Members Daily Post: 05/06/17 (complete)

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

2.Any ‘Notes’ (‘bet of the day’ + any other notes)

3.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

FLAT 

Thirsk

3.30 – Pomme De Terre (micro TJC) I3 8/1 3rd

4.00 –

Mango Chutney (4yo+) 11/1 3rd

Kiwi Bay (4yo+) H3 I3 8/1 4th 

Leicester 

2.20 – Roman Spinner (2yo) 14  20/1 UP

5.25 – Flyboy (all hncps) H3 G3  9/2 2nd

Windsor

7.40 –

Little Palaver (4yo+, + micro runs) 14 10/1 UP

Stake Acclaim (4yo+) 10/1 WON 10/1 

Eljaddaaf (4yo+) I3 40/1 UP

Ayr

7.25 – Danish Duke (micro dist) H3 G1  5/1 UP

8.25 – Fieldsman (micro age) I3  7/1 UP

8.55 –

Stoneham (4yo+, + micro class) H1 I3  4/1 UP

Vercingetorix (4yo+, + micro class) I3 G1 14/1 WON 14/1>8/1

La Bacouetteuse (4yo+, + micro class) I3 G3 16/1

Buzz Boy (4yo+) H3 11/8 UP

SUMMER JUMPS

Newton Abbot 

2.10 – On Alberts Head (hncp hurdle) 11/1 UP

3.10 – Wishful Dreaming (hncp hurdle) 14,30 I3  6/1 UP

3.40-

Jack Snipe (hncp chase) H3 8/1

Beuvron (micro age) 8/1 UP

4.45 – Cape Caster (micro dist) 14,30  7/4  UP

2.Any ‘Notes’ (‘bet of the day’ + any other notes)

Weather Watch: Every track across UK today appears to be expecting rain, heavy in some places. So, a bit of a guessing game on that front but may be best to assume there could be soft at most tracks come race time. 

Bet of The Day…  (test) (Flat: 2/19,10p, +3.8) (Jumps: 8/54, +25.5) (total: 10/73, +29.3)

Bet of The Day –

3.30 Thirsk – Pomme De Terre – 1 point win – 8/1 (Betfred) 15/2 (gen) 3rd 7/1*

*no excuses there, rain came, actually led for a long way, no excuse. Kept fighting well enough. 

This one should relish the forecast rain and does need it to arrive as expected. If this has any cut come race time he seems to have a decent chance to my eye. He is 2lb below his last win which was a decent enough big field C4 sprint at York. He returned on unsuitably fast ground the last day but has come down a couple of pounds and now drops in class also, into this C5. He is 2/4 with OR 71-80, 0/5,0p 81+. So, he is now handicapped again to go well. The blinkers also return which haven’t been worn for a little while. He is 2/6,3 places in those, 0/6,0p all other headgear/no headgear. He appears to have ideal conditions here and is doing a few things differently from recent runs, namely class drop/headgear change. And he should get his ground. He looks a bet to me at those odds. The one niggle is the draw in box 1. But the stalls are in the centre today and the horse in stall 4 likes to get on with it and should toe him into the race. The yard is ticking along and with any luck he can break my mini drought.

He was the one that looked most interesting to me.

Vercingetorix is a #1 strat qual and is top rated Geegez so will be interesting how he goes. He races off 61 here with the claim and when last running on the flat turf was off 80. It is also his first try at 2 miles on the flat and there is a chance he sets the pace. He did only run yesterday over hurdles which is a concern, and didn’t run too well. But, a case could be made I think. Roman Spinner is probably worth a stab at his price- Guest is 4/10 at leicester in last 5 years with 1st time out 2 year olds, to build on the 2/4 stats in the guide, for +46 SP, which suggests the odd one goes in at a price. The yard is in form. Any drift may be a concern but this seems to be the track he targets and first time winners and over time it should add to profits no doubt.

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June Trainer

3.30 Thirsk- Buccaneers Vault (18/1<)

3.Any general messages/updates etc

none.

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