NOTE: There is an old post HERE>>> which includes the checklist that I use when going through a trends race, and also a video as well of me using HRB.
****
Onto Saturday and the race I have focused on is the 25f C2 Handicap Chase run at 1.50…
Cheltenham Showcase Meeting
1.50: 25f C2 Handicap Chase
9 renewals, 108 runners, 28 placed horses
Note: I use HorseRaceBase for these stats and the stats refer to a horses run in the UK or Ireland. They won’t take account of any French runs say etc.
CHECKLIST
TRENDS
Horse Age
- 5/9 Aged 8 (5/32, 11 places)
- Age 4-6: 0/14, 3 places
- 6/9 Aged 7/8… 6/49, 16 places
- 3/9 Aged 9+ : 3/45, 9 places
Days Since Run
- 8/9 ran 121+ days ago
- 2-25 days: 0/26, 6 places
- 26-30 days: 1/5, 1 p
- 121-150 days: 4/19, 6 places
- 181-240 days: 2/33, 11 places
- 241-300: 2/7, 2 places
Horse Weight (exc jockey claim)
- 9/9 carried 10-8 to 11-7
- 10-7 or less: 0/21, 5 places
- 11-8 + : 0/23, 8 places… (11-9…0/6,5 places) (11-12…0/10,1 place)
Horse Official Rating
- 8/9 OR 134-140
- 8/35 runners, 10 places…+24 SP
- OR 141+ : 0/29, 8 places
Season Runs
- 7/9 had no runs this season
- 4+ : 0/18, 1 place
Maximum Distance Winners Had RUN Over
- 9/9 had run over 25f+ in career
- 0/19, 3 places had not
Position In Market
- 9/9 Top 7 in market
- 8th or lower: 0/41, 5 places
Odds
- 9/9 10/1 or shorter SP
- 11/1+ : 0/54, 7 places
***
OTHER STATS
Miscellaneous 1
Origin of Horse
- GB: 1/23, 2 places
- IRE: 7/67,21 places
- FR: 1/17, 5 places
Headgear
- CP: 0/13, 0 places
- Blinkers: 0/9, 1 place
- Visor: 0/4, 1 place
Pos Wgts (ex Clm) –
- 9/9 were 2nd to 9th in Weights (exc jockey claims)
- Top weights: 0/12, 1 place
- 10th or lower: 0/29, 8 places
‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’
H (Horse) -Run (90 days)
- 8/9 0 runs in last 90 days
- 1: 0/17, 3 places
- 2: 1/13,3 places
- 3+ : 0/10, 1 place
H – Run (career)
- 9/9 had 17+ career runs
- 0-16: 0/33, 8 places
H- Run (Hncp/Non Hncp)
- 0-5 handicap runs: 0/23, 6 places
H-Run (NH Race Type)
- 9/9 had 8-19 chase runs
- 0-7: 0/25, 4 places
- 8 chase runs only: 3/11,6 places…+8 SP
- 20+ : 0/19, 2 places
H- Run (track)
- 0: 1/23, 3 places
H- Run (Track-NH Code)
- 8/9 had 1+ chase runs at track previously
- 0 chase runs track: 1/32, 4 places
H-Run (Last Placing)
- 9/9 had placed on at least one of last 3 starts
- Had not: 0/20, 2 places
The ‘Winning’ Characteristics
H-Win (Career)
- 9/9 had 4+ career wins
- 0-3: 0/26, 7 places
H-Win (NH Race Type).
- 0/1 chase wins: /19, 2 places
H-Win (Hcap NH)
- 8/9 had 1-3 handicap chase wins
- 0: 1/31, 6 places
- 4+: 0/15, 1 place
Miscellaneous 2
Highest Class Run
- Yet to run at Listed level + in career
- 0/17, 5 places
Highest Class Win
- 9/9 yet to win above listed level
- Had won Gr3+ : 0/21, 5 places
H-Places (NH Race type)
0-2 places in chases (incs wins): 0/15, 2 places
Jockey Claims
- 9/9 no jockey claims
- 3lb: 0/7, 0 places
- 5lb: 0/3, 1 p
- 7lb: 0/3, 0 p
Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics
(LR) Track
- Cheltenham: 3/17,9 places
- Sandown: 3/10, 5 places
- 1 win: Southwell/Hexham/Uttox
- Aintree: 0/9, 2 places
- Market R: 0/12, 2 places
Trainers (of interest)
- P Hobbs: 5/12, 6 places
- 1 win: Mulholland/NTD/George/Jonjo
- D Pipe: 0/7, 2 places
- P Nicholls: 0/6, 0 places