Onto Day 3… a couple of ‘races in focus’, some stats pointers to use as you please, and my own ‘through the card’ notes… 

 

DAY 3

Races In Focus

5.00 Britannia Stakes

10/285, 40 places

10/10 same or up in trip

• Drop in trip: 0/44, 4p

10/10 had 1-3 runs in previous 90 days

• 0/52,4p outside this

10/10 had 3-6 runs in prev 365 days

• 0/87,8p outside this (caution under 3, small sample)

10/10 had 8 or fewer career runs

• 9+ career runs: 0/49,4p

10/10 had been ridden by their jockey previously (10/168,30p)

• Had not: 0/117,10p

9/10 had 1-4 handicap runs

• 0: 1/50,5p
• 5+: 0/27,2p

Other

• Claiming jockeys: 0/29,0p
• Ran in Listed race LTO: 0/25,3p
• AW LTO: 0/22,2p
• Track LTO
  • Sandown (0/21,2p) , Epsom (0/25,0p)
  • Newmarket Rowley (3/52,9p), Haydock (2/47,7p)

Trainers: no trainer has won this more than once in the period.

• R Hannon 0/11,1p, M Johnston 0/26,3p , J Gosden 0/12,1p,

Shortlist:

The five ’10/10′ stats help narrow down the field to 11… those stats are 10/102, 22p,+132 BFSP in last 10 years…

Crack On Crack On / Corrosive /Sam Gold / Il Primo Sole / First Contact / Completion/ Moqarrar / Finniston Farm / Qaysar / Magnificent / Landshark 

 

Thoughts… 

Il Primo Sole / Lanshark /George of Hearts / Corrosive

**

 

5.35 King George V Stakes

10/176,40p

10/10 were running at same class/up 1 or drop 1

• 0/71,16p outside of that

9/10 had 2 or 3 runs in prev 90 days

• 1/58,11p outside this

8/8 UK/Irish winners had won at C3 or C2 level

• 0/117,18p yet to win above C4 (treat abroad separately)

8/8 who had UK/Irish form, won on at least one of last two starts

• 2/57,9p had not

Other

• Top 2 in weights: 0/27,6p
• 1 career win only: 0/84,12p
• Track LTO
  • Sandown: 3/13,4p , Haydock 2/14,2p

Trainer

• No trainer has won this more than once in the period.

 

Shortlist: having a win at C3 or above, and running at the same class as LTO, moving up 1 or down 1, leaves 6 runners…

Communique / Dubhe / Bailey’s Accelerate / Downdraft / Corgi / He’s Amazing

 

Thoughts…

My three against the field for interest would be: Communique / Corgi / Downdraft 

*

 

Stats Report Qualifiers

ROYAL ASCOT STATS REPORT HERE>>> 

 

Trainers/jockeys

2.30 – Land Force (1.- code from report above) / Konchek (9.)

3.05 – Key Victory (4+7) / Nordic Lights (4+8)

3.40 – Sun Maiden (3. 12/1<) / Wild Illusion (4+7) / Perfect Clarity (9, 20/1<)

4.20 /

5.00 – George Of Hearts (6.) / Petrus (9., 20/1<)

5.35 – Dubhe (4.) / Cross Counter (4+7)

 

Sires 

None. A close 33/1 second on Day 2.

*

 

Other Notes/Pointers/Thoughts

Trainer Race Pointers

Those with 2 or more winners in the race, with runners…

2.30 – Land Force (3/17,8p)

3.05 – Crossed Baton + Main Street (2/11,2p) / Hunting Horn (2/15,5p) / Zaaki (2/20,4p)

3.40 – Athena + Magic Wand + Sarrocchi + Sizzling (2/19,5p) / Highgarden (2/28,10p)

4.20 – Order of St George (7/15,10p) /

5.00- Il Primo Sole + Style Hunter (3/30,6p)

5.35 – Communique + Baileys Excelerate + Making Miracles + Baghdad+ Elegiac + Lucky Deal (4/49,9p)

 

*

*

‘Through The Card’ Notes

Expert Eye 14/1>8/1 rescued the day somewhat on Day 2. Onto Day 3…

2.30 – Land Force 3rd 

3.05 – Key Victory UP / Nordic Lights UP

3.40 – Sun Maiden UP/ Athena (EW) UP

4.20 – Vazirabad 2nd  (one of top 2 prob wins but for an interest bet if you must, worth opposing at odds)

5.00 – Il Primo Sole 5th / Landshark UP/ George Of Hearts UP / Corrosive UP

5.35 – Communique UP/ Corgi 2nd 14/1  (game of fine margins!) / Downdraft UP

We shall see how those go, GL with any bets.

Josh