Potters Point – 2 points win – 8/1 (WH/BF/PP/BetfS) WON 8/1
Bay of Freedom – 1 point win – 12/1 (gen) 3rd
Kilcarry Bridge – 1/2 point win – 25/1 (gen) UP
Viva Steve – 1/2 point win – 10/1 (gen) 4th 14/1
(4 points total) (+14 points on race)
Shortlist: those four above!
Notes… if you don’t wish to watch video…
Potters Point…in the stats/trends ‘long list’… unexposed yet hardy profile, could be anything in handicap chases/well handicapped. Like most in here has to prove he stays, and in this ground. Ground looks ok and is a big strapping type. Will race prominently. Was the one unexposed one I thought most likely to step forward in conditions and ‘could’ win well. He will race prominently. 8/1 well worth a stab.
Bay of Freedon…also on stats/trends ‘long list’ and ticked two further big positives…track experience and ran over hurdles LTO. Ground will be fine, just whether it is fine over 3n in a strongly run race. But he is unexposed and this looks like the plan. Light weight and another prominent racer. He should be up there for a time, and we shall see if he can grind it out over the last couple when it matters. He is rock bottom of HorseRaceBase ratings which I never like and niggles at me. There is a chance his form just isn’t up to this level. 12/1 worth a poke as positives outweigh the niggles.
Kilcarry Bridge.. in form,ground fine,slight stamina niggle… but he should be up there and may attempt to make all. All of that combined made me want to have a dart at 25/1. Not impossible he gets out and stays out, or in any case is in the right place.
Viva Steve… horses returning after breaks have a poor record in this…but the record of the horse fresh is superb, inc last year when running for Fergal for the first time. So, that tipped the balance. He is one of the few in here who I am sure will see out this trip. Stays further and has won in soft..heavy a niggle, but less for him than most in here! I thought he would race prominently also and the yard is in great form. At 10s I wanted 1/2 a point on..i’d be gutted if he won this unbacked. I suspect he may not be good enough but proven stamina/fit/fresh can get you a long way in these races.
VIDEO Preview...decided to record one of these…’only’ the 17 minutes in length! 🙂 (a walk through the stats/trends, the four horses above,a few other points, pace set up etc)
G McPherson (20/83,32p, +244 BFSP since 2010)
3.30 Uttox – Werenearlyoutofit (any odds)
7.45 – Master Archer
That will be all for today, once the video is up.
GL with any bets.
FANCY OWNING A RACEHORSE?? (or share of..)
I have taken the plunge with a Juvenile hurdler and you are welcome to join me. You can find out more HERE>>>