Listowel: Kerry National Stats Pointers…

Some stats pointers for The Kerry National…

I have had a quick look at some pointers for The Kerry National. For the Portland at Donny I changed approach a bit and only looked back over the previous eight runnings. That worked well enough so I thought I would try the same approach with this race.

This isn’t as in depth as usual but a few stats of interest….


Previous Place

  • 8/8 Top 8 LTO
    • 0/41, 7 places did not
    • PU: 0/10, 0 places


Days Since Run

  • 6/8 – ran 1-25 days ago
  • 8/8 ran 1-60 days ago
    • 61+ : 0/25, 2 places


Horse Weight (exc claims)

  • 8/8 carried 11-3 or less
  • 6/8 carried 10-10 or less
    • 0/19, 6 places 11-4 +


Pos Wgts (ex Clm) –

  • Top 2 in weights: 0/18, 5 places
  • 3rd in weights (inc joints) – 3/8, 6 places…


H (Horse) -Run (90 days)

  • 0: 0/20, 2 places


H- Run (Hncp/Non Hncp)

  • 7/8 had 9+ runs in handicaps


H-Run (NH Race Type)

  • 6/8 had 13 or fewer chase runs


H- Run (track)

  • 0: 0/58, 12 places
  • 8/8… 1 + runs at track.


H- Run (Track-NH Code)

  • 7/8 run over fences at track previously
    • 0: 1/81, 16 places


H-Win (Career)

  • 8/8…1-6 career wins


Trainers (of interest)

  • E McNamara: 2/11, 5 places
  • 1 win: Byrnes/Hanlon/D Hughes/A Martin/J Nash/M Morris
  • W Mullins: 0/18, 3 places



Now to see if that lot points to a working shortlist….


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3 Responses

  1. Interesting stats regarding the previous track runs,with just 7 horses having run there in the past,of those 7 runners(King’s Wharf,As De Pique,Rightville Boy,Shesaportrait,Killer Crow,Your Busy & Kylecrue)only 3 have shown form so far,with Your busy showing 2 wins from 5 runs,including winning this in 2014(was pulled up last year).He’s 13 years old now and has 39 chase runs behind him,but has Katie Walsh booked,also has c/p fitted for the first time,could run a race in whats sure to be a right slog on the heavy going.
    Kylecrue(reserve) is 2 from 3 at the course,and is in great form,winning the the Kerry group hcp chase a few days ago,has 20 hcp chases behind him.
    Ended up popping a few quid each way on Killer Crow,Has some course form,winning a bumper back in 2014,looks unexposed with just 11 chases behind him,has had a spin over hurdles since finishing down the field in Galway,top class jockey on board,seems skybet are the only bookie paying 5 places.

    1. Hi Rob, looks an intriguing puzzle as you would expect. Yep my pin landed on Killer Crow and Shesaportrait who may not be good enough but one way to find out. Not sure if Your Busy wants it really deep, albeit has form on it but surely something younger is winning. Would be some effort for Kylecrue to win after his recent outing and not sure he has the stamina, a question mark anyway. We shall see how they all go.

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