1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers
2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)
3.Micro System Test Zone
4.Any general messages/updates etc
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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers
FLAT
Pontefract
3.00 – Indomeno (micro class drop) w2 I3 6/1 UP
4.00 –
Zakatal (all hncps) I1 33/1 S6 UP
Suegioo (m class) H3 I1 G3 4/1 S2 S4 S5 WON 4/1>7/2
5.00 – Round The Island (all hncps) H3 5/2 WON 5/2
JUMPS
Worcester
2.40 –
Action Replay (all hncps) ES+ 5/1 S3A UP
Curious Carlos (hncp chase) 14,30 H1 5/2 UP
Call To Order (hncp chase) 14 11/1 S2 2nd
4.10 –
Leapaway (all hncps) ES+ 8/1 S3A WON 8/1
The Twisler (m dist) 6/1 3rd
5.10 – Rubys Cube (nov hncps) 20/1 S2A UP
Hexham
1.50 –
Beyond The Flame (m TJC) 22/1 S2A UP
The Banastoir (m class) ES+ 11/1 S2 S3A UP
3.20- Quick Brew (all hncps) ES+ 14/1 S2 S3A UP
4.20 –
No Such Number (all hncps) ES+ I3 5/1 S3A UP
Sleep In First (all hncps) 30 ES H3 I3 11/4 S3 2nd
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KEY
H1/H3= HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)
G1/G3 = Geegeez GoldSpeed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated
I1/I3 = Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3
14,30 = Geegeez Gold‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30– 10+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr
ES –‘Elite Squad’ qualifiers: Flat : HERE Jumps 2017/18: HERE>>>
ES +– Elite Squad ‘Plus’ + (rationale/ angles in link above)
S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1– won last start. w2– won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)
The Strategies: Where should you start? Some ideas HERE>>>
‘Flat Strategies/results‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>(updated to end 3rd June 2018)
‘Jumps Strategies/results’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>(updated to end 3rd June 2018)
Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes/David Peat Profiles) READ HERE>>>
VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>
IMPORTANT: Welcome Info HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :))
Contact: email: – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com
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2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)
Test/trial : ‘NOTES’ ‘aka Tips’(2017 Sept-Dec: 31/176, +110.75)(2018: 12/147,45p, -7) (1 point win bets) (Festival Tips 2018: +156)
NONE, nothing today from the stats quals today exciting me too much at the prices, tipping wise.
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Recent Tips(from section 2/’notes’ horses)
(running total, from 07/06/18: 3/22,10p, +14.5)
5.00 Ponte – Cosmic Chatter (3rd run)
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3.Micro System Test Zone
Jumps Angles
Paddy Brennan (14/1< guide)
4.50 Hex- Imperial Elysian UP
4.Any general messages/updates etc
Festival Tipping… as an aside I think that win yesterday takes the ‘Festival’ tips to around +230 points or so this year, when including the ‘National’s etc from the Free post tips. I think that’s probably from around a 70-90 point outlay, so not a bad ROI so far. We have Glorious Goodwood and Galway on the horizon, which given that record I’d best try and focus on! That winner was much needed, mentally, after a testing/quiet couple of months post the Jumps festivals. Now I just need to find an approach for the daily ‘notes’ tips, which is the only blip in 2018 so far, tipping wise. Still, +230 odd points on the tipping content isn’t too bad. 🙂 But, always work to do.
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22 Responses
Interesting stat of the Day. Or so I think.
the sire Pastoral Pursuits has had 149 runners (not individual total) this turf season. Only 3 (2%) have won with 24 placing (16%). That compares with a life time average of 11% wins and 29% places.
Can anyone tell me where to get stats for the following please.
1) Trainers record with First time out runs from another stable. i.e switchers.
I want the trainers overall record not from a particular stable.
2) Trainers records with first time headgear.
Thanks in advance.
If you have a theory have a theory about Pastoral Pursuits drop off in performance Im all ears. In the meantime i would suggest not backing them.
Thks.
You can get these on Geegeez or Horseracebase but you would have to become a member of the services. I do not use the Racing Post site but they may have it as well?
well the system test looks to be on a bit of a downward trend but i’ll do the full 100 to get a better idea and today for only the 2nd time (including when i was paper trading) a race has thrown up 2 qualifiers with identical ratings, i have backed both and will be included in figures.
results update 28 selections 1 wins,5 places, staked 28 pts returns 14.25 pts down 13.75 pts.
todays qualifiers.
3-40 Worcester. Cool Sky 6-1
4-10 Worcester. Idder 10-1
5-00 Pontefract. Mishaal 14-1 and Crosse Fire 11-1
I like Mishaal too but research shows that Araqeel and Ace Master (fresh form) are also off lowered ratings.
Leapaway Worcester 16:10 1pt e/w Price taken 9/1 4 places
Cosmic Chatter Pontefract 17:00 1pt e/w Price taken 12-14/1 4 places
I was slightly kicking myself for leaving out Voodoo Doll given the headgear got taken off and up 2 classes but that more than makes up for it
Fantastic stuff Nick. Won hard held love it. Thank you
Nice each way double there Sir
Cheers Nick! Lovely profit today. Well done
COLINS BETS
3.00 Pontefract Rainbow Rebel
Pontefract 3:30 Alwaysandforever Went into my tracker when I understood that she went better on the gallops under a stable hand than God Given with Spencer up the week before she (GG)won her Group 3. Had entry next month in Irish G3 but comes here instead 2/1 short enough but may well be just too classy for this opposition
She’s too short for me but found it striking Ryan Moore is at pontefract today.
4.00 Pontefract Suegioo 4/1 available,Richard Fahey as kept this 9yo in training and this must be its best chance of a win since winning the Chester Cup in 2014.
Last 16 runs competed in 13 class 2 races and todays race is class 4 and the last time raced in a class 4 finished 2nd of 9 with the distance to short.
Last run Chester class 2 4th of 16,report from Racing Post behind plenty to do over 2 furlongs out,ridden and headway when switched right over 1 furlong out,stayed on well final 100 yards going on at finish.
Do what you want with this but i do expect a bold show today.
Well done Colin, great minds and all that!
100% with you Colin, Group form behind Pallasator; wouldn’t want to take less than 4/1. I backed it in last year’s Ascot Stakes so fifth hurt.
I’m a shareholder in the lovely Indomeneo, a horse who loves and understands racing – so only does enough when he wins! He has progressed from the lowest grade to his present rating and will be giving it his best, in ideal conditions. Backed at 6/1.
If he has a target in the last furlong, he will beat it.
Hangover today and i know they say you shouldn’t bet when your not fully focussed, but i fancied a few today.
just the tips then.
14:10 Worcester
AUENWIRBEL 14/1 gen 1pt ew
BOGOSS DU PERRET 11/1 this morning, now 9/1 1pt ew
16:00 Pontefract
SUEGIOO 4/1 2pt win
GRACEFUL LADY 11/2 1pt ew
16:10 Worcester
SOLSTALLA 16/1 this morning now 7/1 1pt ew
LETTHERIVERRUNDRRY 25/1 1pt ew
17:00 Pontefract
CROSSE FIRE 8/1 gen 1pt ew
MONSIEUR JIMMY 18/1 1pt ew
good luck with whatever you back today.
Should just stick with the jumpers…haha
Easy this tipping malarkey, said nobody ever!!
Well done Stewart. I was just going to say you take the 1st 2 races and I will grab the last 2 if that’s OK?
Help yourself, it pays not to be greedy in this game… 🙂
Well done stewaet