Members Daily Post: 01/01/19 (complete)

Tip x1, Section 1 (complete/08.38), test zone

1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/Best of Stats Tips)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against TTP Stats Packs

 

Cheltenham

12.50 –

Alvarado   (HcCh, micro runs) G1 25/1 S1 S2A UP

Perfect Candidate   (HcCh, m’s TJC and runs) 14/1 S2 3rd 16/1

2.00 –

Ballyhill   (m runs)  w1 H3 I3 8/1 S5 (ONLY IF 11.00+ BFSP) 

Born Survivor   (m runs)  w1 H1 I1 G1 7/1 S4  UP 7/2 

2.35 –

Wotzizname   (m +class) 16/1 S2A UP

De Name Evades Me   (m’s TJC and runs)  w2 8/1 2nd 

 

Catterick

2.45 – Justforjames   (m age) 22/1 S2A UP

 

Exeter

1.15 –

Flight To Milan   (all Hc’s,HcH) I3 14/1 S2 S5 UP

Trans Express   (m class)  w1 w2 H1 I1 G3 5/2 S4 UP

2.25 –

Le Boizelo   (HcCh) H1 8/1 2nd 7/2 

Achille   (HcCh, m’s class and runs) I1 9/2 WON 9/2>6/1 

3.35 –

Skewiff   (all Hc’s) H3 I3  6/1 UP

Spring Wolf   (HcCh) G3 11/1 S1 S2 WON 12/1

Sizing Brisbane   (m dist) 11/1 S2 UP

 

Fakenham

1.20 – Polo The Mumm   (m class)  w1 H1 I1 7/4 UP

1.55 – The Very Thing   (HcH) H3 7/4 UP

2.30 –

Todd   (HcH)  w1 H1 I1 G1 2/1 S4 2nd 

The Geegeez Geegee   (HcH) I3 11/1 S2 S5 UP

3.05 – Craigmor   (nov HcCh)  w2 H3 G1 9/4 WON 9/4>10/11

 

Musselburgh

1.05 –

Knock House   (m age)  w1 H3 I3 G3 9/4 S4 2nd 

Buckled   (m TJC) G3 5/1 S1 (ONLY IF 11.00+ BFSP) 

2.15 –

Aristo du Plessis   (HcH, m runs)  w2 14/1 S2 UP

Kelpies Myth   (HcH, m TJC)  ES+ H3 9/1 S3A UP

2.50 – Nendrum   (m TJC) 7/2 UP

3.25 – Elmono   (m TJC)  ES+ H3 I1 G3 4/1 S3A# S4 WON 4/1>11/2 

 

Bonus Irish

Tramore: 3.30 – Rockys Silver   (HcCh)  w1 w2 H1 5/2 UP

 

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KEY

Welcome INFO: (please read/watch esp if new)

  • Welcome Email: HERE>>>
  • Jumps Strategies: Where should you start: HERE>>>
  • Video 1: Section 1 explained/the 4 Jumps Strategies HERE>>>
  • Video 2: Longer welcome video HERE>>>
  •  Welcome Post, with more, inc all the above, HERE>>>

H1/H3= HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez GoldSpeed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Goldtrainer form’ indicators14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr3010+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES+ = ‘Elite Squad+’ = those angles from TTP stats pack with 10+ winners, 25%+ win SR 

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1won last start.  w2won two starts ago

The Jumps Strategies: Where should you start? Some ideas HERE>>> 

‘Jumps Strategies/results’: Jumps 2017/18/19 Read HERE>>> (updated to END NOV 2018)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone//Big Meetings Notes etc) READ HERE>>>

VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/Best of Stats Tips)

Daily Tips (2018: 28/322,100p, -22.2 ) Big Race/Festival Tips (2018: +143)

 

Big Race Tips

NONE today

 

Best of the Jumps Stats Quals? (29/120,56p, +35.8 , all 1 point win) 

2.00 Chelt – Born Survivor – 7/1 (gen) UP 7/2…hmmm, well backed, but faded tamely turning for home. The main danger Aso did it well, weight is irrelevant, esp on that ground, when you have all that class, as per ratings. Shame selection couldn’t put it up to him but winner clearly didn’t bounce etc, and wasn’t losing today. Damn. 

I thought there was a shade of value in his price here. He is still unexposed over fences and at this trip, goes well fresh, comes here in fine form (2nd ran well NTO, 3rd won) where he won easily enough and he generally jumps/travels well. He’s also got experience of the course. There should still be room in this mark given that according to his trainer he’s much stronger this year, so hopefully there’s more to come. They were aiming him at the Topham and I don’t know if that’s still the plan or not, as they were intending to give him a spin in the Sefton to experience the fences. So, maybe this is plan B – but it’s a decent pot and i’d like to think he’s here to run his race. Aso looks the main danger and he could just outclass them all here- however it’s not impossible that he bounces and this is deeper than LTO. I thought it was between those two to my eyes but that the selection may be a shade overpriced.

That will be all for today.

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3.Micro System Test Zone

Irish Angles

1.10 Tra – Cordovan Brown (16/1< best, 25/1< guide) 7/2 UP

Paddy Brennan (14/1< guide) 

12.15 Chelt – Jarvey’s Plate 9/1 WON 12/1 

12.50 Chelt – Perfect Candidate 14/1 3rd 

2.35 Chelt – De Name Evades Me 8/1 2nd 

3.5 Chelt – Book of Invasions 7/1 UP

D McCain (14/1< guide) 

1.00 Cat – The Herds Garden 11/2  WON 11/2>9/1 

2.15 Muss – Val Mome 10/1 UP

1.05 Muss – Knock House 9/4 2nd 

R Hobson (33/1< guide) 

2.45 Catt – Eureu Du Boulay 6/4 2nd 

2.35 Chelt – Lord Du Mesnil  14/1 UP

 

Jumps Fact Sheet 2018/19 

LTO Winning Hurdlers

3.20 Cat – Nemean Lion 6/4 UP

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

HAPPY NEW YEAR... to you all. Thanks for sticking around for another year and for your continued support 🙂 Here’s to a fun, enjoyable and profitable 2019! Cheers. 

*

 

Cheltenham ‘through the card’

12.15 – Darlac (for change/interest, fav looks tough to beat) UP

12.50 – Beware The Bear  WON 11/2>7/2 

1.25 – Defi Du Seuil 2nd 3/1 

2.00 – Born Survivor UP / Aso  WON 4/1>3/1 

2.35 – Vive Le Roi UP / De Name Evades Me 2nd 

3.10 – Clyne  UP

3.50 – Glory And Fortune  WON 2/1>7/2 

 

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Post Comments

Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

64 Responses

    1. Thanks William, you’re too kind! I’ll try and maintain/improve on the standards next year, a few things need some work my end. All the best.

  1. Afternoon,

    Well, good job i didn`t venture out today, so, onto tomorrows, get them up now before all the festivities start…
    14:00 Cheltenham
    BALLYHILL 6/1 gen 1pt win
    Well I for one am quite surprised that in an 8 runner race he is at 6/1 even 13/2 in some places, yes NTD is a little out of form, but, this horse has been there and got the t-shirt. I believe he is better than the opposition here and even though Venetia has hit some form i believe 4`s is short enough for ASO. He has matured this season and i think the weight on ASO will hold him back, can see only one rival and that is below…
    BORN SURVIVOR 15/2 1pt win
    Small fields and galloping tracks are the key to this fella, he goes well fresh, so the 60 days off doesn`t worry me. Dan seems to think he should go for the Topham, but, believe small fields are the key with him, the hurly burly of the Topham may be too much. He needs the better ground also, so, a big run is expected!
    14:35 Cheltenham
    JERSEY BEAN 7/1 1pt win
    Dickie Johnson back at HQ, also this one hasn`t been out of the first 3 in the last 4 races and i cannot see that changing here, think Dickie will make the difference here and the price is value.
    NAUTICAL NITWIT 14/1 1pt win
    This one is a speed horse, he does have top weight, but, 14/1 is too big! It`s not often Danny Cook ventures down here also, so, he is either here for Midnight Shadow, or, this one, just hope it`s this one!! Trainer in form also, like i said 14/1 is too big.

    As always, good luck with whatever you back and hope all horses come back safe and sound!

      1. Bit annoyed now as I didn’t have a bean on Midnight Shadow…knew Mr Cook had ventured down for one of the “Northern” horses, just didn’t tip the right one.

  2. Hi, been a member for a few weeks and this is my first post. I’ve only been paper trading and making notes so far but have been very impressed by the way Josh runs the site and the great community there is which is different to anything I have experienced before. I will be making a few changes to my tipster portfolio for the new year which will allow me to follow the 4 main jumps strategys, big race tips, Nick and Colin and a separate banks for each of these will be in place. I just have a couple of questions if you don’t mind me asking, firstly what do people do when a selection from the stats pack qualifys for more than one strategy, for example Born Survivor Qualifys for W1, but may also qualify for S1 if it’s sent off 10/1 or bigger? So do people just place a 1pt bet on it or 2pts if it qualifys for both strategys and how is this reflected in the results? Also I will be betting to BSP for S1 so what happens when a horse qualifys because it’s 10/1 in the morning when Josh puts the prices up but then gets backed in and goes off below 10/1. Do I then just then place all my bets to BSP with the minimum odds set to 11 so these are eliminated, and is this how the results are recorded for the BSP profit figure – ie the ones that get backed in when 10/1 was available in the morning are excluded?

    Happy New year to Josh and everyone on here and look forward to a profitable 2019.

    Cheers,
    Brad

    1. Hi Brad,
      Thanks for your post. Happy New Year to you too.
      It sounds like you’ve taken a sensible early approach when joining and you’ll be rewarded in due course!

      To your questions…
      Multiple qualifiers…well that is certainly personal choice- you can either have separate banks for each strategy you follow and back them when they hit said strategy, which can be multiple times – when I update/discuss results it is if backing multiple times as I just look at each strategy separately. Some may not like having more than X points on a horse, but I don’t have results as if backing multiple quals just once. Maybe I should start tracking those for ‘the four’ jumps ones. As long as you track results and are happy with progress over time that’s the main thing.

      S1 – yep there are two ways a horse can qualify against S1 – either 10/1+ on morning of racing when I add prices and the BLACK BOLD S1 or if they are under that on the morning (as born survivor may be) then if they hit 11.00+ BFSP – the video in the welcome bullets at top in Key explains how you can set that. IMPORTANT- if it’s 10/1+ on morning odds and has an black bold S1 – it qualifiers and the bet should be placed- it’s price thereafter is irrelevant. I track results to taking morning prices and BFSP – and it works well to BFSP as it does find the odd monster. How you back it/the price you take etc is up to you, but you can see the results (will be updated in next couple of days for Dec/2018) in the Key
      So for you – for S1… you can just go by the codes I add on the morning, after 8am, – a black bold S1- at which point you just place your bet to BFSP, OR if under 10/1 on morning, then set the min price of 11.00 which takes seconds.
      I hope that makes sense! If there is a w1, or a black bold ‘S’ symbol, for any strategy, then at that point you know they have definitely qualified and that’s an indication to bet! (if following said strategy)
      Ie – so Monday’s winner….His Dream… you will have seen the black bold S1 next to his name- that was an instruction to back him, the fact his SP was 8/1 was irrelevant as he’d qualified on morning odds.
      Josh

    2. Happy New Year to every single one of you. The most amazing bunch of people! Josh, we had a couple of splendid days and I am sure these will be repeated in 2019!

      1. Thanks Doug,HNY to you too. Yes we did indeed track side, great heady days! Can’t wait to see Super out again, plenty of pots to be plundered with her!

  3. Hi Josh. Happy New Year to you and as they say from Costa Rica – Prospero Año Nuevo.
    Have you any thoughts or antepost recommendations for Cheltenham festival in March

    1. Prospero Año Nuevo to you too!
      I don’t do AP betting at all really, my mind isn’t geared up for it as yet! I go all out Cheltenham week and, dare I say it, haven’t had a bad one yet…gulp… but I mainly focus on the handicaps etc, and go day by day, rather than looking in depth weeks before. I may do a post in next few days looking back at Leopardstown, or focus on that track LTO as got the odd angle for those, and many of my decent winners, esp in handicap hurdles, have been irish trained.
      I’ll get up an ‘AP’ post at some point, as there is usually some chat of interest in the comments etc, and many better AP judges than me around.
      Josh

  4. Last go. If none of these come in, I’ll stick to watching and following the more experienced lol
    C 14.35 Vive le roi 6/1
    C 14.45 Brave Spartacus 12/1
    F 15.05 The drone 11/2
    C 15.20 Bemean Lion 15/8

    Danny

  5. Happy New Year To All
    Just back home to the comfort of slippers and large glass of Glen Moray. Enjoyed the early evening beers and curry but glad to be home before the knob-heads spoil the night.
    Mike

  6. Happy New Year all! We end the month on +36.19 as advised and +21.86 to BFSP based on 1pt win bets and +532.33 for the year as advised.

    My arms have way to many marks as I keep pinching myself that this is real. Many thanks for everyone who has sent me gifts this year. Here is to an even better 2019!

    1. Happy New Year Nick, as a newbie early December i am absolutely in awe of your achievement and of course Josh and all the others! Very much hoping i will be joining those who send gifts in 2019. 🙂

      1. Happy New Year to all on here. Special thanks to Josh and Nick for providing me with such a profitable 2018, May everyone have a great 2019.
        Stephen

    1. HNY…he’s 5/91 all runners prev 5 years, 1/42,7p hurdles, 0/14,2p non hncp hurdles. Many of his runners sent off 25/1+ though seemingly with little chance.

  7. 1.10 Southwell 6 MONKS STAND (USA) Mackie, J 10/1
    trainer good at this track at this time of year
    1pt e/w
    2.20 Southwell 4 CUSTARD THE DRAGON Mackie, J 5/1
    horse loves this track & trainer good at this track at this time of year
    1pt e/w
    3.40 Fakenham 9 REGARDING RUTH Wadham, Mrs L 10/1
    trainer in form and this horse is super quick and will love it around this racing track.
    1pt e/w

    hny
    gl/gb 🙂

  8. all selections in one place, one more added.
    Cheltenham 2-35. Chameron @12/1 WH 6 places 1pt ew
    Exeter 2-35. The Bay Birch 10-1 1/2 pt ew
    Musselburgh 2.50. Green Zone 14-1 1/2 pt win.
    Fakenham 3-40. Regarding Ruth 8-1 1/2 pt ew

  9. I’m going for one last spin on Perfect Candidate in the 2nd at Cheltenham. Seemingly out of form but he does pop up out of the blue especially at his favourite track. Won a grade 3 here last year so hopefully he hasn’t regressed too much since and on a favourable mark with Paddy back on maybe a sign they are hoping for a good run.

  10. I’ve ultimately decided to go with variable stakes based on confidence of the selections (nothing to do with odds). I am now recommending a 100 point bank.

    About 30% of selections will be 2 pointers, the rest 1 pointers, all win only.

    Frustratingly, both these put up by Amdy Holding but that won’t always be the case!

    2 pt win 12.50 Che – Some Chaos 3/1
    1 pt win 2.15 Mus – Irish Roe 9/2

    1. I wish you the very best of luck Francis, my money is on and looking forward to the journey!!
      Best wishes, Tom.

  11. COLINS BETS
    Fakenham
    2.30 Aptly Put BOG 13/2
    Southwell
    2.55Pearl Specture BOG 25/1
    Catterick
    2.45 Eureu Du Boulay BOG 13/8
    3.20 Nemean Lion BOG 5/4

    ELITE BETS
    Fakenham
    1.55 The Very Thing BOG 2/1
    Southwell
    2.20 Me Too Nagasaki BOG 9/1
    3.30 Limerick Lord BOG 14/1

    Colins bets and Elite bets are always 1 point win never ew.
    Happy New Year to everyone.

  12. Happy New Year.

    I may post up more later when I recover from last night but here are two to start with in 2019.
    12.50 Cheltenham, Beware The Bear, 1 point each way. It has been hammered down to 5/1 now! Had a pipe opener and despite top weight can go well here.
    2.35 Cheletenham, The Jersey Bean, 1 point each way at 7/1. This horse seems to be improving and looks suited to Cheltenham.

    Good luck.

        1. Martin
          Only noticed your change of stake after the race had been run and this time did not effect the results,would imagine most people would have backed the horse early and many would not have noticed the change of stake for other things to do than watch forum all day everyday.
          For me not a fair practice for if it had finished 2nd you would have claimed it as a win when the majority had backed it win only,does not effect me for only ever do win only.
          Enjoyed Beware The Bear winning
          Cheers
          Colin

    1. No problem, yep fingers crossed! One of those is a ‘tip’ and one tipped by Nick also, maybe asking for too much for both to go in but fingers crossed! Gives you some room to throw in any you like also, esp the 12.50 which has a very strange feel about it. Have fun.

  13. RECENT TIPS
    Daily
    M 1.40 – Forth Bridge on 3rd run @ 10/3
    E 2.25 – Le Boizelo on 4th run @ 8
    S 2.20 – Esprit de Corps on 3rd run @ 22
    Festival
    C 2.35 – Bobo Mac on 1st run @ 20
    E 2.25 – The Bay Birch on 1st run @ 10
    T 2.20 – Last Goodbye on 3rd run @ 20
    3m+
    C 12.50 – Beware The Bear on 1st run @ 11/2
    E 2.25 – Big Meadow on 5th run @ 12
    GL

    1. Ah good old Beware The B- should have got out of bed earlier and i’ve had had him, damn! Another NTO tip going in… when you get a moment Mike, do you have any up to date figures for the tips on their next start, they had done very well for first part of year from memory.

      1. Just seen this Josh,
        will post end of year stats when I complete them in the morning. Should be done by lunch time. Mike

  14. Well, that must be an all time record. Having decided, just under a month since l joining, which 9 strategies to follow, and i am very happy with them today i have a Stonking 23 bets! Yesterday s was 14 bets 1 Won (28 Betfair EW) and finished with identical amount in Account that i started with.
    This site is sure is DIFFERENT and given the opportunities of such a portfolio approach i am more confident in it than ANY other so called service i ve joined and there have been quite a number in last 40 years 🙂 Looking forward to Einstein’s 8th Wonder of the world – compounding to cut in – always being careful of course with timing and making sure of sensible bank points and careful timing. 🙂 Onward and upwards. Happy New Year All John

    1. Hi John, I think I got involved at pretty much the same time as you. Just out of interest, if you don’t mind me asking, which strategies are you following?
      Thankyou, Tom.

      1. I’d be interested to hear also. This place is about choice and some like plenty of action, some not as much, all personal preference but of course if you’re starting small and have adequate banks, then all manageable. The other option of course is to go for a smaller portfolio until banks have been built up and are playing with bookies money. Some approaches are more proven than others also, and some have been posting for longer etc, so all about taking time- and not worrying about ‘missed winners’. I also think it’s important to leave mental space/time to pick your own horses, if you like doing that of course.
        A small ‘starter’ portfolio if you wanted…
        systems: S1, S3A# (one big odds, one any odds but mainly shorter/higher win SR)
        Tips: My big race tips, Nick’s tips (he’s the best among us as proven live, both profit and ROI).
        From there you have options. I’m hopeful my ‘best of’ picks will do fine in time, it’s been a good start. But then the likes of Colin have done well historically, Martin W is doing well, as is Stewart and others.
        So it’s all about choice. Francis and Danny’s approaches may be a gold mine in time, and Kev will get rolling on the sand at some point. And Martin C, once he starts tracking his P/L!! 🙂
        You can’t back everything but importantly it has to be enjoyable – which can be linked to number of bets. Less can be more.
        Josh

      2. Hi Tom, and re Josh’s comments,

        No dont mind you asking at all. Interesting to hear what Josh said too.
        Normally (and ‘normal’ seems to have gone out of the window since joining 🙂 )
        i would never have previously contemplated supporting 9 different methods/tips – each with its own Bank! The ones i decided to follow are as follows, although i realise i can change them as things develop.
        S1, S2A, S3 # , W1 (the 4 that Josh suggests to begin) and his BRT (Big Race tips)

        The other 4 are, Nick’s Colin’s Bets (not the elite ones yet though) and Martin Whittle’s. I have also just added in (for No. 9) Nick’s Best 3 Jump Stats.

        General comments –
        after 2 heavy days with 37 Sels … argghh, and 3 Winners/2 Placers i will see how it goes for a couple of weeks and what the average No. of sels is. Despite there only being 3 Winners form 37 i m only about 8 points down overall.

        Generally i will follow what is suggested approach by who i am following. I note that Nick’s says his are invariably EW tips. Contrastingly Colin said above his are always Wins (never E/W) BUT i chose to do his Pearl Spectre E/W as i got 28 for it on Betfair E/W. and it paid off with a decent return for its Place. I appreciate that Colin has i am sure sound Profit/ROI reasoning behind his advice!

        One issue i may have is that i have rather ‘imbalanced it’ because 6 of them seem to ideally need a 100 point AND have long – ish losing runs potentially. Teh other 3, S3#, W1 and Nick’s 3 best jumps each seem to need a 40/50 point Bank as their prices are lower and Losing runs hopefully the same!

        You will see that some go back further as Josh says, whereas Martin Whittle’s only have 2 months to draw on albeit his results are brilliant! Nick by comparison has achieved what is clearly a phenomenal success level and to keep that up or even a portion of that for the next 12 months would be fantastic.

        I hope this helps, but please remember i am new to it all too and only time will tell whether i have got it right for myself 🙂

        All the best and here’s to a very Happy and profitable New Year for everyone!

  15. Hi Everyne,
    A Happy New Year to all.
    No selections today.
    Our next door neighbours 18yo son had an empty house to himself last night. party started at 6pm, went silent from 10pm to 3am (presumably out clubbing) then resumed from 3am to 6am).
    Consequently brain is too fuzzy to see anything clearly so no selections.
    Swaffham Bulbeck in whom I have a share goes in the 3.40 at Fakenham. Should have a favourite’s chance but worried the ground will be too fast. Olly Murphy put it up as his best chance of a winner today, probably the kiss of death. Worth an e/w if he drifts out to 5’s.
    Hugh

  16. Okay lets try these.
    Southwell 13.10 Global Melody. BSP
    13.45 Oranate BSP
    Happy New Year To EVERYONE on here, I don’t post much but read the pages everyday, Thanks to Josh and all the regular contributors, so much information to sift through, thank you all.

  17. COLINS BETS
    Four losers today all well backed 25/1 to 12/1, 13/2 to 3/1, 13/8 to 11/10 and 5/4 to 4/5 so not our day
    Colin

  18. Saw the tweet by Josh about Racing TV – I completely agree that it was a ratings disaster. There was no continuity and the pundits were not required as there wasn’t time to get a word in because of the amount of Racing . The split screens were in operation far too often and watching the racing became annoying and wasn’t good viewing for subscribers
    It must improve very quickly or will be seen to be dismal failure and detrimental to Racing coverage in the UK and Ireland who moved to the new channel. I cannot imagine the powers to be were impressed by that effort and there will be plenty of other days (Saturdays in particular) where it will simply not work

    1. I agree today’s coverage was poor but it’s not often that there are 10 meetings running simoultaneously with only 5 mins between the start of some races (Boxing Day being the other exception). Also, it wasn’t helped by a delay at Catterick which was out of their control.

      Race starts are usually delayed until previous race has finished, whatever channel they are on, so if Irish racing had still been on ATR (now SSR), there would still have been the same overlaps and you’d have to flick between channels. Just too many fixtures today. When we are back to a normal fixture programme, I think it will settle down. As for not hearing from pundits, no big loss there 🙂

  19. Happy new year to all on the site, sorry its a bit late, being fairly new this seems to be a very ( warm feeling ) good site,
    Brian Wright

  20. all recent tips 3/10/17 to 30/12/18 (subsequent runs)

    Daily Tips (members/section 2)

    444 x 1st run, 50 x win @ 11.3 % sr, bog + 66.30, roi + 14.9 % / sp – 58.75, roi – 13.2 %
    416 x 2nd run, 47 x win @ 11.3 % sr, bog + 8.35, roi + 2 % / sp – 80.25, roi, – 19.3%
    265 x 3rd run, 30 x win @ 11.3 % sr, bog + 92.35, roi + 34.9 % / sp + 44.43, roi, + 16.8 %
    170 x 4th run, 26 x win @ 15.3 % sr, bog + 84, roi + 49.4 % / sp + 9.83, roi + 5.8 %
    81 x 5th run, 16 x win @ 19.8 % sr, bog + 30.50, roi + 37.7 % / sp + 6.0, roi + 7.4 %
    53 x 6th run, 9 x win @ 17 % sr, bog + 40.50, roi + 76.4 % / sp + 20.35, roi + 38.4 %
    40 x 7th run, 3 x win @ 7.5% sr, bog + 11, roi + 27.5 % / sp + 6.5, roi + 16.3 %
    29 x 8th run, 5 x win @ 17.2 % sr, bog + 41, roi + 141.4 %/ sp + 30.75, roi + 106.0 %
    19 x 9th run, 0 x win, – 19
    12 x 10th run, 1 x win @ bog– 7.5 @ sp – 9.25

    Festival Tips (members/section 2)

    205 x 1st run, 18 x win @ 8.8 % sr, bog +118.50, roi + 57.8 % / sp + 46, roi + 22.4 %
    135 x 2nd run, 21 x win @ 15.6 % sr, bog – 17.65, roi – 13.1 % / sp – 32.95, roi – 24.4 %
    78 x 3rd run, 5 x win @ 6.4 % sr, bog – 50.50, roi – 64.7 % / sp – 51, roi – 65.4 %
    45 x 4th run, 7 win @ 15.6 % sr, bog + 16.30, roi + 36.2 % / sp + 7.13, roi + 15.8 %
    28 x 5th run, 1 x win @ 3.6 % sr, bog – 13.00, roi – 46.4 % / sp – 13.00, roi – 46.4 %
    16 x 6th run, 4 x win @ 25 % sr, bog + 17.50, roi + 109.4 % / sp + 9.00, roi + 56.3 %
    5 x 7th run, 1 x win @ bog +4, @sp +4
    3 x 8th run, 1 x win @ bog + 6 @sp + 6

    3m+ (chase tips/free posts)

    161 x 1st run, 15 x win @ 9.3 % sr, bog + 47.35, roi + 29.4 % / sp – 4.4, roi – 2.7 %
    104 x 2nd run, 23 x win @ 22.1 % sr, bog + 96.25, roi + 92.55 % / sp + 71.25, roi + 68.5 %
    62 x 3rd run, 4 x win @ 6.45 % sr, bog – 14, roi – 22.6 % / sp – 24.25, roi – 39.1 %
    43 x 4th run, 4 x win @ 9.3 % sr, bog – 15.50, roi – 36 % / sp -20.00, roi – 46.5 %
    29 x 5th run, 3 x win @ 10.3 % sr, bog – 3.00, roi – 10.3 % / sp – 9.8, roi – 33.8 %
    20 x 6th run, 2 x win @ 10 % sr, bog + 11.00, roi + 55 % / sp + 5.50, roi + 27.5 %
    6 x 7th run, 0 x win. – 6
    3 x 8th run, 0 x win, – 3

    I will make some time over the next week or so to separate NH/Flat which will be a pain in the arse but help going forward as the impact on overall profit is greater than first expected when combined. NH is generally more productive which is no surprise given that the jumps is more Josh’s forte.
    Mike

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