Free Daily Post: 22/12/17 (complete)

Micros + Members’ Tip

TIPS

None

 

MICRO SYSTEMS/ANGLES

Trainer/Jockey Combo – Live Test

2.55 Uttox – Kilmurvy (9/1< )

 

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I’ll put the mockers on the following members’ tip by repeating it below… a much needed winner yesterday, but the stats since Sept 1st are solid enough…

Test/trial  : ‘NOTES’  (01/09/17-) (30/170, +110) (1 point win bets)

12.30 Ayr – Craiganboy – 7/1 (bet365) 6/1 (gen)

I want to have a go on this one as I think he could be a couple points too big in what seems a mediocre enough race. A few things caught the eye. Firstly I looked at the trainer’s website where he gave a fairly positive preview- the horse is running here due to the lack of opportunities over fences, what with various cancelled meetings etc. That suggests one of two things to me- he is either bouncing at home and they are desperate to run him, or maybe they feel they need to get another run into him and don’t want to wait any longer, teeing him up for a return to fences. Alexander talked in a way which suggested this horse is here to run his race and any win won’t affect his chase mark. He is thoroughly unexposed as a handicap hurdler, this being only his second start in this sphere, and the first for Alexander. He is only 2lb higher than when winning comfortably over fences three starts ago. He ran well on his seasonal debut the last day, probably finding the trip sharp enough in the end and no doubt needing the run. He steps up to 19f here which does look ideal, at least based on his win chase win here over 18f. He will (should) stay. Heavy ground is no problem and neither is the track. I suspect Lucy would have ridden him but she is injured and you can’t help but note that he has booked Hughes, not a bad replacement! They are 9/18,13p when teaming up in handicaps. He could be very well handicapped in this sphere and at that price I thought he was worth a go. I’d like to think he won’t get outpaced but you never know. Hopefully he can just gallop them all into the ground, Hughes saving plenty for after the last. Most of the others in this seem to have questions to answer also. I had a good look at him in Inform and he comes out well/on top against numerous factors in their race-cards. A decent bet to my eye.

That will be all for ‘tips’.

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That’s the lot for today, it will ramp up a bit in the coming days, with decent 3m+ chases a plenty!

Josh

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