Some ‘through the card’ notes from the members’ post… the usual caveats, this is quite a brief look and can usually go one of two ways, but with any luck a winner or two there and some interesting snippets hopefully…
Day 1 ‘through the card’
2.00 – It’s The Only Way / Marie’s Diamond
Not a race to go mad on if you’re track side, which I know at least one of you is, but Hannon (3/5,4p) and Johnston (4/15,8p) do like winning this race.
2.35 – Mythical Madness / Medburn Dream
Mythical Madness is no forlorn hope here at a price, and i’ve been lured in by the Doyle stats. At his best he would go close I think, and has a headgear switch to perk him up. Medburn Dream is just solid in all race conditions and should give this a good go from the front under Franny, hopefully seeing off Johnston’s early enough, or they will both set it up for a close
3.10 – get a drink and enjoy watching class at it’s best in equine form.
3.45 – Not So Sleepy EW? / Brorocco EW
The fav does look very hard to beat as there is every chance he builds on that last run, definitely one for the place pot. But, funny things can happen here and he may run into trouble. Not So Sleepy looks solid and he really shouldn’t be far away. Maybe a 1-2 with the fav! Brorocco…I was on the fence and didn’t tip him…he is solid but I thought something may be better handicapped and soft is a bit of an unknown in open company- but if he runs his race, he will be thereabouts.
Fahey/Gosden/Kittow are the trainers with 2 or more wins in this…only Fahey has a runner…I’m not 100% convinced as to his stamina, certainly in this ground, and bar some really bad luck for the fav couldn’t see why that form would be overturned.
4.30 – Wild Illusion / Flattering
Wild Illusion, according to both Spencer/Moore blogs today, is the one to beat so i’ll trust their judgement given I don’t really follow G1s that closely, bar watching and enjoying them. Moore says if that one doesn’t win then anything could win this- and we know what AOB outsiders can do, so maybe some change on his bigger priced ones. This race will tap into stamina reserves not yet seen in any of these fillies and something will relish it, and plenty of AOBs are bred to improve for middle distances in time. Maybe Beggy can add the Oaks to his surprise Derby win. Or another biggie will take it.
5.15 – Lake Volta / Kings Shield
The latter probably a bit short but nothing wrong with wanting ‘winners’ when at the races, and Gosden has done well in this race (2/6,3p). Lake Volta at a price for the SDS stats
5.50 – Belle Meade / Swift Approval EW / Galloway Hill (of those at top)
Two rags and i’ll touch on Belle Meade above… Swift Approval…seems big for one that is running well, is well enough handicapped, could get on the front end or in any case be in the right spot for a jockey that rides the handicaps well here, and his best turf form seemed to be on soft. I thought he should go well for a long way in this. The top two in the market look solid but 4s in a handicap like this makes me nauseous although they do both looks solid although they will come from further back. Maybe SDS will notch up one for his stats distance + age stats.