Members Daily Post: 03/08/19 (complete)

Tips x4 (inc Galway)/ write ups, Section 1 (comp) , test zone, Galway/Goodwood/Thirsk

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

FLAT 

Goodwood

3.00 – 

Masham Star (all hncps/3yo+) I3 G3 28/1 

Poet’s Society (all hncps/3yo+) 20/1 

 

Newmarket (July) 

8.30 – 

Zeyzoun (all hncps/3yo+) 11/1 

Ice Lord (all hncps/3yo+) I3 G3 15/2 

 

Musselburgh

5.40 – Itlaaq (4yo+) w2 I3 5/1 

6.45 – 

How Bizarre (all hncps) 4/1 

Sureyoutoldme (m class move) 8/1 

7.20 – Royal Brave (all hncps + m going) ES+I3 G3 11/2 S3A#

8.50 – Pea Shooter (all hncps) I3 11/2 

 

Thirsk 

None. 

 

JUMPS

Bangor 

2.35 – Premier King (m TJC) w2 w1 14,30 H3 13/8 

3.45 – Winner Massagot (m TJC) 14,30 9/1 

4.20- 

Get Ready Freddy (m TJC) 14,30 I1 4/1 

Wazowski (m dist move) 14,30 H1 I3 9/1  S5 (IF 11.00+ BFSP) 

4.50 – Handy Hollow (m class/distance) 14,30 H3 I3 7/1 

 

Irish Bonus Stats

7.55 Galway – Spider Webb H1 7/1 S5 (IF 11.00+ BFSP) 

8.25 Galway – Top of The Ra 14/1 S2 

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KEY

H1/H3= HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez GoldSpeed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Gold‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30– 10+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES –‘Elite Squad’ qualifiers:  Flat : HER Jumps 2017/18HERE>>>

ES +– Elite Squad ‘Plus’ +   (rationale/ angles in link above)

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1– won last start.   w2– won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)

The Strategies: Where should you start? Some ideas HERE>>>

‘Flat Strategies/results‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>(updated to end 15th July)

‘Jumps Strategies/results’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>(updated to end 15th July)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes/David Peat Profiles) READ HERE>>>

VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>

IMPORTANT: Welcome Info  HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :)) 

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

*

2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

Daily Tips (2017 Sept-Dec: 31/176, +110.75) (2018: 18/186,65p, +5.4) (1 point win bets) Festival Tips (2018: +148)

Daily Tips

NONE… Festival tips below, for the 3pm Goodwood and then 7.55 and 8.25 Galway…

 

Festival Tips

3.00 Goodwood

Escobar – 2 points win – 13/2 (Coral/Betf) 6/1 (gen) 

Isomer – 1 point win -33/1 (Lad/WH) 28/1 (gen)

(‘the machine’ may be worth a look when more liquidity, not this evening!,55s+ not impossible)

I have used some stats/trends for this… 10/10 were aged 6 or younger, 10/10 top 3 at least once last 3 runs, 10/10 2-5 career wins. That leaves 9… Seniority, Escobar, Fire Brigade, Repercussion, Cape Byron, Oiginal Choice, Zwayyan, Isomer, Hayadh

Those drawn in box 16 or higher are 0/116,11p in the last 20 years and if that holds true this year, Cape B, Original Choice and Zwayyan are done for from that list. I’m sure Fire Brigade needs a hydrant to burst on track and so does Repercussion. I think they need more cut and in any case don’t look in the best of form, but maybe Bell’s will run well. Those that ran at Ascot LTO are 0/50,13p in the last decade. It doesn’t appear to be the perfect prep track for this race. Seniority has that to overcome and is short for one that is usually held up. His draw is good on paper but may not be if he has a wall of horses in front of him. Maybe they will go forward and he will do me, but i’ll take him on. 

That leaves three… I will mention Hayadh (name your price…). I may have had change on at 100.00 ‘just in case’ but I don’t think he’s in any sort of form or will be good enough. IF he repeated that Wetherby run though, he’d outrun these odds. Fanning is on which I found interesting and in a race without much pace on paper, he may race prominent. If he ran up to his best he may place, i’d be a bit sick if he stayed there and won! Surely he won’t, but i’ve seen a biggie on a stats shortlist go in once at Goodwood earlier in the week… 

Escobar… Nick is probably messaging me as I write because my record when I go beyond my usual 1 point is rather abject, as he likes to remind me. It does represent a certain level of confidence as he ticks so many boxes here. He shows up well on the stats and is well drawn. I’d like to think Tudhope may race him more prominently here and I wouldn’t fall off my seat if this had been the plan given the size of pot. At Sandown the last day he was given a rather impossible task from near the back. He was given a very patient ride and the Hannon horse got first run. That horse was thoroughly unexposed and is clearly smart. Escobar showed a good turn of foot mid race to my eye having watching it back and ran like a horse with a bit in hand still. He dismissed Via Serendipity in 3rd who I since tipped at Ascot where he ran a credible fourth in a decent handicap. This former listed winner as a juvenile also showed his class at Haydock three runs ago. He cut through the field with ease and won fairly snugly come the line, beating a lot of in form horses in the process. He has never run well at Ascot so am happy to ignore that run. With any luck they’ve been holding him up recently to get him to settle into his races. I hope they race him just behind the pace here, pounce a couple from home and win going away. Knowing my luck they will hold him up again and he will find all sorts of trouble, but Danny T isn’t usually that stupid in this scenario. His turn of foot may come in handy.  The yard is in red hot form and there’s just something about his recent runs which makes me think today is the day he may show some real class. He has track experience and he’s sure to relish the drying ground, which can’t be said for plenty in here. They also put the TT on first time. Maybe they don’t want to leave anything to chance! Oh, and he’s top rated on Geegeez with a big speed figure and second in on HRB. The numbers back up the visuals. 8 of the last 21 (8/35 runners or so) were sent off at 6/1 or shorter. 

Isomer…a bit of a flyer but he ticks plenty of boxes and I found it interesting that Norton has been booked. Given the lack of pace on paper his draw could be ok (a horse has won from this wide in the last decade) and I expect Norton to get him racing prominently. He seems to run very well or not so well but it could be that rattling fast ground has done for him on two of his recent runs. It is drying out here but with the addition of some fresh ground also, it shouldn’t be ratting quick just yet. If he repeated his Newmarket run from earlier in the season or even that Chelmsford win, he’d out-run these odds I think. He could take it up deep into this race and be the one to pass. He appeared to be too free the last day and as I said may have hated the going. He could just be in and out but he hits the main stats and is an interesting outsider. I was happy to have a stab. If he ran to his best here, he’d be in the shake up. 

Clearly I may not have mentioned the winner but hopefully they can both run well. Poet’s Society is interesting given he is the only out and out front runner in the race, drawn 7, Dettori booked. I’m not sure why she should bounce back to form here though. He did have to use up too much energy earlier in the week and this easier 8f may just be fine. He may be another interesting outside for the in form Johnston yard. 

 

Galway

7.55 Galway – A Rated – 1 point EW – 12/1 (unibet/BV) 11/1 (gen) (various EW terms 4 places) 

8.25 Galway – Top Othe Ra – 1 point EW – 14/1 (gen) (1/4 3 places) 

 

A Rated… If this one is A1 here i’m rather hoping he bounces out and destroys this lot from the front. IF he were to repeat that excellent run at Punchestown in a deep Grade A novice handicap I think he will. Or in any case, i’d be rather shocked if he didn’t place in the top 4. He only found one too good in that race, the classy Kemboy who had too much for him. However he stuffed the rest and had most of the field strung out turning for home. That run was after 190 days off and he got a bit tired jumping the last two fences. This track should suit his style and it isn’t as stiff as Punchestown in general, albeit a long climb to the line. The HDB stats below, and the pace map, was the ‘way in’ and I thought 11s/12s  looked fair here. He injured himself when last seen but it can’t have been too serious and I hope this has been the plan. HDB is in fine form, can ready them after a break, and does well here with his more fancied handicap chasers. Hopefully he jumps off in the lead and doesn’t see another rival. I thought he looked most interesting in here. 

Top Othe Ra… this horse won this race last year and I didn’t see any reason why he wouldn’t run his race again, now the ground has come right for him. I’m sure plenty in here want a sounder surface than this. He won last year’s race well enough and then followed up with a couple more wins. At the beginning of this year he was running in graded novice hurdles before a break and then having three spins on the flat. I’d like to think a race this week has been the plan, and he was a reserve in earlier handicaps here. He is fit, handles the ground and stays well in conditions. He also love the track having run here four times, winning twice and only finishing unplaced once. T Mullins is 5/8,6p in 17f< handicaps at the meeting in recent years, when the horse is sent of 12/1<, and the market may guide. I can’t think he will be drifting. I am a bit scared of the two at the top of the market, hence the EW I think…but the fav does have to prove his stamina for this trip over hurdles in what could be a slog, and to date all his better runs have been going LH. There is a chance he doesn’t like going this way round. But, he would demolish all of these if this was a high class flat handicap and if he can transfer that to this race, he is the obvious danger. The second in needs to improve again I think and has been whacked in the handicap, with fitness to prove- although he has a decent record fresh. The rest seem to have plenty of questions to my eyes. Despite his advancing years i’m hopeful of a big run here and I’d be surprised if he didn’t get competitive. 14s seems a shade generous to me and he is the one solid yardstick in these race conditions. 

 

*

Recent losing Daily Tips

4.50 Bangor – Handy Hollow on 2nd run
2.45 Thirsk – Brockey Rise on 1st run after nr when tipped

8.50 Muss – Kinloch Pride on 2nd run

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

Flat 

Top of The Class

3.00 Good- Poet’s Society

The Doyler

6.25 Newm – Garrus

8.00 Newm- Sharamm

Jumps

D McCain (14/1<)

2.35 Bang – The Clock Leary

Tom Lacey 

1.30 Bang – Silk Run

Irish Angles De Bromhead

7.55 Galway – Attribution / Riviera Sun / A Rated

*

Handicap Chase System Starting Points 

3.45 Bag – Dark Invader

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

Report: Goodwood+ Galway CLICK HERE>>> 

qualifiers against stats in report above…

Goodwood

Mark Johnston Micro

4.10 – Port of Leith 

Others

3.00 – Seniority / Original Choice 

5.15 – Kings Proctor / Juneau / Hibernicus 

 

 

Galway

Mullins Micro 

6.50 – Gustavas Vassa / Law Girl / Limini / Nessun Dorma 

7.25 – Wicklow Brave 

Henry De Bromhead Micro

7.55 – A Rated / Attribution / Riviera Sun

Others 

7.55 – Spider Web / Baily Moon / Any JP 5/1<

8.25 – Top of the Ra / Bhutan 5/1< / Due Reward 

*

Goodwood Day 4 ‘Through The Card’ pointers

Trainer Race Pointers

Festivals/race trends…Trainers that have won said race 2x or more and have a runner

Trainers ‘in form’

’14’Geegeez Symbol as per key 

Top Rated Runners

Those horses top rated on HorseRaceBase / Geegeez / Inform

 

1.50

Trainer Race Pointers

Mirage Dancer 

Trainers ‘in form’

Top Tug 

Top Rated Runners

Second Step /Red Vernon / Mirage Dancer 

 

2.25

Trainer Race Pointers

Regal Reality / Threading 

Trainers ‘in form’

Glorious Journey 

Top Rated Runners

Threading / Threeandfourpence / Threading 

 

3.00 

Trainer Race Pointers

Master the World / Masham Start / Poet’s Society 

Trainers ‘in form’

Mythical Madness / Original Choice / Seniority / Firmament / Escobar

Top Rated Runners

Master The World / Escobar / Master The World 

 

3.35 

Trainer Race Pointers

Muthmir / Take Cover / Duke of Firenze 

Trainers ‘in form’

Kachy / Muthmir / Heartache 

Top Rated Runners

Battash / Battash / Battash|Kachy 

 

4.10 

Trainer Race Pointers

/

Trainers ‘in form’

Leading Spirit / Alfie Solomons 

Top Rated Runners

The Great Heir / Leading Spirit / The Great Heir 

 

4.40 

Trainer Race Pointers

/

Trainers ‘in form’

One Master / Poetic Charm / Pretty Baby / Shepherd Market 

Top Rated Runners

Pretty Baby / One Master / Dancing Star

 

5.15 

Trainer Race Pointers

Baritone 

Trainers ‘in form’

Celestial Force / Epaulement / Howman

Top Rated Runners

Hibernicus / Celestial Force /Epaulement 

 

**

 

Thirsk ‘through the card pointers’ 

1.40 

Trainer Race Pointers

/

Trainers ‘in form’

Early Edition / Izvestia 

Top Rated Runners

New Winds / Early Edition / New Wind 

 

2.10 

Trainer Race Pointers

/

Trainers ‘in form’

World Order / Cococabala 

Top Rated Runners

Cococabala / Word Order / Broken Spear 

 

2.45 

Trainer Race Pointers

/

Trainers ‘in form’

Liamba / Ghost 

Top Rated Runners

Liamba / My Society /Porrima 

 

3.20 

Trainer Race Pointers

Trainers ‘in form’

/

Top Rated Runners

Donny Belle /Donny Belle /Mother Of Dragons 

 

3.55 

Trainer Race Pointers

/

Trainers ‘in form’

Mankib

Top Rated Runners

Mankib/ Raydiance / Mazzini 

 

4.30 

Trainer Race Pointers

Trainers ‘in form’

Her Lady Grace 

Top Rated Runners

Sharp Style /Madam Devious /Resolution 

 

5.00 

Trainer Race Pointers

/

Trainers ‘in form’

/

Top Rated Runners

Aphaea / Pentland Hills / Airplane|Rock on Bertie 

 

5.35 

Trainer Race Pointers

Trainers ‘in form’

Alfies Angel 

Top Rated Runners

Letmestopyouthere /Le Manege Enchante /Letmestopyouthere

 

 

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

41 Responses

    1. Can I also say what a brilliant job Josh is doing. Unbelievable dedication. I’m 3 weeks into my trail period and +55. Speaks for itself that I will be becoming a full time member. I hope his passion continues and he’s in this for the very very long haul.

      1. ah too kind but much appreciated. You can’t win in this game without graft and much reflection on performance etc. Oh the passion never dies haha… just every now and then I beat myself unconscious (metaphorically!, although I did punch a cushion) post races like the Galway Hurdle today when leaving winners like that unconsidered (if you knew my Chelt Festival MO in handicap hurdles you’d know why…. horses with class graded novice form, unexposed in handicaps, generally from Mullins or another big yard…that winner was going to hack up in a grade 1 over Xmas.A grade 1! fell hard at last, took while to get confidence back, handicap debut today after decent prep LTO, prob still had 10lb+ in hand. Improving for a big field handicap/decent pace etc. Just too much class for them. Missed him!) Anyway, that’s all an aside, I like being hard on myself as I search for perfection (which is impossible but it’s the only way to improve) …

        no question is daft in these parts…such is my approach on here that there can be quite a few, which in part again is reason for length of trial etc…

        The Test Zone is simply where i test various angles I have researched…they are in live test play… I wouldn’t advise backing them systematically but they are a decent ‘way in’ . I need to update the ‘research articles’ link in the Key with some of the latest research shared in recent weeks but may have been missed… ‘top of the class’ and The Doyler for example. Results are kept updated in the results links in Key, nearer the end of those docs. In general they are a very different ‘way in’ / research from Section 1, and just something extra. Part of the aim is to acclimatise with bits you may choose to dive into or ignore… you can’t follow everything, there is too much, and have to get used to missing winners/being happy with own progress.

        Not every week is like this week, in terms of Section 4. Prob one of the 4 very busy weeks of the year. And I have wanted to test myself this week, tipping wise… some work to do there!! But all info there to navigate through, esp if you like picking your own horses/using as starting points/applying your own thoughts etc. This is a very long term game. 🙂
        Josh

  1. Just in case Ken is unable to put them up, here are the Flat Jockey Profits qualifiers for Friday;

    Dettori Goodwood)
    2:25 Regal Reality
    4:40 Sequilla

    Adam Kirby (Newmarket)
    7:00 Tomahawk Kid

    William Buick (Goodwood)
    2:25 Glorious Journey
    3:00 Fire Brigade
    3:35 Main Desire
    4:10 Leading Spirit
    4:40 Poetic Charm

    James Doyle (Newmarket)
    6:25 Garrus
    7:00 Reverend Jacobs
    7:30 Himself
    8:00 Sharamm
    8:30 Ice Lord

    Chris R.

  2. Galway – Ruby is not riding tomorrow and so if we take out the most fancied runner of Mullins in each race out which he likely would have rode, we are left with:
    6.50 Gustavvas Vassa + Nessun Dorma + Law Girl.
    Thursday gave us Calie Du Mesnil at 8/1 and Sharjah 18/1 >12/1 and 5 losers, so another good profit.

    Goodwood – Mark Johnston had another two winners on Thursday at Goodwood and runs 9 there on Friday, 5 of which go off at 20/1+. So an angle may be to back them for value?

    Good luck.

  3. AW qualifiers for Wolves tomorrow:

    5.30 Brandy Station 8/1 & Bomad 5/1
    6.35 Haadhir 5/1
    7.10 Tangramm 14/1 & White Turf 11/2
    7.40 Counterfeiter 12/1 & Penny Poet 11/2
    1pt win each

    Good Luck

  4. Interesting that both the Johnston horses in the 3pm Goodwood have good win and place stats when turned out within 7 days.

    1. I’m taking the stance that as SDS has gone to Thirsk to ride some of MJs there, that MJs horses at Goodwood aren’t that fancied. Could be wrong…

      1. See your logic but you are risking missing a big priced MJ winner on a course he loves and is in form this week!

      2. Last five years SDS is third string jockey behind Fanning and Norton.

        Last two years fourth string behind also McDonald.

        1. I don’t think that is correct, certainly not at Goodwood and the likes of Royal Ascot. He seems first choice for the Sheik’s horses that MJ trains anyway, the likes of Communique for example. Team Johnston book jockeys based on the horse/how suited to style, and how well the jockey rides the course. They do a lot of work in terms of stats/research etc. Norton for example would be no.1 for any Johnston horse at Chester in general, as he rides that better than anyone. Reading jockey bookings with that yard is a bit tricky really. SDS will have judged he has a better chance of winners elsewhere today, that’s for sure. And neither Fanning or Norton on either of his in the 3pm and it isn’t a weight issue I don’t think. PJ is getting more rides for sure, and will replace both Fanning and Norton in time, if not already in certain circumstances. It’s a complicated picture with that yard in terms of jockeys, best not over thinking it really in my view.

          1. I certainly didn’t overthink it, just rushed in with totals over all races.

            Sorry if you found that misleading.

          2. The over-thinking was a general point, not aimed at you! I assumed there was something logical behind the comment but I just find it too hard with that yard, and don’t think any number of rides/winners etc would help given an indication as to who has first choice on any given horse, in any given race. SDS has certainly had the choice/been put on plenty of the better ones this season hasn’t he, as has PJ. The main point being if you like the odds, I wouldn’t let any jockey booking on an MJ horse put you off a a bet, I suppose that’s my main view.

          3. I think if I’d phrased my post better, my meaning would have been clearer.

            The words “third string” were not a good choice when I really meant “in terms of total number of rides”.

          4. SDS wrote in the Sun today that he would have place prospects at best.
            The thrill of jockeys is all about riding winners he says.
            He says I head up north and potentially ride at least 2 winners
            His best being the first 2.

            Mike

          5. But the prize money share for a jockey is much better at Goodwood than at Thirsk. Winners are OK but earnings must be better. I think that on occasion you can win a handicap in a biggish field with any credible jockey on board. Therefore I would not be that worried if SDS was not riding and one of the regulars was on instead. Mark Johnston does target this meeting and so you have to look at all of his runners and go for value at the prices available.

        2. For me Joe Fanning is still the number one jockey for Mark Johnson for over the past few years noticed that he can be on the outsider of 3 runners in a race but his mount often wins.
          Another case couple of weeks ago at Ayr, Johnson brought one out within 7 days and Joe had won on it once before 6 or 7 races ago but he was back on board and it won for us.
          When i look at a Johnson horse always look at the jockey history especially when Joe Fanning is in the plate

  5. Only one PP running today. 2nd sire off the rank is Dutch Art.
    So today’s picks are.
    Thirsk 3.55 Dont Touch
    Madam Devious 4.30
    Colonel Frank Newmarket 7.30
    Broken Spear 2.30 Thirsk
    Lucky 15

  6. 345 Dark Invader is the next bet (H’cap chasers starting points) and the stake is £12,1.2%.
    NB I made an error on the last entry, 27/7, and said the bet would be £11)

      1. I’m following Josh’s starting point chasers (backing all selections) with a progressive staking plan based on the first bet being 1% of the bank, to a maximum of 2% by eight steps.
        So far we have 17 bets with seven winners (the longer term SR is lower: 29%), the bank having grown by over 10%.
        Stakes were £192 so the profit of £105 is 54.6% ROI. Level staking at BSP has given a profit of 48%
        Backing at level stakes to industry prices produces less than 5% gain.
        LLR:6 LWR:2
        My objective is to demonstrate that with the right system/selection process, progressive staking will produce greater returns, as the above is beginning to show.
        In addition, there is no need to refine the selection process if the SR is high enough as these bets are hitting a similar SR to backing favourites indiscriminately.

      1. Hi Chris,

        I have been paper trading this strategy along side you using Grandstands Retirement Staking Plan (my spreadsheet version) which appears to be a slightly more aggressive recovery plan than the one your using. At the moment the stats are all very favourable be it for a small sample size. However, the reason for my post is I think the LLR is only 5 and you may have included a non runner as a loser. I appreciate it’s only going to make a difference of £10 or so to the profit and a minor difference to some of your other stats but you may wish to check your records or correct me if I am wrong. I believe we are in agreement as follows (I hope): Martha’s Benefit W, Royal Plaza L, Aurenwirbal L, Blagapar L, Fifty Shades L, Eric The Third L and Bambi Du Noyer W.

  7. There are some recent ‘tip’s out today
    B 4.50 – Handy Hollow on 2nd run
    T 2.45 – Brockey Rise on 1st run after nr when tipped
    M 5.80 – Kinloch Pride on 2nd run

    also a ‘Festival tip’
    G 3.00 – Masham Star on 2nd run
    and a ‘3m’ tip
    G 7.55 – Thunder and Roses on 3rd run
    Mike

  8. Chris M Selections:
    Goodwood
    15:00 – Masham Star (33/1 in places) ** advised as 0.5 pt EW taking 5places

    Musselburgh
    20:50 – Pea Shooter (5/1 gen)

    Bangor
    16:20 – Get Ready Freddy (4/1 gen)

    Galway
    19:55 – Killaro Boy (28/1 gen) ** advised as 0.5pt EW taking 5 places
    20:25 – Top of the Ra (14/1 gen)

    Wolver
    19:10 – Parting Clouds (4/1 gen)

    1. I’m about to pass out haha. It feels like ‘moving day’, it will make or break the week Festival tips wise, unless I can find some 20s pokes in the sprint handicaps tomorrow. How Escobar runs will no doubt set the tone for the day! Probably too good to be true but with a clear run i’ve convinced myself he will demolish that lot. No doubt he will now be far too keen and fade off tamely! Touch wood we get decent runs from the two at Galway, they should be in contention turning for home. GL

  9. COLINS BETS
    Bangor
    2.00 Mr Caffrey
    4.50 Aristocracy
    Goodwood
    3.00 Original Choice
    3.00 Third Time Lucky
    Thirsk
    2.45 Sir Derrick
    Musselburgh
    7.50 Staycation last 3 runs 2 C3 and 1 C2,down to C5 tonight with a 5lb claimer in the plate
    8.20 Danzay

  10. Marquis of Carabas Bangor 14:35 1pt e/w
    Wazowski Bangor 16:20 1pt e/w
    Occupy Goodwood 17:15 1pt e/w
    Inner Circle Musselburgh 18:45 1pt e/w
    Lady Freyja Newmarket 19:30 1pt e/w

  11. Hi all has anybody any thoughts on Thirsk..? Poor card I know, should I just back SDS blindly even if shorties, any help appreciated
    Thank you

    1. Hi Harry, yep I didn’t have time to go through my notes above, but some through the card pointers above…top rated and yards in form may land on a few, but no idea! Best of luck. You could put some of his in a fun small stakes multiple.

  12. Joe Fanning riding for Rebecca Bastiman in the 3.00 Ascot for the first time on 50/1 shot HAYADH which has won a class 2 before.
    Could have ridden Masham Star for he has been in the plate 2 times out of its last 4 runs.
    Poet Society last time Joe rode this one was 15 races ago and he won,so would assume Mark Johnson released him to ride HAYADH.
    Joe Fanning for me has been a model professional over the years and the press have not given him the coverage his riding deserves,he has stayed loyal to Mark Johnson,who has used him when the money is down in the big Handicaps,without doubt he is still Mark Johnson number one jockey,interesting to see how HAYADH goes later.

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