1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack
2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/other thoughts)
3.Micro System Test Zone
4.Any general messages/updates etc
*
1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack
FLAT
Doncaster
11.45 – Tangled (micro age) 8/1
2.45 –
Shady McCoy (all Hc’s) H1 G3 7/2 S2
Daniels Flyer ( micro age) 9/1
3.15 –
Restorer (all Hc’s) w1 25/1
Reshoun (all Hc’s) w1 H3 11/1
Baydar (all Hc’s) 14/1
*
JUMPS
Aintree
2.40 –
Hells Kitchen (micro class) w2 14 G3 10/3
3.20 –
Baby King (micro class) w1 H3 G1 13/2 S1 (IF 11.00+ BFSP)
Luckofthedraw (micro runs) w1 H3 I3 4/1
Kelso
12.15 – Horst (nov HcCh) w1 7/1
12.45 – Landecker (micro runs) 7/1
2.30 –
Mighty Thunder (micro TJC) H3 7/2
Bennys Secret (micro distance) G3 10/1 S1 S2
3.05 – Simone (nov HcCh) H1 11/4
Wincanton
1.15 –
Skellig Rocks (micro’s distance and age) 12/1 S2
Leg Lock Luke (HcCh) ES+ G1 9/1 S3A . S1 (IF 11.00+ BFSP)
1.50 –
If You Say Run (micro hc debut) 30 H3 G1 2/1
Talent To Amuse (HcH, micro +c) 14,30 12/1 S2
3.35 –
El Bandit (micro Hc debut) w1 30 6/1
Kings Lad (HcCh) w2 ES+ H1 I3 G3 16/1 S1 S2A S3A# S4
On Demand (HcCh) w2 ES+ 28/1 S3A
*
KEY
H1/H3= HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)
G1/G3 = Geegeez GoldSpeed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated
I1/I3 = Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3
14,30 = Geegeez Gold‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30– 10+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr
S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1– won last start. w2– won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)
NEW! Welcome Video 2018/19>>>Watch HERE>>>
The Strategies: Where should you start? Some ideas HERE>>>
‘Flat Strategies/results‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>(updated to end Sept 2018)
‘Jumps Strategies/results’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>(updated to end Sept 2018)
Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes) READ HERE>>>
VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>
IMPORTANT: More Welcome Info HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :))
Contact: email: – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com
*
2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/other thoughts)
Daily Tips(2017 Sept-Dec: 31/176, +110.75) (2018: 28/318,100p, -18.2) (1 point win /1 pt EW bets) Festival Tips (2018: +152)
Daily Tips
None, I have actually flicked through all the jumps quals on this page and nothing really jumps out at me, at the prices. No doubt i’ll be wrong about one or two but didn’t wish to tip any.
*
Friday summed up my iffy form really. Plenty of positives, namely the stats in general in both section 1 and 3 are finding plenty of winners. (albeit not for the main strategies, with many on a bit of a losing run, but that’s why you must have adequate banks and start small) Sadly in two of the five races I looked at (inc Test below) I picked the wrong sodding one. I’m pleased to see that as so often a few of you good members made the right choice in the comments. You’re a wiser bunch than I at the moment. The 14/1 2nd at Hexham was just painful, esp given my run, having looked like she would swoop into the lead but just couldn’t get stay past the winner who dug in. Still, more positives there and that’s the sort of profile that should bring me joy if I can find some focus. One of you emailed me with the firm belief that I spread myself too thin and it’s no surprise the big odds tipping has taken a hit. He’s probably right. I’ll see what I can do about that. Jonjo’s – he’ll win a chase on his next three starts I suspect, esp if they have more confidence in the horse and race him more prominently. You get what you deserve when holding up an inexperienced chaser, esp at Warwick. Just moronic. Still, both comfortably beat SP, halving in price, but a winner or ten would be welcome now.
TEST Best of the Stats Quals? (11/32,15p, +17)
None, again none of the shorter priced ones looked that exciting. One Night In Milan may be the best of them but he’s up another 6lb and 5/2 felt about right, but he shouldn’t be far away as that doesn’t look the strongest race.
3.Micro System Test Zone
FLAT
The Doyler
12.20 Donc – Purbeck Hills 4/1
12.55 Donc – The Night Watch 11/2
JUMPS
Paddy Brennan (14/1< guide)
12.15 Kelso – Aristo Du Plessis 5/1
1.20 Kelso – Jovial Joey 3/1
3.05 Kelso- Troubled Soul 2/1
A Honeyball Mares
1.50 Winc – G For Ginger (10/1< guide) 12/1
Autumn Trainers
1.15 Winc – Buster Thomas (14/1<) 7/2
Jumps Fact Sheet 2018/19
Trainers To Follow (Lacey/Lavelle/Dalgleish)
1.55 Kel – Monsieur Co (11/1< guide) 11/4
2.30 Kel – One Night In Milan (as above) 5/2
3.40 Kel – Glorious Lady (as above) 13/8
1.50 Winc – Talent To Amuse (14/1<, 6/1< best) 12/1
LTO Winning Trainers
3.20 Aint – Theflyingportrait 8/1
2.40 Aint – Candy Burg (8/1<) 14/1
Jockeys/Chases
1.15 Winc – Skellig Rocks (16/1<) 12/1
2.40 Aint- Warriors Tale (9/1< best) 12/1
3.20 Aint – Mcgroarty (9/1< best) 8/1
4.Any general messages/updates etc
Stats/Trends: Wincanton/Cheltenham Nov Meeting: Read HERE>>
*
Badger Ales ‘Shortlist’
Well this isn’t the strongest stats profile in the world, as above in the link, so should be treated with some caution.
Those carrying 11-7 less (exc claims) / Max dist RUN 3m1.5f or further/Top 4 LTO or Did not complete… that leaves 10/49,19p, +60 the last 10 years… that only removes 7 runners, leaving…
El Bandit / Bigbadjohn/Captain Bucks/Fingerontheswitch/Sam Red/Sumkindofking/Belmount/Aunty Ann/Dancing Shadow
Those that WON on their last start are 5/10 in the last decade. Positives for El Bandit / BigBadJohn/Aunty Ann/Fingerontheswitch/Sam Red
Those with a win in last 3 starts from that list above : El Bandit / BigBadJohn/Aunty Ann/Fingerontheswitch/Sam Red / Belmount/ Sumkindofking
*
Blessed To Empress... forgot to mention she’s running in the 7pm Chelsmford in what could be her last race for us, before being sold in a broodmares sale 🙁 . I can’t make it sadly, nor if she runs one final time next Friday which is a possibility. I haven’t looked at the race in depth but the fav looks hard to beat to my eyes, and I suspect the rest are playing for places. She is up in class and may find this too hot but will give her all as always, and you never know! Not one to have a wager on I doubt, not sure, but of course being a shareholder I’ll find it hard to resist an interest EW nibble! 🙂
50 Responses
I am being treated to a nice meal tonight but looked at one race so a couple now and rest in the morning:
My Lord and Master Doncaster 15:15 1pt e/w-Will record to 9/1 5 places
Grey Britain Doncaster 15:15 1pt e/w-Will record to 33/1 5 places
SkyBet and Paddy Power paying 6 for people backing these. Grey Britain 40s on PP.
It was me….and he ate a lot!!!!
I am on Grey Britain at 40/1. I did like My Lord And Master anyway and so am on as well.
Good luck.
Well you kept telling me to order more and food is a definite weakness of mine particularly when it’s that good. Will go again. Thanks again for the meal mate.
Here’s hoping GB makes it as easy looking as LF just did!
blimey .. wakey wakey .. that’s the first leg of my super fandango goliath romped in .. thanks nick …. you make an impossible dream seem possible 🙂
it just doesn’t get any better than this for me 🙂
thanks top work
gb
The old ‘Group horse in a handicap’ there with Royal Line!
Big thank you for today nick. Really appreciate all the hard work you put in . From write ups to tips. You are one top class tipster .
Friday’s Results……
Font’ 1.50….Dino’s Benefit…… 7.0…. Won @ 8.65
War’ 2.00….Huntsman’s Son… 6.5…. L @ 8.8
Font’ 2.25….Waiheke…………… 10.5..L @ 9.0
Newc’ 6.45…Playmate…………. 9.5….L @ 19.9
R/T……….. 2 W.. 7 L.. + 21.05
Evening,
As per usual with the flat I’m taking 3 into the big one and probably still won’t come close and unfortunately it’s one of Nicks tips, sorry Nick…
Anyway hoping the jumpers will swell my coffers even if the flat ones go down the pan..
14:40 @Aintree
Romain De Sonaim 11/2 gen 1pt win
Warriors Tale 14/1 PP 1/2 pt ew
15:15 @Doncaster
MyLordandMaster 9/1 1pt win
Reshoun 12/1 1/2pt ew
Everythingforyou 16/1 1/2pt ew
15:35 @Wincanton
BigBadJohn 9/1 1pt win
Captain Bucks 11/1 1pt win
Good luck and hope all horses and jockeys come back safe and sound!
Today was my famine day . Had to come and luckily got on Lady Freyja, like i have said before, different gravy that fella!!
Onto tomorrow…
Helluva ride from Bryony Frost though, some jockey she is, with or without that claim she is something special!
RT +24.5
600 Ch Landue 3/1
630 Ch Monumental Man 7/2
700 Ch Crystal Casque 13/2
minus 3.5 pts. yesterday, with Little Choosey winning at 15/2 SP but not a big enough price to offset the losing bets…both Dartford Warbler and Frank The Slink were a tad unlucky for one of them not to win with both placing in the same race but were 7/1 and 17/2 so no place points as win only bets….Today’s Qualifiers below…as usual caution advised if playing:
11.45. Donc. Withernsea
14.40. Aint. Romain De Senam
15.15. Donc. Baydar
19.00. Chel. Young John
19.30. Chel. Squire
Gd Lck
The first Race Trace qualifiers for a few days:
3.20 Aintree Baby King 7-1 (Tom George has won the race twice from three runners)
11.45 Don – Tough Remedy 13-2 (Keith Dalgleish 2/2)
2.25 Winc – Secret Investor 13-8 (Paul Nicholls 6/10)
1 pt win each. So far 2 bets +3.5
two for today,
Doncaster 3-15. Lorelina 33-1 WH 7 places, the step up to 1m6f lto didn’t work but goes back to 1m4f where she scored a hat trick of wins this summer looks fairly treated and William Cox’s claim will help.
Wincanton 3-35. Kings Lad 16-1 sky 5 places, made a couple of early errors lto in the Sodexo gold cup but won a very competitive class 2 before that. goes on any ground.
both 1/2 pt ew.
i have a risk free bet on donny 1-30 of £9 so i’ve stuck it on Shenanigans @8-1
no joy down 2pts
I really cant find anything I like over the jumps today so just the one more:
Lady Freyja Doncaster 11:45 1pt e/w
Brilliant mate!!!!
Ha ha you are a legend indeed. I hope there are no undercover bookies on here or you’ll be head hunted at this rate and I don’t think i can afford that to happen. Seriously though, fantastic stuff mate. thank you
Oh he’s not going anywhere hopefully. I’ve started saving already haha. Cheque book at the ready. 🙂
Boom Boom Boom….he won too easy mate!
Find those that get up in a photo to keep under the bookies radar.
Where ever you took Nick last night Martin, please take him again tonight . Well done to you both. Great teamwork! Great tipping!
Scoop6
Brilliant and a 50% boost at BFSP over SP !
Bosh!
Great start Nick with Lady F, sadly I missed this post, but did back it from another source. So not too bad.
I only missed your post by 10 mins as I have been busy. As usual thanks for your terrific selections.
Sir Nick
You are a legend! Booom what a great start to a busy Saturday of racing. Thanks very much always appreciated.
Cheers
Steve
Thank you Nick….
Wallop …. quality Nick :0)
Cracking!! Well done and thank you once again.
The genius that keeps on giving. Perfect way to start birthday celebrations, thanks you!
Happy Birthday!
FFS, me and my mate who are members on here were playing footy for our over 40s team and missed it. Brilliant stuff again tho Nick.
RECENT TIPS
Daily
D 11.45 – Kings Pavilion on 2nd run @ 14
D 2.45 – Danielsflyer on 6th run @ 9
A 2.40 – Warriors Tale on 3rd run @ 12
…………Some Invitation on 1st run @ 10
K 3.05 – Avondhu Pearl on 2nd run @ 14
W 1.15 – Forth Bridge on 1st run @ 9/2
W 3.00 – Air Horse One on 2nd and 5th run @ 25
………….John Constable on 1st run @ 33
W 3.35 – Ramses de Teille on 1st run @ 9
Festival
W 3.00 – Smaoineamh Alainn on 2nd run @ 28
N 1.05 – Mastermind on 5th run @ 40
N 3.25 – Burren Life on 2nd run @ 14
…………Discorama on 2nd run @ 13/2
C 6.00 – Making Miracles on 2nd run @ 9
3m+
A 1.35 – Regal Encore on 1st run @ 16
N 12.30 – Arkwright on 6th run @ 66
GL
COLINS BETS
Doncaster
11.45 Presidential BOG 9/2
11.45 Roller BOG 11/1
3.15 Eddystone Rock BOG 12/1
Wincanton
3.35 Kings Lad BOG 20/1
3.35 Belmount BOG 25/1
ELITE BETS
Wincanton
1.50 G For Ginger BOG 14/1
Aintree
2.40 War Sound BOG 6/1
Doncaster
2.45 Fire Brigade BOG 15/2
3.15 Hochfield BOG 25/1
COLINS BETS
November
Bookmakers SP + 8.5 points all 1 point win
BOG + 13.5 points profit all 1 point win
ELITE BETS
Bookmakers SP + 1/2 point all at 1 point win
BOG + 2.25 points profit all at 1 point win
2 winners from 8 bets
Chris M Selections
Wincanton:
15:35 – Kings Lad (18/1 gen)
Aintree:
15:20 – Theflyingportrait (10/1 gen)
Doncaster:
15:15 – Eddystone Rock (12/1 gen)
As I scrolled down the page to post these I see Colin has already tipped 2 of my 3, so apologies for making them losers Colin….. Good luck with any bets today 🙂
Saturday’s possibilities…..
Kelso 12.15…..Horst…………. 9.5
Naas 12.25…..Saint Calvados 7.5
Aint’ 1.00…One For The Team 10.0
Naas 1.05..Espoir D’Allen….. 7.0
Kelso 1.20…Fixed Rate………. 8.0
Winc’ 2.25…Majestic Moll….. 7.5
Winc’ 3.00…Redicean……….. 12.0
Aint’ 3.55…Montego Grey…. 10.0
That’s all for jumps but might have a couple for Chelmsford this evening, just not had time to get through them all yet. So check back about 4.30 if you’re interested.
I’m sure that was meant to be a tricky looking handicap!
Yeah right. Lol. Unbelievable once again fella. That was won from a very long way out! Nice
Brilliant Nick, top start to the day!
I just laugh now, I’m all out of words.
Thank you yet again!
Inspired. What a way to kick off a Saturday.
Thanks
Hugh
Brilliant Nick great start.
Cheers
Kevin
There is something about people called Nick, had it from Dr Nick at the betting school as well massive winner you are the man
What more can I add to what has already been said Nick, other than thank you once again. Different class !!
Chris R.
tough to go against Nick but To be wild in the 3.15 is considered a group horse that needs give. Its drifted on betfair which seems to be happening more and more nowadays and can be backed at 20s+ 3s 5 places.
3.15 Donc To be wild 1 pt ew 20s+ 5 places
4.30 Chelms Tobeornotobe 1 pt ew 5s
0.5 ew double 16s @ 5s BFSB
Nick fantastic once again BF Exchange 23.53 even better
No more from me for today. Back tomorrow.
John Ryan had Lady Freya and the first two at Chelmsford…with two to run…at big prices!