Members Daily Post: 16/11/18 (complete)

Section 1 (complete) , test zone , Chelt chat…

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack

2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/other thoughts)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack

Cheltenham

12.40 – Lovely Job   (HcCh, miros class and runs) H3 G3 I1 8/1 S4 S1+S5 (IF 11.00+ BFSP) 

12.40 – Jameson   (micro LTO) H3 I3 12/1 S2 S5 

1.50 – Bun Doran   (micro age) H3 G1 I3 11/4 S4 

 

Newcastle

1.05 – Kovera   (micro class)  w1 H1 I1 6/5 

1.40 – Jet Master   (micro TJC) H1 G1 I1 7/4 S4 

 

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KEY

H1/H3= HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez GoldSpeed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Goldtrainer form’ indicators14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr3010+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1won last start.   w2won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)

NEW! Welcome Video 2018/19>>>Watch HERE>>>

The Strategies: Where should you start? Some ideas HERE>>> 

‘Flat Strategies/results‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>(updated to end Sept 2018)

‘Jumps Strategies/results’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>(updated to end Sept 2018)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes) READ HERE>>>

VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>

IMPORTANT: More Welcome Info  HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :)) 

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/other thoughts)

None.

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

Paddy Brennan (14/1< guide)

1.50 Chelt – Bun Dorran

3.35 Chelt – Coolanly

Irish Raiders (16/1< guide)

1.15 Chelt – Try Again

3.00 Chelt – Josies Orders

Fact Sheet 2018/19

Trainers to Follow

1.15 Chetl – Snapdragon Fire

Jockeys/Chasers

2.50 Newc – Dawnieriver

1.50 Chelt – Rock on Rocky

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

Chelt November Meeting Micros

I appear to have a couple of old angles saved in HRB for this Chelt meeting. One looks at the handicaps, GB or FR bred, aged 5. Those sent off 14/1 or shorter SP since start of 2014 are 8/21,11p, +58 BFSP 

One qualifier… 12.40 Chelt – Sky Pirate 

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BetVictor Gold Cup/Greatwood/Gen Trainer pointers : Report HERE>>>

 

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

34 Responses

    1. Welcome to my world Martin …. I wonder if things might improve when these vile FOBT things get there stakes reduced in April the whole bookmaking game is shambolic I used to be a putter on for Patrick Veitch back in the day we could get proper bets on then by todays standards oh for those halcyon days.

    2. I lost BOG with William Hill at least 6 years ago, but since then they have never interfered with the level of my wagering… so far. But I don’t bet big. With PaddyPower, Ladbrokes, BetFred and Coral, loss of BOG was quickly followed by restrictions to betting in pennies. My only BOG bookie now is B365. (I have been with them for about 15 years…… )

    3. I lost skybet a few months ago. No email to inform me id lost bog or stupid reduced stakes were in place. I had no choice but to stop using them which is also the case for PP and BFSB. With skybets new P/L feature i was somewhat shocked to see i had bet 11,000 and won 12,000 over a year. So restricted on £1000 profit. 365 seem to be up to something on my account. Bets are not going through first time. I’m about £4000 up with them in last 6 months so my time with them maybe up soon. They have been by far the best bookie taking my bets.

      1. Hmmmm, not sure – B365 have been tolerant with me for years. But I play it straight – eg not consciously taking advantage of their 4/1 offers. And their site works like a dream, in my opinion. These words are probably inviting disaster! If I were to be left with just the exchanges, I’d have to reinvent my betting.

    4. on a happier note after a conversation with skybet pointing out my longtime use and all the other sky products i have, loyal customer and any other bullshit i could come up with i have bog again and no restrictions 🙂

  1. Sorry, forgetting BlackType! I don’t seem to win much with them, but at least I don’t expect to get restricted.

  2. Grand Canyon Cheltenham 13:15 1pt e/w-25/1 Tomorrow’s cards look poor but I thought this one was interesting at the prices considering this is the first time the trainer has had a runner outside Ireland let alone Cheltenham and the form of his 4th really couldn’t have worked out much better with the winner winning again (and the horse he dead heated with won NTO) and the 2nd, 5th and 6th all winning twice since. I think you really want to be up with the pace if you have a chance of winning this and I thought the jockey booking looked ideal. The fav is very short considering the lack of experience. Apart from that the race looks quite open with a number of old tips. (I think Voodoo Doll might do well but his running style doesn’t quite suit this race or track)

    1. I’d be lying if I said I was close to it but leaving a former tip which was readily available at 40/1+ most of the day does leave me wanting to borrow Josh’s Opus Dei whip even if a had a couple of quid at BFSP on it.

      1. Grand Canyon was well positioned during the race but did not quicken up when push came to shove. Not a bad pick in a big field with an SP of 25/1.

        I like Nestor Park in the 3.35. Any thoughts?

    1. had an hour to kill this morning so had a rare delve into the world of AW ,
      Lingfield 12-20. Curious Fox 10-1, price looks about right ,missed start last 2 times but was finishing well lto when 2nd at Wolves, won on last visit to Lingfield at this level.

  3. I have recently signed up to HRB and been looking at the system builder. I have been playing around with the criteria choices, mostly track/trainer / win%/PL, these can very different depending on the amount of years you go back. Does anyone have any tips on what I should be looking for to find my own qualifiers? Thanks!

    1. Rob,
      My initial basic advice would be not to go too far back, but far enough to get a decent sample size.

      Chris

  4. Nothing again from me. After a feast last week that led me to start posting, a famine this week. Good for the discipline!
    On a different subject I see dear old Coneygree is coming out tomorrow and is available at 16’s with BV. Having backed him on every start in his Gold Cup season I have had to have a fun bet. No doubt the Bradstocks will be all over the papers tomorrow saying he is still the same and has been showing them a lot at home. I’m sure that sentiment will see him shorten considerably for those who like that sort of thing.
    Hugh

  5. RECENT TIPS
    Daily
    L 3.45 – Watch Tan on 5th run @ 8
    W 5.15 – Social Butterfly on 2nd run @ 13/2
    3m+
    C 12.40 – Lovely Job on 2nd run @ 8
    C 1.50 – Shanahans Turn on 3rd run @ 11/2
    GL

  6. Betfred have prevented access to my account without notice, saying I need to provide current identification. I have done this but I still cannot access my account. They say it’s under review. It’s been a week, how long does it take to review an account with 150 quid in it ?

    1. look up BoycottBetfred on Twitter and drop Paul a line on there. He will come back with some advice for you hopefully.

    2. Betfred was one of the first to close my account, if i remember right they did the same to me and after 3 weeks i sent them an email accusing them of illegally preventing access to my money and they just closed my account and credited the balance to my payment source.

  7. Two Race Trace races ;
    12.20 2-2 +£20.50 William Stone 1-❖-❖-1-❖-❖ ………Diamond Lady – 7/1
    2.35 2-2 +£2.13 James Fanshawe 1-❖-1-❖……………………..Cuillin – 9/2
    1pt win each

  8. Friday’s possibilities…..

    Ling’ 12.50 ….Storm Blitz……….. 9.8
    Chel’ 1.50 ….Peppay Le Pugh…. 10.0
    Chel’ 2.25 ……Jenkins……………. 7.4
    Ling’ 3.10 ……Queen Of Paris….. 9.8
    Wolv’ 6.45 …..Castle Hill Cassie.. 5.0
    Wolv’ 8.45……Kilbarchen..(2nd)..8.0

  9. Lets see how well i can do through the card at Cheltenham just for fun.
    12-40 Lovely Job
    1-15 Snapdragon Fire
    1-50 Bun Doran
    2-25 Count Meribel
    3-00 Josies Orders
    3-35 Double Treasure

  10. Feel free to wait until later but my only pick for the Bet Victor Gold Cup (Saturday 14:25) is Benetar 1pt e/w

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