Members… Today’s ‘TTP Jumps Notes’ for Southwell are complete. There look to be a couple of interest to my eyes at 6s + 8s. Remember you need to be logged in to access. You can read that HERE>>>
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
- 4.00 Ponte – Ralphy Boy 6/1… (UP, 10/1, market wasn’t positive,sweated pre race,nothing when asked- neither led nor ran his race) he looks interesting enough here to me- the pace was the ‘way in’ as I think he may be able to dominate from the front here, if getting out fast and a position from his slightly wide draw. Sand Chorus can be up there also but hopefully he can do as he pleases. He is just in form and suited to all race conditions. Plenty in here have questions to answer and he is only 3lb above winning a C4 handicap here over CD a few starts back. He is just running consistently and I would like to think that if he can dictate, and he runs his race, he should be right in the mix. I have had a little EW bet to find out and we shall see how that goes.
That will be the only one of interest in here today.
A nice 12/1>6/1 winner for Rose Dobbin on Sunday kept these angles ticking along. She does like Kelso at this time of year!
3.10 South- BallyAndrew (UP 16/1) (no ticks against my positive pointer. NTD still in form. Appears a couple of very well fancied ones in here)
4.40 – South BallyHill (UP, odd market, 7/2?8/1>7/2) (again not ticks BUT… NTD is 3/10, 4 places in NHF races at the track last 5 years, and of more interest maybe he is 2/2 with the NHF runners here returning after a break of 60+ days. He has tried to make all in the past and given his experience I wonder if they will try the same. Interesting that they are persisting with the NHF route?)
An October angle for NTD has appeared in my HRB account. It simply looks at his non-handicap hurdlers in October, who have had 0 or 1 run ONLY in previous 90 days.
74 bets / 21 wins / 30 places / 28% win SR / +111 SP / +187 BFSP / AE 1.56 (since 2010)
There is no odds cap- he has had a monster winner go in at 66/1. He has had 3 such winners every year for the last four and taking early prices may add another 10+ points or so to the kitty. Those going off 11/1 or shorter should be marked up.
BallyAndrew would qualify.
Pam Sly (any odds)
4.50 Wind – Ghinia
TTP: MAIN TRAINER SYSTEMS
2.00 Ponte – Physicist (16/1< ) 3rd 25/1
(trainer is only 3/39, 11 places with those making their first start. The market may well guide in this maiden)
That will be all today. Good Luck.