Members Daily Post: 06/04/17 (complete)

All quals + RPs + Aintree + notes

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers 

2.Any ‘Notes’ (subjective views mainly, on some of the qualifiers)

3.Any general messages/updates etc

**

 

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers 

Jumps

Aintree

4.40 –

Bun Doran (all hncps + micro TJC) 14 11/1

Parsnip Pete (all hncps + micro TJC) 14 16/1

Thienval (hncp chase) 14 H3 6/1

 

Taunton

3.15 0 Decimus (micro TJC) 14,30 14/1

**

KEY:

H1/H3 = HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez Gold Speed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

14,30 = Geegeez Gold ‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30 – 10+ runs last 20 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

**

2.Any ‘Notes’ (subjective views mainly, on some of the qualifiers)

Not too much to add today, no ‘bet of the day test’-

You will have seen on the free post that using my race trends/stats – separate from the TTP stats used to find qualifiers in section 1 – that my pins landed on a couple of 25/1 pokes- and they are that. There is nothing I can say to put you off the three in the 4.40 – no shock were Bun Doran or Thienval to run big races. Given the number of lightly raced/younger legs in the race I would be surprised if Parsnip Pete won this , but he does like it around here!

Of course if you follow the ’10/1+’ strategy you may be on three of those above anyway.

Decimus is interesting- in the sense that all conditions are fine, he likes decent ground, he is below his last winning mark, he has won/ran well after a break and the trainer is in decent form. He ticks plenty of boxes and it is probably a case of what mental state he is in- one of his better runs would put him in the mix. There are a few in here open to plenty of progress but I have seen worse 14/1 shots.

 

RESULTS: Dont forget you can read part 1 of this update HERE>>> I would say this is a must read for any member. Part 2, looking at the ratings pointers, will be complete close of play Sunday at the latest. I need to get that done asap as it will give us all some other systematic options moving forwards. 

 

**

3.Any general messages/updates etc

 

Aintree 2017: Stats+ Trends For 6 Handicaps (inc GN): Click HERE>>>

(this will be available to everyone)

 

Aintree 2017 Micro Qualifiers Day 1

(report HERE>>>)

Micro 3

4.40 – Dandridge / Theinval

Micro 4

4.40 – Romain De Senam (16/1<)

**

PLEASE NOTE: 

Posts will be updated as and when over the next few days. Friday’s members post will be up by 10pm at the latest with any luck, I suspect I will get home from Aintree around 7.30/8pm or so this evening and will get it posted asap. Saturday’s post may well be up on Saturday morning at the earliest but I will see, I know I won’t be back until later on the Friday evening.

Josh

Share on facebook
Facebook
Share on twitter
Twitter
Share on pinterest
Pinterest
Share on linkedin
LinkedIn
Share on telegram
Telegram

Post Comments

Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

2 Responses

  1. I dont understand how theres 3 horses in members post for 440 aintree yet in free post theres 2 diff horses in same race ?
    Do we back all 5 ?
    Surely members posts should be the tipped horses ?

  2. Hi JE,

    – The Members Club has nothing to do with any ‘tips’, bar Cheltenham Festival week, which is the only time they are for members only/charged. This is not a ‘tipping service’

    -The members club is what is on this page above, generally speaking- the core focus is qualifiers against my stats packs, that is section 1 above. The welcome email and the recent results update here- http://racingtoprofit.co.uk/2017/04/04/members-club-results-update-end-march-part-1/

    …Explains the strategies you can adopt to those qualifiers.

    There are added benefits such as exclusive stats reports and monthly research articles, a few links to such things were in yesterday’s members post, the 5th. And such as that Aintree micro qualifiers report above. That is members only as is Summer Jumps etc.

    **
    There is no right or wrong way to approach the content anywhere on this blog, both free or Members only. It is information designed to help you profit/enjoy racing.

    The free trial period should be spent working out how you may like to approach the content on this page.

    The #1 advised strategy #1 ‘RP 10/1+’ is what I advise members to follow as a starting point/foundation. It looks unlikely there will be any qualifiers against that strategy in section 1 above. That is what I personally follow as a matter of course and as yet have not backed any horse in section 1 above. But that’s just me.

    Section 3 above at the moment has some qualifiers against the members only micro systems.

    **

    The free posts..
    Well for Aintree any tips will be free- I don’t sell anything, bar the Festival week, based on my performance in ‘tipping’. I am not a ‘tipster’. You can follow/ignore/do as you please with that information. I have used the trends/stats I have researched to come up with those selections.

    They are separate from the members posts.

    You may decide to not follow the qualifiers above in section 3 against my aintree systems. You may just stick with section 1, and whatever approach you may be taking to those qualifiers.

    Do work out an approach, ‘backing everything in section 1’ is not advised.

    Please read through the welcome email/that results link above.

    Many may follow my tips, and tread those as separate from any qualifiers in section 1, using different betting banks etc. So, some members may well end up backing all 5, I don’t know. At the moment I have backed my two ‘tips’ only.

    Josh

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.