Kilfinichen Bay – 1 point win – 8/1 (gen) UP – Poor run, travelled well, but little there in final 1/2 mile or so… no excuse from what I can see.. was a bit weak before the off. Line through that. At least it was a good start for the Twister micro.
Video Preview…. (should add that this vid isn’t me analysing the race cold… i did all that before recording and it took little longer than 15 mins…this is me trying to skip over important bits/what stood out/ have no doubt missed something..)
The selection.. in short, I thought 8s was 2/3 points too big.. for a horse that won the race last year, whose trainer is in red hot form, who is fit, stays, handles the track/conditions, and who showed a glimpse LTO that he may be about to come to the boil. He is a dour stayer. He will need them to go a good pace here but will be staying on late and 8s allowed the play.
Of the rest… well most/all had the odd question in the context of their price. There are fitness questions for a couple, and the odd stamina niggle. And in general I thought they were all around the right price. It is an open race and plenty of these arrive in here on the back of decent runs LTO. Many are not too over-raced over fences and most may not have registered their best chasing performance as yet. You can make a case for plenty. Belmount hits some of my Members’ Twister stats for this time of year and a case can be made. And Fact Of The Matter– well he has proven stamina and arrives here fit and in form. And on that basis would have a better chance than some I think. Maybe those two will give me most to think about, we shall see!
GL with any bets.
(I will get round to updating the results for ‘tips’ at some point. Jumps..it was about +75 points 2016, similar in 2015 I think…and this year, 2017 to date…inc the Cheltenham Festival (+42 or so), possibly around the +70 to +85 point mark so far this year. Profit tends to come in spikes. We did +90 points in Jan 2016 when everything clicked. Festival ‘week’ was +64 points this year,inc Chase The Spud at Uttox, 20s. The Uttoxeter Summer Cup winner (+11 on race) and Kerry National winner (+14) have kept things ticking over in recent weeks. On we go. I have no fears about my ability to come out in front, over time, in these race types/big weekend chases/Festivals)
No system qualifiers/bets.
Members’ Club: Special Offer…. 4 months for £7…
You’ll hear more on this in the coming days (lucky you! 🙂 ) …but I have changed things around a bit…
…whereby you can now get 4 month full members’ access for just £7. This offer will close in early October and is your last chance to jump aboard at existing prices. It dawned on me that 21 Days may not be long enough to immerse yourself in my very unique club, but 4 months should do it. The content finds many decent winners, the advised systematic strategies tick along and pull in the profits over time, and all in all it’s just bloody good fun. Not. Biased. At. All! But, you can see for yourself by joining HERE>>>
I’ll record a video asap which actually explains what you get/what the club is about etc.
(oh...and if you have ever previously been a member of any sort.. you should be able to log back in with old details and sign up for free for 4 months, no need to even pay £7)
IMPORTANT….! (message for anyone who signed up to SP2A’s special offer – if you haven not heard from them )…. Ian has just posted in the Offer post…
Hi just a bit of an update/housekeeping issue. I have acknowledged all payments, sent access codes to get tips online at SP2A and am mailing out tips. In all instances the acknowledgement / tips / access codes have been sent to the e-mail address quoted on PAYPAL payment.
In a few cases people have contacted after a day or two to say “not heard anything” but from a different e-mail address and one not quoted on Paypal. So, if you have paid for service and not heard anything back and you use an e-mail different from your Paypal account PLEASE drop us a message via Contact Form on SP2A (HERE>>>) website with your preferred e-mail address and we will do the necessary.
We can’t promise winners but we do promise outstanding customer service and will therefore do all we can to ensure people get tips and info they have paid for but if we are sending to wrong e-mail address obviously, you aren’t going to get it!