Nothing much today, no Tips…i’m still getting over poor old Washed Ashore unshipping at the last when he was likely to storm to victory I think. But, that’s jumps racing and I was due a last fence mishap. Thankfully both jockey and horse got up unscathed which is always the main thing.
Below are a list of ‘qualifiers’ that hit my Chester May Meeting research for members. All of those listed below hit some sort of trainer stats pointer, or some stalls info. They are to be used as ‘starting points‘ , a foundation for further research…
Day 1
‘Qualifiers’ against any of my notes listed in the report above, to be used as starting points…
1.50 – Dark Thunder / Jensue (TD micro IF 8/1<)
3.00 – Formidable Kitt / Spoof (stall stats) / Showmethedough (stall)
3.35 – Proschema
4.05 – Argentello
4.35 – No Im easy / Requinto Dawn (12/1<) / Gabrial The Saint (12/1<) / Mr Top Hat
5.05 – Cheerfilly (also micro IF 8/1<)/ Intransigent
*
That’s the lot for today. Gl with any bets.
Josh
21 Responses
Below are my top 3 rated horses from each of the Chester ITV races today. I used this method to find 2 out of the 4 winners at the weekend in which I used the trends, draw and pace approach. I will be backing each of the top 3; 1pt WIN.
1:50 Chester:
No Lippy (7/4 gen) -> Score 289.06
Gingersdunthelot (66/1 gen) -> Score 64.35
Arthurs Spirit (20/1 gen) -> 42.05
2:25 Chester:
Award Winning (7/1 gen) -> Score 48.88
Saharazeda (9/1 gen) -> Score 44.33
Magic Wand (7/2 gen) -> Score 39.48
3:00 Chester:
Global Academy (8/1 in places) -> Score 214.15
Angel Force (18/1 gen) -> Score 147.07
Spoof (5/1 gen) -> Score 134.11
3:35 Chester:
Dee Ex Bee (8/1 gen) -> Score 89.40
Young Rascal (4/1 gen) -> Score 57.68
Proschema (7/1 gen) -> Score 55.46
All above prices were as of 8:45 AM so prices may vary as I am posting this once the free post was available.
Let’s see how these do!
4 winners from the 4 races although all were the lowest odds from the 3. However still a nice profit on the day, R4 on the first race made the loss a little bigger but was cancelled out by nice wins at 7/2, 5/1 and 4/1. Ended the day +5.73 pts at Adv Odds and +4.03 at SP. I seen a few others tipped some of the winners today which is what I like to see!! I will look at the ITV races for tomorrow, either tonight or tomorrow and put the top the 3 up again. Fingers crossed we can bag a good odds winner 🙂
Good stuff Chris, top effort, those cards are always tricky so you’ve done well to come out in front on the day, same again tomorrow!
Trends for Chester
225 Oaks
10/10 nothing drawn above 8
10/10 no tongue tie
10/10 1st or 2nd in last 3
10/10 non went up in distance more than 1.5f from LTO
10/10 1 – 8 runs
10/10 2 or less wins
0/23 GB bred stallion
0/20 ran on straight track LTO
10/10 6 -45 days since LTO
Award winning EW passes all the trends for the combo Dettori/Gosden who won the race last with Enable.
Could see a good run from Princess yaiza if Franny Norton can get to front and try make all from stall 10.
300 Boodles
10/10 drawn 7 or under
8/10 drawn 4 or under
10/10 male
10/10 GB or Irish bred
10/10 No tongue tie
10/10 lowest rated or within 9lb higher
10/10 5th place or better on last 5 races
10/10 6+ runs
10/10 2 – 7 wins
10/10 1 – 4 wins at distance
10/10 all ran Class 2+
Global academy EW is the only one to tick all the box’s.
335 Vase
10/10 GB or Irish bred
6/10 93 -105 those with a rating
10/10 a win in last 3
10/10 no win over class 2
10/10 no more thsn 5 runs
10/10 top 3 LTO
10/10 21 – 300 day’s LTO
10/10 first ever run btwn 7f and 10f
9/10 top 4 first run
9/10 up in distance from LTO
One qualifier again Family tree EW
435 trend pick
Requinto dawn EW
Good stuff as always Robert, much appreciated. Good luck!
Cheers Josh.. good luck to you also
Top stuff Robert. BOL
Tony Mc.
GOLF BETS
The Players Tournament
Additional bet been in my mind all day
Ian Poulter 1 point ew 66/1 1/5 8 BW 66/1 1/5 7 BO plenty of 66/1 at different terms
Top of his game with a recent win at Houston and a 7th at Harbour Town,this is his course played well over 14 starts which includes two seconds and at 66/1 had to put him up.
This message was put up on members line last night
Great stuff, Robert.
I’m already on Award Winning & Global Academy, so that’s reassuring to read those numbers.
TUESDAY’S TOP RATED :
3.35 Brighton – Spirit Of Belle 2nd at 3/1
6.50 Exeter – Katy P 3rd at 12/1
3.45 Fakenham – Court King 3rd at 10/1
7.00 Ludlow – Monbeg Legend WON at 3.45
3.20 Thirsk – Bartholomeu Dias unplaced
1/5 and -1.67pts ==> 7/27 (25.93%) for -6.30pts (-23.33%)
Not great so far, but not far off getting somewhere…
WEDNESDAY :
15:55:00 Newton Abbot – Alcala (150)
16:15:00 Kelso – Brave Spartacus (133) ***NO BET, unless other doesn’t run***
16:15:00 Kelso – Double Ws (133) ***NO BET, unless other doesn’t run***
19:45:00 Fontwell – Zen Master (113)
15:00:00 Chester – Spoof (95)
20:25:00 Wolverhampton – Time To Reason (74)
AW BETS
No bet today
As i know heavy there is heavy rain forecast from 3.pm Chester
will be soft after
i really like Princess Yaiza 2:25 CHest proble is drawn nr10
everybody back Hunting Horn so i will look for ipsolini
no bet afternoon after rain
Hadn’t seen the weather forecast, so thanks for that vital info.
First time post for me. Having looked at various trends, stall stats, value bets, I have come up with the following for Chester.
150 No Lippy, Lihou
225 Magic Wand, Princess Yaiza (ew)
300 Spoof, Formidable Kitt
335 Hunting Horn, Young Rascal
405 Argentello, Howman
435 Mr Top Hat (ew), Last Page
505 The Feathered Nest, Kenstone (both ew)
Good luck everyone!
First of many I hope Simon! GL today, Josh
Thanks
First tips are always a bit daunting. Hope it goes well.
Thanks. I’ll settle for that start!
Very well done Simon….Keep going. BOL.
Tony Mc.
I mean i’ve seen worse first posts on this blog! 🙂 Well done. Some nice winners in that lot.
Same again tomorrow, Simon, you’ve raised our expectations 🙂