HAYDOCK SAT: Trends/Stats

Two races for Saturday.

A more in depth look at the 3m handicap chase that finishes the card and the Fixed Brush Hurdle. I couldn’t find any stats/trends for the 3m4f handicap chase as yet.

Some of the numbers etc are small so some caution as always and these should only ever be used as a guide.

SAT 19/11/16

Haydock

3m Handicap Chase (3.55) 3.35 

102 bets / 9 wins / 28 placed horses

TRENDS

Previous Place

• 3/14,5 places WON LTO
• PU: 1/16

Horse Age

• 10+ : 0/19,3p

Horse Weight (exc claim)

• 11-11+ : 4/21,9 places
• 10-10 or less: 0/16, 1p

Season Runs

• 3+ : 0/10,0p

Odds

• 9/9 16/1 or shorter: 18/1+ : 0/24, 1 place

***

OTHER STATS

Miscellaneous 1

Origin of Horse

• GB: 0/28, 8 places
• IRE: 5/48,11 p
• FR: 4/23,9 p

Pos Wgts (ex Clm) –

• Top/joint top: 3/15,6 p

‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’

H-Run (NH Race Type)

• 9/9 had 10 or fewer chase runs
  • 11+ : 0/51, 9 places

H- RUN (Hncp NH Race Type) 

• 9/9 had 5 or fewer handicap chase runs
  • 6+ : 0/55, 12 places

H-Run (Last Placing)

• 9/9 had placed at least once on one of last three starts
  • Had not: 0/23,3 p

The ‘Winning’ Characteristics

H-Win (NH Race Type).

• 9/9 had 0-3 Chase wins
  • 4+ : 0/30, 8 places

H-Win (Hcap NH)

• 9/9 had 0-2 handicap chase wins
  • 3+ : 0/29, 6 places

Miscellaneous 2

Best in Three Runs

• 7/9 had won at least once of last two starts
• 9/9 had won or come 2^nd on at least one of last three starts
  • Had not: 0/28, 5 places

Distance Move

• Down 1f or more: 0/36, 8 places
• 6/9 running at same distance or down 0.5f.

Highest Class Win

• Had won at Listed level or above: 0/19, 4 places

Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics

(LR) Track

• Chelt: 2/19, 6 places
• 1 win: Bangor/Ascot/Market R/Ayr/Wincaton/Haydock/Chepstow
• Wetherby: 0/8,2p
• Kelso: 0/7, 0p
• Aintree: 0/13,3p

Trainers (of interest)

No trainer has won this more than once as yet…

• V Williams: 1/8, 4 places
• 1 win: Bridgewater/E Williams/C Mann/D Pipe/D McCain/P Nicholls/M Jefferson/H Daly
• Mrs S J Smith: 0/10,1p
• NTD: 0/5,0 p

***

Fixed Brush Handicap Hurdle

‘lighter touch’

9/9 Age 5,6,7

• 8+ : 0/59,9 p
• 5/9 aged 5

9/9 carried 10-10 or more (exc claims)

9/9 OR 132+

9/9 0-2 runs this season

9/9 HAD NOT run over 25.5f or further in career before

7/9 Had WON over 19.5-21f Max

7/9 had run 4-6 times over hurdles

9/9 0-2 handicap hurdle wins

French Bred: 5/36, 13p

GB/IRE: 4/108,20p

Ran in Chase LTO: 1/39,9p

Trainers

• D Pipe: 3/11,4 p
• N Williams: 2/4, 2 p
• 1 win each: D Skelton/F Doumen/M Jefferson/T Easterby
• NTD: 0/9,1p
• V Williams: 0/6,0p
• Mrs S J Smith: 0/7, 0p
• P Nicholls: 0/6,2p
• A King: 0/6,1p
• Jonjo: 0/7,3p
• N Henderson: 0/7,4p

***