Free Daily Post: 25/05/18 (complete)

Stats quals for Worcester…

Below are the trainer stats qualifiers from my Members’ club for Worcester… some caution as to the weather and it may not be worth looking until later in the day..I’m not sure many of them want soft but I though the 8.15 in particular looked interesting enough…  I’d use the below as ‘starting points’ / a way in, if you use them at all…

 

Worcester

6.45 – 

I’d Like The Option (hncp chase) 8/1 

Mont Royale (hncp chase) I1 14/1 S2 S5 

Flying Eagle (hncp chase) I3 12/1 S2 S5

8.15 – 

Anndarrow (all hncps) ES+ H1 I1 4/1 S3A S5 

Tir Dubh (hncp hurdle) 10/1 S2 

Coisa Blanc (m class) (hncp h debut) 11/1  S2

 

KEY

H1/H3= HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez GoldSpeed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Gold‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30– 10+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES –‘Elite Squad’ qualifiers; ES+, Elite Squad + (the ‘best of’ the trainer angles for the track, with min 10 winners, 25% win SR and/or 20% win, 50% win/place SR for said angle) 

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1– won last start.   w2– won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)

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The Sandown ‘through the card’ did ok… two winners from all those in bold, at 5s SP… a -2 points if you backed all those in bold at SP, profit if you got Chief of Chiefs at 8s+ (also tipped by SP2A in the morning), and indeed profit if you just backed the three that I thought looked most intriguing, CoC being the winner. He had some very good form in some very good C2s last season, had valid excuses the last twice, yard going well, and was always going to do that in a C3 IF repeating those C2 efforts. Nice horse. I actually flagged the 1-2-3 in that race, but sadly didn’t do the combo tricast, I never do! The second maybe should have won if his starting position for his burst was closer to the pace. A decent race and those front 3 have more wins in them. As expected a few favs dotted up. 

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

4 Responses

  1. Nice couple of winners yesterday for the my advised bets from the top 3 rated. If you had followed you would have been +4.25pts at advised/BOG prices and +3.75 at SP. The top 3 rated found 3 out of the four winners in the ITV races, so they are still gong strong. From first tracking them here at advised odds I am +11.62pts and +4.15pts at SP, SR up to this point is 28.13% and ROI 17.08%.

    Back tomorrow where I’ll have four more races from the 8 ITV races on offer.

    Good luck with your betting today!

    1. Good stuff Chris, steady/consistent profits there, long may it continue, hard graft being rewarded. Look forward to tomorrow’s musings. Josh

  2. Champions League Final – I think Real Madrid have scraped through the last two rounds and so I like Liverpool at 5/4 to lift the cup. I also like the 5/1 on Liverpool HT/FT. It is on BT Sport but they are also showing it for free on You Tube.

  3. I lost two points with my combo exacta and trifecta on the National stakes. At the course my win pick was Sabre but vintage Brut showed a good turn of pace to deny him. Sabre was coming back at the death and will probably be better over 6f. the trifecta finished 2,3,4. What really has driven me mad was that with Vintage Brut in the box seat draw and so strong in the market I did not add him in. the Trifecta paid 238/1. Ifs and maybes as always.

    I got the feeling this was a better renewal than usual. At Goodwood Mutawaffer proved a worthy favourite and there was nothing one could take him on with. Some ok ones for the future there that were too fat to do themselves justice fto, unlike R Hughes Shaybani who was a grand little type of ready 2yo. There is no doubt R Hughes is getting the hang of 2yo training and before long (maybe next season) more winners will follow.

    I got some good photos which I will post over the weekend with a full report but on elderly mothercare for next 36 hours with lamentable signal so no time for 2yos today and probably not tomorrow either.
    Hugh

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