Ah well a complete blowout on the stats/trends races which wasn’t a total shock- we were due one of those after recent weeks, this game isn’t that easy sadly. The stats/trends also related to previous races that had been run on good/good to firm, and there may be something in that. Anyway, just a couple of micros today…
MICRO SYSTEMS/ANGLES
Flat 2017: 60 + days
3.55 Galway – Reckless Endeavour (any odds)
Trainer/Jockey Combo – Live Test
4.05 MR – Blue Comet
**
6 Responses
5.00 Galway
20 runners – 232 runners.
Last run >30days: 1/55
LR NOT 2m1f-2m3.5f: 1/74
Distance places, 1: 0/49
I think it leaves Dicosimo (15/2), Kilcary Bridge (14/1) and Ronava (40/1)
A head away from a 12/1 (17/1 BFSP) winner touching 1.12 in running but alas not to be.
3.40 Chester
254-19
Last three NO top 4:1/59
Not 1-6 handicap wins 1/76
123-10
No place last two runs 0/55
Handicap places >8 1/60
1-3 shorter wins 1/51
Zlatan (11/2 )and Gabriel the tiger (9/1) look to tick all the boxes.
3.55 Galway 7f
18 – 255
Last place 2 or 3 runs ago: 1/74
Last run prizemoney, 10.5K-50K: 2/111
Last run, NOT 7f-1m0.5f: 2/78
Applying the above would have found the winner every year since 2006 except 2008 when the only qualifier placed at 33/1. (10/51, 22p+19BFSP)
Leaves the fav who is too short at 11/4 and three others who are all Ellison trained! Baraweez (8/1), Dream Walker (9/1) and Stipulate (25/1).
🙂
Chris
Ellison also has BE KOOL (3.55) as a reserve entry and it looks as though it will be included in the race with there having been a couple of non-runners. I have Baraweez as being a top two, speed figure rated horse so I have backed them both. the better value winners seem to be over in Ireland, it’s just picking the right one
And now the good 5lb claiming apprentice Ben Robinson has been added to ride Be Kool in the race,
Well that went well gents, well done… 1,2,3 between you all… well done if you did any fancy forecasts/RFC, Tricasts etc!!
Cheers for the heads up! Been out all afternoon.