Members Daily Post: 02/12/18 (complete)

test x2, Section 1 (complete) , test zone

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack

2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/other thoughts)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

*

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack

Carlisle

12.55 – Secret Escape   (micro runs) H3  7/2 

2.00 –

Barrys Jack   (micro distance) G3 11.4 

Wazowski   (micro runs) H3 I3 15/2 S5 (IF 11.00+ BFSP) 

3.00 – Western Rules   (micro age) 7/1 

 

Leicester

2.20 – Masterwork   (all Hc’s) 14,30 w1 H3 G3  3/1 

 

*

KEY

H1/H3= HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez GoldSpeed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Goldtrainer form’ indicators14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr3010+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1won last start.   w2won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)

NEW! Welcome Video 2018/19>>>Watch HERE>>>

The Strategies: Where should you start? Some ideas HERE>>> 

‘Flat Strategies/results‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>(updated to end Sept 2018)

‘Jumps Strategies/results’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>(updated to end Sept 2018)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes) READ HERE>>>

VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>

IMPORTANT: More Welcome Info  HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :)) 

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

*

 

2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/other thoughts)

Daily Tips(2017 Sept-Dec: 31/176, +110.75) (2018: 28/321,100p, -21.2) (1 point win /1 pt EW bets) Big Race/Festival Tips (2018: +150)

Daily Tips

NONE

 

TEST Best of the Stats Quals? (16/56,29p, +15.6 , all 1 point win, 7/1< gen) 

2.20 Leic – Masterwork – 3/1  (gen) (5/2, that didn’t last long after posting) 

2.30 Carl – Mahler Lad– 4/1 (gen) 

as of 09.39…

Masterwork – he could be a point shorter here having hacked up when last seen, with the 3rd winning well on his next start. He’s lightly raced, still unexposed, won’t mind the ground, the yard are going well and he should be fav I think – that last run is worth more than that of his market rival for me. There’s much more to come form this one and I don’t think 8lb will stop him. 

Mahler Lad – he’s the best horse in the race and 4s offered a shade of value I thought. He generally consistent over fences, could come on for his seasonal return, has no issue carrying big weights, races prominently, won’t mind soft, and he sets the standard in this. He should be in there pitching after the last> if he runs up to this mark – and there could be more progress in him- many of these have to take quite the step forward.

*

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

D McCain (14/1< guide)

12.55 Carl – Secret Escape 7/2

2.00- Wazowski 15/2

2.30 – Mahler Lad 4/1

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

*

Share on facebook
Facebook
Share on twitter
Twitter
Share on pinterest
Pinterest
Share on linkedin
LinkedIn
Share on telegram
Telegram

Post Comments

Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

35 Responses

  1. Instant expert system
    0/4 2 places -1.85 pts
    2pm Carl Monfass 1 pt each way.
    good word for Pearl royale in the 1.25 🙂

  2. U.S.Racing Tip Saturday evening – Del Mar race 7, 11.30 UK time, Carrick, 1 point each way, 8/1 now.

    1. The selection was a loser. We are now at +32 points from a once high of +52 points.

      I have decided to bank the profit and close this system down.

    1. When you go to the judges in boxing anything can happen. I know a guy who runs a boxing tipping service and his big worry is always where a fight goes the distance and the judges get involved.

  3. Today’s selections
    12.25 Carlisle 1pt e/w Ain’t My Fault 14’s generally
    3.30 Carlisle 1pt win Caraline
    Hugh

  4. RECENT TIPS
    Daily
    C12.55 – Baby Ticker on 2nd run @ 8
    …………Reivers Lidge on 6th run @ 33
    C 2.00 – Wazowski on 1st run @ 8
    3m+
    F 2.10 – Rogue Angel on 5th run @ 12
    GL

  5. Lambourn Trainers
    TEST
    1.45 Leicester Star Foot BOG 12/1

    Jo Davis Star Foot is in very good form. I’m hopeful for a big race from him today.
    Me won a couple of races in an higher class,ground no worry,jockey won on him before the only negative is that he has not won over the distance so must trust the trainer that he will stay.
    Remember only recording my reading of the trainers quotes,so far 2 winners from 4 at 9/2 and 5/4 BOG 6/4.

  6. Sorry lads I may sound a bit naive but has anybody received an email from Betfair saying they will no longer be offering bog from the 29th of November untill the morning of the race this will allow you to increase the number of 500 euro bets you can now place going forward if you continue to use our site you will have accepted these t+c’s
    I haven’t opened Betfair since I received that email on the 29TH has anyone else experienced similar or is this the infamous account is now practically useless email
    Aaron

    1. Just login and enter a large stake, betfair soon tells you what your max stake is. I did get the email (but no reference to 500 Euro bets?) and was also banned the same day but I think the two were unrelated.

  7. I seriously think they have me confused with someone else’s account I never placed a 500 quid bet in my life Francis I guarantee if I backed the only runner in that last race today it would slip up

    1. Lol this is the wording I got….I assumed it was standard.

      “We have recently made changes to the terms and conditions of our Best Odds Guaranteed promotion on UK and Irish horse racing and greyhounds.

      From 29/11/2018, Best Odds Guaranteed will only be available to customers from 8am on the day of the race.

      By continuing to use our services, you are deemed to have accepted the change referred to above.

      Best wishes,

      Betfair”

      But then £20 on Colin’s winner (10/1) seemed to finish them off.

      1. Betfair Sportsbook have introduced a guarantee to lay any horse to lose £500 from 10am in the day of the race. This applies to win only bets, not each way.

        I was previously restricted but can now get on with them, presumably only from 10am but I haven’t tried to place any bets earlier.

        They have also amended their BOG rules so you only get BOG from 8am.

      2. Hi Francis
        Blame me everyone else does!!!! that 10/1 winner returned SP 11/2 so beating the odds close to 100% once you are consistently beating the odds restrictions and closing of accounts will soon happen and it does not matter what size the stake is.
        Mentioned a few weeks ago that PP had not taken over Betfair for the good of the punter,noticed on the Exchange that more of the shorter priced winners appear to be returning shorter than SP,maybe more punters on restrictions are using the Exchanges and forcing the prices down i do not know.
        Colin

        1. I blame Colin.

          One of the sites I do a bit of stuff for does odds comparison between bookmakers. Guess which two are most closely matched in terms of odds available at any point in time? Yes, Betfair Sportsbook and Paddy Power. I am quoting the last three months.

          Bets odds were Bet Victor, Marathon Bet and Bet 365. I know some people find Marathon Bet a hassle as you have to proof your identity and age by scannin in three documents and then wait for a call back, where they ask you some ‘personal’ questions. This may be relatively new, I do not know?

          Irrelevant to us who the bookmakers wont let play in their street!

          1. I agree Martin. All this profit at starting price is becoming tiresome. 🙂

            Marathonbet do not offer BOG on majority of races.

            They allow me £40 irrespective of odds which is quite useful, particularly when backing outsiders.

            They are very competitive for football and seemingly increasingly so for racing. They are better than most in my opinion.

          2. In response to James, thanks I was not aware of that. Maybe my banning was linked to the new rules then.

            For everyone else’s benefit, this is the first proper minimum bet guarantee as far as I can tell as it extends to ALL RACE CLASSES. Minimum bet liability of £500. This is the furthest any of the bookmakers have gone to date.

          3. Thanks Francis.

            One thing to mention re this guarantee. If you were previously restricted, BOG will not apply.
            I took 7/4 Pearl Royale this morning with Betfair Sportsbook, it won at 9/4 less a 5p Rule 4.

            I was paid at 7/4, queried it and was advised of the above.

  8. Think Betfair new rules are good for punters. Hopefully stupid tipsters putting up selections at 5pm and killing the prices may refrain from doing so now bog removed until 8am. Though I doubt this will happen so 365 prices probably going to be more volatile

    1. When you are restricted to maximum bets of £2 I’m afraid that anything from Betfair Sportsbook is a waste of time!

      1. Phil, it doesn’t matter if you have been restricted. You will be able to get on from 10am on the day of the race win only with no BOG to win a maximum of £500.

        1. They still have some caveat about arbers, which is fair enough but I bet after a few winners they will just pull out the old “you are arbing” line. We’ll see….

          1. Betvictor have something similar on offer.

            Reading up on that would suggest that is also all race classes but from 11am.

            Becoming difficult to get a grip on with them all offering slightly different things.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.