Below I have just repeated an update I have posted on the TTP Members Post…
TTP Results Update
I will update results for the week for tomorrow as usual (from Mon 12th-18th – which marks 3 montsh I think since first posted) but I have had a look at the results of the Ratings Pointers for the first full week, from 12th to Sun 18th… (and my word…)
So, here we are looking at all TTP stats qualifiers that were also in the top 3 ratings of HorseRaceBase and Geegeez Gold Speed Ratings.
(NOTE: This idea just came to me which given the tools I pay for etc, seemed to make sense, and helped bring a bit more science to analysing selections,against my sometimes questionable subjective judgement! It was also after a blunt realisation that my trainer stats pack was throwing up too many qualifiers for my own personal comfort, and no doubt that of some members- in fact that is probably the main reason people unsubscribe. Still, just backing all qualifiers on the nose systematically has had good results. But you would need to start with small stakes and betting X number of horses a day on average isn’t for everyone. I wanted to find a way to improve on the performance while reducing the number of bets if possible..)
I don’t believe HRB ratings take account of ‘speed’ albeit I am not sure. Geegeez uses Dr Peter May’s speed ratings but I don’t believe they take account of any trainer stats/patters/track form etc. So, in theory, this approach should improve on the basic performance of the stats….
I can’t think this first week will be the norm- these stats will drop down a tad, but, the ratings stats for those 7 days…
- ALL Ratings Qualifiers Backed Multiple Times (so a horse backed twice if appearing on both HRB top 3 or Geegeez top 3): 35 bets / 18 wins / 22 places (inc wins) = +59.39 points
- ALL TOP RATED Qualifiers (backed multiple times) = 10 bets / 7 wins / 7 places / +28.22 points
- All Ratings Qualifiers Backed ONCE (qualify at least once against a rating,not backed multiple times if qualifies twice): 26 bets / 12 wins / 15 places / +44.17 points
- HorseRaceBase Top 3 Rated (inc top): 9/17,11p = +31.47 points
- Geegeez Speed Top 3 Rated (inc top): 9/18,11p = +28 points
Blimey. We shall see how that continues moving forwards. That could be an outlier of a week – I would have expected/been happy with around a 25% win SR across the various permutaions. Hitting around 50% win strike rates is just madness, and well, if that continues, then Merry Christmas!
It is looking like the best idea I have ever had. Time will tell if that is correct. If it is, some would say that is a bargain for £10 per month 🙂
K Lee Chasers (12/1< guide)
12.35 H – Mr Bachster DNQ
3.10 H – Aces Over Eights DNQ
Handicap Hurdle/Chase portfolio (LIVE TEST)
2.30 Ayr – Conquer Gold UP
3.00 Ayr – Top Billing 2nd 7/1>3/1
3.20 Chelm – Flying Fantasy (14/1<) UP
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
Nothing jumping out at me.
BONUS… TTP Ratings Pointers from AYR…
(stats qualifiers against my TTP jumps stats pack, cross referenced against the following ratings…)
Top 3 Rated (so in effect 2nd or 3rd rated)
3.30 A – Better Getalong WON 5/2
1.20 A – Willie Hall – UP
2.30 A – Another Mattie – UP
Top 3 Rated
3.00 A – Top Billing 2nd 7/1>3/1
That will be all for today. Good luck with any bets.