SAT Trends+Stats: Ascot

A look at…

Ascot

Ascot Silver Handicap Chase

92 runners / 8 winners / 23 places

I have looked at the last 8 renewals back to 2006 ( a few abandoned years) as there were no double figure fields in the races from 1997-2005. Since 2006, in the 8 races since, there have been 5 big fields, and that may affect some of the stats.

CHECKLIST

TRENDS

Previous Place

Nothing too much.

• 6/8 Top 6 LTO7
  • 3/15,3p won LTO
  • PU/Fell/UR: 0/17,1p…but dealing with small numbers

Horse Age

• 8/8 Aged 5-8
  • 9+ : 0/33,4p

Days Since Run

• 8/8 ran 21-45 days ago
  • 31-45 days: 5/19,9p…+41 SP
  • 6-15 days: 0/13,1p
  • 46+ days: 0/15,0p

Horse Weight (exc claims)

• 11-12: 0/8,3p
• Not much else to note. Winners down to 10-00. (2/15,3p)

Horse Official Rating

• 153+ : 0/14, 4p

Season Runs

• 0: 0/9,0p
• 5/29,12 p had 1 run only, +52 SP

Position In Market

• 4/8 Top 2 in the market

Odds

• Some big priced winners but 4/8 priced 4/1 or shorter… (4/11, 7p)

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OTHER STATS

‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’

H (Horse) -Run (90 days)

• 0: 0/10, 0p

H-Run (NH Race Type)

• 7/8 had 10 or fewer chase starts
  • 7/51, 17p
  • 11+ : 1/41, 6p

H- RUN (Hncp NH Race Type) 

• 7/8 had 2-5 or fewer handicap chase runs
  • 7/39, 14p
    • 0-1: 0/8,1p
    • 6-8: 1/22,4p
    • 9+ : 0/23. 4[
    • 2 handicap chase runs: 4/9, 6p….+35 SP

The ‘Winning’ Characteristics

None of note from my checklist

Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics

(LR)-last run – NH Race Type

• Hurdle: 0/10,2p

(LR) Track

• Chelt: 2/14,5p
• Winc: 2/5,3p
• Ascot: 1/16,1p
• Newbury: 1/25,8p
• Weth/Newc: 1 each
• Aintree: 0/8,0p

Trainers (of interest)

No trainer has won this more than once in the period.

• 1x winners: Pipe/Buckler/Mulholland/S Smith/V Williams/Bridgewater/Daly/Nicholls
• NTD: 0/5,0p
• Hobbs: 0/6,4p
• Henderson: 0/6,0p

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