Members Daily Post: 07/10/18 (complete)

Section 1 (comp) test zone

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack

2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/other thoughts)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack

JUMPS

Kelso

4.25 – Simply Ned (all Hc’s, HcCh) w2 14 ES+ H1 I1 G1 9/4 S3A# S4 

Uttoxeter

3.35 – Notwhatiam (micro TJC) ES+ 2/1 S3A 

 

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KEY

H1/H3= HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez GoldSpeed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Goldtrainer form’ indicators14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr3010+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES –‘Elite Squad’ qualifiers:  Flat : HER Jumps 2017/18HERE>>>

ES +Elite Squad ‘Plus’ +   (rationale/ angles in link above)

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1won last start.   w2won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)

The Strategies: Where should you start? Some ideas HERE>>>

‘Flat Strategies/results‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>(updated to end 15th July)

‘Jumps Strategies/results’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>(updated to end 15th July)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes) READ HERE>>>

VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>

IMPORTANT:Welcome Info  HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :)) 

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any Tips/Notes (Daily Tips/Festival Tips/other thoughts)

Daily Tips(2017 Sept-Dec: 31/176, +110.75) (2018: 27/285,94p, +6.4) (1 point win /1 pt EW bets) Festival Tips (2018: +156)

None today.

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

Jumps

D McCain (14/1<)

2..50 K- Man Look 3/1

5.25 K – Boogie Life 6/1

Autumn Trainers

NTD

4.35 U – Ballyart  12/1

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Handicap Chase System Starting Points

5.05 U – Polished Rock 11/4

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4.Any general messages/updates etc

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

14 Responses

  1. I’ll put tomorrow’s Section 1 up now and Josh will be back at some point to add ratings
    JUMPS

    KELSO

    4.25 – Simply Ned (all Hc’s, HcCh) ES+ w2

    UTTOXETER

    2.30 – Zamparelli (micro TJC) ES+ w1w2

    3.35 – Notwhatiam (micro TJC) ES+

  2. COLINS BETS

    No bet today

    After three 2nds and 2 losers today,Octobers profit is
    Bookmakers SP + 1.125 points
    BOG + 1.5 points

  3. A bit of a betting bloodbath today, with 1 winner (7\2) from 7 qualifiers.

    On Sunday, the Skeltons are 45% win/ 63% place with runners at Uttoxeter last twelve months. They have a good few runners, most of them shorties. I will pass and crawl under a stone, licking my wounds…..

  4. Hi Ken,
    two good priced winners out of four fantastic well done,down the pub to celebrate your success any excuse will do.
    Cheers
    Colin Hic

    1. Cheers Colin. The rest of my bets today were pretty poor but those saved the day. After a poor start to the week, +15pts today to end the week on +4pts.

  5. Nice 7/2 SP winner for TTS on Saturday.

    Sunday :

    TTS “A””
    15:25 Kelso – Ask Paddington
    17:05 Uttoxeter – Baily Sunset

    TTS “B”
    14:50 Kelso – Chookie Royale
    15:25 Kelso – Rock N Rolla

  6. Is it me or a betting markets getting more volatile? I noticed stat of the day put one up at 10/3. when I saw it it was 10/1 and thought today probably wasn’t the day. SP was 20/1 That’s some drift going the other way. obviously we notice more when they come in. Are odds compilers so wrong or Betfair so right?

    1. no it’s not you i have found this happening more and more recently, not sure what’s going on whether it’s the bookies not having compilers that know the job or just an anomaly that will sort itself out.

    2. There has been a regular pattern that I have observed, at least, with some drifters.
      They are horses that have been backed overnight, with a chance on form. Then early to mid morning, a ‘message’ goes out that they will not be tried with, and the barge effect begins, and the layers collect their eggs for the rest of the day.

      1. I think that the bookies are aware of not putting in generous odds the night before just in case. As SOTD comes out circa 7 PM the night before if gets caught up in this.

  7. 3.00 Uttox – Let’s Get At It 9/1
    Sheehan and Murphy have won last 5 of 6 together. This one’s first start for the yard, who are running at 30% s/r over the last week.

    4.25 Kelso – TheFlyingPortrait 7/1
    One of Ben Aitken’s Summer Stunners and ticks all of his optimal criteria and 5lb under LWM. 2 from 3 at the track but needs to turn the form around with Vosne Romanee. It gets 2lbs for a 6 length defeat last time they met, but VR performs better with shorter turnaround time and hasn’t run at the track before.

  8. RECENT TIPS
    Daily
    L 1.20 – Star Terms on 1st run @ 6
    K 4.25 – Theflyingportrait on 1st run @ 15/2
    K 5.25 – Rorys Valentine on 2nd run @ 25
    U 5.05 – Chantara Rose on 2nd run @ 8
    …………Psychocandy on 5th run @ 5
    Festival
    K 4.25 – Theflyingportrait on 3rd and 4th run @ 15/2
    GL
    Mike

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