Members Daily Post: 15/10/18 (complete)

Section 1 (comp), test zone

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack

2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/other thoughts)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack

FLAT

Musselburgh

2.20 – Newstead Abbey (all hncps) ES+ 14/1 S3A 

2.50 –

Roaring Forties (all hncps) ES+ 5/1 S3A 

Gabrial The Tiger (m age) I3 11/1 

3.20 – Hayadh (all hncps) ES+ H3 I3 11/2 S3A#

4.20 – Restive (m runs) w1 H1 I1 G1 7/2 S1 S4 

 

Yarmouth

3.30 – Queen Adelaide (3yo+ hncps/m age) 12/1 

4.30 – Lunar Magic (m class) I3  12/1 

5.05 – 

Jack Nevison (m dist) H3 9/1 

Subjectivity (m dist) 13/2 

 

Windsor

Abandoned 

 

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KEY

H1/H3= HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez GoldSpeed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Goldtrainer form’ indicators14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr3010+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES –‘Elite Squad’ qualifiers:  Flat : HER Jumps 2017/18HERE>>>

ES +Elite Squad ‘Plus’ +   (rationale/ angles in link above)

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1won last start.   w2won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)

The Strategies: Where should you start? Some ideas HERE>>>

‘Flat Strategies/results‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>(updated to end 15th July)

‘Jumps Strategies/results’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>(updated to end 15th July)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes) READ HERE>>>

VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>

IMPORTANT:Welcome Info  HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :)) 

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/other thoughts)

Daily Tips(2017 Sept-Dec: 31/176, +110.75) (2018: 27/291,94p, -1.6) (1 point win /1 pt EW bets) Festival Tips (2018: +156)

 

Nothing from me today. GL with any bets.

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

Flat 

R Fell

2.50 Muss – Inner Circle 10/1

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

23 Responses

  1. U.S. Racing Tip – Sunday evening. Santa Anita race 9, 00.45 UK time, Little Juanito, 1 point each way, 12/1 available now.

    Profit update on Monday.

    Good luck.

    1. The selection finished 2nd at 14/1 and so a decent place return on the each way bet.

      2018 profit +39.75 points to date.

      1. Hi Martin. I just watched a replay of the race and the selection ran a great race and was just beaten on a head-bob. Thanks.

  2. AW Results Update

    Two winners at Chelmsford on Saturday and 1 NR gave us 6pts profit to get out of the week at breakeven. 28pts staked.

    We’re off to Kempton on Monday. Qualifiers:
    5.45 Spot Lite 5/1
    6.15 Island of Life 9/2 & Equimou 5/1
    8.45 Rose Berry 9/2 & Human Nature 5/1

    All 1pt win and I’ll be having a small rev f/c on the pairs.

    Good Luck

  3. RT -0.5
    545 Ke Ask the guru 3/1
    615 Ke Nine Below zero 15/2, Island of Life 7/2, Captain Lars 9/2 & Alsvinder 9/1
    845 Ke Jack Taylor
    Unfortunate that the system throws up 4 in one race, I think Colin once covered this issue and considered it better to back all, in case the outsider pops in. Should the shortest win it generates a small profit and will do me, (& Ken followers!) worst case – 4 on the race, I will live with that too.
    Good luck all

    1. Hi Kev
      Did mention that,your prices on the 4 runners if the shortest one wins at 7/2 you make a profit of 12 1/2 % not bad to the banks interest rates,human nature if you delete one or two from the 4 the sods law one of them will win.
      In the past when we had proper independent bookmakers they worked on 2% profit,now that the accountants not bookmakers have got rid of the independents i shudder to think what percentage they are working on now.

  4. Two bets yesterday ( both e/w)…1 lost …1 placed @ 16/1….. 1/5 of the odds returned + 3.2 so +.2 profit!!! …even at a fifth of the odds if you back e/w when the price is right you can break even if you have three losing bets so if you cannot win try to ensure you don’t lose!
    Monday Qualifiers:
    14.20. Muss. Newstead Abbey
    15.10. Win. Outback Traveller
    15.30. Yar. Tyrsal
    16.20. Muss. Hillgrove Angel
    16.25. Gow. Botanical Lady
    16.30. Yar. Suzi’s Connoisseur
    17.05. Swiss Cross

    Gd Lck if you are playing.

  5. Vena dAmore Windsor 14:10 1pt e/w Price available 25/1-Inspection 8am so you might want to hold off until than
    Oswald Yarmouth 16:30 1pt e/w Price available 9/1

      1. Shame given Vena was the only horse in the race with any sort of form in soft let alone worse and looked to have some very good ratings a decent mark based on her last run in soft.

  6. RECENT TIPS, all Muss
    Daily
    1.50 – Fisher Green on 6th run @ 13/2 (in a seller?)
    2.20 – Jessie Allan on 2nd run @ 25
    2.50 – Ventura Secret on 8th run @ 12
    4.20 – Hillgtove Angel on 2nd run @ 28
    4.50 – Mable Lee on 5th run @ 3
    ……..Lexington Place on 2nd run @ 7
    Festival
    3.50 – Line of Reason on 5th run @ 11/2
    4.50 – Silver Starlight on 5th run @ 12
    GL

  7. Lang Toun Lady of interest today. Taken very wide LTO at the start and not given a hard time when beaten after a poor trip. Travelled okay. C&D winner race two races ago (up 7lbs but won going away). Looks long at 9s from a better draw.

  8. Qualifiers in Handicaps where the trainer has a 50% strike rate in the past 14 days with at least 5 runners:

    1.30Y Shining Armour; 3.30Y Queen Adelaide; 9.15 Mularkey. Minus 10.5 points after week one.

    No Irish visitor qualifiers today. Minus 5.5 points after week one.

    Good luck.

  9. Chris M Selections
    Musselburgh:
    14:20 – Jacob Black (4/1 gen)
    14:20 – Newstead Abbey (14/1 gen)
    16:20 – Restive (7/2 gen)
    16:20 – X Rated (10/1 gen)

    Yarmouth:
    16:30 – Luna Magic (18/1 gen, higher in places but tracked at 18/1)

    Kempton:
    18:15 – Captain Lars (5/1 gen)

    Results fro last week to follow.

    1. Results:
      Re-Cap w/c 8/10/18:
      15 bets – 1 winner
      S/R: 6.67%
      ROI: -70%
      P/L: -10.5 pts

      Overall:
      419 bets – 75 winnners and 11 N/R
      S/R: 18.43%
      ROI: +11.38%
      P/L: +46.66 pts

      June: -10.4 pts
      July: +33.68 pts
      August: -0.97 pts
      Sept: P/L+30.25 pts, ROI: 55%, SR: 20% (58 bets, 11 winner, 3 N/R)
      October: -5.9 pts (ongoing)

      Been a tough couple of weeks, finding very few winners. This lull is what I was waiting for but hopefully it does not last long. This week is a shorter week for me as only selections Mon-Wed as I am away for a long weekend and I like to disconnect from all that is horse racing while away. It worked out quite nice last time, I went on the have an amazing July so fingers crossed for the same.

  10. Had a bit of spare time this morning so went through the Musselburgh card using the method I use to narrow down my selections. When I have done this in the past it sometimes throws up some nice winners but watch them all fail today. Some races have more than one noted so * next to it is my fav of the noted horses.

    13:20 – Lang Toun Lady
    13:50 – Couldn’t find value in any
    14:20 – Newstead Abbey* & Jacob Black
    14:50 – Couldn’t find value in any
    15:20 – Rousayan
    15:50 – Line of Reason
    16:20 – Restive & X Rated*
    16:50 – Lexington Place* & One Boy

    These are not tips, just scribbles on paper. Although I may have an EW multiple over a some of them for interest. Good luck with whatever you bet today 🙂

    1. Well I think I might go crawl under the rock where this idea came from…. my four horse shortlist for each race so far has had the winner but I ended up highlighting the wrong ones. My luck right now

  11. well i suppose it’s time i crawled out from under my rock and put up some tips that i’ll keep a proper record of, if there’s some logic i’ll put up my thinking but sometimes i just go with my gut so beware.
    Hereford 2-20 . Stonemadforspeed 12-1 1/2 pt ew , drops into a C5 and runs off only 2lb higher than his win over this distance in a c4 around this time last year.
    Hereford 3-55. Dreamsoftheatre 7-1 1/2 pt win, has been in great form recently but has to overcome running off the highest mark he’s won off for three years that said 7-1 looks good value.

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