No micro systems/angles.
Three horses ‘of interest’ today…
3.10 Yarmouth -Time To Sea – 8/1 – UP 10/3 (6.8/1 about a 10/3 shot the only positive there)
- This one is unexposed having his third run in a handicap and he is the only horse to have front run in their last four starts. I am hoping that they may try and dictate from the front here. He is top 2 in Geegeez Speed ratings along with the Ivory horse- they are both well clear of the rest on that score. He is doing a couple of things differently – namely a drop in class and a move up in trip. That move in distance may mean they try and keep hold of him, but he ran the last day if it could unlock more. If you think he will stay you should ride him as such. The trainer is also ‘in form’, 2/11,6p the last 14 days, 6/27,15p the last 30 days.
6.10 Chester – Heir of Excitement – 5/1 3rd 4/1 (no excuse there,good trip,travelled well,thought coming to challenge at one point)
- I get the feeling Kevin Ryan’s horses are about to explode into life. Kevin Stott indicated as much in an interview on
ATRRUK at Hamilton last night, indicating the horses were now all bouncing again at home, after their issue with equine herpes. There have been signs of life in recent days. The ‘way in’ with this one was the form of the race he won LTO. 13 horses have run since, 5 have won, 7 won|placed in total. Solid enough. That indicates he beat horses inform/unexposed/progressive etc. So, some substance there. Pace was also interesting… he did make all the last day. He is in stall 8 here which is a niggle,albeit a non runner on his inside makes things easier. There are a few other front runners here- he doesn’t have to lead. He could track what could be a pace burnup, or he may be quick enough to lead himself. The ground should be fine. He is in form and has been very consistent on recent starts. 5s seemed just about ok.
6.50 Newmarket – Sea Shack – 5/1 UP 5/2 – (poor, possibly ran on dodgy part of track but not sure that is an excuse for that run)
- One for SDS here…and another who I think could make all. He is top speed on the ratings and out of any of these looks most likely to try and make all. SDS does like trying to do that. This one is still unexposed, 1/6,3p on turf. He drops in class from LTO. And I also noted how his best form to date, his win in a C2 conditions race at Goodwood, came with cut in the ground. He has been racing on a fast surface since and it could be he improves for a return to a softer surface. I think he will give this a good go from the front and if he can dictate, get a breather in,and then kick, they may struggle to reel him back on the climb to the line.
That will do for today. We shall see how they go.
GL with any bets.