NEW! Post… future of the Members Club/Plans for Flat/Price Increases etc: You Can Read HERE>>>
Festival Review: I plan to record some short videos (well I say short, you know me by now) looking back at Days 1+2 and 3+4, what went well, what I can improve on for next year/generally and anything else of interest.
Trainer/jockey combo– Live Test
3.50 Taunt – Mr Kit Cat (12/1< guide)
Nothing else today that I could find. Below I have repeated my ‘bet of the day’ test from the Members Post…
Bet of The Day: Test… (2/9,2p = +11 points)
I will revive my Bet of The Day Test , now that the Festival is over. I will have a look through those above and see if anything jumps out at me….
4.10 Southwell- Early Retirement – 1 point win – 6/1 (WH/BV) 11/2 (general) WON 4/1 (after R4s)
No ratings pointers today, so no bets for any systematic ‘RP 10/1+’ followers but on what looks a quiet day for me personally I do want to have a go at this Bailey runner, who looks the most likely winner from her two- famous last words. This is only his 3rd handicap hurdle start and he will improve at some point. Two starts ago he ran very well on handicap debut, coming second at 20/1. The horse behind him has since won and although a weak race, as this is, at least some substance there. The winner since placed again also. Next time he tried Towcester in heavy ground, tiring from about three out having been up there most of the way. I suspect those conditions stretched him a tad. An easier track here and better ground should help. They are due some rain which makes the card tricky as it could turn this soft- which would be fine for him. Sean Bowen rides- and that looks to be a developing relationship given they are now 2/4,2p in handicaps. Maybe he is available more than Harry Skelton- in any case they are two jockeys she likes to call on. So, the fact he is on is a positive. The trainer is also in great form still- 3/8,4p in the last 14 days. Finally – pace- Bowen can be aggressive which I like and there is a chance he tried to make all or in any case should be up there in the first few- which is where you want to be around here I think – very hard to come from the back unless they go far too hard.
So, I think 6/1, 11/2 looks decent in this poor race where most have some sort of question. I would hope that he is backed but we shall see.