Members Daily Post: Sat 27/10/18 (complete)

Section 1 (comp)

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack

2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/other thoughts)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack

FLAT 

Donny

2.55 – Western Duke (all Hc’s) 13/2 

5.10 – Miss Mumtaz (all Hc’s) w2 I3 8/1 

 

Newb

none

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JUMPS

Kelso

2.25 – Arizona Bond (nov HcCh) H3 I3 G3  9/2 S4 

3.35 –

Chookie Royale (micro dist) w2 12/1 S2 

Chanceanotherfive (micro dist) 9/2 

5.15 – Chanceiton (micro dist) H3  7/2 

 

Cheltenham

2.00 –

Minella Rocco (micro class) G1 12/1 S1 S2 

Perfect Candidate (HcCh, TJC) I3 G3 33/1 S1 

Laurium (micro Class) w1 G3 14/1 S1 S2 

Calett Mad (micro LTO) w2 I3 10/1 S2 S5 

Cogry (micro LTO) 9/1 

3.10 –

Modus (micro dist) I1 4/1 

Tommy Silver (micro dist) I3 11/2 

Foxtail Hill (micro LTO) I3 7/2 

3.45 – Goodbye Dancer (micro LTO) w2 33/1 

 

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KEY

H1/H3= HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez GoldSpeed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Goldtrainer form’ indicators14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr3010+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES –‘Elite Squad’ qualifiers:  Flat : HER 

ES +Elite Squad ‘Plus’ +   … those stats from stats packs with 10+ winners, 25% win strike rate. 

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1won last start.   w2won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)

The Strategies: Where should you start? Some ideas HERE>>> (updated end Sept 2018)

‘Flat Strategies/results‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>(updated to end Sept 2018)

‘Jumps Strategies/results’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>(updated to end Sept 2018)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes) READ HERE>>>

VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>

IMPORTANT:Welcome Info  HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :)) 

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/other thoughts)

None today.

I don’t have time to do anything justice this morning. Yesterday was frustrating… firstly all the tips were rubbish and may still be running so I won’t dwell on those. The stats/trends shortlists in bold worked well enough, finding 2 of the 3 winners, albeit Sam Red was very fortunate given the grey ran out when going to bolt up.

Really Super…she ran ok. Sadly she clattered 3 out which Jack thought lost her 6-8 lengths as it was just as everyone was starting to quicken. She lost a hind shoe and cut a front leg but nothing too major, and then didn’t jump the next that well either. She plugged on up the hill and handled the track well enough. A shame she made those errors as she may have been in there pitching for 4th but will have learnt plenty. There will be many good days with her and she travels as if she could win a race like that, and may go over fences one day also.  She’ll be put away for a couple of months now having been on the go for a while, to return March/April.

best of luck with any bets today.

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

JUMPS

Paddy Brennan (14/1< guide)

2.00 C – Perfect Candidate

3.45 C – Milrow

4.20 C – De Name Evades Me

5.30 – Robyndzone

D McCain (14/1< guide)

3.00 K – Lofgren

3.35 K – Val Mome

Autumn Trainers

NTD (22/1<)

2.00 C – Cogry

3.10 C -Foxtail Hill

4.20 C – Ballyart

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Flat 

Top of the Class

1.10 Newb – Spanish Aria

3.20 Newb – Muchly

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

Chelt October Meeting Trainer Stats 

5 years…

Paul Nicholls 

ALL 12/35,16p, +17 BFSP 

  • NOT handicap chases: 12/28,14p, +24 (simple micro) 
    • Top 3 LTO: 10/19,12p, +27 
    • 0 track runs: 6/8,6p 

 

Nigel Twiston-Davies

ALL 7/39,12p, +6 

  • Handicaps: 4/18,6p, +19
    • Distance: 2m, 3m, 3m.5f, 3m1.5f….  4/8, 5p, +29 
  • All: aged 5-8: 7/28,12p, +17 
  • 1+ run at track: 6/23,8p, +19 

 

Nicky Henderson

  • Handicap Hurdles: 3/12,5p, 18

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

14 Responses

  1. Saturdays Stats

    Flat

    Donny
    2.55 – Bolder Bob (micro age) w2
    ………Western Duke (all Hc’s)

    4.35 – Boy in the Bar (all Hc’s) w1

    5.10 – Miss Mumtaz (all Hc’s) w2

    Newb NONE

    back shortly with NH

  2. Chel
    2.00 – Minella Rocco (micro class)
    ………Perfect Candidate (HcCh, TJC)
    ………Laurium (micro Class) w1
    ………Calett Mad (micro LTO) w2
    ………Cogry (micro LTO)

    3.10 – Modus (micro dist)
    Tommy Silver (micro dist)
    Foxtail Hill (micro LTO)

    3.45 – Goodbye Dancer (micro LTO) w2

    1. Kelso

      2.25 – Arizona Bond (nov HcCh)

      3.35 – Chookie Royale (micro dist) w2
      ………Chanceanotherfive (micro dist)

      5.15 – Chanceiton (micro dist)

      That’s it I think
      Mike

  3. Nothing from the two selections tonight, -2pts. Back to Kempton again. Qualifiers:
    5.45 Fivetwoeight 5/1
    6.15 Redemptive 16/1
    7.15 Guroor 4/1
    7.45 Manson 9/2 & King’s Slipper 7/1
    8.15 Procedure 5/1 & Helvetian 7/1

    All 1pt win and a couple of rev forecasts in the 7.45 and 8.15 if you want to play.

    Good Luck

  4. Qualifiers re ‘Trainers with a 50% strike rate in handicaps in the past 14 days with at least 5 qualifiers’:

    2.00 Chn Shantou Village and Doing Fine
    3.00 Kel Dandy Dan
    7.45 KP Quality Seeker
    8 45 KP Thunder Speed

    Irish trainers with runners in England and Wales exc Aiden O’Brien:

    2.00 Chn Rightdownthemiddle & Swingbridge
    4.20 Chn Dinons
    4.55 Chn Cubomania

    Good luck

  5. 4 selections yesterday 4 losing win bets….3 place bets lost…1 place at 12/1SP returned +3pts @1/4 odds….= -4 overall loss on the day. Todays qualifiers below:
    15.15. Galway. Leap Dearg
    16.10. Kelso. Vengeur De Guye
    16.40. Kelso. Green Zone.
    17.10. Donc. Mr Wagyu
    17.45. Kemp. Rosina
    Gd luck.

  6. RT-4.5
    545 Ke Jack Taylor 8/1 & Glamorous Rocket 5/1
    815 Ke Lightening Charlie 8/1, Only Spoofing 12/1 & Polybius 6/1

  7. today’s selections.
    Cheltenham 2-00. Shantou Village 7-1 1pt ew, won’t want too much rain but still progresing after 4 wins as a novice 5th in Listowel national last time out won over 2m7f at Worcester before that, to my eyes even more impressive was his 8l 3rd to More Bucks in a class 1 3 runs ago.
    Cheltenham 3-45. Time For Ben 11-1 1pt ew, form speaks for itself 3 wins and 3 seconds in last 7 starts.

  8. RECENT TIPS
    Daily
    D 2.55 – Machine Learner on 1st run @ 8
    D 3.25 – Abel Handy on 1st run @ 11
    …………Just Glamorous on 4th and 5th run @ 33
    D 4.35 – Kings Pavilion on 1st run @ 33
    N 1.40 – Izzer on 1st run @ 20
    Festival
    C 3.45 – Sykes on 2nd run @ 16
    D 3.25 – Line of Reason on 6th run @ 25
    …………Abel Handy on 2nd run @ 11
    D 4.35 – Tommy G on 3rd run @ 28
    N 4.30 – Aquarium on 1st run @ 10
    K 7.45 – Zoraya on 1st run @ 33
    3m+
    C 2.00 – Dell Arca on 1st run @ 16
    ………..Domesday Book on 1st run @ 33
    ………..Relentless Dreamer on 1st and 2nd run @ 14
    C 3.45 – Regal Flow on 1st run @ 33
    GL

  9. COLINS BETS

    Kelso
    3.00 Red Giant BOG 5/2
    3.35 Iolani BOG 9/2
    Doncaster
    3.25 Dakota Gold BOG 11/1
    3.25 Copper Knight BOG 16/1
    3.25 Evergate BOG 25/1
    Kempton
    8.15 Polybius BOG 11/2

  10. No luck at Cheltenham yesterday.
    3:50 Tara Dylon 2pts each way
    4:10 Civil Unrest 4pts win
    5:15 Court Baloo 4pts win

    Good luck

    Ken

  11. Chris M Selections
    Nothing from me today, been travelling south since early and not had a chance to get a good look. Good luck today, got a few bets on from other members so I’ll be cheering something home today. Back. Monday

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