I have had a look at the Sky Bet Dash from York on Saturday. There are a few interesting pointers that may help narrow down the field.
York: SkyBet Dash
12 renewals
207 runners, 43 placed horses
TRENDS
Previous Place
- Nothing too significant
- 5/12 Top 2 LTO
- 7/12 Top 3 LTO
Horse Age
- 10/12 Aged 3-5
- 2/12 Aged 6/7: 2/62, 9 places…17% winners…30% runners…21% places
- 8+ : 0/17, 5 places
Days Since Run
- Nothing overly significant
- 46+ days: 0/17, 1 place
- 16-25 days: 0/19, 3 places
Horse Weight
- Nothing significant
Horse Official Rating
- Nothing significant
Season Runs
- Nothing significant
Wins (Distance)
- 11/12: 0-3 distance wins
- 4+ : 1/60, 12 places… 8% winners…29% runners…28% places
Position In Market
- 12/12 Top 5 in the market
- Favs (inc joint) : 5/13, 6 places
- Top 2 in market (inc joints): 9/32, 14 places
- 6th or lower: 0/132, 17 places
Odds
- 12/12 – 12/1 or shorter SP
- 9/1 or shorter: 11/51, 22 places
- 14/1+ : 0/126, 18 places
***
OTHER STATS
Miscellaneous 1
Origin of Horse
- Nothing significant
Headgear
- Cheekpieces: 0/13, 3 places
- Blinkers: 0/16, 3 places
Pos Wgts (ex Clm) –
- Top 2 in weights (inc joints): 5/28, 9 places
- Clear/Joint Bottom: 0/17, 1 place
Stalls/Draw
Stall
- 11/12 drawn 12 or lower
- 13+ : 1/70, 14 places
‘The ‘Running’ Characteristics’
H – Run (career)
- 6/12: had 9 or fewer career runs.
H- Run (Hncp/Non Hncp)
- 6/12: 0-6 handicap runs
H-Run (distance)
- 8/12: 0-6 distance runs
H-Run (Last Win)
- 8/12 had won at least one of last two starts
- 10/12 had won at least one of last four starts
H-Run (Last Placing)
- 12/12 Had placed on at least one of last two starts.
- 0/86, 13 places did not
The ‘Winning’ Characteristics
H-Win (Career).
- 7+ : 1/38, 6 places
Miscellaneous 2
Best in Three Runs
- 12/12 Top 2 at least once in last 3 runs. 9/12 had won.
Class Move
- Up2/3 classes: 0/14, 3 places
Distance Move
- Up 1 furlong: 0/49, 5 places
Jockey Claims
- 3lbs: 0/16, 2 places
- 5lbs: 1/19, 5 places
- 7lbs: 0/7, 1 place
Horses ‘Last Race’ Characteristics
(LR) Race Class (inc Irish)
- C4/5: 0/14, 3 places
(LR) Track
- Newcastle: 3/12, 4 places
- York: 2/27, 6 places
- Ascot: 2/24, 6 places
- Hamilton: 2/39, 8 places
- 1 win: Windso/Warw/Newmarket (july)
- Chester: 0/11, 2 places
- Curragh: 0/9, 3 places
- Ayr: 0/10, 2 places
- Ponte: 0/10., 1 place
Horses ‘First Ever Run’ Characteristics
Nothing of note.
***
Trainers (of interest)
Only one trainer has won this more than once…
- R Fahey: 2/20, 6 places
- 1 win: Jim Goldie/A Magnusson/D K Ivory/M Johnston/C Hills/M Easterby/K Burke / JJ Quinn (+ Barry Hills)
- D O’Meara: 0/7, 0 places
- D Nicholls: 0/23, 6 places
- T Easterby:0/16, 0 places
- T D Barron: 0/8, 0 places
- K Ryan: 0/12, 3 places
2 Responses
Used what I thought were the most important trends (9 of them) Only 1 horse qualified – Kimberella – won 5/1fav. I didn’t back it but your trends were dead on!!!!!
Thanks Sean – it is the first time they have been dead on this year I think haha – albeit that isnt from many ‘big races’. They found last years winner also, so for that race at least they seem solid enough!