Free Daily Post: 13/08/18 (complete)

nothing again from me, a couple of articles you may have missed…

Nothing again from me today on the free post.

Don’t forget if you want something to read, there are a couple of recent articles that may interest you…

– my review of Goodwood/Galway, HERE>>>

-Fitzdares: An Odd Definition for Diversity HERE>>>

 

Josh

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

5 Responses

    1. Flat profit Wk 5 = 3.6 @ bog (sp -13.55) for total of 30.675
      Runners since start = 176
      winners = 37
      s/r = 21%
      roi = 17%
      plcs inc win = 70, s/r 40%

      NH profit Wk 3 = 5.5 @ bog (sp 3.8) for total of 24.75
      runners = 31
      winnners = 7
      s/r = 22.5 %
      roi = 80%
      plcs inc win = 14, s/r 45%

  1. Monday 13th August
    Things did not pan out last week with two of my favourites, Fanaar and Sergei Prokofiev getting beaten.
    A very disappointing run from Sergei Prokofiev in The Phoenix. Too free and fighting for his head early, then showed nothing when asked, eventually finished last beaten over 6l. There must have been something wrong with him to finish behind The Irish Rover even with the pulling.
    Turning to others I have liked a lot, my most profitable horse of the season, Greeley, goes in the 1mile 6.30pm at Windsor. Can he win a third nursery on the trot? Can he step up to a mile? This looks difficult to work out. Below are latest comments on all the rivals
    Revich – Strongly made chunky. 77 (seen at Goodwood)
    Royal Big Night – (not seen)
    Water Diviner – 74 OR too high (seen at Goodwood, same race as Revich)
    Dombra – 74 Strong type (seen 3 times)
    Salam Zayed – Bit fat for debut but ok at a modest level. 73
    Greeley – (written after last run) – A great result yesterday with Greeley, although still displaying an odd head carriage and looking a bit difficult to convince getting up late on and in the end winning comfortably. It was probably an even better performance than the bare result suggests. The ground had gone from g/f that he won on before to soft, he raced wide with little cover for most of the race. In addition to this his head carriage is odd, he does not really nod, holding his head very stiffly. I am beginning to think that maybe it is just a physical characteristic and not thinking. That said it may limit him as a good nodding action aids efficient breathing. He looks to have filled out well and his strength to get up and win going away suggests we may be able to go to this well once more. My initial rating for him was 70, he raced off an OR of 66 today. Hopefully he will only get put up 6lbs to 74. I would think this performance and his increased strength should mean that he has developed to around 76 on my ratings and he may still be well in nto.
    Max Guevara (not seen)
    Conclusion – Despite going up 12lbs from his initial mark I still have Greeley well in with all his rivals other than Royal Big Night who I cannot comment on as I have not seen him. He has won his last two looking to have something in hand as he is still a bit wayward, holding his head high and hanging when asked to really go about his business. Slight concern that he may get trapped on the rails from his inside draw and not be able to get out to make his run, on the other hand he has always looked as if he would win further over the extra furlong he gets today and they usually drift wider in the last 2f. 1pt win Greeley Biggest danger other than the favourite who I have not seen, Revich.

    1. sorry to be a pain but if you have a chance could you look at the first 2 races at Beverley thursday as i’m going and haven’t a clue with 2YO’s . all the best…..Martin

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