NOTE: Just so you can all keep tabs on me… I promised that £1 from every sale of the AW stats pack would go to the IJF given events at Kempton -and it was that day that I was researching the guide. As I write on Thursday 17 have been sold, so we can round that up to £20. Doubt it will grow too much more and a lot of you who may have bought it are in the Members Club and get it for free anyway. But, every little helps.
None. No races of interest in Friday. It is raining up in Liverpool as I write and hopefully it spreads far and wide. There is the Badger Ales chase to get stuck into on Saturday, that looks likely to be the tipping highlight if a decent field.
Handicap Hurdle/Chase Portfolio
2.35 War –
ActionDancer NR(unxp hurdler,market ‘can’ be guide with this yard)
2.45 Font- Fine Resolve UP(Dunn angle)
3.45 War – Ballydague Lady WON 5/2 (second run after break)
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
Ah we were unlucky yesterday with Erhaaf who could/should have won but for a troubled passage. On we go…
2.25 DownRoyal – Wolfslair – 9/2, 4/1 – WON 9/2 (easy as you like really,job done) This one may be short enough, but then sometimes my judgement at this end is awful and he could well bolt up like a 5/4 shot- he makes handicap debut here and everything ‘looks’ right. Firstly Elliot is 3/10 with his handicap debutants at the track in the last 5 years, for decent profits. In the last 2 years he is only 6/62 with all handicap debutants so in that context, those stats look even better. The horse is doing what you wan to see really – namely stepping up in trip, this one by around 5 furlongs. He is bred to want a stamina test and being ‘outpaced’ in his previous runs is a perfectly good reason for why has had ran as he has- also gaining experience with every run. I also like the fact that his qualifying run the last day was his first run of the season, having had a break after the first two. So he may also come on fitness wise. Anyway, if he does have plenty in hand of this mark, this looks like the time he is going to show it for me. Elliot’s are going well enough ‘in form’ – 11/49,18 places last 14 days
That will be all for today. Good Luck.