re..cap… what I wrote in my members’ post on the Badger Ales.. urgh….
Present Man… I can’t repeat my reaction to watching him win. Hopefully those of you who are systematic strategy backers paid no attention to my free post analysis. If you did and I put you off then apols. I didn’t have a penny on him. I back my free tips to £20 per point and with 4 points on the race that was my limit… this is a game of price. When ‘tipping’ in the race Friday evening Present Man was generally 7s or so. He was on my race trends shortlist of 5, he hit the members stats etc. The question was all about the going. Would he handle soft/heavy. It was an unknown. He hadn’t raced on ground like that outside of novice company and you were simply guessing, to a point, as to how he would handle it. He hadn’t proved he wouldn’t. That is an important distinction. My judgement for such a ‘guess’ was that I wanted a bigger price. He was 11s generally Saturday morning. I have no idea if that would have made a difference if just looking in the morning. It is always easy with hindsight. I can live with my decision on that race, at that time. What rubs salt in the wound and made it a painful punting experience (in the context of watching horses run around a field on such an important day more generally) was how poorly my seemingly heavy ground horses ran!! Just atrocious. I hate when tips don’t run any sort of race/never in contention over the last couple. Oh well. Moving on. (they are still 90+ points for the year, I won’t feel too sorry for myself. But I despise being that wrong. On all counts. Horrible)
I got that race very wrong, so moving on swiftly.
V Williams (16/1<)
2.30 Ffos Las – Drumviredy
3.30 Sand – Houblon Des Obeaux
Trainer/Jockey Combo – Live Test
2.55 Sand – Monbeg Oscar
3.30 Sand – Vino Griego
That’s it from me today.
GL with any bets