Members Daily Post: 18/11/18 (complete)

Section 1 (complete) +section 3 + greatwood shortlist

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack

2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/other thoughts)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack

Cheltenham

1.15 – Mr Mafia  (micro class) H3 I1 22/1 S2A S5 

1.15 – Ballyhome  (micro’s class and runs) w1 6/1 

1.15 – Unblinking  (micro LTO) 14/1 S2

3.00 – Old Guard  (micro distance) H3 G3 20/1 S1 S2A 

3.00 – Nube Negra  (micro HcH debut) 8/1

3.00 – Deyrann De Carjac   (micro class)  w2 10/1 S2 

3.00 – Not The Fuisse   (micro runs) 25/1 S2A

 

Fontwell

2.40 – Doing Fine   (micro down class) H3 6/1 

2.40 – Potters Approach   (HcCh)  w1  ES+ H3 7/2 S3A 

2.40 – Cap Horner   (micro TJC) 16/1 S2A 

3.15 – Westerbee   (micro TJC) H3 I1 6/1 

3.15 – Bonza Girl   (all Hc’s) 9/1

3.50 – Ballyantics   (micro’s runs and down class) H3 13 4/1 

 

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KEY

H1/H3= HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez GoldSpeed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Goldtrainer form’ indicators14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr3010+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1won last start.   w2won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)

NEW! Welcome Video 2018/19>>>Watch HERE>>>

The Strategies: Where should you start? Some ideas HERE>>> 

‘Flat Strategies/results‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>(updated to end Sept 2018)

‘Jumps Strategies/results’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>(updated to end Sept 2018)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes) READ HERE>>>

VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>

IMPORTANT: More Welcome Info  HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :)) 

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/other thoughts)

NONE.

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

Paddy Brennan(14/1< guide) 

4.00 C – Ask Dillon 

Irish Raiders (16/1< guide) 

1.15 C – Aasleagh Dawn 

3.15 F – Global Tour 

Irish Angles

12.15 Cork – Local Rogue 

2.30 Cork – Last Man Standing (12/1< best) 

3.20 P- LiarsDice 

Anthony Honeyball Mares 

12.25 F – Solstice Twilight 

Jumps Fact Sheet 2018/19 

Trainers to Follow

3.00 C – Equus Amadeus / Vado Forte 

LTO Winning Trainers

1.30 F- Pull Together (12/1< guide) 

3.00 C – Silver Streak 

Jockeys/chasers

2.40 F – Roberts Start 

LTO Winning Hurdlers

1.15 C – Aasleagh Dawn 

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Handicap Chase System Starting Points (10/1< best) 

2.40 F – Potters Approach 

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

GREATWOOD Handicap Hurdle

The three 10/10 stats excl the odds stat…0-8 handicap runs/ 0-1 wins handicap hurdle / 0-5 career wins … leaves

Western Ryder/ Nube Negra / Charli Parcs / Midnight Shadow / Deyrann De Carjac / Not That Fuisse / Equus Amasues

Price is always a guide but those with an SP of 14/1+ are 0/90,6p win the last decade, so focussing on those above 12/1< may do the trick, IF my stats profile holds.

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

17 Responses

  1. Saturday’s results…..

    Punc’ 12.35…….Beyond the Law………. 10.0 L @ 8.6
    Chel’ 12.40…….Quel Destin……………. 6.2 Win @ 4.75
    Ling’ 1.00……..Almaoktarr…………….. 11.0 L @ 11.0
    Weth’ 2.15……..Western Miller………… 6.2 L @ 3.3
    Utto’ 2.35……..Midnight Tune……….. 5.0 2nd @ 3.96
    Ling’ 2.45……..Primero………………… 9.8 L @ 9.2
    Weth’ 2.50……..Skandiberg……………. 5.0 L @ 3.8
    Punc’ 2.55……..Due Reward……………. 8.6 2nd @ 5.8
    Wolv’ 6.15……..Mackaar………………….. 8.6 Win @ 6.2

    R/t……. 3W 19L …… +14.2

    1. Do you not worry about the volume of selections here, in that in the long run you will need winners every day to break even? We have seen this with other contributors.

      1. Nope… but only cos I know that due to the efficiency of the market the majority of them won’t make the odds required. The real problem for me is predicting which way they are going to go in the market, cos they all look as though the odds could be realised when I post them. If not I don’t post them.

        Crystal ball anyone?

        1. Ok, good luck with this. Efficiency of the market! I look forward to seeing how this goes, very interesting, I like this sort of stuff.

  2. Evening,

    Well Baron Alco dug me out of a hole, onto tomorrows.
    13:15 @Cheltenham
    THEDELLERCHECKOUT 9/1 hills 1pt win
    SLIDING DOORS 10/1 Gen 1pt win

    15:00 @Cheltenham
    NUBE NEGRA 8/1 gen 1pt win
    STORM RISING 10/1 gen 1pt win

    As always good luck and hope all horses come back safe and sound.

  3. Minus 1 pt yesterday…dead heated for 4th. in a 16 runner race but down as a win only bet as price drifted…just one qualifier for today but is too short for me personally (currently 15/8 Fav with WH)to have a bet but here it is anyway.
    15.50 Font. Turban.
    Gd Lck if deciding to play

  4. almost gave today a miss but there’s a couple i just can’t resist
    Cheltenham.
    1-15. Vaniteux 22-1 sky 6 places 1/2 pt ew, running off his lowest ever hurdle mark surely will come good some time let’s hope it’s today.
    3-00. Mohayed 20-1 sky 6 places 1/2 pt ew, looks to be Skelton’s second string but i just have this feeling he’ll come on from last months run.

    1. I think Moyahed can prove to be a good horse this season. Vaniteux may be has just gone at the game but at 20/1 I guess you can have a stab.

      Frankel has a runner in the 1.15, Solo Saxophone. Should not lack for finishing speed if he stays!

  5. RECENT TIPS
    Daily
    F 12.25 – Neetside on 4th run @ 13/2
    ………….Silver Sea on 2nd run @ 7/2
    Festival
    P 12.35 – Makitorix on 3rd run @ 11/2
    ………….Mastermind on 6th run @ 9
    P 1.05 – Grand Partner on 6th run @ 14
    3m+
    Co 3.05 – Blast of Koeman on 1st run @ 9/2
    P 1.05 – Heist on 8th run @ 25
    GL

  6. COLINS BETS

    No bet today

    November profit/loss Bookmakers SP – 1.5 points BOG + 4

    ELITE BETS

    1.15 Cheltenham Palmers Hill BOG 8/1

    Novembers profit/loss Bookmakers SP – 6.8 BOG – 3.5

  7. Well everything that could have gone wrong did yesterday so here is hoping for a change of luck.

    Hier Encore Fontwell 12:25 1pt e/w
    Western Ryder Cheltenham 15:00 1pt e/w total (so if you’ve already had 0.5pt e/w AP would just have an extra 0.5pt e/w now)-Hopefully most of you are on at 14/1+ like I advised a week ago. The horse looks to have the ideal profile for this race and would have likely finished 3rd or 4th in the Supreme if it wasn’t for the fact that he was badly hampered. He hasn’t ran a bad race at the track. He goes well fresh and trainer has kept saying everything has gone to plan and I’d be disappointed if he was out of the places.

    1. I did do the 16/1 and have left it at that. I like Midnight Shadow at 11/1 as well for a bit of value. May be improving?

    2. Totally agree, think even if someone would have given me a winning betting slip it would have blown out of my hand never to be seen ever again….

  8. Sunday’s possibility…..

    Punc’ 1.40……… Nick Lost……. 6.2

    Is the only one for me today, everything else comes at a compromise or at a price we have no chance of getting. Not sure we will get Nick Lost either. Forecasted to be 8/1 in the RP. Probably the Rachael Blackmore factor that’s forcing the price down. Currently 5.7 on B/f.

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