nothing again from me today.
Josh
nothing again from me today.
Josh
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11 Responses
Secret Venture review
Photo file: https://imgur.com/gallery/H9aY5Zf
Secret Venture Leicester 3.20 29th May
In my preview I had Blyton and Murqaab top rated and Secret Venture 2nd top. The one that didn’t make it into the top 3 was Jack’s Point who may be as good as any here. In the event it was Secret Venture who won by a nose fromn Blyton but the third Jack’s Point missed the break badly and only went down by a nose. He also may have got the gentlest treatment. William Muir is one of the most difficult trainers to get right with 2yos, Every now and then he has a really good one and it will be ready to win on debut but finding the gems amongst the dross is difficult. Putting his son in law Martin Dwyer up may be a clue in handicaps but is a handicap in 2yo races. He’s an ok journeyman jock but not good enough on 2yos. Not necessarily his fault that JP missed the break here but another black mark in my book.
There appeared to be three good ones here, they were best part of 3l clear of Ballistic (who lost a shoe) and Murqaab who had run ok on his previous run. I rated Ballistic 78 on debut, hq fever I think and he is probably not much above 71. The three that disputed for the win were all on debut so decent performances.
Secret Venture – Powerfully made sprint type. 80
Blyton – More lightly built than the winner and third. May be better over 6f. Subsequently beaten by Soldiers Call. 77
Jack’s Point – Less physically appealing than the first two but strongly made and appears to be able to use himself. Unlucky here. 80
Murqaab – Lighter type. Nurseries for him and should win one if he can settle ok. 73
Ballistic – Still not looking very fit, was beaten again at Musselburgh on Saturday. Not helped by stablemate as they took each other on early. Was heavily backed but simply not good enough. 71
Triple One – Ordinary. 66
Tomshalfbrother – Green and stupid, lightly made, narrow. 64
Sing Bertie – Look at that belly. Too square at the back. Mr Shaw is a trainer who can get older handicap winners, why he persists with 2yos remains a mystery. 60
Current points total 28.43
Despite having Fanaar and Calyx winning I have frittered away a few points on failed trifectas and suchlike. I should have put it all right on Sunday for when for reasons unknown I looked into the damside breeding of my clear top rated and decided not to bet Shine So Bright who of course won at 9/1.
I shall be back later with ratings from Windsor and Pontefract.
Hugh
Monday 11th June Windsor and Pontefract
Windsor Ratings
1. Dunkerron, London Rocks, My Dear Friend, Private Rocket
2. Dirty Rascal, Leading Spirit, Oloroso, Sciona’s Boy, Triggered
Ratings Bet: 1pt ew Dunkerron. 1pt Private Rocket
Dunkerron looks like going off at a generous price as his trainer is wrongly seen as better at NH.
Looks a slightly better race than usual. Very tight but a marginal preference for Dunkerron, London Rocks and Private Rocket over My Dear Friend. Interestingly Sean Levey is only 5% on 2yos at Windsor. Marquand who is on Dirty Rascal also for the Hannons is 15%. The boss around here is Adam Kirby.
Pontefract Ratings
1. Dancing On A Dream
2. Pink Iceburg, Essenza, Comedy
Ratings Bet 1pt win Dancing On A Dream
Have to rely on the step up to 6f doing the trick for the top rated animal here.
Hugh
Good work Hugh, thanks.
You don’t get the credit you deserve on here Hugh! Always a fascinating read, can’t thank you enough for posting.
Thank you Hugh. Real top notch input day after day. Greatly appreciated.
Great work Hugh. Always an enjoyable read. Very much appreciated
FROM THE LAMBOURN BULLETIN BOARD (STRICTLY INFO ONLY POS AND NEG)
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2:30PM BRIGHTON
SYBIL GRAND
Jamie Osborne
Will have learnt a lot since Lingfield. 6f will suit her better but the favourite will be hard to beat. We’ll be there if there if there’s a chink in the armour.
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3:00PM BRIGHTON
SUNDAY BEST
Jonathan Portman
Sunday Best is only tiny but does seem to have enough ability for this grade. The track would be an unknown for her but she has been waiting for this race since showing a modicum of promise last time out in desperate ground so let’s hope for a good result.
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3:30PM BRIGHTON
FAIR POWER
Sylvester Kirk
Dropping down the handicap but should have an each way chance today.
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6:20PM WINDSOR
FREEDOM AND WHEAT
Brendan Powell
Having his first run today and has taken part in a couple of barrier trials. Just looking for a nice run.
66/1 ISH
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6:20PM WINDSOR
INVINCIBLE ONE
Sylvester Kirk
Has been working well and has an each-way chance with luck in running.
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6:50PM WINDSOR
DUTCH STRANGER
Harry Dunlop
Long time off the track but hoping she’ll run a nice race. I think she might need the run however.
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7:20PM WINDSOR
KASPERENKO
Brendan Powell
Bought to go hurdling but hasn’t really enjoyed it. High enough in the weights but has been working well at home and should run a decent race.
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7:50PM WINDSOR
HOMING STAR
Jonathan Portman
Homing Star is a great deal more genuine but ideally likes more give in the ground. She won’t be far away.
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7:50PM WINDSOR
DAWN OF RECKONING
Jonathan Portman
Dawn of Reckoning has the help of Richard Kingscote, but may need a great deal more than that to persuade her to show her true ability.
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8:50PM WINDSOR
GOODNIGHT GIRL
Jonathan Portman
Goodnight Girl would also have liked it to have rained. Her trip is still indeterminate and she is 2lb wrong at the weights. She will be doing her best though and has always been held in some regard by us so we are scratching our heads a little as to why she is still a maiden. It’s just a shame maiden races are virtually extinct now as she might have been found one to run in.
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8:50PM WINDSOR
WHITE FEATHER
Jo Hughes
It’s competitive but I’m hopeful.
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2:15PM WORCESTER
LE CURIEUX
Brendan Powell
Has been very disappointing and this is the worst race he’s run in. We’re dropping back to two-miles and hopefully the tongue strap makes some sort of difference.
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2:45PM WORCESTER
OUR REWARD
Jamie Snowden
Our reward won a couple of novice hurdles before having some time off with injury. His comeback run was a bit disappointing but ran ok to be 2nd last time. He’s in good form at home and is coming down to a winnable mark but this still looks quite competitive.
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4:15PM WORCESTER
QUERRY HORSE
Oliver Sherwood
Ran much better last time out and it’ll be his last run before he goes out to grass. I think the better ground and track will both suit him and he’s got to have an each-way chance if he’s improved again since Kempton.
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4:15PM WORCESTER
ROYAL RUBY
Nicky Henderson
I hope he can step up from his last run as he seems on good form.
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4:45PM WORCESTER
GEORDIELAD
Oliver Sherwood
He’s been disappointing. I don’t think he’s a whole heap. The extra trip will definitely help him but he’s one for handicaps later on.
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GL
BC
8.10 Pontefract – CONTANGO (9/4) generally
1 POINT WIN
Contango is a horse full of ability and won his first three starts impressively before narrowly being denied the four-time at Ascot over 1m3f when headed in he final strides. He didn’t figure on his reappearance behind Ajman King at Epsom but he ran a cracker last time out when only beaten a length by Hamada, who looks a very good horse in the making. It was a very good run in defeat because he was restless in the stalls and was slow away so was always chasing the pace but he made good progress in the last couple of furlongs behind two horses who are rated 100 and Banksea was well beaten in behind. So with Contango being on the same mark 93 as last time and with Oisin Murphy in the saddle again, I expect this improving four year old to be in the thick of the action.
GL
BC
Frustrating week in the golf with 2 of my picks 125/1 and 150/1 sitting nicely inside the top 10 after round 3, only for both of them to stumble and only Trey Mullinax getting a share of a place back at 125/1 to cover a small return on the week that threatened to be so much better. Back with some picks for the US open later this week.
Well done James i checked your prices on Oddschecker last week and all were available with plenty of Bookmakers so take a bow.
Please can you record your bets if not send me the return on mullinax for i will,it only takes a couple of minutes to record them in a book,so no excuses.
Cheers
Colin
I don’t normally back any of the favourites but really think Johnson may run away with it again this week. When your worst round of the weekend is a 67 (with a double) then you have to sit up and listen . I think he will be licking his lips ready for it
Justin Rose is at the top of his career and a major is surely on it’s way soon. Too skinny at 14s though, would have been interested at 20s.
Louis Oosthuizen has a decent record in this and is in excellent form, top scrambler on tour at the minute which is believed to be all important this week. 66/1 is decent worth a look
Mark Leishmann doesn’t seem to get fazed by much and he also looks value.
Backed Kevin Na at 125/1 a few weeks ago…has since drifted to 150s since missing the cut last week. Has otherwise been in good form, makes the cut generally in this and if he starts well he could be there or there abouts