Free Daily Post: 15/06/18 (complete)

From the members’ post…

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Firstly my ‘recent tips’ test, where we are tracking my recent losing members’ tips, on a 3 strikes and you’re out/stop at a winner. Most of them are unexposed horses so it makes sense they should strike at some point, given the initial analysis when being tipped first time up. It appears that i’m often a few runs too early. These were being tracked by a member for a few weeks and I think since mid April they may be around +70-80 points or so, 1 point win. So, it’s something I’m keeping an eye on. They have done ok in the last 8 days… today’s runner looks up against it to me and isn’t unexposed, but you never know…

Recent Tips

(running total, from 07/06/18: 3/11,4p, +23.5) 

6.05 Good – Sayesse

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3.Micro System Test Zone

Flat 

R Fell 

3.30 York – Tadaawol

Jumps

P Brennan (14/1< guide)

6.50 Aint – No Duffer

7.55 Aint – Un beau Roman

A Honeyball

4.30 NA – Port Royale (m1, 10/1< guide, m2 5/1<)

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Handicap Chase System Starting Points (10/1< best)

6.50 Aint- Good Man Vinnie

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

Blessed... well, she has run a cracker and no complaints. Sadly that ground has dried up plenty it seems and like Yarmouth (which was eventually changed to officially firm) was plenty firm enough, with ‘firm’ in places entering the going description. She has changed legs again plenty of times, around 12 or so according to Amy who knows what she’s looking at. You can tell she hated it given the way she darted from the whip late on, which she has never done. She knew she was being asked for maximum effort but just couldn’t go through with it I don’t think. She did take it up 1-2 furlongs from home and it was exciting. It could be ‘good’ is as firm as she wants it but it’s a hard one to get right, and you don’t really know on the day until you run them. If she keeps trying like that, a few more wins at C6/5 level will be added to her CV. SP2A tipped the winner at 20s, which softened the blow somewhat.

As per yesterday’s note, the Twitter feed is now fixed to the right hand side of the home page (when on desktop/tablet) and you can scroll through if you so wish from time to time.

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About This Author

Hi, I'm Josh and thanks for reading my blog, Racing To Profit. Hopefully you like what you find. This is a place for horse racing fans of all levels and ability, bettors and non bettors. Here I, and fellow readers, share our opinions on horses and information that may help you find your own winners. Do say hi, we are a friendly bunch... and if you could use the 'share buttons' above that would also be appreciated :)

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  • Friday 15th June Sandown
    After a particularly stupid decision to go win only on Almurr and only .5pt on Confiding I ended up 6.5pts giving a running total of 35.53 points.

    A bit speculative today.
    Sandown 2pm 5f Novice
    Ratings
    1. Dark Shadow, Good Luck Fox
    2. Firelight, Thriving
    Ratings Bet 1pt Rev exacta the top two.
    I would like to back both the top rated straight but they are too short. They are however drawn 1 and 2 which is a great advantage and the forecast appeals. I shall be there and hopefully all will be revealed.
    Sandown 2.35 7f Maiden
    Ratings
    1. Eagle Hunter, Glorious Dane, Sephton, Sky Cross
    2. Dancing Speed, Happy Power
    Ratings Bet 0.5pt e/w Sephton (generally 50’s at present) 1/6th pt Combo FC Eagle Hunter, Glorious Dane, Sky Cross
    Eagle Hunter was 10/1 on debut at Doncaster for Hugo Palmer but ran a race full of promise and looks as though he will be hard to beat. I rated Glorious Dane 75 on looks at Leicester but he was as daft as they come and whether he will have learnt enough is open to question. I like the look of Sephton e/w at 50/1. Kingy has his 2yos in great form and this is Shamardal’s best distance so unless he is a pony which is unlikely as he cost 60k as a 2yo he may well outperform his price. Martin Harley is 13% with 2yos here which is fair enough.
    Julius Limbani is a clear danger to the bets but he is drawn 12 which can be a horrible place to be as they come into the bend after only about 1.5f. Also Hollie Doyle, good jockey though she is has never ridden any winners around Sandown let alone a 2yo. Cue egg on face.

    I’ll try to find time to look at the 2yo novice from York. Not interested in the Rous and maybe the Goodwood race.
    Hugh

    alpha2 1 week ago Reply


  • There are 6 = top rated at York and Goodwood looks too trappy at a low standard so no further info today.
    Hugh

    alpha2 1 week ago Reply


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