Free Daily Post: 10/05/18 (complete)

just the members’ club ‘test zone’ qualifiers today…

Nothing too much from me today, below are the qualifiers from the members’ club ‘test zone’ where we trial/test a few unique micros, best to be used as starting points rather than systematically…

Jumps Angles

A Honeyball 

3.55 Worc – Everlanes (m1, 10/1< guide, m2 5/1<)

Paddy Brennan (14/1< )

6.20 Winc – Overawed

6.50 Winc – General Girling (m3/4)

*

Flat

R Fell 

5.05 Chest – Mulligatawny

*

GL with any bets,

Josh

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

7 Responses

  1. Nothing with the trends Wednesday but will carry on with them for Thursday in the hope they come good.

    150 Hcap

    12/12 GB or Ire bred
    12/12 No tongue tie
    12/12 rated 85 – 96
    12/12 not drawn past 7
    12/12 4 – 8 y old
    12/12 6+ runs
    12/12 2 – 7 wins
    12/12 no wins above Cl2
    11/12 Ran in hcap LTO

    Leaves 3 A Momentofmadness,Reflektor and Powerallied.
    My preference is for Momentofmadness with his trainer having a winner at the meeting Wednesday.
    Dascombes horses seemed to underperform so Reflektor is passed over.

    225 Dee stakes

    12/12 No headgear
    12/12 drawn 3 to 8
    0/18 draw 1 and 2
    12/12 1 – 6 runs
    12/12 no more thsn 3 wins
    12/12 not won past 9f
    12/12 a top 3 finish in last 3
    9/12 rated 93 – 109 those with a rating
    10/12 top 5 on debut
    No French bred

    4 pass all trends Kenya,Finneston farm,Rostropovich and the pick My Lord and master having finished 2nd LTO with Wednesday’s Chester vase third Dee ex bee a length and a quarter behind in third.
    Previous to that he beat stable mate Young rascal 6 lengths who won the Chester vase.

    300 Hcap

    12/12 GB/Ire bred
    12/12 no tongue tie
    12/12 no higher than drawn 7
    12/12 rated 81 – 96
    12/12 top 4 finish in last 3 runs
    12/12 No win above Cl3
    12/12 2 – 10 runs
    12/12 1 or 2 wins
    0/29 ran right handed LTO
    11/12 not ran at distance
    10/12 top 5 LTO

    Leaves 3… The 2 Dascombe runners and Porth Swain.
    Leaving this one.

    335 Ormande
    Idaho is 1 of 3 along with Danehill Kodiac and Dylan mouth.
    Idaho comes out easily the best on ratings.

    435 Hcsp

    12/12 no tongue tie or headgear
    12/12 top rated to 13lb lower
    12/12 not won above Cl5
    12/12 same class as LTO or up 2.
    12/12 2 – 6 runs
    12/12 won one race no more
    12/12 top 4 LTO
    11/12 GB/Ire bred
    11/12 win in last 3 races

    One qualifier Ghostwatch

  2. Interesting stuff once again, Robert.
    I’ve backed Ghostwatch at 4/1 last night, as have quite a few people I know.

  3. WEDNESDAY TOP RATED :
    15:55:00 Newton Abbot – Alcala (150) u/p at 3/1
    16:15:00 Kelso – Brave Spartacus (133) ***NO BET***
    16:15:00 Kelso – Double Ws (133) ***NO BET***
    19:45:00 Fontwell – Zen Master (113) 2nd at 7/1
    15:00:00 Chester – Spoof (95) WON at 6.34
    20:25:00 Wolverhampton – Time To Reason (74) u/p at 8/1

    1/4 and +2.07pts ==> 8/31 (25.81%) for -4.23pts (-13.65%)
    I think this needs 2 winners a day to make profit.

    THURSDAY :
    16:45:00 Huntingdon – Utility (130)
    17:50:00 Wincanton – Night Of Sin (127) ***NO BET, unless other 2 pull out!***
    18:50:00 Wincanton – Gentleman Jon (127) ***NO BET, unless other 2 pull out!***
    18:50:00 Wincanton – Orbasa (127) ***NO BET, unless other 2 pull out!***
    17:25:00 Worcester – Casterly Rock (120)
    15:35:00 Chester – Idaho (119)
    20:10:00 Chelmsford – Higher Power (108)

  4. Back today with my top rated runners in today’s ITV races at Chester. Let’s see if I can continue to find the winners today.

    13:50 Chester(1 NR in top 3 so 4th replaces 3rd):
    Tavener -> 239.99 (8/1 gen)
    Reflektor -> 214.57 (6/1 gen)
    Doctor Sardonicus -> 149.94 (N/R)
    A Momentofmadness -> 142.20 (4/1 Bet365, 7/2 gen)

    14:25 Chester:
    My Lord and Master -> 54.76 (11/4 Bet365, 5/2 gen)
    Kings Proctor -> 50.45 (16/1 gen)
    Kenya -> 43.27 (11/2 gen)

    15:00 Chester:
    Another Batt -> 110.78 (11/2 gen)
    Dragons Tail -> 86.76 (9/1 gen)
    Vale of Kent -> 82.40 (6/1 gen)

    15:35 Chester:
    Idaho -> 37.26 (4/5 gen)
    Danehill Kodiac -> 33.66 (17/2 gen)
    Muntahaa -> 30.68 (11/2 gen)

    (All prices are quoted from 9:45 AM when bets were placed)

    Hopefully get some nice winners today. Good luck to everyone!

    1. Mixed emotions about today, 3 from 4 winners but all short odds again. I mean I should not complain as today provided +1.3 pts at Adv Odds and -0.53pt at SP but the ratings are soo close to finding winners at good odds but the races are being won by low odds so backing 3 struggles to make profit. The one winner I missed I am not annoyed at as he ran as I expected and this was filtered into his ratings but it turns out the running style I thought would win did not, quite the opposite actually. One that got away I guess. Anyway I will back tomorrow with my top 3 again, hopefully I can find a nice priced winner to cheer home!!

  5. Morning. Very pleased with yesterday’s outcome but very wary today. We have three very competitive handicaps, one maiden (which I don’t play in ) and of the two Group races, a real conundrum in the Ormonde Stakes.

    150 I was going to back Doctor Sardonicus, which is now a non-runner and Reflektor. I have now gone for Tavener. It needs to step up but if it can get in front with Franny Norton on-board from a good draw, who knows? Both ew bets.

    225 My Lord and Master, Rastrelli

    300 Porth Swtan, Mr Top Hat (both ew)

    335 Idaho is very strong. A Grp 1 horse, with O’Briens record at Chester, especially for favourites and Moore booked – it should win.

    But I cannot back it add odds-on – not when all 3 race wins are on GF, Moore has not won on him in 7 attempts (3 as fav) and whilst winning at Grp 2, has not won Grp1. As such, I am taking him on with Duretto and Danehill Kodiac. (I know, fools and their money are soon parted!!)

    435 Ghostwatch, Austrian School

    505 Never Surrender and Bhakt A Rawan (ew)

    Separately, I am developing a ‘Value Fancies’ system and this has picked out Ruby Russett (820 Win) and Poet’s Prince (740 Chf),

    Good luck today.

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