Members Daily Post: 24/11/18 (complete)

Test x4, Section 1 (complete), test zone

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack

2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/other thoughts)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack

Huntingdon 

2.15 – Barton Rose (micro class) I3 G3 12/1 S1 S2 S5 

2.50 – Aquarian (hncp h 5 yrs, all hncps) ES+H3 G1 3/1 S3A# 

 

Ascot

3.15 – 

San Benedeto (m class/runs) G3 10/1 S1 S2 

Modus (m class) w1 H3 11/2 

Cyrname (m class) I1 4/1 

 

Haydock

None. 

 

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KEY

H1/H3= HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez GoldSpeed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Goldtrainer form’ indicators14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr3010+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1won last start.   w2won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)

NEW! Welcome Video 2018/19>>>Watch HERE>>>

The Strategies: Where should you start? Some ideas HERE>>> 

‘Flat Strategies/results‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>(updated to end Sept 2018)

‘Jumps Strategies/results’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>(updated to end Sept 2018)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes) READ HERE>>>

VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>

IMPORTANT: More Welcome Info  HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :)) 

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/other thoughts)

Daily Tips(2017 Sept-Dec: 31/176, +110.75) (2018: 28/318,100p, -18.2) (1 point win /1 pt EW bets) Big Race/Festival Tips (2018: +152)

Daily Tips

NONE

There are no stats/trends races I wish to attack, given a few of them are smaller fields than usual and/or have small enough sample sizes, so no ‘big race/Festival’ tips.

 

TEST Best of the Stats Quals? (13/39,21p, +17.8 , all 1 point win) (gen 7/1 or shorter) 

12.40 Hayd – Little Bruce – 9/2

1.30 Asc – Talent To Amuse – 7/1

3.15 Asc – Cyrname – 5/1

3.35 Hayd – Braqueur D’Or – 11/4 (3s in odd place)

that’s all for the ‘shorties’ test, 19.32 Friday…

 

Little Bruce – I thought worth chancing here as he’s likely to try and make all, appears to be a very good jumper of a fence, has a light weight, is unexposed as a chaser and does run as if well worth a go at a marathon trip. Trainer/jockey are 5/15,9p in the last 30 days and this one will try and put these to the sword. Whether he will be good enough time will tell but he’s up against a few old timers and a few who look out of sorts, and i’m not sure decent ground is what some of these want around here, even over 3m4f. It is Haydock of course so the ground could actually be heavy!! He’s the most unexposed in this line up and can hopefully be another win for the ‘handicap chase systems starting points’ test angle below. I was happy to leave the three making seasonal reappearance and I can can cheer old Alvarado home, 13 years young, without carrying any of my money. I thought Red Infantry may be the biggest danger but it’s hard to weigh up his form or whether the handicapper may actually have him.

Talent To Amuse – I was a tad on the fence with this one but then I saw that Lavelle had won this race before which probably convinced me at the odds. She is unexposed and reading some of the quotes was quite big and raw earlier in the year, with a frame to grow into. She’d had 69 or so days off before her last run at Wincanton, in a class 2, and she was beaten by the right horses there, both rated in the 130s and seemingly slightly better animals. She drops in class here, Noel keeps the ride, she races prominently and may appreciate this slightly better ground. I’m not sure there was much good in it at Wincanton. I thought she may be a shade overpriced.

Cyrname – I have visions of him decimating this field but time will tell if that proves correct or not! This horse is a superb jumper and he likes to blast out and get on with it. I’m not sure much will live with him if Sean gets him into a rhythm and this could be a big season for him. Nicholl’s has always thought a lot of him and thought this would be his year. He has some decent enough graded form to his name already and his form with Terrefort from Sandown reads pretty well, and he ran well in a decent race at Carlisle on his return. This stiff 16f may be right up his street and this could well have been the plan. Sean will have him in the right spot and he could develop into more than a handicapper. Well, he’ll need to really to defy this sort of mark. He’s open to progress still, will be in the right spot, and looked the one to beat I thought. He has the most interesting profile.

Braqueur D’Or – another one for Nicholl’s on a day that I hope he dominates. Harry is up at Haydock I assume for orders on Clans Des Obeaux but this one looks to have a decent chance to my eyes and given the decent ground and his race sharpness I thought he could be fav here. He has some of the best chase form in the book already of these, that Hennessy 4th reading well. He’s another who is open to progress this year and canny Nicholls may be trying to strike while the iron is hot with this one. He should race prominently and there’s a chance he has too much zip for some of these, if it’s good enough ground and not a bog. He could be getting on the short side but he may be the one to catch. I don’t know why Sue Smith would have Vintage a1 for this and risk his handicap mark, when there are some decent staying pots they could be targeting when the ground is a bit softer. If he’s fully tuned up, which he might be, he’s an obvious danger but this could be too sharp.

 

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

V Williams/November (16/1< guide)

3.15 Ascot – Gardefort 18/1

Paddy Brennan (14/1< guide)

12.55 A – Carlos Du Fruitier 12/1

3.50 A – Robyndzone 12/1

Autumn Trainers (14/1<)

1.30 A – Talent To Amuse 7/1

 

Jumps Fact Sheet 2018/19 

Trainers to Follow 

1.30 A – Talent To Amuse (14/1<, 6/1< best) 7/1

2.25 Hayd – Paisley Park (14/1<, 6/1< best) 5/1

1.40 Hunt – Snapdragon Fire 7/2

Jockeys/Chasers

3.35 Hayd – Braqueur Dor 3/1

3.15 A – Cyrname 4/1

12.40 Hayd – Two Smokin Barrels 12/1

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Handicap Chase System Starting Points (10/1< best)

12.40 Hayd – Little Bruce 9/2

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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Post Comments

Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

28 Responses

    1. Thanks Ken another one backed from 9/1 to 13/2 maybe would be best to take an early price if you cannot get BOG,for there seems to be a fair few of my bets are backed.

      Colin

      1. Nice one Colin .I got 9/1 in Lads .I don’t get BOG until 11 in the shops but most of yours come in anyway .Cheers

  1. Friday’s Results…….
    Ascot 1.50……Commanche Red…….. 8.6 Lose @ 4.8
    Ascot 2.40……Royal Village………….. 11.0 3rd @ 7.67
    Ascot 3.50……Distingo………………… 8.6 3rd @ 9.4

    R/t ……. 3W 23L +11.2

    1. i’m going to add 2 at Huntingdon after sleeping on it , they where both selections lto and would seem to have good chances today albeit they are both a bit shorter than i would like.
      1-40. Snapdragon Fire 7-2 1pt win
      2-50. Tir Dubh 9-2 1pt win

  2. RECENT TIPS
    Daily
    Ha 1.50 – John Constable on 2nd run @ 25
    L 2.35 – Just Glamorous on 6th and 7th run @ 11/2
    Festival
    Ha 3.35 – Vintage Clouds on 2nd run @ 3
    Hu 1.40 – Mister Universum om 4th run @ 7
    G 2.20 – Last Goodbye on 2nd run @ 4
    G 2.55 – Burren Life on 3rd run @ 13/2
    L 11.45 – Zoraya on 2nd run @ 20
    3m+
    Ha 3.35 – Vintage Clouds on 1st run @ 3
    GL
    Mike

  3. COLINS BETS
    Haydock
    2.25 First Assignment BOG 7/4
    Wolverhampton
    5.15 Fantasy Justifier BOG 11/2
    5.45 Hollander BOG 9/2

    ELITE BETS
    2.50 Huntingdon Pray For A Rainbow BOG 9/2
    3.15 Ascot Cyrname BOG 10/3

  4. I like Folsom Blue for Gordon Elliott in the 2.25 at Haydock. He is lower rated over hurdles than chases and they are not bringing him over for a night out in Liverpool and so he will have a go. 1 point each way as 11/1.
    Caid Du Lin looks a bit outclassed in the 3.15 at Ascot but Dr Newland can pick up some prize money in these type of races. He does not have that much weight to carry. 1 Point each way at 22/1.

    Good luck.

    1. thanks martin .. for re affirming my system qualifier caid du lin 🙂 nice one to finish my day on 🙂
      gl/gb

  5. No selection today after the frustrations of yesterday I am wary of trying to over-compensate. Also I am off to Lingfield to see Swaffham Bulbeck (3.40) in whom I have a share.
    He looks great e/w value as according to the form he is returning from 411 days of on the flat and 201 over hurdles. However he ran in a 1m charity race at Newbury 2 weeks ago, finishing a neck third, to get him fully tuned. The track does not necessarily suit his run style but he only needs a modicum of improvement from 3 to 4 to be very competitive here.
    Hugh

  6. Today’s possibilities……..
    Ling’ 2.00…No Nonsense…….. 11.0
    Ling’ 2.35…Princely…………… 11.0
    Wolv’ 8.15..Congress Place….. 11.0

  7. Afternoon,

    For those who feel brave, me included… I have backed ULTRAGOLD at 25/1 for the Becher chase, BLAKLION i feel is over priced again at 10/1 also, these two will definitely line up and their prices will not be double figures come post time, so, suggest getting on now whilst you can.

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