St Leger Meeting: Trainer Notes + Portland Handicap Stats/Trends

Some focused ‘trainer notes’ for the St Leger meeting + some trends/stats for the Portland Handicap.

I have pulled together some trainer notes for this week’s St Leger meeting from Doncaster. These look at the 8 trainers to have had 4 or more winners at the meeting since 2013. This time I have just focused on a few ‘positive’ points for each trainer that will hopefully guide you in the right direction. There are a few good pointers and hopefully some of them have a good week.

YOU CAN READ/DOWNLOAD/PRINT THESE NOTES HERE>>>

I am away this week so won’t be providing any other notes during the week.

Below are also some stats/trends pointers for The Portland Handicap

***

Doncaster: Portland Handicap

 

For these trends I thought I would just look at the previous 8 renewals to see if anything significant stands out, rather than the usual 19 years or so. 2008-

8 renewals, 167 runners, 32 placed horses

 

CHECKLIST

TRENDS

Previous Place

Nothing too significant albeit…

  • 8/8 Top 11 LTO
    • 12 or worse: 0/22, 2 places

Horse Age

  • 7/8 Aged: 4 or 5
    • Age 3: 0/20, 3 places
    • Age 4: 2/44, 11 places
    • Age 5: 5/44, 9 places
    • Age 6: 0/24, 2 places
    • Age 7: 1/24, 5 places
    • Age 8+ : /11, 2 places

 

Days Since Run

  • Nothing significant

 

Horse Weight (exc claims)

  • 6/8 carried 9-1 – 9-7
    • 6/78 runners, 17 places…75% winners…47% runners…53% places
      • 8-10 or less: 0/25, 4 places
      • 9-8 + : 1/25, 3 places

Horse Official Rating

  • 7/8 OR 95-101
    • OR94<… 0/41, 8 places
    • OR 102+…. 1/28, 4 places

Season Runs

  • 8/8 had 1-6 runs this season
    • 7+ : 0/76, 11 places

Wins (Distance)

  • 8/8 yet to win over this trip (5.5 f)
    • 1+: 0/21, 3 places

 

Odds

  • 8/8 20/1 or shorter
    • Over 20/1 SP: 0/63, 7 places

***

OTHER STATS

Miscellaneous 1

Origin of Horse

  • GB Bred: 0/82, 15 places
  • IRE: 5/65, 13 places
  • USA: 2/16, 3 places
  • Others: 1/4, 1 place

Headgear

  • CP: 0/9, 2 places
  • Blinkers: 0/22, 4 places
  • Visor: 1/12, 2 places

 

Stalls/Draw

Stall

  • 7/8 drawn 7-18
    • Stall 1-6: 0/43, 4 places
    • 19+ : 1/34, 5 places

 

‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’

H – Run (career)

  • 4/8 had 1-8 career runs: 4/7 runners, 5 places

H- Run (Hncp/Non Hncp)

  • 5/8 had 1-6 runs in handicaps

H- Run (track)

  • 7/8 had 0-1 runs at track previously
    • 7/88 runners, 18 places

H-Run (Last Placing)

  • 5/8 placed on at least one of last two starts

 

The ‘Winning’ Characteristics

H-Win (Class)

Nothing too significant but…

  • 5/8 yet to win in the class (5/65 runners, 16 places)

H-Win (Season).

  • 3+ wins this season: 0/17, 0 places

 

Miscellaneous 2

Highest Class Run

  • G1: 2/27, 7 places
  • G2/3: 0/40, 5 places

H-Places (Hncp/Non)

  • 5/8 placed 0-3 times in handicaps only
    • 5/30 runners, 9 places

 

Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics

(LR) Hcap/Non

  • Non handicap: 1/31, 2 places

(LR) No. of Runners

  • 2-9 runners: 0/19, 2 places

 (LR) Track

  • Haydock: 2/15, 6 places
  • 1 Win: Ripon/York (1/37), Goodwood/Cork/Doncaster/Down Royal
  • Ascot: 1/14, 2 places
  • Beverley: /12, 0 places
  • Sandown: 0/7, 0 places

***

Trainers (of interest)

  • D Marnane: 2/2, 2 places
  • 1 win: Haggas/ S Williams/R Varian/C Hills/T D Barron/D O’Meara
  • D Nicholls: 0/16, 0 places
  • K A Ryan: 0/19, 5 places

 

Winning Profile?

(only a guide, do pick out those areas that most catch you eye)

  • OR 95-101
  • 1-6 runs this season
  • NOT GB Bred
  • Drawn 7 or higher
  • Pay close attention to more unexposed types: 1-8 career run, 1-6 runs in handicaps
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