Taunton are inspecting again it seems but I have had a decent look at the 3.30 and have concluded that I will leave it. Taking on two unexposed chasers, who are in form and have been running well, who are both 7/2 and from powerful, in form yards, probably isn’t wise at the moment! Out of the top two I would prefer the chance of Kerrow – I have watched that Chepstow race again and Boa Island was able to dictate what seemed a very slow pace to my eye – the race turned into a sprint really, and Kerrorw was further back than ideal and also looks like a stout stayer. He just couldn’t pick up as quickly but for one so inexperienced he jumped well and finished his race off. There is the potential for a fair bit of pace on in here also and the race should be run to suit. Boa Island has jumped left a few times on his other goes RH and fell at Exeter, and that question would make me leave him at his price. Not sure if I am half talking myself into a bet on Kerror at 7/2- but given inexperience that may be short enough. I struggled to make a proper case for any outsiders. If I am being honest I have talked myself out of putting up Ballycoe and Tinker Time. The latter has a big weight and I think could be at his rating ceiling- he ran well at Ascot but was in a bunch finish for 2nd suggesting he may have ran up to his mark. He is 3/6 OR 121-132 so one to note if/when mark drops. I thought he could run ok though but is open to attack from anything with something in hand. The trip was too short the last day. He isn’t top 3 on either ratings set I glance at either, which would temper enthusiasm. Ballycoe- I thought the step up in distance looked interesting, but only that. I wasn’t convinced in the end that he would relish the trip- a question, and the yard a bit hot and cold- cold at the moment. Also has class to prove. So, proving class and distance are two big enough questions. But, he could also run ok. Given their profiles I would be slightly surprised if both the top two got beat, but we shall see. If one of TT or B wins, some more long, lingering staring will take place over the Liverpool skyline from my ‘office’ window. But, I think I am right to dodge them. They will have other days and both trainers may be on a ‘get the mark down’ exercise.
Note: These are trainer systems and ARE NOT related to horse form or me standing in front of a dart board randomly chucking ‘arras’ at the racing post (albeit at times that may not be a bad idea!) All horses in this section come from researched angles that have a set of ‘rules’ – when a horse ‘qualifiers’ against those rules they get posted here, for the angles we are following. There is a mix of systems that have been around a while and have worked, and then there are the ‘test’ systems, and sometimes monthly trainer pointers/angles. How you use them is up to you but the research exists somewhere in the ‘free reports&systems’ tab as above. If at any point you have a question about why a horse is posted on this page, and how many marbles I have lost today, please just ask/post a comment…
Handicap hurdle/chase portfolio– LIVE TEST
2.40 Hay – Subtle Grey
December Trainers (pointers, unproven in live play)
1.00 Taunt – Beau Du Brizais – UP
3.30 Taunt – Silver Commander 2nd 8/1
Tom George Handicap Chasers
(this one has worked well over time,in live play for couple of seasons,touch wood it continues. Indeed its last qualifier, 2 days ago, won at 9/1 i think)
2.30 Taunt- Behind The Wire WON 6/1
That will do for today.