As with last Saturday I will defer to SP2A’s Elite Tips today, which as luck would have it ties in with Ian offering another special 3 month trial for you good readers. If you missed my email yesterday you can read it HERE>>>
If you want to test run the best all round tipping service I have seen of it’s kind, for a full three months with a money back guarantee, then it’s worth a read. I’m not sure how many more trials we will do like this as at some point Ian may close the doors full stop, and be happy with the number of subscribers. This offer will close on Tuesday and you can find out more HERE>>>
No worries if that doesn’t interest you, hopefully you enjoy the quality free musings below. The Elite Tips found a decent 11/2 winner last Saturday when posted and very nearly the 20/1 winner of the big race. Agonising. Let’s see how they go this week…
Over to SP2A…
We had a fine return last Saturday with a nice winner and a 20/1 SP runner up beaten literally on the line.
I looked at 3 races today and have chosen the 2.30 at Goodwood and the 2.50 at Haydock. The Race I left out; the 3.40 at York will be covered by SP2A Daily Tips.
There was a fair amount of rain at Goodwood early yesterday but it dried out, looks proper Good Going. At Haydock, it rained all day on and off; they finally said it was Good to Soft, I think and have analysed on the basis it wont be any better than Good to Soft and there may indeed be some “soft” places.
|Elite||Good||2.30||3 Society Power @ 9/2||1 win*||1-4|
|Elite||Good||2.30||6 Fenaan @ 8/1||½ e/w||1-4|
|Elite||Good||2.30||11 Neola @ 20/1||½ e/w||1-4|
|Elite||Hay||2.50||3 Qaysar @ 5/1||1 win*||Sky 5th|
|Elite||Hay||2.50||2 Finniston Farm @10/1||½ e/w||Sky 5th|
|Elite||Hay||2.50||10 Crownthorpe @ 16/1||½ e/w||Sky 5th|
|Mention||Hay||2.50||6 Book Of Dreams @ 25/1||¼ e/w||Sky 5th|
Here is my analysis.
A 7 Furlong race where these 3 year olds will be tested for both tactical speed and some stamina. The draw here is always a factor and if you are drawn low and can race prominently a big advantage; if drawn high, often wise to race a bit wider rather than ending up behind a wall of horses on the rail. I have looked at those at the head of the market and believe that SOCIETY POWER is by far the most likely to justify odds from a perfect pitch in Stall 2. It will handle any Going and at 4/1 – 9/2 looks very solid. If you want to play it very conservatively have an each way banker with Odds to 4th, but logic says a WIN bet.
I am not sure at all about Emeraaty; take the sales price (best part of £2.5m) away and I am not sure it has delivered. Of more interest from the Yard for me is FENNANN who has a perfect stall draw in 1; looks a scopey and progressive horse and I think if it can make a decent start and be up with the pace could run very well at decent each way odds around 8/1. I am not sure about the girl on Richenza, Bambino Lola could improve and be a danger and but for a 245 day break I would be very interested in GRAND KOONTA but will look deeper in to the race for my final singles selection. At 20/1 + and with a nice bit of Course form NEOLA catches my eye from an in form yard. It ran pretty well at Chester and could be a dark horse off a nice mark who could run in to a place at least and seems to like these “quirky tracks”.
I will have SOCIETY POWER; FENNAAN and NEOLA as my singles and if you want one to add to a fun Tricast Perm add in GRAND KOONTA.
This is a very competitive 1 Mile Handicap and the Going could be a determining factor as many “fancied” have run well over 7 Furlongs on better ground, loo like potential milers but have yet to actually prove themselves at the trip on softer Going, in to this category I firmly put CRACK ON CRACK + COMPLETION and for that reason alone, I will take them on.
At the head of the market I think that QAYSAR is very solid; trip should be fine, has won on Good to Soft and looks the most likely to dominate. At 5/1 a solid win bet and again take the each way “banker” at you discretion. SKYBET go odds to 5th, all others to 4th. I also like the look of FINNISTON FARM, steps back in trip and that bit of extra stamina wont harm it here; also back slightly in Class and connections always to be feared here. I think it is very competitively priced at 10/1.
I always want a couple of “streetwise” types in these conditions, proven in soft, fine at the trip, what they lack in high end class they make up for in ability to battle. CROWNTHORPE comes from a Yard you always want “on your side” on a Saturday and the softer the better for this one and if the Going is seen to be worse than advertised later on, the 16/1 will soon go so grab some early. I also have a hunch that BOOK OF DREAMS from the Johnston yard could run a typical stable race, pop out, run from the front; set the fractions, and prove darned difficult to pass. We have seen it so many times and for that reason the 25/1 looked a decent “mention” poke for 50% the odds.
Those 4 would look to me too to constitute a nice Tricast Perm if you want a bit of fun.
That’s all from me for today and for MAY. We started with the 2000 / 1000 Guineas and some stellar tip/mentions and have maintained momentum.
I will be back with OAKS TIPS and DERBY TIPS at EPSOM next Friday and Saturday (Friday tips at around 8am on Friday morning and Saturday tips at around 5pm n Friday afternoon. I can’t promise 66/1 winners and 50/1 places to SP in those races but over the years many big priced horses have nicked places and the odd win!
Back next FRIDAY…
Don’t forget, you can find out more about the latest exclusive 3 month trial, HERE>>>
Have a great day, and GL with any bets,