1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers
2.Any ‘Notes’ (‘bet of the day’ + any other notes)
3.Any general messages/updates etc
**
1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers
JUMPS
Fakenham
None.
SUMMER JUMPS
Perth
2.45 –
Always On The Run (hncp chase) 14 H3 7/2 UP
Witness In Court (hncp chase) I3 9/1 UP
3.15 –
Green Zone (all hncps+ hncp hurdle) I1 12/1 UP
Muwalla (all hncps + hncp hurdle) I3 12/1 UP
4.15 – Roc D’Apsis (hncp chase) 10/1 UP
4.45 –
Johnny Go (all hncps+ hncp hurdle) I3 15/2 UP
Solway Prince (all hncps + hncp hurdle) 33/1 UP
5.15 – Nando (NHF) H1 I1 3/1 UP
2.Any ‘Notes’ (‘bet of the day’ + any other notes)
None today. (haven’t had time to look, rather than looking and not liking something etc)
A frustrating day on Sat – always annoying when I fancy something and another TTP pick wins at decent odds. I should really stop second guessing Russell’s C5 handicappers at Hexham- that could well be the best micro angle in the whole Jumps stats pack.
The ‘back Aiden O’Brien runners priced 20/1+ SP’ ‘angle’ on the Epsom notes found the Derby winner. I am guessing from the lack of comments that like me you may not have trusted the stats /had anything on! I’ll learn one day. Everyone was saying it was an open renewal and in that scenario it makes sense to back something at a price. Next time.
**
3.Any general messages/updates etc
Nothing. Bar normal content the only thing on my plate next week is getting all results/spreadsheets updated and reviewing results/strategies to date. I will try and get that done as soon as possible.
**
5 Responses
I did go with the stats at £10 per point! I follow them blindly where the cumulative + is 20 or more.
Saturday found two winners at 8/1 (Balding) and O’Brien at 40/1. There were also 5 losers. So that gives a profit of £430 today.
I back them blindly, find the matches on the days they apply and put the bets on. I go with the +20 cumulative to keep the number of bets down. I may miss winners but a system is a system.
So well done to Josh for such work when the big meetings come up and more people should follow them I think.
Martin
I don’t understand what you mean with cumulative +20, could you explain please.
Mike
probably means made 20 pts or more backing all selections at level stakes (1 pt per bet)
Where in the micro’s it says that previously the micro had a + EV of 20 points or more. For instance the Balding Micro was circa +28 points and the O’Brien micro +122 points. I ignore those micros below +20 points up according to the stats Josh has produced to keep the volume of bets down.
Martin
Many thanks, I will follow with interest and some of my cash.
Cheers
Mike