research, and provide a ‘constant’ moving forwards, as well as providing context for the actual ability of the horse in said race. I hope that makes sense 🙂  In 2018 those two strategies pulled in around +150 points (S1 +75 to Betfair SP) They’ve had a good start to 2019 as above.

*

 

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Post Comments

Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

81 Responses

  1. Busy one tomorrow:

    Friday Night Light Market Rasen 13:35 1.5pt win 11/2
    Value At Risk Market Rasen 14:05 1.5pt win 13/2
    Len Brennan Wincanton 14:25 1pt e/w 8/1
    Little Choosey Newcastle 16:25 1pt e/w 10/1
    Cuppacoco Newcastle 19:25 1pt e/w 12/1

      1. Me too Nick, It’s been bleak on my front lately and I was finding it hard to keep my nerve despite the 200 point bank.
        Good luck with the others.
        Hugh

        1. Well I was break even (well -0.17pt) before today but nice to edge it back into profit. In fairness has been some terrible racing and have only had 17 picks in the first 16 days this month.

          1. Nick
            After 4 bets so far today backing at Betfair Exchange SP win only breaking even at the moment after commission paid so Thank you for the bets, Duffield and Fanning combo won the 4.25 and sure they can win the 7.25
            Colin

          2. Almost. I had the right jockeys just the wrong races but cannot complain today I guess.

          3. Certainly not from where i am standing Nick 🙂 …… very nice e/w canadian for me .. more than 4x my stake .. many thanks ..brilliant advice as usual 🙂
            it takes some doing at your level of consistency … well done and thanks 🙂
            gb

  2. Sky Bet price boost only picked them up on sporting life fast result pages they appear above the results, so if anyone knows of another way of finding them or any of bookmakers doing a similar price boost please advice us, will look at Oddschecker tomorrow for remember seeing PP had done a short priced fav which lost, and i only tend to look at Sporting Life and Oddschecker.
    Cheers
    Colin

    1. Hi Colin. The only thing I’m not sure of with odds boosts is whether BOG applies. Anyone know? Most of the time it will work for you but you might miss the odd drifter, if BOG doesn’t apply.

      1. Ken
        It is LAY only the generous bookmakers are only offering a price boost for they believe that the horse will not win whether the have stable info on this time will tell, the 3 that i have noticed have been short priced fav’s and all won for the Layers.
        In my view they only offer price boost to get the late mug money believing that the price is to big at the enhanced price, for we know they give nothing away.
        Do not back them, would keep an eye on them and record the ones that you notice even though i have noticed them over the past few months it is only the past 3 days where started to record them and have not backed any myself.
        Colin.

  3. I only know of Wm Hill and Ladbrokes offering odds boost Colin, but is quite possible that there are others out there. I’ll take a look at the races quoted on their web sites tomorrow AM and report back.

    1. Had a look around both sites this morning and there is no mention as to which races the promotion will be available on. I copied an pasted this off the Wm Hill site……
      Enhanced Odds on all your favourite markets
      Each day, we release a whole bunch of markets at an enhanced price on the events that matter the most. Be sure to come back regularly and keep an eye out for our Enhanced Odds logo throughout the site to get more bang for your buck when betting on your favourite sport.

      Seems like it’s a carrot dangling exercise to keep punters coming back to their site through the day just to see if they can grab an extra point rather than placing all their bets at the same time.

      1. Thanks Tim
        Feel that they will only be put up after a race as finished depending on how many meeting could be 5, 10 15 or like yesterday 20/25 mins, also to keep punters in the shops.
        Everyone will have different results for cannot be sat around the computer or phone all day and night more for if you have time when and whenever to have a lay bet.

        1. I often get text alerts from Bet Victor giving price boosts. I’m sure most of the bookies will do the same if you change your account settings to receive alerts. I’ll keep an eye out in future to see how they perform as lay bets.

  4. HANDICAP CHASE SYSTEM

    RT+1.11

    No bets today.

    FRANCIS SYSTEM BETS

    RT+3.08

    The Macon Lugnatic got up in the final strides after trading at 1000/1 (or 999/1 to be precise) in-running. Returned 11/2 SP.

    So far staking all wrong, all the 2 pointers have lost but there is another tomorrow…

    2pt win 2.05 MR – Virnon

    Will settle to 10am odds. Only reason being, a lot of the horses will drift so trying to develop strategies available to all later in the day.

  5. Busy one tomorrow:

    Friday Night Light Market Rasen 13:35 1.5pt win 11/2
    Value At Risk Market Rasen 14:05 1.5pt win 13/2
    Len Brennan Wincanton 14:25 1pt e/w 8/1
    Little Choosey Newcastle 16:25 1pt e/w 10/1
    Cuppacoco Newcastle 19:25 1pt e/w 12/1

      1. Me too Nick, It’s been bleak on my front lately and I was finding it hard to keep my nerve despite the 200 point bank.
        Good luck with the others.
        Hugh

        1. Well I was break even (well -0.17pt) before today but nice to edge it back into profit. In fairness has been some terrible racing and have only had 17 picks in the first 16 days this month.

          1. Nick
            After 4 bets so far today backing at Betfair Exchange SP win only breaking even at the moment after commission paid so Thank you for the bets, Duffield and Fanning combo won the 4.25 and sure they can win the 7.25
            Colin

          2. Almost. I had the right jockeys just the wrong races but cannot complain today I guess.

          3. Certainly not from where i am standing Nick 🙂 …… very nice e/w canadian for me .. more than 4x my stake .. many thanks ..brilliant advice as usual 🙂
            it takes some doing at your level of consistency … well done and thanks 🙂
            gb

          4. Yes, thanks Nick, excellent stuff. I almost never do any Multiples but something told me to do small stake Doubles and an E/W fivefold on Betfair. The doubles resulted in a 140 % Profit on albeit very low stakes. Very pleased with the ‘real bets’ of course at the Win or E/W you recommended. Well done and thank you.

    1. drifted badly to 14-1 might be a race to soon with the long lay off .
      have had a silly £2 on Don Juan Du Gouet @ 230.0 in the Ludlow 12-40

  6. Sky Bet price boost only picked them up on sporting life fast result pages they appear above the results, so if anyone knows of another way of finding them or any of bookmakers doing a similar price boost please advice us, will look at Oddschecker tomorrow for remember seeing PP had done a short priced fav which lost, and i only tend to look at Sporting Life and Oddschecker.
    Cheers
    Colin

    1. Hi Colin. The only thing I’m not sure of with odds boosts is whether BOG applies. Anyone know? Most of the time it will work for you but you might miss the odd drifter, if BOG doesn’t apply.

      1. Ken
        It is LAY only the generous bookmakers are only offering a price boost for they believe that the horse will not win whether the have stable info on this time will tell, the 3 that i have noticed have been short priced fav’s and all won for the Layers.
        In my view they only offer price boost to get the late mug money believing that the price is to big at the enhanced price, for we know they give nothing away.
        Do not back them, would keep an eye on them and record the ones that you notice even though i have noticed them over the past few months it is only the past 3 days where started to record them and have not backed any myself.
        Colin.

        1. BOG applies to price boosts provided of course you don;t have BOG excluded on your account.
          https://m.skybet.com/horse-racing/meetings is their meetings page and you can see where the boost symbol is a race has a promotion, cant see a way to list all price boosts but may have to go through each race

          There’s at least 1 at Pau too today.

          1. This is LAY ONLY not back to win so BOG is not required as they have been short priced fav’s which i have noticed having the price boost when laying you only have a small liability, so worth watching when you have the time and only look at named horses receiving the price boost not the other gimmicks.
            For myself will only look at English, Scottish and Wales courses not overseas or Ireland.
            Thanks for the Sky Bet info but pretty sure they will only put any price boost on 10/20 mins before the race.
            Colin

          2. wouldnt be so sure Colin, the one at Market Rasen, Mrs Hyde 240 Market Rasen has been a price boost since I started looking around 1030am this morning.

  7. I only know of Wm Hill and Ladbrokes offering odds boost Colin, but is quite possible that there are others out there. I’ll take a look at the races quoted on their web sites tomorrow AM and report back.

    1. Had a look around both sites this morning and there is no mention as to which races the promotion will be available on. I copied an pasted this off the Wm Hill site……
      Enhanced Odds on all your favourite markets
      Each day, we release a whole bunch of markets at an enhanced price on the events that matter the most. Be sure to come back regularly and keep an eye out for our Enhanced Odds logo throughout the site to get more bang for your buck when betting on your favourite sport.

      Seems like it’s a carrot dangling exercise to keep punters coming back to their site through the day just to see if they can grab an extra point rather than placing all their bets at the same time.

      1. Thanks Tim
        Feel that they will only be put up after a race as finished depending on how many meeting could be 5, 10 15 or like yesterday 20/25 mins, also to keep punters in the shops.
        Everyone will have different results for cannot be sat around the computer or phone all day and night more for if you have time when and whenever to have a lay bet.

        1. I agree that in reality it’s not a practical option and of no use for backers that need to formulate their bets in the morning. Is a shame though as I think you could be on to something here.

        2. I often get text alerts from Bet Victor giving price boosts. I’m sure most of the bookies will do the same if you change your account settings to receive alerts. I’ll keep an eye out in future to see how they perform as lay bets.

  8. HANDICAP CHASE SYSTEM

    RT+1.11

    No bets today.

    FRANCIS SYSTEM BETS

    RT+3.08

    The Macon Lugnatic got up in the final strides after trading at 1000/1 (or 999/1 to be precise) in-running. Returned 11/2 SP.

    So far staking all wrong, all the 2 pointers have lost but there is another tomorrow…

    2pt win 2.05 MR – Virnon

    Will settle to 10am odds. Only reason being, a lot of the horses will drift so trying to develop strategies available to all later in the day.

  9. RECENT TIPS
    Daily
    L 1.45 – Bob Maxwell on 8th run @ 10
    M 1.00 – Pershing Missile on 1st run @ 33
    AW
    7.25 – Cuppacoco on 4th run @ 12
    3m+
    L 3.25 – No Duffer on 4th run @ 16
    W 12.50 – Merry Milan on 1st run @ 12
    GL

  10. Hi all, my three for today

    WINC 12:50 MYPLACCEATMIDNIGHT @ 8.5 B.O.G.
    13:55 SNAPDRAGON FIRE @ 4.33 B.O.G.
    LUD 14:50 MIDNIGHT TARGET @ 9.0 B.O.G.

    All 1 Pt win
    G.L. SOLENT

  11. COLINS BETS

    No Bet

    ELITE BETS
    Market Rasen
    3.15 Ryalex BOG 7/2
    Newcastle
    5.55 Glory Of Paris BOG 5/4
    6.55 Another Angel BOG 8/1
    Colin

  12. Not expecting much today flat or jumps from what I’ve seen so far. Will post at 12.00 with an update at 4.00. Current state of play for the month is…… 6W 17L +47.5

  13. Callum Rodriguez has one ride of note in 6.25 Newcastle for Lynn Sidall Astrophysics,partnership is 3-6,trainer is in fine form,horse has yet to win on surface but Rodriguez has ridden it to win at wolverhampton 2 starts back.The 10/1 is decent enough for a play

  14. Hi Josh. You have S2A as 1/17, -17pts but surely if you had one winner you must’ve made some profit?

    1. Hi Ken, sorry that’s a typo! Not sure what was going through my head there, as they haven’t had a winner yet this month sadly. Glad your eagle eyes are working!
      Josh

  15. Sky Bet price boost
    12.40 Humble Hero Lost so won for the layers that is now 4 from 4 did have £20 on and the price was 3.15 and my profit + £ 9.30 less commission 0.39 = + 8.91

    will give an update at end of racing although i will be out about 2 pm
    Layer layer layer
    Colin

    1. Hey Colin. The better the horse racing traders are in Sky Bet, the better the chance laying will be profitable, as any bookmaker is boosting selections (in any sport) where their traders believe they will not win. So maybe angle worth following, and they post their boosts on many races in morning, so for today they are boosting those:
      12,40L Humble Hero
      12,50W Pilansberg (PLACE)
      2,40M Mrs Hyde
      3,00W Theathre Territory
      3,55N Elyssess Palace
      7,25N Steelriver (PLACE)

      1. Toni
        Thanks for the list they must add more for the 3.15 m/r overworkdunderpaid was one which i saw on my phone, will not do the place ones only when they state a horses name and push it out to win.
        Is looking good so far.
        Colin

  16. 240 Market Rasen – MRS HYDE (11/8 from 6/5)
    300 Wincanton – THEATRE TERRITORY (10/11 from 4/5)

    are the 2 price boosts I have noted on skybet website, they have others such as place betting, lengthen the odds etc.

  17. RECENT TIPS
    Daily
    L 1.45 – Bob Maxwell on 8th run @ 10
    M 1.00 – Pershing Missile on 1st run @ 33
    AW
    7.25 – Cuppacoco on 4th run @ 12
    3m+
    L 3.25 – No Duffer on 4th run @ 16
    W 12.50 – Merry Milan on 1st run @ 12
    GL

  18. Very sad news about the young girl (Natasha Galpin) from Ian Jardines yard who lost her life riding out…a stark reminder of the dangers ever present in horse racing …thoughts with her family at an awful time

  19. Hi all, my three for today

    WINC 12:50 MYPLACCEATMIDNIGHT @ 8.5 B.O.G.
    13:55 SNAPDRAGON FIRE @ 4.33 B.O.G.
    LUD 14:50 MIDNIGHT TARGET @ 9.0 B.O.G.

    All 1 Pt win
    G.L. SOLENT

  20. COLINS BETS

    No Bet

    ELITE BETS
    Market Rasen
    3.15 Ryalex BOG 7/2
    Newcastle
    5.55 Glory Of Paris BOG 5/4
    6.55 Another Angel BOG 8/1
    Colin

  21. Not expecting much today flat or jumps from what I’ve seen so far. Will post at 12.00 with an update at 4.00. Current state of play for the month is…… 6W 17L +47.5

    1. Was hoping for more today with some decent national hunt flat races going on but most all my qualifiers have been exposed in the market.

      Lud’ 2.50 Bang Bang Rosie 6.0
      Winc’ 4.10 Steady Away 9.0

      Back at 4.00

  22. Sky Bet price boost
    just arrived home did have a look on my phone not worked how to bet with Betfair son as left me instructions will have to have a look for noticed
    2.40 m/r mrs hyde L
    3.00 w theatre territory L
    3.15 m/r overworkedunderpaid L
    so 7 out of 7 so far interesting
    Colin

      1. 3.55 fav 4/7 to 4/6 L another one that is 8 from 8 and over the past 3 or 4 days not had access to them all.
        For me it is the prices of the horses that they push out the laying liability is minimal maybe a flash in the pan time will tell

        1. One thing that don’t make sense is that Mrs Hyde is on the positive market movers list. Opened up @ 7/4 and was backed in to 10/11. Whereas Humble Hero was on the drifters list. Opened @ 1/1 and went off @ 7/4.

          Only thing I can conclude is that it doesn’t necessarily depend upon market movement as to whether Skybet traders fancy it to win or not.

  23. Callum Rodriguez has one ride of note in 6.25 Newcastle for Lynn Sidall Astrophysics,partnership is 3-6,trainer is in fine form,horse has yet to win on surface but Rodriguez has ridden it to win at wolverhampton 2 starts back.The 10/1 is decent enough for a play

  24. Hi Josh. You have S2A as 1/17, -17pts but surely if you had one winner you must’ve made some profit?

    1. Hi Ken, sorry that’s a typo! Not sure what was going through my head there, as they haven’t had a winner yet this month sadly. Glad your eagle eyes are working!
      Josh

  25. Sky Bet price boost
    12.40 Humble Hero Lost so won for the layers that is now 4 from 4 did have £20 on and the price was 3.15 and my profit + £ 9.30 less commission 0.39 = + 8.91

    will give an update at end of racing although i will be out about 2 pm
    Layer layer layer
    Colin

    1. Hey Colin. The better the horse racing traders are in Sky Bet, the better the chance laying will be profitable, as any bookmaker is boosting selections (in any sport) where their traders believe they will not win. So maybe angle worth following, and they post their boosts on many races in morning, so for today they are boosting those:
      12,40L Humble Hero
      12,50W Pilansberg (PLACE)
      2,40M Mrs Hyde
      3,00W Theathre Territory
      3,55N Elyssess Palace
      7,25N Steelriver (PLACE)

      1. Toni
        Thanks for the list they must add more for the 3.15 m/r overworkdunderpaid was one which i saw on my phone, will not do the place ones only when they state a horses name and push it out to win.
        Is looking good so far.
        Colin

  26. 240 Market Rasen – MRS HYDE (11/8 from 6/5)
    300 Wincanton – THEATRE TERRITORY (10/11 from 4/5)

    are the 2 price boosts I have noted on skybet website, they have others such as place betting, lengthen the odds etc.

  27. Sky Bet price boost
    just arrived home did have a look on my phone not worked how to bet with Betfair son as left me instructions will have to have a look for noticed
    2.40 m/r mrs hyde L
    3.00 w theatre territory L
    3.15 m/r overworkedunderpaid L
    so 7 out of 7 so far interesting
    Colin

      1. 3.55 fav 4/7 to 4/6 L another one that is 8 from 8 and over the past 3 or 4 days not had access to them all.
        For me it is the prices of the horses that they push out the laying liability is minimal maybe a flash in the pan time will tell

        1. One thing that don’t make sense is that Mrs Hyde is on the positive market movers list. Opened up @ 7/4 and was backed in to 10/11. Whereas Humble Hero was on the drifters list. Opened @ 1/1 and went off @ 7/4.

          Only thing I can conclude is that it doesn’t necessarily depend upon market movement as to whether Skybet traders fancy it to win or not.

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